Abstract
Importance
Information about the severity of Omicron is scarce.
Objective
To report the respective risk of ICU admission in patients hospitalized with Delta and Omicron
variants and to compare the characteristics and disease severity of critically ill patients infected
with both variants according to vaccination status.
Design
Analysis from the APHP database, called Reality, prospectively recording the following
information in consecutive patients admitted in the ICU for COVID -19: age, sex,
immunosuppression, vaccination, pneumonia, need for invasive mechanical ventilation, time
between symptom onset and ICU admission, and in -ICU mortality. Retrospective analysis on
an administrative database , “Système d’Information pour le Suivi des Victimes” (SI -VIC),
which lists hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
Setting
39 hospitals in the Paris area from APHP group.
Participants
Patients hospitalized from December 1, 2021 to January 18, 2022 for COVID-19.
Main outcomes and measures
Risk of ICU admission was evaluated in 3761 patients and Omicron cases were compared to
Delta cases in the ICU in 888 consecutive patients.
Results
On January 18, 45% of patients in the ICU and 63.8% of patients in conventional hospital units
were infected with the Omicron variant (p < 0.001). The risk of ICU admission with Omicron
was reduced by 64% than with Delta (9.3% versus 25.8% of cases, respectively, p < 0.001). In
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5
critically ill patients, 400 had the Delta variant, 229 the Omicron variant , 98 had an
uninformative variant screening test and 161 did not have information on variant screening test.
747 patients (84.1%) were admitted for pneumonia. Compared to patients infected with Delta,
Omicron patients were more vaccinated (p<0.001), even with 3 doses, more
immunocompromised (p<0.001), less admitted for pneumonia (p<0.001), especially when
vaccinated (62.1% in vaccinated versus 80.7% in unvaccinated, p<0.001), and less invasively
ventilated (p=0.02). Similar results were found in the subgroup of pneumonia but Omicron
cases were older. Unadjusted in-ICU mortality did not differ between Omicron and Delta cases,
neither in the overall population (20.0% versus 27.9%, p = 0.08), nor in patients with pneumonia
(31.6% versus 29.7%, respectively ) where adjusted in-ICU mortality did not differ according
to the variant (HR 1.43 95%CI [0.89;2.29], p=0.14).
Conclusion
and relevance
Compared to the Delta variant, the Omicron variant is less likely to result in ICU admission and
less likely to be associated with pneumonia. However, when patients with the Omicron variant
are admitted for pneumonia, the severity seems similar to that of patients with the Delta variant,
with more immunocompromised and vaccinated patients and no difference in adjusted in-ICU
mortality. Further studies are needed to confirm our results.
Key words: SARS-CoV-2, Omicron variant, intensive care unit, severity
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Introduction
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS -CoV-2) infection and the
resulting coronavirus disease 2019 (C OVID-19) have afflicted millions of people in a
worldwide pandemic. A new SARS-CoV-2 variant, B.1.1.529, has recently been reported, with
the first cases in Botswana and South Africa on November 11 and 14, 2021, respectively.1 On
November 26, 2021, B.1.1.529, named Omicron, was designated as a variant of concern by the
World Health Org anization (WHO). 2 The Omicron variant shares several mutations with
previous Alpha, Beta, and Gamma variants of concern , which immediately raised global
concerns about viral transmissibility, pathogenicity, and immune evasion. In the Paris region,
the Omicron variant represented 4·1% of daily cases on December 7, but 96·9% of cases 6
weeks later.3
Preliminary studies suggested that Omicron is less severe than other variants. Ferguson
et al. reported in the UK a 40% reduction in the risk of hospitalization4 for Omicron cases, while
Wolter et al. recently showed an 80% reduction in South Africa 5 with no difference in
developing severe disease in Omicron cases . In a preliminary report from the electronic
administration system of 49 acute care hospitals in South Africa, Maslo et al. suggested that
Omicron cases were also less likely to be admitted to the ICU and to receive mechanical
ventilation6. However, most of these results are based on administrative database s and are
strongly related to immun e status, including vaccination . Information is still lacking on the
characteristics and disease severity of patients admitted to the ICU with the Omicron variant,
and on the potential impact of vaccination on disease severity.
All patients admitted to ICUs of the APHP group have been prospectively monitored
for COVID-19 since July 2020, leading to a database of more than 7,000 patients. The aim of
this study was to compare the characteristics and disease severity of critically ill patients
infected with the Omicron and Delta variants according to vaccination status. As APHP also
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7
monitors admissions to general medical wards, a further aim was to report the respective risk
of ICU admission of patients hospitalized with the Delta and Omicron variants.
Methods
This study was approved by the ethic s and scientific committees of the APHP group
(CSE-21-32).
The number of patients admitted to ICUs and to general medical wards was collected
on a daily basis from the Système d’Information pour le Suivi des Victimes (SI-VIC) database,
which provides real-time data on COVID-19 patients hospitalized in French public and private
hospitals (https://www.data.gouv.fr) and was activated for the COVID-19 pandemic on March
13, 2020.7,8 As SI-VIC does not provide extensive clinical data on registered patients, in July
2020 we started collecting clinical, vaccinal and virological information from patients admitted
to ICUs of the APHP group in the APHP Reality registry.
RT-PCR positivity for SARS-CoV-2 and RT-PCR variant-specific screening tests from
patients admitted to ICUs and to general medical wards were collected from the laboratory
information system GLIMS® (CliniSy s, UK), a software and database shared by all but one
virology laboratory of the APHP hospitals. The screening test especially analyzed the following
mutations in the S ARS-CoV-2 spike protein: L452R (mutation C) and Δ69 -70 or N501Y , or
K417N (mutation D). Therefore, C1D0 correspond s to a possible Delta variant and C0D1
corresponds to a possible Omicron variant.9 Due to the virological distribution of SARS-CoV-
2 strains at the time of data analysis, virological results were expressed as Omicron, Delta, or
uninformative when screening was impossible , or gave no interpretable results (insufficient
viral load), and finally missing. No other variant was observed during the study period.
The Reality database was created in July 2020. It allows intensivists to enter consecutive
patients admitted to all the ICUs of APHP group for COVID -19 during the different waves .
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The f ollowing information is collected: age, sex, type of variant, immunosuppression10,
COVID-19 pneumonia as the reason for admission, time between symptom onset and ICU
admission, number of doses of vaccine and the type of vaccine (BNT162b2, mRNA -1273 or
other, mostly chAdOx1), invasive mechanical ventilation requirement and finally in-ICU
mortality in discharged patients. Only p atients with no dose of vaccine were considered
unvaccinated, as the natural immunity of patients with 1 dose was unknown.
Statistical analysis
The respective risk of being admitted to the ICU between December 1, 2021 and January
18, 2022 for Omicron and Delta cases was calculated from the population admitted to hospital
for COVID-19 using the administrative database SI-VIC and the laboratory information system
GLIMS. Respective characteristics of critically ill Omicron and Delta patients were determined
from patients prospectively entered in the Reality registry during the same period.
Categorical data were reported as number and percentage, and medians [Q2, Q3] were
reported for continuous data. Information that was not available was treated as missing and no
imputation was performed (data were excluded for group comparisons) . Percentages were
reported as percent of available data (excluding missing values). Comparisons were performed
using the Wilcoxon test for continuous variables and the Chi square test for percentages. A
survival analysis using a Cox model was performed in the subgroup of critically ill patients
with pneumonia including the following variables age, sex, type of variant,
immunosuppression, vaccination status and time between symptom onset and ICU admission.
The adjusted hazard ratio ( aHR) with its 95% confiden ce interval (95%CI) for the type of
variant was reported. A p < 0·05 was considered significant. Statistical analysis was conducted
in R (R Core Team 2022).
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Results
Results from the administrative database: risk of ICU admission
From December 1 to January 18, we identified 5140 patients positive for SARS-CoV-2
by RT-PCR. Among them, 1379 (26.8%) had uninformative variant information and 3761 were
positive for either the Delta (1376 patients) or Omicron (2385 patients) variant (Figure 1).
Among those 3761 patients, 287 (7.6%) were initially admitted to the ICU. Of the 1628 patients
initially admitted to a general medical ward, 292 (17.9%) were eventually transferred to the
ICU. Among the Delta cases (n=1376), 357 (25.9%) were admitted to the ICU, either initially
or after conventional hospitalization. By contrast, in Omicron cases (n=2385) there was a 64%
reduction in risk of ICU admission directly or after transfer from the ward (222 patients, 9.3%,
p < 0.001 versus Delta). The same significant result was observed among patients hospitalized
for more than 1 day on the ward, the risk of transfer to the ICU with Omicron being 51% of
that with Delta (20.7% for Omicron versus 42.2% for Delta, respectively, p<0.001). Finally,
1315/2385 (55.1%) of Omicron patients finally stay ed in the emergency department only and
were not admitted to the ICU or to a general medical ward, compared to 531/1376 (38.6%) for
Delta patients (p<0.001).
The respective dynamics of newly admitted patients per day and the overall number of
patients admitted to the ICU and to the general medical ward are reported in Figure 2. Among
patients hospitalized in the ICU for COVID-19 on January 18, 45.4% had an Omicron variant
and 37.9% a Delta variant. The respective values for conventional hospitalizations were 63.8%
and 10.4% (p < 0.001).
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Characteristics and disease severity of critically ill patients with Omicron compared to
the Delta variant from the prospective Reality database.
As shown in Table 1, 888 patients were included in Reality between December 1, 2021
and January 18, 2022. In 161 (18%) patients, we had no variant information. Among the 727
(82%) patients with variant information, 98 (13.5%) had an uninformative variant-screening
test (insufficient viral load), 400 (5 5%) had a Delta variant and 229 (31.5%) had an Omicron
variant. Age and sex were similar in Delta and Omicron cases, while with Omicron patients
were more immunocompromised (34.5% versus 14.8% for Delta, p < 0.001). No difference was
observed for time between symptom onset and ICU admission. Regarding vaccination status,
517 patients ( 58%) did not recei ve any injection of vaccine. Omicron infected patients were
more frequently vaccinated with at least one injection compared to Delta -positive patients
(57.7% versus 30.1%, respectively, p < 0.01). Differences between Delta and Omicron variant
were also observed for patients who received 2 or 3 injections (Table 1). In patients who had
at least 1 injection of vaccine, BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 was used in 83.5% and other vaccines
in 16.5% of cases, mostly chAdOx1 with no difference between the variant.
743 patients ( 83.7%) were admitted to the ICU for pneumonia, while such admission
was less frequent for Omicron cases (67.2% versus 94.8% for Delta, p < 0.001, risk reduction
of 29%, Table 1). In Omicron infected patients, pneumonia was significantly less frequent in
vaccinated than in unvaccinated patients (62.1 versus 80.7%, p < 0.001), while among the 60
Omicron infected patients who had 3 doses of vaccine, 43 (71.7%) were admitted for
pneumonia. A similar result, even less pronounced, was observed for Delta cases (p < 0.01 for
vaccinated versus unvaccinated patients, Table 1). Finally, Omicron cases were less frequently
invasively ventilat ed compared to Delta cases (41.0 % ver sus 51%, respectively, p = 0.02 ).
Among patients already discharged from the ICU on January 18, 2021 (80% of Delta cases and
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63.6% of Omicron cases), u nadjusted in-ICU mortality did not differ (20.0 % and 27.9% for
Omicron and Delta, respectively, p = 0.08).
In the subgroup of 743 patients admitted to the ICU with pneumonia, 379 had the Delta
variant and 154 the Omicron variant (Table 2). Omicron patients were significantly older (see
also Figure 3), more frequently admitted to the ICU in the 5 days following symptom onset (p
= 0.004) and less likely to be invasively ventilated (39% versus 50.4% for Delta, p 0.021). In -
ICU mortality did not differ in the 75% of patients already discharged on January 18, 2022
(80% of Delta cases were discharged and 63% of Omicro n cases), and aHR for the type of
variant was non-significant (1.43, 95%CI [0.89;2.29], p=0.14).
Discussion
We report the impact of the Omicron variant on ICU admission in patients with COVID-
19 hospitalized in the APHP group between December 1, 2021 and January 18, 2022. Omicron
patients were 64% less likely to be admitted to the ICU than Delta patients, and more than one
half of Omicron infected patients stayed in the emergency department, compared to 39% of
Delta infected patients. The rate of increase in patients admitted to the ICU and to the general
medical ward showed a faster impact of Omicron on conventional hospitalization than on ICU
admission, and Omicron tended to replace Delta more rapidly in the general medical ward than
in the ICU. Such results were already suggested from observations in the UK and South
Africa.4,5 On the other hand, we are able to report that almost one-third of patients hospitalized
in the ICU of the APHP group between December 1, 2020 and January 18, 2021 already had
the Omicron variant, with a rate of 45% on January 18. It is also noteworthy that patients
infected with the Omicron variant were more frequently vaccinated than those with the Delta
variant, mostly with an mRNA vaccine for both, even with the booster, which could suggest a
lower efficacy of the vaccine. However, they were more immunocompromised and had a 29%
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reduction in risk of being admitted for COVID-19 pneumonia when they were vaccinated,
which could suggest moderate protection of vaccination for the most severe form reported in
ICU in unvaccinated patients. 11 Admissions not due to pneumonia may be related to several
causes, as patients admitted to the ICU with a positive RT-PCR but not for COVID-19, severe
decompensation of a chronic disease due to direct SARS-CoV-2 infection or another disease
pattern related to this new variant. It has been reported that Omicron replicates 10 times less in
human lung tissue than the wild strain.12 Unfortunately, the design of our registry did not allow
us to go further in the analysis.
On January 7, 2022, the Intensive Care National Audit and Research Center (ICNARC)
reported epidemiological data about critically ill COVID-19 patients.13 There was a dissociation
between the number of hospital admissions (significant increase) and in-ICU admission (quite
stable) since December 2021. However, the comparison relates to two long periods of time, the
first between September 1, 2020 and April 30 , 2021, the second between May 1 2021 and
January 7 2022, which makes it difficult to draw any conclusion regarding the new Omic ron,
which that emerged in December 2021. Above all, no information was given about the type of
variant and so it was not possible to compare Delta and Omicron cases.13
With our prospective Reality database, we are able to provide new information on the
comparison between Delta and Omicron cases. Besides the difference in vaccination status
discussed above, Omicron patients were more frequently immunocompromised and less
frequently invasively ventilated. Unadjusted in-ICU mortality was not different in the global
population. More interestingly, among the subgroup of patients admitted to the ICU for
pneumonia only, Omicr on cases seem to be as severe as Delta cases , with no difference
observed in the adjusted risk of mortality. However, Omicron patients were still less invasively
ventilated than Delta cases, which could be explained by still more immunocompromised
patients.10 Among patients admitted for pneumonia, we noted a relatively low rate of invasive
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ventilation (40-50% of cases), which could be explained first because ICUs in the APHP group
usually include a mix of full ICU beds and of intermediate beds for less critically ill patients,
and second because compared to the first wave, some studies have now suggested the beneficial
effect of high-flow oxygen saturation14,15 and non-invasive ventilation16 on the requirement for
invasive ventilation and on recovery, which probably led to changes in practices.
Our study has some limitations. First, there was a discrepancy between the numbers of
critically ill patients with the Delta or Omicron variant in the Reality registry (629 patients) and
in the administrative databases (579 patients). As noted in the methods section, the explanation
is that all but one hospital of the APHP group collected patient information in the laboratory
information system. In Reality, variant screening test information was missing in 18% of cases,
which could be explained by the fact that numerous patients were transferred to the ICU from
another non-APHP hospital where they had already tested positive. As the test was not
performed again we were not able to characterize the variant. Second, we did not have the time
between the last injection of vaccine and admission to the ICU, which could limit our evaluation
of the impact of vaccination on the Omicron variant . Third, in the adjusted risk of in -ICU
mortality evaluation, some confounding factors may not have been taken into account and we
do not have information on “do -not-intubate” decision in some patients . Finally, while to our
knowledge we report here the larg est cohort of critically ill patients comparing Delta and
Omicron variant, our results should be confirmed in a larger cohort . A significant number of
patients are still in the ICU, especially with the Omicron variant, which precludes any definitive
Conclusion
regarding their respective outcomes.17
In conclusion, our study reports contrasting results. On the one hand, Omicron infected
patients are less likely to be admitted to the ICU and when admitted, less often for pneumonia.
On the other hand, vaccination even with 3 doses had a moderate protective effect against
admission for pneumonia in patients who were more immunocompromised. Moreover, when
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admitted to the ICU for pneumonia, disease severity appears to be similar to that of Delta, with
no difference in the adjusted risk of in-ICU mortality. Further studies are needed to evaluate its
outcome.
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Author contributions
All authors contribute d, directly or indirectly, to entering critically ill patients in the Reality
database.
A Vieillard-Baron and F Batteux created the Reality prospective registry, analyzed the results
and wrote the manuscript.
A Vieillard-Baron designed the study.
F Batteux, R Flicoteaux and B De Maupeou D’Ableiges performed the statistical analysis.
All authors confirm that they had full access to all of the study data and accept responsibility to
submit for publication. They all agree with the manuscript.
Declaration of interest
Dr. Vieillard-Baron declares a research grant from Air Liquide.
Dr. Mebazaa reports personal fees from Orion, Servier, Otsuka, Philips, Sanofi, Adrenomed,
Epygon and Fire 1 and grants and personal fees from 4TEEN4, Abbott, Roche and Sphyngotec.
Dr. Gayat declares personal fees from Baxter and Edwards and research grants from Radiometer
and Philips.
Dr. Chousterman declares being a member of an advisory board for Roche diagnostic and has
received speaker fees from Baxter.
Dr. Demoule reports grants, personal fees and non-financial support from Philips, personal fees
from Baxter, personal fees and non -financial support from Fisher & Paykel, grants from the
French Ministry of Health, personal fees from Getinge, grants, personal fees and non-financial
support from Respinor, grants, personal fees and non -financial support from Lungpacer,
personal fees from Lowenstein, and personal fees from Gilead.
Dr. Teboul declares be ing a member of the medical advisory board of Getinge and personal
speaker fees from Lilly.
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Dr. Cariou declares speaker fees from Bard.
Bernard Cholley has received honoraria (participation in advisory boards) or lecturing fees from
Orion Pharma, Edwards Life Sciences, Amomed, and Nordic pharma.
Elie Azoulay has received speaker fees and research grants from Sanofi, Alexion and Pfizer.
Sébastien Clerc has received financial support (registration at an international meeting) from
Oxyvie.
Nicolas Mongardon declares being member of an advisory board of Amomed.
The other authors do not declare any conflicts of interest.
Acknowledgments
We thank the “Direction de la recherche clinique et de l’innovation (DRCI)” of APHP group
for providing extensive data.
We thank Guillermo Hayoun from the “Direction des systèmes de l’information” for his work
in designing and updating the Reality registry when necessary.
We thank Laure Maillant of the health database of APHP (“Entrepôt de Données en Santé”) for
her help in generating the data.
Finally, we also thank all the virology laboratories of the APHP group, which helped with the
RT-PCR screening of our patients.
Funding source
Assistance Publique des Hôpitaux de Paris, APHP.
The funder of the study had no role in study design, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing
of the report. All authors had full access to all data in the study and had final responsibility for
the decision to submit for publication.
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Figure legends
Figure 1: Study flow chart for the 5140 RT-PCR positive patients between December 1, 2021
and January 18 , 2022 according to the Omicron and Delta variants and their respective
evolution. ED: emergency department.
Figure 2 : Respective dynamics of the Delta and Omicron variant s for new daily ICU
admissions (panel A) and the actual number of patients in the ICU during the study period
(panel B). Panels C and D report the same information for conventional hospitalization.
Figure 3: Proportion of pneumonia cases in critically ill patients with the Delta and Omicron
variant according to age.
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perpetuity.
preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in
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Table 1: Characteristics of critically ill patients according to Omicron versus Delta variant in the 888
patients included in the Reality database from December 1, 2021 to January 18, 2022.
Delta cases Omicron cases P value
(Delta
versus
Omicron)
Uninformative
screening test* Missing data**
N=400
(45%)
N=229
(25.8%)
N=98
(11%)
N=161
(18%)
Age 62.0 [51.0;70.0] 63.0 [49.0;71.0] 0.810 59.0 [45.5;64.8] 62.0 [49.0;70.0]
Sex
Female, n (%)
135 (33.8%)
75 (32.8%)
0.867
28 (28.6%)
56 (34.8%)
Male, n (%) 265 (66.2%) 154 (67.2%) 70 (71.4%) 105 (65.2%)
Vaccination, n (%) <0.001
0 injection 279 (69.8%) 83 (36.2%) 46 (46.9%) 109 (67.7%)
1 injection 19 (4.8%) 13 (5.7%) 4 (4.08%) 5 (3.11%)
2 injections 58 (14.5%) 59 (25.8%) 20 (20.4%) 25 (15.5%)
3 injections 43 (10.8%) 60 (26.2%) 20 (20.4%) 17 (10.6%)
Unknown 1 (0.3%) 14 (6.1%) 8 (8.2%) 5 (3.1%)
Immunocompromised, n (%) 59 (14.8%) 79 (34.5%) 5days 316 (79.0%) 158 (69.0%) 78 (79.6%) 121 (75.2%)
Unknown 15 (3.8%) 19 (8.3%) 5 (5.1%) 6 (3.73%)
Pneumonia, n (%)
Unvaccinated, n (%)
Vaccinated, n (%)
Unknown, n
379 (94.8%)
273/279
(97.8%)
105/120
(87.5%)$
1
154 (67.2%)
67/83
(80.7%)
82/132
(62.1%)£
5
<0.001
69 (70.4%)
-
-
-
-
-
141 (87.6%)
-
-
-
-
-
Invasive ventilation, n (%) 204 (51.0%) 94 (41.0%) 0.020 34 (34.7%) 71 (44.1%)
In-ICU mortality, n (%) 90/323 (27.9%) 31/155 (20.0%) 0.082 11/78 (14.1%) 35/139 (25.2%)
Continuous values are reported as median [Q2, Q3].
* Variant Screening test was impossible because the viral load was not sufficient. ** Missing data means that
variant-screening was not performed. $ p < 0.001 for incidence of pneumonia in vaccinated versus non-
vaccinated patients with Delta, £ p < 0.001 for incidence of pneumonia in vaccinated versus non-vaccinated
patients with Omicron.
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Table 2: Characteristics of critically ill patients according to Omicron versus Delta variant in
the subgroups of 743 patients admitted in ICU for pneumonia from December 1, 2021 to
January 18, 2022.
Delta cases Omicron cases P value
(Delta
versus
Omicron)
Uninformative
screening test* Missing data**
N=379 N=154 N=69 N=141
Age 62.0 [51.0;70.0] 65.0 [56.0;72.0] 0.033 60.0 [56.0;65.0] 62.0 [50.0;70.0]
Female, n (%) 126 (33.2%) 56 (36.4%) 0.557 20 (29.0%) 49 (34.8%)
Immunocompromised,
n (%)
56 (14.8%) 61 (39.6%) 5days 303 (80.0%) 105 (68.2%) 56 (81.2%) 107 (75.9%)
Unknown 15 (4.0%) 7 (4.5%) 1 (1.4%) 4 (2.8%)
Invasive ventilation, n
(%) 191 (50.4%) 60 (39.0%) 0.021 23 (33.3%) 62 (44.0%)
In-ICU mortality, n (%) 90/303 (29.7%) 31/98 (31.6%) 0.780 10/54 (18.5%) 35/120 (29.2%)
Continuous values are reported as median [Q2, Q3].
* Variant Screening test was impossible because the viral load was not sufficient. ** Missing data means that
variant-screening was not performed.
In-ICU mortality was calculated among the 303 Delta patients (80%) and the 98 Omicron patients (63.6%) who
were already discharged from the ICU.
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Figure 1
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Figure 2
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Figure 3
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