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TABLE 1 Results of regression analyses (generalized linear mixed-effects models) for butterfly species richness, abundances (both negative binomial distributions), and Shannon diversity index (gaussian distribution), based on the model y ~Season +(1|plot) and best-supported additive or interactive models selected using the Akaike Information Criterion ( AIC ), relating all environmental predictors across 18 study plots in Manas National Park, Assam, India. Rf_var: variance of random effects, Rf_SD: standard deviation of random effect, Df: degrees of freedom, Dev.: deviance. Significance codes: # P <0.1, * P <0.05, ** P <0.01, *** P <0.001.
| Model | Rf_var | Rf_SD | Coefficients | Df | Dev. | AIC | p -value |
| Species richness | |||||||
| Null | 0.13 | 0.367 | 33 | 277.4 | 283.4 | ||
| Season | 0.15 | 0.393 | 3.13 +0.26 Post-monsoon ** | 32 | 269.6 | 277.6 | ** |
| Habitat | 0.04 | 0.200 | 3.62 –0.11 Open forest –0.90 Grassland *** –0.33 Rural habitat # | 30 | 263.1 | 275.1 | ** |
| Habitat +Season | 0.06 | 0.236 | 3.47 –0.11 Open forest –0.90 Grassland *** –0.34 Rural habitat # –0.26 Post-monsoon ** | 29 | 255.1 | 269.1 | *** |
| Vegetation strata | <0.001 | <0.001 | 3.27 +1.03 Strata E3 *** –1.37 Strata E3 2*** +0.94 Strata E2 ** –0.53 Strata E2 2# | 29 | 238.0 | 252.0 | *** |
| Vegetation strata +Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 3.22 +1.13 Strata E3 *** –1.40 Strata E3 2*** +0.76 Strata E2 * –0.46 Strata E2 2 +0.10 Post-monsoon | 28 | 237.0 | 253.0 | *** |
| Nectar | 0.11 | 0.332 | 3.27 +0.19 Nectar ** | 32 | 268.5 | 276.5 | ** |
| Nectar +Season | 0.13 | 0.360 | 3.17 +0.13 Nectar * –0.18 Post-monsoon * | 31 | 264.7 | 274.7 | ** |
| Invasive shrub | 0.15 | 0.390 | 3.26 +0.20 Chromolaena odorata *** | 32 | 264.6 | 272.6 | *** |
| Invasive shrub +Season | 0.15 | 0.390 | 3.23 +0.17 Chromolaena odorata * – 0.06 Post-monsoon | 31 | 264.4 | 274.4 | ** |
| Activity signs | 0.11 | 0.333 | 3.28 +0.17 Sign Ev * | 32 | 271.2 | 279.2 | * |
| Activity signs +Season | 0.13 | 0.360 | 3.14 +0.13 Sign Ev * –0.24 Post-monsoon ** | 31 | 263.8 | 273.8 | ** |
| Megafauna visitation | 0.11 | 0.330 | 3.28 –0.09 megafauna1 | 32 | 275.0 | 283.0 | NS |
| Megafauna visitation +Season | 0.13 | 0.360 | 3.11 –0.11 megafauna1 * +0.31 Post-monsoon *** | 31 | 263.8 | 273.8 | ** |
| Megafauna diversity | 0.12 | 0.351 | 3.29 –0.04 Megafauna diversity | 32 | 277.1 | 285.1 | NS |
| Megafauna diversity +Season | 0.14 | 0.373 | 3.11 –0.09 Megafauna diversity # +0.31 Post-monsoon *** | 31 | 266.9 | 276.9 | ** |
| Megafauna abundance | 0.11 | 0.335 | 3.28 –0.12 Megafauna abundance | 32 | 275.4 | 283.4 | NS |
| Megafauna abundance +Season | 0.14 | 0.375 | 3.14 –0.06 Megafauna abundance +0.25 Post-monsoon ** | 31 | 269.0 | 279.0 | * |
| Fire | 0.13 | 0.359 | 3.28 –0.10 Fire | 32 | 274.8 | 282.8 | NS |
| Fire +Season | 0.15 | 0.393 | 3.14 +0.0004 Fire +0.26 Post-monsoon ** | 31 | 269.6 | 279.6 | * |
| Abundance | |||||||
| Null | 0.04 | 0.210 | 33 | 432.5 | 438.5 | ||
| Season | 0.04 | 0.200 | 5.01 –0.38 Post-monsoon * | 32 | 428.3 | 436.3 | * |
| Habitat | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.28 –0.16 Open forest –0.85 Grassland *** +0.31 Rural habitat | 30 | 411.3 | 423.3 | *** |
| Habitat +Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.11 –0.15 Open forest –0.81 Grassland *** +0.29 Rural habitat –0.30 Post-monsoon * | 29 | 407.4 | 421.4 | *** |
| Vegetation strata | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.19 +0.87 Strata E2 # –1.80 Strata E2 2*** | 31 | 420.7 | 430.7 | ** |
| Vegetation strata +Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.09 +0.60 Strata E2 –1.70 Strata E2 2** –0.18 Post-monsoon | 30 | 419.9 | 431.9 | ** |
| Nectar | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.19 +0.32 Nectar *** | 32 | 420.8 | 428.8 | *** |
| Nectar +Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.09 +0.29 Necctar ** –0.17 Post-monsoon | 31 | 419.9 | 429.9 | ** |
| Invasive shrub | 0.07 | 0.271 | 5.18 +0.23 Chromolaena odorata * | 32 | 426.5 | 434.5 | * |
| Invasive shrub +Season | 0.06 | 0.243 | 5.10 +0.18 Chromolaena odorata –0.15 Post-monsoon | 31 | 426.1 | 436.1 | * |
| Activity signs | 0.05 | 0.227 | 5.18 +0.26 Sign Ev ** | 32 | 425.4 | 433.4 | ** |
| Activity signs +Season | 0.04 | 0.192 | 5.00 +0.25 Sign Ev ** –0.34 Post-monsoon * | 31 | 421.4 | 431.4 | ** |
| Megafauna visitation | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.23 –0.19 megafauna1 ** | 32 | 427.9 | 435.9 | * |
| Megafauna visitation :Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.40 +1.11 megafauna1 :Pre-monsoon ** –0.22 megafauna1 :Post-monsoon ** | 31 | 419.8 | 429.8 | ** |
| Megafauna diversity | 0.04 | 0.200 | 5.22 +0.07 Megafauna diversity | 32 | 432.1 | 440.1 | NS |
| Megafauna diversity +Season | 0.04 | 0.197 | 5.01 +0.01 Megafauna diversity –0.37 Post-monsoon * | 31 | 428.3 | 438.3 | NS |
| Megafauna abundance | 0.07 | 0.260 | 5.21 –0.04 Megafauna abundance | 32 | 432.4 | 440.4 | NS |
| Megafauna abundance +Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.01 +0.06 Megafauna abundance –0.41 Post-monsoon * | 31 | 428.1 | 438.1 | NS |
| Fire | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.23 –0.16 Fire | 32 | 429.9 | 437.9 | NS |
| Fire +Season | <0.001 | <0.001 | 5.06 –0.08 Fire –0.32 Post-monsoon | 31 | 427.8 | 437.8 | # |
| Shannon index | |||||||
| Null | 0.32 | 0.569 | 33 | 63.6 | 69.6 | ||
| Season | 0.33 | 0.570 | 2.34 +0.60 Post-monsoon | 32 | 63.3 | 71.3 | NS |
| Habitat | 0.16 | 0.393 | 2.83 +0.004 Open forest –0.88 Grassland ** –0.78 Rural habitat * | 30 | 53.6 | 65.6 | * |
| Habitat +Season | 0.16 | 0.394 | 2.80 +0.004 Open forest –0.88 Grassland ** –0.78 Rural habitat * +0.06 Post-monsoon | 29 | 53.3 | 67.3 | * |
| Vegetation strata | 0.08 | 0.283 | 2.37 +1.95 Strata E3 *** –1.54 Strata E3 2* | 31 | 52.4 | 62.4 | ** |
| Vegetation strata :Season | 0.09 | 0.303 | 2.36 +1.26 Strata E3 :Pre-monsoon # –1.35 Strata E3 2 :Pre-monsoon +2.55 Strata E3 :Post-monsoon *** –1.90 Strata E3 2 :Post-monsoon ** | 29 | 49.7 | 63.7 | ** |
| Nectar | 0.32 | 0.563 | 2.37 +0.06 Nectar | 32 | 63.1 | 71.1 | NS |
| Nectar :Season | 0.34 | 0.581 | 2.36 –0.02 Nectar :Pre-monsoon +0.09 Nectar :Post-monsoon | 31 | 62.8 | 72.8 | NS |
| Invasive shrub | 0.28 | 0.528 | 2.37 +0.21 Chromolaena odorata * –0.18 Lantana camara * | 31 | 56.6 | 66.6 | * |
| Invasive shrub :Season | 0.32 | 0.565 | 2.27 –0.18 Chromolaena odorata :Pre-monsoon +0.31 Chromolaena odorata :Post-monsoon ** +0.08 Lantana camara :Pre-monsoon –0.17 Lantana camara :Post-monsoon * | 29 | 49.6 | 63.6 | ** |
| Activity signs | 0.41 | 0.643 | 2.37 +0.12 Dung | 32 | 61.9 | 69.9 | NS |
| Activity signs +Season | 0.41 | 0.643 | 2.33 +0.13 Dung –0.08 Post-monsoon | 31 | 61.5 | 71.5 | NS |
| Megafauna visitation | 0.33 | 0.574 | 2.37 –0.09 megafauna4 | 32 | 62.1 | 70.1 | NS |
| Megafauna visitation :Season | 0.35 | 0.594 | 2.36 –0.27 megafauna4 :Post-monsoon # –0.02 megafauna4 :Pre-monsoon | 31 | 60.6 | 70.6 | NS |
| Megafauna diversity | 0.34 | 0.579 | 2.37 +0.02 Megafauna diversity | 32 | 63.5 | 71.5 | NS |
| Megafauna diversity :Season | 0.36 | 0.603 | 2.40 +0.17 Megafauna diversity :Pre-monsoon –0.08 Megafauna diversity :Post-monsoon | 31 | 61.7 | 71.7 | NS |
| Megafauna abundance | 0.31 | 0.555 | 2.37 –0.02 Megafauna abundance | 32 | 63.5 | 71.5 | NS |
| Megafauna abundance :Season | 0.12 | 0.344 | 2.32 –0.87 Megafauna abundance :Post-monsoon * –0.14 Megafauna abundamce :Pre-monsoon | 31 | 59.4 | 69.4 | NS |
| Fire | 0.32 | 0.570 | 2.37 –0.01 Fire | 32 | 63.5 | 71.5 | NS |
| Fire + Season | 0.33 | 0.571 | 2.33 +0.02 Fire –0.08 Post-monsoon | 31 | 63.3 | 73.3 | NS |
TABLE 2 Results of ordination RDA analyses relating the butterfly assemblages’ composition to environmental conditions across 18 study plots in Manas National Park, Assam, India, based on model ~Season |trap exposure and its interactive ~ Season : x | trap exposure forms, where x are the environmental predictors i-ix (see materials and methods). Eig1–Eig4: eigenvalues of the ordination axes, %Var: adjusted explained variation, F p s: pseudo-F values, “→ ←”: against/opposite direction, “→ →”: with/identical direction. Significance codes: # P <0.1, * P <0.05, ** P <0.01, *** P <0.001.
| %Var | Eig1 | Eig2 | Eig3 | Eig4 | F P 1st | F P all | Selected traits | %Var | Eig1 | Eig2 | Eig3 | Eig4 | F P 1st | F P all | |
| ~ Trap exposure | 0.1 | .030 | – | – | – | – | 1.0 # | ||||||||
| ~ Season | 2.2 | .050 | – | – | – | – | 1.8 *** | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ Habitat | 30.1 | .280 | 0.058 | 0.018 | – | 4.1 * | 5.9 * | Wingspan → ← grasslands; Indian distribution → ← forests | 3.7 | 0.038 | 0.015 | – | – | 2.3 * | 3.2 ** |
| ~ —- : Season | 0.1 | .031 | 0.014 | 0.011 | – | 0.5 * | 1.0 * | Climbers → → pre-monsoon rural habitats; wingspan → → pre-monsoon forests; tall grasses, Indian dist. → → post-monsoon | 10.1 | 0.093 | 0.035 | 0.004 | – | 2.9 *** | 4.3 *** |
| ~ Vegetation strata (E3) | 15.3 | .173 | – | – | – | – | 7.1 # | Tall grasses, flight period → → forests; Indian dist., global dist. → ← forests | 13.1 | 0.161 | – | – | – | 5.4 *** | 5.4 *** |
| ~ —- :Season | 0.0 | .018 | – | – | – | – | 0.8 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ Nectar | 2.9 | .056 | – | – | – | – | 2.0 # | Forbs → → nectars | 5.0 | 0.059 | – | – | – | – | 7.2 ** |
| ~ —- :Season | 1.8 | .043 | – | – | – | – | 1.6 # | Flight period → → pre-monsoon nectars; global dist., forbs → ← nectars | 22.8 | 0.248 | – | – | – | 12.5 *** | 12.5 *** |
| ~ Invasive shrub | 10.3 | .091 | 0.060 | – | – | 1.7 # | 3.0 ** | Wingspan, hostplant scope, Indian dist. → → invasive shrubs; climbers → ← invasive shrubs | 18.6 | 0.212 | 0.001 | – | – | 7.6 *** | 7.7 *** |
| ~ —- :Season | 0.0 | .028 | 0.020 | – | – | 0.5 NS | 0.9 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ Activity signs (trails) | 9.7 | .120 | – | – | – | – | 4.7 ** | Forbs, global dist. → → trails; flight periods, tall grasses → ← trails | 21.5 | 0.242 | – | – | – | 9.0 *** | 9.0 *** |
| ~ —- :Season | 1.4 | .036 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 # | Wingspan, forbs, global dist. → → post-monsoon trails | 12.3 | 0.143 | – | – | – | 6.3 ** | 6.3 ** |
| ~ Megaf. visitation | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ Megaf. diversity | 1.5 | 0.042 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ —- :Season | 0.0 | 0.015 | – | – | – | – | 0.5 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ Megaf. abundance | 4.9 | 0.074 | – | – | – | – | 2.7 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ —- :Season | 5.8 | 0.074 | – | – | – | – | 3.0 ** | Global dist. → → post-monsoon megafauna | 5.2 | 0.062 | – | – | – | – | 6.4 ** |
| ~ Fire | 1.0 | 0.038 | – | – | – | – | 1.3 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ~ —- :Season | 1.0 | 0.038 | – | – | – | – | 1.3 NS | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
FIGURE LEGENDS
FIGURE 1 Map showing the position of Assam within the Republic of India, the Manas National Park targeted here, and positions of plots where seasonal effects of butterflies were studied.
FIGURE 2 Model predicted partial effects of habitat (with seasonal additive effects) from the generalized linear mixed effects models comparing butterfly species richness, abundance, and diversity across 18 study plots in Manas National Park, Assam, India. See TABLE 1 & S1 for the models’ statistics. CF: closed forests; OF: open forests; GR: grasslands; RU: rural habitats.
FIGURE 3 Examples of predicted values (partial effects ±95% confidence intervals) from seasonal interaction models using generalized linear mixed-effects models: top left–butterfly abundance vs. megafauna visitation (megafauna1), top right–diversity vs. vegetation strata (E3), bottom left–diversity vs. invasive shrub (C. odorata ), bottom right–diversity vs. invasive shrub ( L. camara ) across 18 study plots in Manas National Park, Assam, India. See TABLE 1 & S1 for the models’ statistics.
FIGURE 4 Explained variation (%) of predictors in RDA ordination interpreting butterfly assemblage composition. For each environmental variable x at horizontal axis, the column refers to model containing only that variable (~ x |trap exposure ), the second to model with additive effect (~ Season +x |trap exposure ), the third to model with multiplication (~ Season +x +Season*x |trap exposure ), and the fourth to model containing interaction only (~ Season :x |trap exposure +Season +x ).
FIGURE 5 Results of RDA ordination interpreting butterfly assemblage composition in relation to life history traits for interactive models ~ Season : x | trap exposure + Season + x, for four environmental predictors x ; (a) habitat, (b) nectar, (c) activity sign, and (d) megafauna abundance . See TABLE 2 for the models’ statistics.
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