Machine Learning for the Educational Sciences

Classical statistical methods are limited in the analysis of highdimensional datasets. Machine learning (ML) provides a powerful framework for prediction by using complex relationships, often encountered in modern data with a large number of variables, cases and potentially non-linear effects. ML has turned into one of the most influential analytical approaches of this millennium and has recently become popular in the behavioral and social sciences. The impact of ML methods on research and practical applications in the educational sciences is still limited, but continuously grows as larger and more complex datasets become available through massive open online courses (MOOCs) and large scale investigations.The educational sciences are at a crucial pivot point, because of the anticipated impact ML methods hold for the field. Here, we review the opportunities and challenges of ML for the educational sciences, show how a look at related disciplines can help learning from their experiences, and argue for a philosophical shift in model evaluation. We demonstrate how the overall quality of data analysis in educational research can benefit from these methods and show how ML can play a decisive role in the validation of empirical models. In this review, we (1) provide an overview of the types of data suitable for ML, (2) give practical advice for the application of ML methods, and (3) show how ML-based tools and applications can be used to enhance the quality of education. Additionally we provide practical R code with exemplary analyses, available at https: //osf.io/ntre9/?view only=d29ae7cf59d34e8293f4c6bbde3e4ab2.