Number of tests required to flatten the curve of coronavirus disease-2019
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AI-generated summary
A mathematical model developed using U.S. data suggests that increasing COVID-19 testing 2.25-fold to 280,000–360,000 tests daily could offset the infection risk from lifting lockdown policies.
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Abstract
We developed a mathematical model to quantify the number of tests required to stop the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Our model analyses performed using the data from the U.S. suggest that the infection coefficient increases by approximately 47% upon relaxing the lockdown policy. To offset the effect of lockdown relaxation, the number of tests should increase by 2.25 times, corresponding to approximately 280,000–360,000 tests per day in April 2020.
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- europepmc
- last seen: 2026-05-19T01:45:01.086888+00:00
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