Effect of Eligibility Criteria on Patients’ Survival and Serious Adverse Events in Colorectal Cancer Drug Trials

This study investigates the impact of clinical trial eligibility criteria on patient survival and serious adverse events (SAEs) in colorectal cancer (CRC) drug trials using real-world data. We utilized the OneFlorida+ network’s data repository, conducting a retrospective analysis of CRC patients receiving FDA-approved first-line metastatic treatments. Propensity score matching created balanced case-control groups, which were evaluated using survival analysis and machine learning algorithms to assess the effects of eligibility criteria. Our study included 68,375 patients, with matched case-control groups comprising 1,126 patients each. Survival analysis revealed ethnicity and race, along with specific medical history (eligibility criteria), as significant survival outcome predictors. Machine learning models, particularly the XgBoost regressor, were employed to analyze SAEs, indicating that age and study groups were notable factors in SAEs occurrence. The study’s findings highlight the importance of considering patient demographics and medical history in CRC trial designs.