Carbon Neutrality by 2060 Is Critical for Survival of Tibetan Plateau’s Largest Glacier | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Brief Communication Carbon Neutrality by 2060 Is Critical for Survival of Tibetan Plateau’s Largest Glacier Keqin Duan, Qiong Wang, Jinping He, Shanshan Ren, Junhua Yang, and 3 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7728346/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 is crucial to preventing irreversible depletion of the Puruogangri Ice Field, the largest ice mass on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Delays beyond 2060 could trigger non-linear mass loss, revealing a climate tipping point at 2.3°C, equivalent to 2.0 °C global warming relative to 2000–2014. Our findings identify glacial survival thresholds and quantify the time window for climate action to avoid an ice-free TP. Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Cryospheric science Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Climate change/Climate-change impacts Full Text Additional Declarations There is NO Competing Interest. Supplementary Files SupplementaryInformation.docx Carbon Neutrality by 2060 Is Critical for Survival of Tibetan Plateau’s Largest Glacier Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7728346","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Brief Communication","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":521489126,"identity":"bfec0269-ad78-4627-81e0-e6c4862fbfac","order_by":0,"name":"Keqin Duan","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAAx0lEQVRIiWNgGAWjYBACCQYGAyBlA+WyEa8ljXQth0nQItmevE3i547z9ubSPQYMH8oOM/DPbsCvRZrnWZlk75nbiTvnnDFgnHHuMIPEnQP4tchJ5JhJ8LbdTjC4kWPAzNt2mMFAIoGwFsm/befswVr+EqNFGqhFmrftAOMGkBZGYrRI9jwrtpZtS07ccCOt4GDPuXQeiRsEtEgcT954822bHdBhyRsf/CizluOfQUALAwOSggNAzENIPaqWUTAKRsEoGAVYAQD58kBlFn7LTwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==","orcid":"","institution":"School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Keqin","middleName":"","lastName":"Duan","suffix":""},{"id":521489127,"identity":"2baeaa5e-646e-41d8-87e7-48361b832f3f","order_by":1,"name":"Qiong Wang","email":"","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0002-4532-2815","institution":"Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Qiong","middleName":"","lastName":"Wang","suffix":""},{"id":521489128,"identity":"4e87c3f0-c183-4388-a4da-f67efff85595","order_by":2,"name":"Jinping He","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Shaanxi Normal University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Jinping","middleName":"","lastName":"He","suffix":""},{"id":521489129,"identity":"32ed1dc1-092a-4fee-a6a2-133e25e338b8","order_by":3,"name":"Shanshan Ren","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Shanshan","middleName":"","lastName":"Ren","suffix":""},{"id":521489130,"identity":"9f7c7522-75df-46d1-87db-78505f2afe26","order_by":4,"name":"Junhua Yang","email":"","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6175-3036","institution":"","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Junhua","middleName":"","lastName":"Yang","suffix":""},{"id":521489131,"identity":"2a9dacd7-104b-4885-8c5c-ef29de2165cd","order_by":5,"name":"Wei Shang","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Shaanxi Normal University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Wei","middleName":"","lastName":"Shang","suffix":""},{"id":521489132,"identity":"0bc10fa4-b6c8-4207-81d3-04d0adc2f3fb","order_by":6,"name":"Peihong Shi","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Shaanxi Normal University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Peihong","middleName":"","lastName":"Shi","suffix":""},{"id":521489133,"identity":"12a664d9-28fc-4f14-bd63-63b24ee62645","order_by":7,"name":"Li Xin","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Shaanxi Normal University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Li","middleName":"","lastName":"Xin","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-09-27 12:15:10","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7728346/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7728346/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":92605517,"identity":"dddec0fa-e0c4-4197-a913-64cd159089d0","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-10-01 15:02:28","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":683874,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"Main.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7728346/v1_covered_1776019c-5f56-47a3-904f-bb90a719a513.pdf"},{"id":92459377,"identity":"fd41604e-d3d0-4812-8c0c-307102674e96","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-09-30 03:15:01","extension":"docx","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"supplement","size":2447888,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"Carbon Neutrality by 2060 Is Critical for Survival of Tibetan Plateau\u0026#x2019;s Largest Glacier","description":"","filename":"SupplementaryInformation.docx","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7728346/v1/394af1697ad0deedb7010222.docx"}],"financialInterests":"There is \u003cb\u003eNO\u003c/b\u003e Competing Interest.","formattedTitle":"Carbon Neutrality by 2060 Is Critical for Survival of Tibetan Plateau’s Largest Glacier","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"
[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7728346/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7728346/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"Achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 is crucial to preventing irreversible depletion of the Puruogangri Ice Field, the largest ice mass on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Delays beyond 2060 could trigger non-linear mass loss, revealing a climate tipping point at 2.3°C, equivalent to 2.0 °C global warming relative to 2000–2014. Our findings identify glacial survival thresholds and quantify the time window for climate action to avoid an ice-free TP.","manuscriptTitle":"Carbon Neutrality by 2060 Is Critical for Survival of Tibetan Plateau’s Largest Glacier","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2025-09-30 03:14:56","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7728346/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"
[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"e4924ef1-2abb-4891-913d-b6400fd1e9b3","owner":[],"postedDate":"September 30th, 2025","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[{"id":55433900,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Cryospheric science"},{"id":55433901,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Climate change/Climate-change impacts"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2025-10-01T15:01:37+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2025-09-30 03:14:56","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-7728346","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-7728346","identity":"rs-7728346","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}
Text is read by the "Ask this paper" AI Q&A widget below.
Extraction quality varies by source — PMC NXML preserves structure
cleanly, OA-HTML may include some navigation residue, and OA-PDF can
have broken hyphenation. The publisher copy
(via DOI)
is the canonical version.