A Poisson Autoregressive Model to Understand COVID-19 Contagion Dynamics

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Abstract

We present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion dynamics of the COVID-19. The model is a Poisson autoregression, and can reveal whether contagion has a trend, and where is each country on that trend. Model results are presented from the observed series of China, Iran, Italy and South Korea.

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last seen: 2026-05-19T01:45:01.086888+00:00