Resilience to Shocks and Food Insecurity in Developing Countries: Evidence from Chicken-rearing Households in Nigeria

Resilience to Shocks and Food Insecurity in Developing Countries: Evidence from Chicken-rearing Households in Nigeria | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Resilience to Shocks and Food Insecurity in Developing Countries: Evidence from Chicken-rearing Households in Nigeria Nathaniel Siji Olutegbe, Ufedo Monday Shaibu, Peace Oghenegare Akuwa, and 12 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-6148794/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 20 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Despite the prevalence of internal stressors, including climatic, economic, and disease-related challenges that threaten the consistent availability of local poultry products, existing studies have largely concentrated on external shocks, leaving the resilience to internal shocks among chicken-rearing households under-researched. This study addresses this gap by examining the resilience of chicken-rearing households in Nigeria and its implications for food security. Primary data from 2,007 households were analyzed using the FAO's Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis (RIMA II) framework, employing the Factor Analysis and Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC) model. Key shocks identified include high feed costs (78.77%), high fuel costs (67.12%), and high input costs (46.19%). Agricultural market distance (0.548), formal education (0.590), number of ox ploughs owned (0.444), and participation in information organizations (-0.022) were major contributors to household resilience capacity. Resilience was stronger in the south (86.22%) and urban areas (81.86%) compared to the north (70.00%) and rural areas (75.90%). Despite current resilience strategies, the study reveals that food insecurity remains widespread (98.69%) among chicken-rearing households. MIMIC model estimates indicate that resilience capacity, high fuel costs, and social safety nets significantly reduce food security. While access to basic services positively affected food expenditure, it negatively influenced dietary diversity. Conclusively, addressing high input costs, market volatility, and security challenges through targeted interventions, redesigned safety nets, and enhanced asset-building and educational programmes are essential for improving resilience and food security among households in Nigeria. Chicken-rearing households FAO-RIMA II food Insecurity MIMIC Model resilience shocks Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 10 Oct, 2025 Reviews received at journal 13 Jun, 2025 Reviews received at journal 09 Jun, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 04 Jun, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 03 Jun, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 31 May, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 May, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 May, 2025 Reviews received at journal 12 May, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 11 May, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 09 May, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 13 Apr, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 13 Apr, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 11 Apr, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 03 Apr, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 02 Apr, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 02 Apr, 2025 Editor invited by journal 24 Mar, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 21 Mar, 2025 First submitted to journal 21 Mar, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-6148794","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":445578956,"identity":"85c8aafe-af27-4047-b9e3-91bd8d2a80d6","order_by":0,"name":"Nathaniel Siji Olutegbe","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Ibadan","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Nathaniel","middleName":"Siji","lastName":"Olutegbe","suffix":""},{"id":445578957,"identity":"0788cf01-0762-4e08-80fa-804c3ec17d02","order_by":1,"name":"Ufedo Monday 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