Energetic benefits of differential migration strategies shift under climate change for a migratory bird

Abstract Understanding how migratory birds balance energetic costs of movement with wintering benefits requires quantifying their energy expenditure across the full annual cycle. Here, we present a novel approach to reconstruct annual energy budget from multi-sensor geolocator data on atmospheric pressure and activity. We apply this method to tracking data of Eurasian Wrynecks from a European breeding population exhibiting striking variation in migration distance: short-distance migration to southern Europe, medium-distance to northern Africa, and long-distance to sub-Saharan Africa. Long-distance migrants had 21-26% lower annual energy expenditure than shorter-distance migrants, primarily due to reduced thermoregulation costs during boreal winter. However, they faced extreme physiological demands during migration, with daily energy expenditure exceeding 9.5 times basal metabolic rate. Since 1950, climate warming has progressively reduced winter thermoregulation demands disproportionately benefiting and potentially promoting shorter-distance strategies. These results reveal shifting energetic trade-offs under climate change, potentially driving evolution of migration patterns. Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. Footnotes Competing Interest Statement: The authors declare no competing interest.