Spatial Heterogeneity in Climate Change: Evidence from Brazilian Biomes

Spatial Heterogeneity in Climate Change: Evidence from Brazilian Biomes | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Spatial Heterogeneity in Climate Change: Evidence from Brazilian Biomes Adriano Braga Rodarte, Márcio Poletti Laurini This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4125159/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 16 Jul, 2024 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted 10 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract We present a methodology designed to study the spatial heterogeneity of climate change. Our approach involves decomposing the observed changes in temperature patterns into multiple trend, cycle, and seasonal components within spatio-temporal models. We apply this method to test the hypothesis of a global long-term temperature trend against multiple trends in distinct biomes. Applying this methodology, we delve into the examination of heterogeneity of climate change in Brazil — a country characterized by a spectrum of climate zones. The findings challenge the notion of a global trend, revealing the presence of distinct trends in warming effects, and more accelerated trends for the Amazon and Cerrado biomes, indicating a composition between global warming and deforestation in determining changes in permanent temperature patterns. Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Atmospheric science Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental sciences/Environmental impact Climate change Spatial Heterogeneity Spatio-temporal models Structural time series Local climate Change Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 16 Jul, 2024 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 14 May, 2024 Reviews received at journal 13 May, 2024 Reviews received at journal 30 Apr, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 23 Apr, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Apr, 2024 Reviewers invited by journal 22 Apr, 2024 Editor assigned by journal 22 Apr, 2024 Editor invited by journal 10 Apr, 2024 Submission checks completed at journal 10 Apr, 2024 First submitted to journal 18 Mar, 2024 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-4125159","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":284935025,"identity":"92c4d32e-e4c5-4251-a689-d5bb29b13a89","order_by":0,"name":"Adriano Braga Rodarte","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Universidade de São Paulo","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Adriano","middleName":"Braga","lastName":"Rodarte","suffix":""},{"id":284935026,"identity":"36cdf026-a47a-440e-8c70-1607ddb9448e","order_by":1,"name":"Márcio Poletti Laurini","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA2UlEQVRIiWNgGAWjYBACPhCRwCAhx94AF+PBr4UNqsWY5wBJWoAgsYd4LexnzD483GGR3sPe/OxzAcNhe3MG3mMf8GrhyTGekXhGIreH55jx7BkMhxN3NvAlz8DvsBxjhsQ2idz9EgnGzDwMhxMMDvAY43cY/xuwlnQe+eefQVrsCWuRgNiSwCPBA7aFcQNhLc+KQVoMe3hyiplnGKQn7mzmS8arhZ8/eTPjz7Y6eR7245uZCyqs7c3Zew/j1YICmBkMGBgMmInXANICBAak6BgFo2AUjIIRAQAJqTm7s3kmRQAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==","orcid":"","institution":"Universidade de São Paulo","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Márcio","middleName":"Poletti","lastName":"Laurini","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2024-03-18 17:44:17","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4125159/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4125159/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[{"content":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-67244-x","type":"published","date":"2024-07-16T15:57:13+00:00"}],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":54262049,"identity":"9b6fcd6e-f1a3-458c-8df3-6f243b509cb5","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2024-04-08 03:33:07","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":1303776,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"biomerev.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-4125159/v1_covered_46589a8d-6569-45a4-88fd-0d2836024ef9.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Spatial Heterogeneity in Climate Change: Evidence from Brazilian Biomes","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":false,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Climate change, Spatial Heterogeneity, Spatio-temporal models, Structural time series, Local climate Change","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4125159/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4125159/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eWe present a methodology designed to study the spatial heterogeneity of climate change. Our approach involves decomposing the observed changes in temperature patterns into multiple trend, cycle, and seasonal components within spatio-temporal models. We apply this method to test the hypothesis of a global long-term temperature trend against multiple trends in distinct biomes. Applying this methodology, we delve into the examination of heterogeneity of climate change in Brazil — a country characterized by a spectrum of climate zones. The findings challenge the notion of a global trend, revealing the presence of distinct trends in warming effects, and more accelerated trends for the Amazon and Cerrado biomes, indicating a composition between global warming and deforestation in determining changes in permanent temperature patterns.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Spatial Heterogeneity in Climate Change: Evidence from Brazilian Biomes","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2024-04-08 03:24:58","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4125159/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Revision requested","date":"2024-05-14T17:34:16+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-05-13T19:11:20+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-04-30T16:27:16+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"7aa864b3-a473-4b5c-bf07-1222cc4b136b","date":"2024-04-23T11:59:24+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"80f1cb7d-5ce6-4379-a6d0-a5fe1b7569a8","date":"2024-04-22T19:40:53+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2024-04-22T19:30:44+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2024-04-22T19:27:12+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvited","content":"","date":"2024-04-10T12:25:07+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2024-04-10T05:25:57+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Scientific Reports","date":"2024-03-18T17:39:07+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"1056e252-8a6d-4571-a8ae-dc6ac18eb321","owner":[],"postedDate":"April 8th, 2024","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"published-in-journal","subjectAreas":[{"id":29996531,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences"},{"id":29996532,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Atmospheric science"},{"id":29996533,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental sciences/Environmental impact"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2024-08-01T17:12:58+00:00","versionOfRecord":{"articleIdentity":"rs-4125159","link":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-67244-x","journal":{"identity":"scientific-reports","isVorOnly":false,"title":"Scientific Reports"},"publishedOn":"2024-07-16 15:57:13","publishedOnDateReadable":"July 16th, 2024"},"versionCreatedAt":"2024-04-08 03:24:58","video":"","vorDoi":"10.1038/s41598-024-67244-x","vorDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-67244-x","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-4125159","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-4125159","identity":"rs-4125159","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"qtupq5eGEP_6zYnWcrvyt","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}