Geopolitics of Gas Export: A Game Theory Analysis of Iran-Russia Strategic Interaction in the European Market

Geopolitics of Gas Export: A Game Theory Analysis of Iran-Russia Strategic Interaction in the European Market | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Geopolitics of Gas Export: A Game Theory Analysis of Iran-Russia Strategic Interaction in the European Market Sorour Moradipoor, Seyed Abdolmajid Jalaee, Mehdi Nejati This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8349380/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Today, development and the continuation of life depend on securing energy. Energy supply is realized through various carriers such as oil, gas, their derived products, and renewable energies. Iran, holding 16 % of the world’s gas reserves, ranks second after Russia. Under these circumstances, Iran has the opportunity to enter international markets. Europe is considered one of the largest destinations for Iranian gas exports via pipeline. This study investigates the effect of the 2007– 2008 economic crisis and the recent changes in the global energy market due to the Russia-Ukraine war on the non-cooperative game between Iran and Russia in short-term and long-term periods across four scenarios, using a Game Theory approach to calculate the Nash Equilibrium. Based on the results obtained, the High Export Rate (HER) strategy was chosen in all scenarios by both countries, except Russia in Scenario 1 (short-term period), where the Low Export Rate (LER) strategy emerged. Other Economics Gas Exports Natural and Economic Crises Game Theory Geopolitics Energy Policy Full Text Additional Declarations The authors declare no competing interests. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. 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