Understanding Household Evacuation Preferences during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Puerto Rico

The added threat from a pandemic creates a complex dilemma for households that are also facing evacuation decisions during natural disasters. This paper characterizes household concerns and evacuation preferences in the context of both hurricanes and pandemic risks. We conducted a survey of 504 households across 119 different zip code areas in Puerto Rico impacted by Hurricane Maria (2017). The households were asked to make a choice between staying isolated at home or evacuating with or without isolation in the event of a future hurricane threat during a pandemic. Our findings reveal that households, in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, expressed greater concern about the risks associated with a pandemic compared to those related to hurricanes, and that there is a risk-risk trade-off when making the critical evacuation decision. In addition to hurricane-related concerns, past evacuation experiences, and the consideration of evacuation costs, we find that evacuation preferences are heterogeneous across age, gender, and ethnic groups, and are also driven by perceptions of infection risks and attitudes towards social distancing. Our research aims to provide valuable insights to help develop effective responses and preparations for coastal hurricanes that consider the complexities of multiple hazards and health risks.