The predator activity landscape predicts the anti-predator behavior and distribution of prey in a tundra community

Predation shapes communities through consumptive and non-consumptive effects, where in the latter prey respond to perceived predation risk through risk management strategies occurring at different spatial and temporal scales. The landscape of fear concept is useful to better understand how predation risk affects prey behavioral decisions and distribution, and more generally the spatial dimension of predator-prey relationships. We assessed the effects of the predation risk landscape in a terrestrial Arctic community, where arctic fox is the main predator of ground-nesting bird species. Using high frequency GPS data, we developed a predator activity landscape resulting from fox space use patterns, and validated with an artificial prey experiment that it generated a predation risk landscape. We then investigated the effects of the fox activity landscape on multiple prey, by assessing the anti-predator behavior of a primary prey (snow goose) and the nest distribution of several incidental prey. Areas highly used by foxes were associated with a stronger level of nest defense by snow geese. We further found a lower probability of occurrence of incidental prey nests in areas highly used by foxes, but only for species nesting in habitats easily accessible to foxes. Species nesting in refuges consisting of micro-habitats limiting fox accessibility, like islets, did not respond to the fox activity landscape. Consistent with the scale of the fox activity landscape, this result reflected the capacity of refuges to allow bird nesting without regard to predation risk in the surrounding area. We demonstrated the value of using predator space use patterns to infer spatial variation in predation risk and better understand its effects on prey in landscape of fear studies. We also exposed the diversity of prey risk management strategies, hence refining our understanding of the mechanisms driving species distribution and community structure.