Age-specific associations of blood pressure variability with cardiovascular disease and mortality: 10-year Diabetes cohort study

Abstract Background: This study evaluated the age-specific association of systolic blood pressure variability with cardiovascular disease and mortality in Type-2 diabetic patients. The detrimental effects of increased systolic blood pressure variability on cardiovascular disease and mortality risk in diabetic patients remains unclear. Methods: A retrospective cohort study investigated 155,982 diabetic patients aged from 45 to 84 years old without prior history of cardiovascular disease at baseline from 2008 to 2010). systolic blood pressure variability was estimated using systolic blood pressure standard deviation from mixed effects model to reduce regression dilution bias. Age-specific associations (45-54; 55-64; 65-74; 75-84 years) between systolic blood pressure variability, cardiovascular disease and mortality risk were assessed by Cox regression adjusted for patient characteristics with subgroups stratified by subject baseline characteristics. Results: After a median follow-up of 9.7 years (16.4 million person-years), 49,816 events (including 34,039 events with and 29,211 mortalities) were identified. Elevated and independent systolic blood pressure variability was positively and log-linearly associated with higher risk on cardiovascular disease and mortality among all age groups, without evidence of a specific threshold. The cardiovascular disease and mortality risk per 5mmHg increase in systolic blood pressure variability within 45-54 years age group is over three times higher than the 70-79 years age group [Hazard Ratio: 1.66 (1.49, 1.85) vs. Hazard Ratio: 1.19 (1.15, 1.23)]. The significant associations remained consistent among all subgroups. Patients with younger age, lower systolic blood pressure and comorbidity with more types of anti-hypertensive prescription drug users had higher hazard ratios. Conclusions: The findings suggest that systolic blood pressure variability was strongly associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality risk without evidence of a specific threshold in diabetic population. In addition to optimize blood pressure control, the systolic blood pressure variability particularly for younger patients should be monitored and evaluated in routine practice.