Forecasting Economic and Environmental Effects of Expanding Pv Deployment: An Input-output Framework Based on the Eto’s Dataset for Poland

Forecasting Economic and Environmental Effects of Expanding Pv Deployment: An Input-output Framework Based on the Eto’s Dataset for Poland | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Forecasting Economic and Environmental Effects of Expanding Pv Deployment: An Input-output Framework Based on the Eto’s Dataset for Poland ŁUKASZ LACH, SŁAWOMIR KOPEĆ, JANUSZ ZYŚK, EWA ADAMIEC, MAREK KISIEL-DOROHINICKI, and 2 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7651113/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 26 Mar, 2026 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted 10 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This paper is the first attempt to conduct a detailed assessment of the possible macroeconomic and environmental effects generated in the national economy of Poland by installation and use of photovoltaic infrastructure. The study uses the most recent available macroeconomic data published by the Central Statistical Office of Poland and a unique dataset developed by the Energy Transition Observatory (ETO) – a strategic project run by AGH University of Krakow, the Ministry of Climate and Environment of Poland, and the National Centre for Nuclear Research – i.e. a set of environmental data on the size and sectoral distribution of CO 2 emissions, as well as sectoral CAPEX and OPEX data for three development scenarios and four capacity ranges of PV installations in Poland obtained from the National Chamber of Energy Clusters and Renewable Energy Sources. Based on the compiled dataset, unit construction-stage IO multipliers and unit operational-stage IO multipliers were calculated using an extended input-output model, which set the ground for estimating the dynamics of three types of PV-induced macroeconomic effects as well as the carbon footprint for the three considered development scenarios of the PV sector in Poland until 2040. The results obtained can contribute to more effective energy policy-making in Poland. Physical sciences/Energy science and technology Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental sciences energy transition Poland economic effects carbon footprint input-output model Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 26 Mar, 2026 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 25 Feb, 2026 Reviews received at journal 21 Feb, 2026 Reviewers agreed at journal 16 Feb, 2026 Reviews received at journal 06 Nov, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 31 Oct, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 31 Oct, 2025 Editor invited by journal 22 Oct, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 22 Sep, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 19 Sep, 2025 First submitted to journal 18 Sep, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7651113","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":542620493,"identity":"9a5a8ede-88f1-4abd-b13a-3e3734047cae","order_by":0,"name":"ŁUKASZ 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The study uses the most recent available macroeconomic data published by the Central Statistical Office of Poland and a unique dataset developed by the Energy Transition Observatory (ETO) \u0026ndash; a strategic project run by AGH University of Krakow, the Ministry of Climate and Environment of Poland, and the National Centre for Nuclear Research \u0026ndash; i.e. a set of environmental data on the size and sectoral distribution of CO\u003csub\u003e\u003cb\u003e2\u003c/b\u003e\u003c/sub\u003e emissions, as well as sectoral CAPEX and OPEX data for three development scenarios and four capacity ranges of PV installations in Poland obtained from the National Chamber of Energy Clusters and Renewable Energy Sources. Based on the compiled dataset, unit construction-stage IO multipliers and unit operational-stage IO multipliers were calculated using an extended input-output model, which set the ground for estimating the dynamics of three types of PV-induced macroeconomic effects as well as the carbon footprint for the three considered development scenarios of the PV sector in Poland until 2040. The results obtained can contribute to more effective energy policy-making in Poland.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Forecasting Economic and Environmental Effects of Expanding Pv Deployment: An Input-output Framework Based on the Eto’s Dataset for Poland","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2025-11-12 14:10:34","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7651113/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Revision requested","date":"2026-02-26T04:25:49+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2026-02-21T20:21:40+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"145933292378945631846244760415728788027","date":"2026-02-16T17:10:08+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2025-11-06T17:38:41+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"67035002661737215023039345681152853021","date":"2025-10-31T12:34:07+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2025-10-31T11:04:38+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvited","content":"","date":"2025-10-22T09:13:59+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2025-09-22T11:16:10+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2025-09-19T06:59:11+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Scientific Reports","date":"2025-09-18T15:10:23+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"40dc3ed4-ef95-46f8-b8a1-628683e28ea0","owner":[],"postedDate":"November 12th, 2025","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"published-in-journal","subjectAreas":[{"id":57875632,"name":"Physical sciences/Energy science and technology"},{"id":57875633,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental sciences"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2026-03-30T16:22:44+00:00","versionOfRecord":{"articleIdentity":"rs-7651113","link":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-45196-8","journal":{"identity":"scientific-reports","isVorOnly":false,"title":"Scientific Reports"},"publishedOn":"2026-03-26 16:10:17","publishedOnDateReadable":"March 26th, 2026"},"versionCreatedAt":"2025-11-12 14:10:34","video":"","vorDoi":"10.1038/s41598-026-45196-8","vorDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-45196-8","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-7651113","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-7651113","identity":"rs-7651113","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}