Analysis of the Capital Structure of Latin American Companies in Light of Trade-Off and Pecking Order Theories

The study of capital structure is one of the most relevant topics in finance because, despite the various theories that seek to explain it, there is still no consensus on the determining factors or the behavior of financing decisions in companies. This study empirically analyzes the capital structure decisions of Latin American companies during the period 2013–2023 in light of trade-off and pecking order theories. A panel data methodology is applied to 62 companies, using fixed and random effects models. The results show that, on average, companies correct around 5.80% of the gap between their current and optimal level of indebtedness per period, partially supporting the trade-off theory. However, the effects of the financial deficit on indebtedness are heterogeneous and, in most cases, inconsistent with the pecking order theory, especially in countries such as Colombia. It is concluded that country risk has a marginal influence on debt decisions, and the need to consider each country's institutional and market particularities when analyzing the dynamics of capital structure in emerging economies is emphasized.