Oestrogen deficiency during menopause
is associated with a number of different
symptoms, including vasomotor symptoms
such as hot flashes and night sweats;
psychological effects, such as sleep
disturbances, anxiety, and mood changes;
physical discomfort, such as joint and
muscle pain; and genitourinary symptoms.1
It has also been shown that women with
symptoms of menopause tend to have a
lower health-related quality of life and an
increased need for healthcare services
compared with women without symptoms.1
Menopausal symptoms may be relieved
by counteracting falling oestrogen levels
through the use of MHT.1 However, despite
the evidence supporting the use of MHT,
uptake of this therapy remains low, with
many women expressing ongoing concerns
about adopting MHT.1,2 This is largely
a legacy of the 2002 Women’s Health
Initiative (WHI) study of CEE/MPA in post-
menopausal women, which was terminated
prematurely due to an increased risk of
breast cancer with no improvement in
cardiovascular risk.3 In the years since the
early discontinuation of the WHI study,
progress has been made in understanding
the risk–benefit profile of MHT in terms of
its timing and duration of use, and also in
how body-identical MHT may offer benefits
over conventional non-body-identical MHT.1
Several international societies recognise
MHT as an effective option for alleviating
menopausal symptoms by addressing
declining oestrogen levels.1,4-7 Women
with an intact uterus are recommended
to receive MHT in the form of oestrogen
combined with a progestogen to protect
the uterus from endometrial cancer, while
women who have had a hysterectomy are
prescribed oestrogen alone.1
This symposium explored the importance
of tailoring MHT to the needs of individual
women, including the impact of type of
progesterone on cardiovascular risk.
Meeting Summary
This article summarises a Theramex-sponsored symposium delivered on 9th
May 2024 as part of the International Society of Gynecological Endocrinology (ISGE)
Congress in Florence, Italy, between 8th–11th May 2024. A distinguished panel of
experts elaborated on different aspects of cardiovascular health in women receiving
menopausal hormone therapy (MHT). Rossella Nappi, Research Center for Reproductive
Medicine and Gynecologic Endocrinology–Menopause Unit, IRCCS San Matteo
Foundation, University of Pavia, Italy, chaired and opened the symposium with an
overview of cardiovascular risk in women, particularly during the menopause transition,
and described the benefit of oestrogen in mitigating cardiovascular risk. She was
followed by Katrin Schaudig, Center for Gynecologic Endocrinology, Hormone Hamburg,
Germany, who explained the importance of the choice of progestogen and the route
of oestrogen administration in combined MHT in terms of risk of cardiovascular and
other events. The final talk was given by Petra Stute, Gynecologic Endocrinology and
Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinic
Inselspital Bern, Switzerland, who presented recent real-world data from the USA
database to describe the risk of major cardiovascular events (MACE) in menopausal
women treated with oral oestradiol/micronised progesterone in comparison to
conjugated equine oestrogen (CEE) plus medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA).
Support: This is a promotional article funded and reviewed by Theramex,
based on an industry-sponsored symposium at the
ISGE 2024 Congress.
Symposium review
PHARMA
PARTNERSHIP
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Menopause and
Cardiovascular Disease
Nappi presented 2020 US mortality data
to show that, although heart disease and
stroke currently claim more lives each year
than cancer and chronic lower respiratory
disease combined,8 there was a reduction
in the percentage of US women identifying
heart disease/heart attack as the leading
cause of death between 2009–2019, but
an increase in those identifying cancer
and breast cancer as leading causes.9
Declining oestrogen levels and increased
abdominal fat in postmenopausal women
lead to unfavourable metabolic changes,
resulting in increased cardiovascular
risk.10 In particular, there is a significant
acceleration in cardiovascular risk over the
course of the menopause transition when
levels of oestrogen are declining, with the
rate of events increasing beyond what
would be expected for chronological ageing
alone.11 During this phase of a woman’s life,
cardiometabolic changes can be separated
into those associated with chronological
ageing and those that are due to ovarian
ageing, or a combination of the two.12
Certain categories of women, including
those with elevated BMI, increased waist
circumference, unfavourable metabolic
profile, hypertension, and unchanged cycle
length over the menopausal transition, have
a higher risk of cardiovascular disease.10 In
addition, the Framingham study showed
that those entering menopause before the
age of 40 years had a four-times increased
risk of cardiovascular disease,13 and a
pooled analysis of 301,438 women showed
that women with menopause before the
age of 40 years had a significantly higher
risk of cardiovascular disease compared
with those who had menopause at age
50–51 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.55; 95% CI:
1.38–1.73; p<0·0001).14 Women with obesity
also have a 64% increased risk of coronary
heart disease compared with 46% among
men who are obese, and female smokers
have a 25% greater risk of cardiovascular
disease.15
These findings highlight the importance of
ascertaining a full medical history to assess
overall lifelong cardiovascular health in
order to identify women with higher risks
at menopause.16,17 The Lancet Women and
Cardiovascular Disease Commission issued
recommendations to reduce the global
burden of cardiovascular disease across the
entire lifespan of women by 2030, focusing
on sex-specific differences in cardiovascular
risk factors.18,19
Menopausal Hormone Therapy
Benefits and Risks: The Choice
of Progestogens Matters
Schaudig began her presentation by
noting that MHT may offer both short-term
benefits, including relief of menopause
symptoms, as well as possible long-term
benefits, including protection against
osteoporosis-related fractures.4 She
highlighted that, for women with an intact
uterus, MHT needs to be a combination
of oestrogen and progestogen to protect
against endometrial cancer.3,20,21
Schaudig noted that the route of
administration of oestrogen has an impact
on risk of adverse outcomes with MHT.
Four separate studies reported a lower
risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE)
with transdermal oestradiol compared
with oral oestradiol,22-25 while a case-
control study showed an increased risk
of ischaemic stroke with oral but not with
transdermal oestrogens.26 Furthermore, the
2020 recommendations from the British
Menopause Society (BMS) and Women’s
Health Concern (WHC) on hormone
replacement therapy in menopausal women
explicitly recommend the use of transdermal
oestradiol to mitigate the risk of VTE and
stroke in women with related risk factors.27
As well as the route of administration
of oestrogen, the type of progestogen
also appears to affect the risk of adverse
outcomes. A large number of different
types of progestogen are available, each
with a distinct biological and clinical profile
depending on its tissue concentration
and receptor-binding affinity.28 The WHI
evaluated the effects of CEE plus MPA
versus placebo among 16,608 post-
Symposium Review
CC BY-NC 4.0 Licence ● Copyright © 2025 EMJ ● March 2025 ● Reproductive Health 5
menopausal women aged between 50–79
years in the USA.3 The study showed that
absolute excess risks per 10,000 women-
years attributable to CEE plus MPA were
seven more coronary heart disease events,
eight more strokes, eight more pulmonary
embolisms (PE), and eight more invasive
breast cancers, with decreases in the
number of events per 10,000 women-
years in colorectal cancers (six fewer) and
hip fractures (five fewer), compared with
placebo.3 A subsequent subgroup analysis
showed that the risk–benefit profile of CEE
alone was favourable for all outcomes except
VTE and stroke, including a decreased
number of breast cancer events.29,30
As described earlier, the WHI also
showed an increased risk of deep vein
thrombosis and PE with CEE plus MPA
versus placebo,3 while the addition of
micronised progesterone to transdermal
oestradiol does not appear to increase
the risk of VTE.22 The case-control study
described earlier showed an increased
risk of ischaemic stroke with norpregnane
derivatives in combined MHT, but not
with progesterone, pregnane derivatives,
or nortestosterone derivatives.26
Finally, evidence from the French case-
control study ESTHER (Estrogen and
Thromboembolism Risk) and the French
E3N cohort study showed that, unlike
progesterone and pregnane derivatives,
use of norpregnane derivatives in oral MHT
increased risk of venous thromboembolism
in post-menopausal women.31
Type of progestogen also appears to have
an impact on breast cancer risk. The E3N
Study reported an HR for development of
invasive breast cancer following at least
5 years of treatment with oestrogen plus
synthetic progestogen of 2.02 (95% CI:
1.81–2.26) compared with 1.31 (95% CI: 1.15–
1.48) for micronised progesterone, which
is chemically and biologically identical to
endogenous progesterone.32 This suggests
that using micronised progesterone with
oestradiol may have a different risk profile
for breast cancer compared to synthetic
progestogens.32 The difference in breast
cancer risk between MPA and MP in
combination with oestrogen has further
been confirmed in meta-analyses up to 5
years33 and a randomised controlled trial
with a median follow-up of 5 years.34
An additional potential benefit of oral
micronised progesterone is promoting
quality sleep in menopausal women. In
randomised controlled trials predominantly
enrolling post-menopausal women, oral
administration of micronised progesterone
had a measurable benefit on various
sleep outcomes, possibly as a result of its
gamma-aminobutyric acid type A (GABA)
receptor-modulation activity.35
Because the route of oestrogen
administration and choice of progestogen
both have such a profound impact on patient
outcomes, it is essential to individualise
therapy such that it is tailored to patient risk
factors, comorbidities, and family history.
As progestogens are essential in MHT for
menopausal women with a uterus to prevent
endometrial hyperplasia and reduce cancer
risks, it is important to select a progestogen
with a favourable safety profile.22 Micronised
progesterone appears to be an optimal
choice for women in special situations,
such as in the presence of cardiovascular
disease, high-density breast tissue, obesity,
and risk of VTE.36 Furthermore, the use of a
transdermal oestrogen should be considered
in women with related risk factors, such
as a history of VTE, uncontrolled diabetes,
hypertension, or obesity.36
Real-world Evidence: Incidence
of Cardiovascular Major Adverse
Events of Oestradiol/Micronised
Progesterone in Comparison with
Conjugated Equine Oestrogen/
Medroxyprogesterone Acetate
Stute reminded the audience that the WHI
showed an increased risk of cardiovascular
diseases and VTE with CEE/MPA compared
with placebo.3 However, she noted that we
now have a much greater understanding
of the importance of the choice of
progestogen on cardiovascular risk, and
observed that micronised progesterone
has a different safety profile compared
to synthetic progestins such as MPA.37
The Phase III randomised double-blind
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placebo-controlled study investigating a
single oral capsule of oestradiol/micronised
progesterone combined MHT (E2/P4)
showed no clinically significant changes
in coagulation or metabolic parameters
for E2/P4 compared with placebo over
12 months of observation.38,39 A 2023
study of 36,061 women, in which the
analyses were weighted by the inverse
probability of treatment for control of
potential confounding factors, showed a
significantly lower incidence of VTE for
oral E2/P4 compared with oral CEE/MPA.40
However, data comparing E2/P4 with CEE/
MPA on the risk of MACE incidence are
currently lacking. Therefore, the first head-
to-head retrospective, longitudinal study
of MACE incidence in menopausal women
treated with E2/P4 versus CEE/MPA was
undertaken, with the results reported for
the first time at the symposium.41
The study was a retrospective observational
investigation assessing claims from a US
database capturing data between April
2019–June 2021. This large study included
around 36,000 women treated with
17β-oestradiol E2/micronised progesterone
P4 (E2/P4) (combined body-identical MHT)
or CEE/MPA in a real-world setting, and
followed the same design as the previous
study investigating the rate of VTE with
E2/P4 compared with CEE/MPA (Figure 1)
(Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).40,41
Women were eligible for the study if they
were aged at least 40 years, with at least
one prescription for E2/P4 or CEE/MPA.
Women were required to have at least one
medical claim and at least one pharmacy
claim before the index date, as well as
no hospitalisation with a MACE diagnosis
(acute myocardial infarction [ICD-10
diagnosis codes: I21.x, I22.x, or procedure
code for revascularisation procedure];
ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke [ICD-10
diagnosis codes: I61.x, I62.x, I63.x, I64.x]; or
heart failure [ICD-10 diagnosis codes: I50.x,
excluding I50.x2 and I50.8x]). Women were
excluded if they had had a MACE event
in the baseline period or before the index
date, or had switched from E2/P4 to CEE/
MPA or from CEE/MPA to E2/P4 in the 6
months following the index date (Stevenson
et al., Unpublished data).
*Earliest of index treatment from E2/P4 to CEE/MPA, or from CEE/MPA to E2/P4, data cut-off date, or end
of clinical activity.†
†Pharmacy-based activity was defined as no gap ≥12 months between two prescription claims (for hormone
therapy or other drugs); medical-based activity was defined as no gap ≥12 months between two medical claims.
CEE: conjugated equine oestrogen; E2: oestradiol; MACE: major adverse cardiovascular events;
MPA: medroxyprogesterone acetate; P4: micronised progesterone.
Figure 1: Study design: retrospective observational study of US claims database (major adverse cardiovascular
events study) (Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).
CEE/MPA cohort (n= 29,426
E2/P4 cohort (n=6,520
6 months continuous clinical activity†
BASELINE PERIOD
First MACE event
OBSERVATION PERIOD
Data end
June 2021
INDEX DATE
(first dispensing of
E2/P4 or CEE/MPA
Patient’s first
claim in the data
End of
observation*
Data start
April 2019
1 pharmacy claim
1 medical claim
No MACE
Patient characteristics
Symposium Review
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An inverse probability of treatment
weighting (IPTW) analysis of the baseline
characteristics of the MACE study revealed
that the mean age of the women was
54.7–55.8 years, and a high proportion of
participants had cardiovascular disease
(39.7–41.9%), diabetes (10.7–11.1%), or
hypercholesterolaemia (28.1–29.4%) at
baseline (Stevenson et al., Unpublished
data). Approximately 60% of women in
both groups were taking treatment for
sleep disorders, depression, or anxiety,
and around 40% were taking analgesics
or relaxants in the post-IPTW analysis
(Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).
The results indicated that women
treated with E2/P4 had a significantly
lower risk of MACE events by 72%
compared with CEE/MPA (p<0.05; Figure
2) (Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).
Analysis of the number of MACE events
per 10,000 women/year showed an early
divergence of the two rates curves.
*Statistically significant at p<0.05.
CEE: conjugated equine oestrogen; E2: oestradiol; HR: hazard ratio (E2/P4 versus conjugated equine oestrogen/
medroxyprogesterone acetate); IPT: inverse probability treatment; IRR: incidence rate ratio (E2/P4 versus CEE/MPA);
KM: Kaplan-Meier; MPA: medroxyprogesterone acetate; P4: micronised progesterone; WY: women-years.
Figure 2: Major adverse cardiovascular events rates following inverse probability of treatment for oestrogen/
micronised progesterone versus conjugated equine oestrogen/medroxyprogesterone acetate (weighted analysis)
(Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).
Time Since Index Date
Post-IPT Weight
MACE cumulative incidence HR (95% CI)
E2/P4 Cohort CEE/MPA Cohort E2/P4 versus CEE/MPA
3 months 0.08% (0.03–0.23) 0.19% (0.14–0.25)
0.28 (0.17–0.46)*
6 months 0.12% (0.05–0.29) 0.37% (0.30–0.44)
12 months 0.32% (0.18–0.57) 0.78% (0.68–0.90)
24 months 0.36% (0.20–0.65) 1.79% (1.59–2.02)
A statistically significant difference was first detected 4 months after treatment initiated
(IPT-weighted HR censoring at 4 months: 0.34; 95% CI: 0.14–0.84*)
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
% of women
with a MACE event0.5%
0%
n=5,691 (E2/P4)
n=29,474 (CEE/MPA)
IPT-weighted CEE/MPA
IPT-weighted E2/P4
n=529 (E2/P4)
n=4,771 (CEE/MPA)
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
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The effect was consistent across individual
MACE outcomes, with significantly more
events in the CEE/MPA group than the E2/
P4 group for heart failure, acute myocardial
infarction, and stroke among women aged
over 40 years (Figure 3) (Stevenson et
al., Unpublished data). The effect was
also consistent across all age subgroups,
although a greater difference in the rate of
MACE between the two treatment groups
was apparent among older women, with
IPTW analyses stratified by age showing
higher MACE event rates in women aged
60–79 years than those aged 40–59 years
(MACE events per 10,000 women-years:
39.5 versus 23.9 for E2/P4 and 145.8 versus
61.6 for CEE/MPA, respectively) (Stevenson
et al., Unpublished data).
In terms of the earlier VTE study, baseline
characteristics revealed that despite the
relatively young age of patients in both
cohorts (mean age: 54.9–55.9 years), there
was a high incidence of cardiovascular
disease (40.9–42.1%), diabetes (11.2–11.3%),
hypercholesterolaemia (28.7–29.6%), and
obesity (9.8–11.0%).40 A post-IPTW analysis
revealed that VTE rates were statistically
lower for E2/P4 compared with CEE/MPA
(IPTW HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.53–0.92).40
It should be noted that there are a number
of limitations associated with the real-
world studies, including the fact that
administrative claim databases may
contain errors or omissions in codes for
diagnoses, dispensation, or procedures
(Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).40,42-44
Furthermore, MACE events may have been
underestimated because the date of death
is not captured in the data, while the rate of
VTE events may be underestimated as only
the first VTE event after the index date was
counted in the analyses due to difficulties
*MACE event indexed to person-time post-index date; first MACE event included in the rate numerator;
women-time up to first event or until end of observation was included in the denominator.
CEE: conjugated equine oestrogen; E2: oestradiol; IPT: inverse probability treatment; IRR: incidence rate ratio
(E2/P4 versus CEE/MPA) (estimated from IPTW Poisson/negative binomial regression models); MACE: major adverse
cardiovascular events; MPA: medroxyprogesterone acetate; P4: micronised progesterone; WY: women-years.
Figure 3: Major adverse cardiovascular events rates following inverse probability of treatment for oestrogen/
micronised progesterone versus conjugated equine oestrogen/medroxyprogesterone acetate by individual event
(weighted analysis) (Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).
9.3
5.5
9.6
29.2
24.9
40.5
9.3
5.5
9.6
29.2
24.9
40.5
Symposium Review
Adverse events should be reported. Reporting forms and information can be found at www.mhra.gov.uk/yellowcard or
search for MHRA Yellow card in the Google Play or Apple App store.
Adverse events should also be reported to Theramex on
[email protected] or Tel: +44 (0)333 0096795
CC BY-NC 4.0 Licence ● Copyright © 2025 EMJ ● March 2025 ● Reproductive Health 9
in separating new VTE events from
subsequent visits for VTE follow-up in the
claims data (Stevenson et al., Unpublished
data). Finally, residual confounding may
have occurred from MACE and VTE
risk factors not available in claims data
(Stevenson et al., Unpublished data).40
Stute concluded that the new real-world
data on MACE rates combined with earlier
VTE data demonstrate a statistically
significant reduction in the rate of MACE
events and VTE events associated with
E2/P4 compared with CEE/MPA in clinical
practice (Stevenson et al., Unpublished
data).40 Although further studies are needed
to explore this hypothesis, these results
highlight the importance of choosing an
optimum progestogen with a favourable
safety profile as part of combined MHT,
and in tailoring treatment to ensure the
best outcomes for women.