Synthetic Participants Generated by Large Language Models: A Systematic Literature Review

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Abstract In recent years, the prospect of Large Language Models (LLMs) for simulating participants within various research and data collection methods has been interrogated extensively. Its proponents cite aspirational promises, including high flexibility, adaptability, better representation and reduced research costs, all by leveraging the encoded wisdom of the internet crowd. Empirical studies paint a more nuanced but fragmented picture, with mixed results, heterogeneous methods and a saturation of different perspectives. In this systematic literature review, we delineate a clear and comprehensive conceptual understanding of LLM-generated participants and their comparative relationship to human samples. We synthesize the findings from 182 studies, obtained through a hybrid database and reference search, followed by a rigorous quality curation. Grounded in generalizable indicators, we present a standardized categorization of four fundamental issues that impact synthetic participants across diverse types of simulations – cognitive misalignments, distortions, misleading believability, and overfitting/contamination. Despite the survey revealing integrations of different LLMs, prompt engineering techniques, and participant or environment modeling methods, the fidelity improvements they demonstrated remain modest. At their most representative, LLMs may stochastically parrot data they were pre-trained on or fine-tuned with. To set appropriate expectations, explain their limitations and inform future applications, we propose the framing of synthetic participants as heuristic-like. Additionally, we discuss evaluation measures, specific supplemental roles that synthetic participants can be valid for, the underexplored potential of augmentative approaches, as well as a critical professional, social and ethical consideration of simulated insights.
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Synthetic Participants Generated by Large Language Models: A Systematic Literature Review | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Systematic Review Synthetic Participants Generated by Large Language Models: A Systematic Literature Review Eduard Kuric, Peter Demcak, Matus Krajcovic This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-9057643/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract In recent years, the prospect of Large Language Models (LLMs) for simulating participants within various research and data collection methods has been interrogated extensively. Its proponents cite aspirational promises, including high flexibility, adaptability, better representation and reduced research costs, all by leveraging the encoded wisdom of the internet crowd. Empirical studies paint a more nuanced but fragmented picture, with mixed results, heterogeneous methods and a saturation of different perspectives. In this systematic literature review, we delineate a clear and comprehensive conceptual understanding of LLM-generated participants and their comparative relationship to human samples. We synthesize the findings from 182 studies, obtained through a hybrid database and reference search, followed by a rigorous quality curation. Grounded in generalizable indicators, we present a standardized categorization of four fundamental issues that impact synthetic participants across diverse types of simulations – cognitive misalignments, distortions, misleading believability, and overfitting/contamination. Despite the survey revealing integrations of different LLMs, prompt engineering techniques, and participant or environment modeling methods, the fidelity improvements they demonstrated remain modest. At their most representative, LLMs may stochastically parrot data they were pre-trained on or fine-tuned with. To set appropriate expectations, explain their limitations and inform future applications, we propose the framing of synthetic participants as heuristic-like. Additionally, we discuss evaluation measures, specific supplemental roles that synthetic participants can be valid for, the underexplored potential of augmentative approaches, as well as a critical professional, social and ethical consideration of simulated insights. Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning synthetic participants large language models participant simulation prompt engineering participant modeling algorithmic fidelity Full Text Additional Declarations The authors declare no competing interests. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. 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