A Deep Learning-based Positioning Classification of the Mandibular Third Molars: Is Multi-task Deep Learning Useful?

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This study compared single-task and multi-task deep learning models for classifying mandibular third molars using panoramic radiographs, finding single-task learning to be superior across all performance metrics.

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This preprint evaluated convolutional neural network performance for classifying mandibular third molar impaction using cropped panoramic radiographs labeled according to Pell and Gregory (class/position) and Winter’s (slope), comparing single-task versus multi-task learning approaches. Using 1,330 labeled images from a single general hospital (2014–2021) and a VGG16-based model assessed with accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and AUC via statistical comparisons (including 10-fold ROC analysis), the authors found single-task learning significantly outperformed multi-task learning across most metrics, with large effect sizes in several comparisons, while recall and F1 for position showed only medium effect sizes. The study’s key limitation is that it was a preprint and its evaluation appears confined to one dataset/source and model framework. Relevance to endometriosis: This paper does not explicitly discuss endometriosis or adenomyosis; it was included in the corpus via a keyword match in the upstream search index.

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Abstract

Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications are frequently implemented to classify the mandibular third molars and are crucial for safe tooth extraction. This study aimed to evaluate the classification accuracy of convolutional neural network (CNN) deep learning models using cropped panoramic radiographs based on these classifications. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of single-task and multi-task learning after labeling 1,330 images of mandibular third molars from digital radiographs taken at the Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery at a general hospital (2014-2021). The mandibular third molar classifications were analyzed using a VGG 16 model of a CNN. We statistically evaluated performance metrics (accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, area under the curve [AUC]) for each prediction. We found that single-task learning was superior to multi-task learning (all p<0.05) for all metrics, with large effect sizes and low p-values. Recall and F1 scores for position classification showed medium effect sizes in single and multi-task learning. To our knowledge, this deep learning study is the first to examine single-task and multi-task learning for the classification of mandibular third molars. Our results demonstrated the efficacy of implementing Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications for specific respective tasks.
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Shintaro Sukegawa, Tamamo Matsuyama, Futa Tanaka, Takeshi Hara, and 7 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-737538/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 12 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications are frequently implemented to classify the mandibular third molars and are crucial for safe tooth extraction. This study aimed to evaluate the classification accuracy of convolutional neural network (CNN) deep learning models using cropped panoramic radiographs based on these classifications. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of single-task and multi-task learning after labeling 1,330 images of mandibular third molars from digital radiographs taken at the Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery at a general hospital (2014-2021). The mandibular third molar classifications were analyzed using a VGG 16 model of a CNN. We statistically evaluated performance metrics (accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, area under the curve [AUC]) for each prediction. We found that single-task learning was superior to multi-task learning (all p<0.05) for all metrics, with large effect sizes and low p-values. Recall and F1 scores for position classification showed medium effect sizes in single and multi-task learning. To our knowledge, this deep learning study is the first to examine single-task and multi-task learning for the classification of mandibular third molars. Our results demonstrated the efficacy of implementing Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications for specific respective tasks. Dentistry multi-task deep learning convolutional neural network classification mandibular third molar effect size Figures Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 1. Introduction The mandibular third molar is one of the most commonly impacted tooth. Treatment requires tooth extraction surgery, extraction of the third molar is one of the most common surgical procedures worldwide. Since mandibular third molars cause a variety of complications, surgical treatment is primarily performed to treat the symptoms associated with impaction [ 1 , 2 ] and to prevent conditions that impair oral health, such as future dentition malocclusion [ 3 ]. Infection and neuropathy are common complications that occur after extraction of the mandibular third molars, it is known that the position of these molars influences the occurrence of postoperative complications [ 4 , 5 ]. Therefore, an accurate understanding of the position of the mandibular third molars based on preoperative radiography taken before surgery leads to safer treatment. Pell and Gregory [ 6 ] and Winter’s classifications [ 7 ] are often used for classifying third molars. In the Pell and Gregory classification, the mandibular third molars are classified according to their position with respect to the second molars and the ramus of the mandible, the position of the mandibular third molar in the mesio-distal relationship is classified into classes I, II, and III and the part of the mandibular third molar in the depth is classified into levels A, B, and C. The Winter’s classification was classified into the slope category with respect to the vertical axis of the mandibular third molar. These classifications help describe the condition of the third molar of the lower jaw using standardized language as well as making it easier to understand the difficulty of tooth extraction. Unfortunately, clinical dentists and young oral surgeons often misunderstand this diagnosis and may not be able to complete an accurate interpretation process. Deep learning is a machine learning method that can automatically detect the functions required to predict a specific result from the given data. Complex learning is possible using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) with multiple layers between inputs and outputs. Many achievements have been made in the application of these technologies in the medical field. In particular, analyses using deep learning based on medical images have provided comprehensive knowledge because this methodology can interpret data complexity more appropriately than standard statistical methods. In the field of dentistry, this methodology has also been applied to the identification and diagnosis of dental caries [ 8 ], endodontic lesions [ 9 ], dental implants [ 10 ], orthodontic diagnoses [ 11 ], and osteoporosis [ 12 ]. Various methods are currently being developed for use in machine learning. Among these, the multi-task learning method learns multiple classification items simultaneously, enabling multiple predictive diagnoses [ 13 ]. This is an efficient machine learning method that may improve performance compared to single-task learning by evaluating interrelated concepts. The aim of the current study was to present a CNN-based deep learning model using panoramic radiographs according to Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications, with the purpose of locating the precise positioning of the mandibular third molars. Furthermore, we propose multi-task learning as another approach for analyzing medical images while improving the generalization function of multiple tasks. In addition, another purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of position classification of the mandibular third molars via multi-task deep learning. 2. Results 2.1. Prediction performance 2.1.1 Performance of the single-task model Performance metrics for each of the single-task model are shown in Table 1 . Position classification showed high performance metrics in a single-task. Figure S1 shows the ROC curves of single-task learning at 10-fold. Table 1 Prediction performance on the single-task model. Accuracy Precision Recall F1 score AUC SD SD SD SD SD 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI Class 0.8541 0.8588 0.8544 0.8538 0.9638 0.0074 0.0075 0.0071 0.0073 0.0018 0.851–0.858 0.856–0.862 0.852–0.857 0.851–0.857 0.963–0.965 Position 0.8895 0.8824 0.8877 0.8831 0.9739 0.0055 0.0075 0.0064 0.0064 0.0017 0.887–0.892 0.880–0.885 0.885–0.890 0.881–0.886 0.973–0.975 Winter's classification 0.8663 0.8559 0.8003 0.8138 0.9801 0.0052 0.0143 0.0119 0.0123 0.0025 0.864–0.868 0.851–0.861 0.796–0.805 0.809–0.818 0.979–0.981 SD: standard deviation, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, AUC: Area under the ROC curve 2.1.2 Performance of the multi-task model Table 2 shows the performance metrics of the three-task multi-task model, including information on class, position, and Winter's classification. Table 3 shows the performance metrics for the two-task multi-task model, including information on class and position. Figure S1 shows the ROC curves of two type multi-task learning at 10-fold. Table 2 Prediction performance of the multi-task model, including class, position and Winter’s classification. Accuracy Precision Recall F1 score AUC SD SD SD SD SD 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI Class 0.8487 0.8541 0.8478 0.8474 0.9606 0.0087 0.0065 0.0083 0.0084 0.0018 0.845–0.852 0.851–0.857 0.845–0.851 0.844–0.851 0.960–0.961 Position 0.8861 0.8779 0.8829 0.8781 0.9733 0.0056 0.0065 0.0084 0.0070 0.0025 0.884–0.888 0.875–0.880 0.880–0.886 0.875–0.881 0.972–0.974 Winter's classification 0.8537 0.8332 0.7747 0.7896 0.9770 0.0068 0.0124 0.0105 0.0110 0.0024 0.851–0.856 0.829–0.861 0.771–0.779 0.786–0.793 0.976–0.978 SD: standard deviation, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, AUC: Area under the ROC curve Table 3 Prediction performance of the two-task multi-task model including class and position. Accuracy Precision Recall F1 score AUC SD SD SD SD SD 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI 95%CI Class 0.8543 0.8590 0.8539 0.8534 0.9633 0.0094 0.0102 0.0094 0.0088 0.0028 0.887–0.892 0.856–0.862 0.850–0.857 0.850–0.857 0.962–0.964 Position 0.8899 0.8814 0.8857 0.8813 0.9737 0.0069 0.0102 0.0077 0.8813 0.0018 0.772–0.814 0.878–0.885 0.882–0.891 0.878–0.884 0.973–0.974 2.3. Comparison of the single-task and multi-task models in terms of performance metrics Table 4 shows the results of the statistical evaluation of the single- and multi-task models for each performance metric. In the comparison between the two groups by p-value, the single-task model was superior to the multi-3task model, and the single-task model was superior to the standard statistical approach for all metrics. In the single-task and multi-2task (class and position) models, the single-task model was superior in all metrics except the AUC for position classification. Table 4 Statistical comparisons by p-value and effect size for the single-task and multi-task models. Class Accuracy Precision Recall F1 score AUC P value Multi3 0.029 0.064 0.006 0.006 < .0001 Multi2 0.996 0.994 0.955 0.966 0.523 Effect size Multi3 0.674 0.554 0.857 0.817 1.823 Multi2 0.019 0.0235 0.064 0.057 0.233 Position Accuracy Precision Recall F1 score AUC P value Multi3 0.056 0.062 0.030 0.014 0.447 Multi2 0.947 0.851 0.491 0.497 0.887 Effect size Multi3 0.616 0.651 0.641 0.759 0.267 Multi2 0.068 0.1122 0.281 0.258 0.122 Winter's Accuracy Precision Recall F1 score AUC P value Multi3 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 Effect size Multi3 2.082 1.699 2.285 2.072 1.238 SD: standard deviation, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, AUC: Area under the ROC curve Regarding effect size, in the single-task and multi-3task models, the effect size was large for all metrics except position classification (AUC and p-value). On the other hand, in the single-task and multi-2task models, recall and F1 score (in the position classification) showed medium effect sizes, and all other parameters showed small effect sizes. 2.2. Visualization Grad-CAM was used to explain the prediction process for the CNN in terms of identifying each category. As a result, we visualized the judgment basis for determining the identification image area used for classification (Fig. 1 , FigureS2). For the classification of class and position, the space above the mandibular third molar is regarded as a characteristic area of the CNN judgment basis. In contrast, Winter’s classification was used as a characteristic area for classification judgment of the entire crown of the mandibular third molar. In the multi-task models, in addition to the characteristics for each task, the characteristics of other simultaneously learned tasks were added to the criteria. In addition, because of a tendency of multi-task feature areas, we mainly focused on areas that are common to these models. 3. Discussion In this deep learning study, mandibular third molar classification (class, position, Winter's classification) was performed in single-task and multi-task models. In multi-task models, in which three classification tasks are performed at the same time and for each single-task, we found that the classification evaluation metric was statistically superior to that of the multi-task models. There was no statistical difference in classification accuracy between the multi-task and single-task models, two tasks (class and position) were performed simultaneously. Multi-task modeling uses inductive transfer to improve task learning by using signals from related tasks discovered during training [ 20 ]. Multi-tasks have a great advantage in reducing calculation costs because they can perform multiple tasks simultaneously. In fact, in our research, we found a big difference when comparing the total number of parameters for each single-task and the number of parameters for multiple tasks. In addition, multiple tasks can improve the accuracy of other classifications by learning the characteristics common to each task [ 13 , 21 ]. However, in our results, the classification performance of multi-task models decreased after three tasks. This may be due to the fact that each task has classification criteria for different characteristics. In multi-task models, classification performance may be degraded as a result of conflicting areas of interest for the classification of each task. The mandibular third molar classifications performed in this study were the Pell and Gregory classification as well as Winter’s classification. In the Pell and Gregory classification, there are classes and positions that are classified according to the mesio-distal positional relationship and vertical depth of the mandibular third molar [ 6 ]. This classification has a criterion that defines the amount of space between the mandibular second molar and ramus of the mandible. Position classification classifies the vertical positional relationship based on the mandibular second molar. The positional relationship between the second molar and mandibular third molar is a common criterion. Accuracy was improved by multi-task these two tasks. Unfortunately, no statistically significant improvement in performance metrics was observed. On the other hand, we found a statistically significant decrease in classification performance in the three multi-task tasks with the addition of Winter’s classification. Specifically, in Winter’s classification, the angulation and inclination of the mandibular third molar is judged, with the orientation of the mandibular third molar as the criterion [ 7 ]. Because feature extraction is weighted toward the entire mandibular third molar, it is possible that the features for predicting CNN were different from those of the Pell and Gregory classification. Few studies have used deep learning to classify the position of the mandibular third molar. Yoo et al. [ 22 ] performed class, position, and Winter’s classifications of the mandibular third molar. The observed accuracy was 78.1% for class, 82.0% for position, and 90.2% for Winter's classification. Although Winter’s classification cannot be compared because all evaluations had not been made, our results are more accurate for class and position. For the weights learnt by the CNN, Grad-CAM can use the gradient of the classification score for convolutional features determined by the network to understand which parts of the image are most important for classification [ 19 ]. Grad-CAM can visualize the judgment basis for learning by CNN, which is regarded as a black box. In this study, visualization was performed using the gradient of the final convolution layer. Visualization results for Grad-CAM class and position classifications often show similar feature areas, while Winter’s classifications primarily assign features to the entire crown. Interestingly, in the multi-task models, the characteristics of the other tasks were added to the judgement basis in addition to the characteristics of each task. The rate of classification errors may have therefore been increased by referring to other parts that deviated from the judgment basis based on the original most notable features in multi-task. Since statistically significant differences are easily recognized in proportion to the sample size within statistical hypothesis tests between two groups, effect sizes and statistically significant differences are important for evaluating substantial differences[ 23 ]. Effect size can be interpreted as a value that indicates the actual magnitude of the difference and that does not depend on the unit of measurement, this is one of the most important indicators for analysis. In this study, there was a correlation between the statistical hypothesis test between the two groups and effect size, statistical evaluations showed that the sample size was appropriate. Our study is the first to show the effect size for the evaluation of mandibular third molar position classification using deep learning. The effect sizes calculated from this experiment will be useful when pre-designing the sample size in a similar study. To our knowledge, there are few reports on the calculation of effect sizes for comparison between deep learning models. Diagnosis of the third mandibular molar is the most common oral surgery and is important not only for oral and maxillofacial surgeons, but also for general dentists. Accurate diagnosis leads to safe tooth extraction. In the future, as an auxiliary diagnosis, it is desirable to automatically diagnose the mandibular third molar using deep learning on the captured digital panoramic X-ray image. For this purpose, we would like to work on automatic detection using object detection of the mandibular third molar. The strength of our study over previous studies is that the influence of multitask learning has been statistically evaluated. The mandibular third molar classification grouping performed in this study was as close as possible to the clinical setting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to statistically and visually reveal the influence of multitask learning on mandibular third molar classification by deep learning. Grad-CAM has revealed areas of interest for each model of CNN. The calculated effect size can also be used to estimate the sample size for future studies. It is suitable for evaluating results statistically correctly, rather than simply comparing values ​​between different groups. This study had several limitations. First, the amount of data for the current evaluation was modest. Especially in the Winter’s classification, there are few buccolingual and inverted results, which could result in bias. We verified our findings using a stratified K-fold CV, so that there is no bias in the data set for training, however, it is important to conduct further studies with a larger amount5 of data. Second, the CNN type was VGG16 only. In the future, CNNs with various characteristics should be evaluated, and it will be necessary to verify the most suitable CNN. The third limitation is the search for a Pareto optimal solution. In multi-task learning, classification performance is degraded as a result of conflicting areas of interest for the classification of each task. Therefore, in multi-task learning, it is necessary to consider the ratio of the gradients of loss function, in which the gradients of each task are relatively balanced. 4. Conclusions To our knowledge, this deep learning study of the classification (class, position, Winter) of the mandibular third molar is the first study to examine single-task and multi-task models. The multi-task model with two tasks (class and position) was not statistically significantly different from single-task models, the three multi-task classifications were statistically significantly less accurate than the respective single-task classifications. Finally, we found that, in the deep learning classification of the mandibular third molar, it is more effective to classify the Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications as their respective tasks. Our results will greatly contribute to the development of automatic classification and diagnosis of mandibular third molars from individual panoramic radiograph images in the future. 5. Materials And Methods 5.1. Study design The purpose of this study was to evaluate the classification accuracy of CNN-based deep learning models using cropped panoramic radiographs according to the Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications for the location of the mandibular third molars. Supervised learning was chosen as the method for deep learning analysis. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of single-task and multi-task learning. 5.2. Data acquisition We used retrospective radiographic image data collected from April 2014 to December 2020 at a single general hospital. This study was approved by the institutional review boards of the respective institutions hosting this work (the institutional review boards of Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, approval number 1020) and was conducted in accordance with the ethical standards of the Declaration of Helsinki and its later amendments. Informed consent was waived for this retrospective study because no protected health information was used by the institutional review boards of Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital. Study data included patient’s aged 16–76 years who had panoramic radiographs taken at our hospital prior to extracting their mandibular third molars. In the Pell and Gregory classification, the mandibular second molar was the diagnostic criterion. Therefore, cases of mandibular second molar defects, impacted teeth, and residual roots were excluded from the current study. We also excluded unclear images, residual plates after mandibular fracture, and residual third molar root or tooth extraction interruptions. We evaluated residual third molar roots (39 teeth), mandibular second molar defects or residual teeth (15 teeth), impacted mandibular second molars (12 teeth), tooth extraction interruptions of third molars (9 teeth), unclear images (3 teeth), and residual plates after mandibular fracture (1 tooth). A total of 1,330 mandibular third molars were retained for further deep learning analysis. 5.3 Data preprocessing Images were acquired using dental digital panoramic radiographs (AZ3000CMR or Hyper-G CMF, Asahiroentgen Ind. Co., Ltd., Kyoto, Japan). All digital image data were output in Tagged Image File Format format (2964 × 1464, 2694 × 1450, 2776× 1450, or 2804 × 1450 pixels) via the Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital Picture Archiving and Communication Systems system (Hope Dr Able-GX, Fujitsu Co., Tokyo, Japan). Two maxillofacial surgeons manually identified areas of interest on the digital panoramic radiographs using Photoshop Elements (Adobe Systems, Inc., San Jose, CA, USA) under the supervision of an expert oral and maxillofacial surgeon. The method of cropping the image was to cut out the mandibular second molar and the ramus of the mandible in the mesio-distal direction and to completely include the apex of the mandibular third molar in the vertical direction (Fig. 2 ). The cropped images had a resolution of 96 dpi/inch. Each cropped image was saved in portable network graphics format. The manual method of cropping the image involved cutting out the mandibular second molar and the ramus of the mandible in the mesio-distal direction as well as completely including the apex of the mandibular third molar in the vertical direction. 5.4. Classification methods Pell and Gregory classification [ 6 ] is divided into class and position components. Classification was performed according to the positional relationship between the ramus of the mandible and the mandibular second molar in the mesio-distal direction. The distribution of the mandibular third molar classification is shown in Table 5 . Table 5 Distribution of Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications. Pell & Gregory classification Winter's classification Class Position I 405 A 438 Horizontal 514 II 607 B 693 Mesioangular 346 Ⅲ 318 C 199 Vertical 282 Distoangular 79 Inverted 79 Buccoangular Lingualangular 30 Class I : The distance from the distal surface of the second molar to the anterior margin of the mandibular ramus was larger than the diameter of the third molar crown. Class II : The distance from the distal surface of the second molar to the anterior margin of the mandibular ramus was smaller than the diameter of the third molar crown. Class III : Most third molars are present in the ramus of the mandible. Position classification was done according to the depth of the mandibular second molar. Level A : The occlusal plane of the third molar was at the same level as the occlusal plane of the second molar. Level B : The occlusal plane of the third molar is located between the occlusal plane and the cervical margin of the second molar. Level C : The third molar was below the cervical margin of the second molar. Winter’s classification was classified into the following six categories [7, 14]. Horizontal : The long axis of the third molar is horizontal (from 80° to 100°). Mesioangular : The third molar is tilted toward the second molar in the mesial direction (from 11° to 79°). Vertical : The long axis of the third molar is parallel to the long axis of the second molar (from 10° to –10°) Distoangular : The long axis of the third molar is angled distally and posteriorly away from the second molar (from − 11° to − 79°). Inverted : The long axis of the third molar is angled distally and posteriorly away from the second molar (from 101° to –80°). Buccoangular or lingualangular : The impacted tooth is tilted toward the buccal-lingual direction. 5.5. CNN model architecture The study evaluation was performed using the standard deep CNN model (VGG16) proposed by the Oxford University VGG team [ 15 ]. We performed. a normal CNN consisting of a convolutional layer and a pooling layer, for a total of 16 layers of weight (i.e., convolutional and fully connected layers). With efficient model construction, fine-tuning the weight of existing models as initial values for additional learning is possible. Therefore, the VGG 16 model was used to transfer learning with fine-tuning, using pre-trained weights in the ImageNet database [ 16 ]. The process of deep learning classification was implemented using Python (version 3.7.10) and Keras (version 2.4.3). 5.6. Data set and model training The model training was generalized using K-fold cross-validation in the model training algorithm. Our deep learning models were evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation to avoid overfitting and bias and to minimize generalization errors. The dataset was split into 10 random subsets using stratified sampling to retain the same class distribution across all subsets. Within each fold, the dataset was split into separate training and test datasets using a 90–10% split. The model was trained 10 times to obtain the prediction results for the entire dataset, with each iteration holding a different subset for validation. Data augmentation can be found in the appendix. 5.8. Multi-task As another approach to the mandibular third molar classifier, a deep neural network with multiple independent outputs was implemented and evaluated. There are two proposed multi-task CNNs. One is a CNN model that can analyze the three tasks of the Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications simultaneously. The other is a CNN model that can analyze the class and position classifications that make up the Pell and Gregory classification simultaneously. These models can significantly reduce the number of trainable parameters required when using two or three independent CNN models for mandibular third molar classification. The proposed model has a feature learning shared layer that includes a convolutional layer and a max pooling layer that are shared with two or three separate branches and independent, fully connected layers used for classification. For the classification, two or three separate branches consisting of dense layers were connected to each output layer of the Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications. Each branch included softmax activation. (Figure.3) Table 6 shows the number of parameters for each of the two types of multi-tasks and single-tasks in the VGG 16 model. Table 6 The number of parameters for each of the two types of multi-tasks and single tasks in the VGG16 model. VGG16 Total parameter Trainable parameter Non-trainable parameter Multi-3task (Class, Position and Winter's) 15,252,307 537,612 14,714,695 Multi-2task (Class and Position) + Single-task (Winter's) 30,492,314 1,062,924 29,429,390 Multi-2task (Class and Position) 15,246,157 531,462 14,714,695 Single-task (Winter's) 15,243,082 528,387 14,714,695 Single-task (Class + Position + Winter's) 45,729,246 1,585,161 44,144,085 Class 15,243,082 528,387 14,714,695 Position 15,243,082 528,387 14,714,695 Winter's 15,243,082 528,387 14,714,695 In the multi-task model, each model was implemented to learn the classification of the mandibular third molars. In both trainings, the cross entropy calculated in (a) was used as the error function. The total error function (L_3total) of the multi-task model for the three proposed tasks is the sum of the Pell and Gregory classification class and position prediction errors (L_cls), (L_pos), and Winter’s classification prediction errors (L_wit) (b): (a) ( t i : correct data, y i : predicted probability of class i). (b) The error function (L_2total) of the entire multi-task model for the two tasks was the total of the prediction errors (L_cls) and (L_pos) of class and position, as well as the Winter’s classification. (c): (c) 5.9. Deep learning procedure All CNN models were trained and evaluated on a 64-bit Ubuntu 16.04.5 LTS operating system with 8 GB of memory and an NVIDIA GeForce GTX 1080 (8 GB graphics processing unit). The optimizer used stochastic gradient descent with a fixed learning rate of 0.001 and a momentum of 0.9, which achieved the lowest loss on the validation dataset after multiple experiments. The model with the lowest loss in the validation dataset was chosen for inference on the test datasets. Training was performed for 300 epochs with a mini-batch size of 32. The model was trained 10 times in the 10-fold cross-validation test, and the result of the entire dataset was obtained as one set. This process was repeated 30 times for each single-task model (for class, position, Winter’s classification), multi-task model (for class and position classification [two tasks], and all three multi-tasks) using different random seeds. 5.10. Performance metrics and Statistical analysis We evaluated the performance metrics, with precision, recall and F1 score and along with the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The ROC curves were shown for the complete dataset from the 10-fold cross-validation, producing the median AUC value. Details on the performance metrics are provided in the appendix. The differences between performance metrics were tested using the JMP statistical software package (version 14.2.0) for Macintosh (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Statistical tests were two-sided, and p values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Parametric tests were performed based on the results of the Shapiro–Wilk test. For multiple comparisons, Dunnett's test was performed with single-task as a control. Differences between each multi-task model and the single-task model were calculated for each performance metric using the Wilcoxon test. Effect sizes were calculated as Hedges' g (unbiased Cohen's d) the following formula [ 17 ]: M1 and M2 are the means for the multi-task and single-task models, s1 and s2, respectively, are the standard deviations for the multi-task and single-task models, and n1 and n2, respectively, are the numbers for the multi-task and single-task models. The effect size was determined based on the criteria proposed by Cohen et al. [ 18 ], such that 0.8 was considered a large effect, 0.5 was considered a moderate effect, and 0.2 was considered a small effect. 5.11. Visualization for the CNN model CNN model visualization helps clarify the most relevant features used for each classification. For added transparency and visualization, this work used the gradient-weighted class activation maps (Grad-CAM) algorithm, this algorithm functions by capturing a specific class's vital features from the last convolutional layer of the CNN model to localize its important areas [ 19 ]. Image map visualizations are heatmaps of the gradients, with “hotter” colors representing the regions of greater importance for classification. Declarations Author Contributions The study was conceived by S.S. and T.H., who also set up the experiment. F.T., S.S. and K.Y. (Kazumasa Yoshii) conducted the experiments. T.M., K.Y. (Katsusuke Yamashita) T.H., K.T., H.K., K.N. and H.N. generated the data. All authors analyzed and interpreted the data. S.S. and Y.F. wrote the manuscript. All authors have read and approved to the published version of the manuscript. Funding This research received no external funding. Acknowledgements This work was indirectly supported by JSPS KAKENHI (Grant Number JP19K19158). Conflicts of Interest The authors declare no competing interests. References Moghimi, M., Baart, J.A., Hakki Karagozoglu, K. & Forouzanfar, T. Spread of odontogenic infections: A retrospective analysis and review of the literature. Quintessence Int. 44 , 351–361 (2013). Sukegawa, S., Saika, M., Kanno, T., Nakano, K., Takabatake, K., Kawai, H., Nagatsuka, H. & Furuki, Y. Do the presence of mandibular third molar and the occlusal support affect the occurrence and the mode of mandibular condylar fractures? J. Hard Tissue Biol . 28 , 377–382 (2019). Stanaitytė, R., Trakinienė, G. & Gervickas, A. Do wisdom teeth induce lower anterior teeth crowding? A systematic literature review. Stomatologija . 16 , 15–18 (2014). Sukegawa, S., Yokota, K., Kanno, T., Manabe, Y., Sukegawa-Takahashi, Y., Masui, M. & Furuki, Y. What are the risk factors for postoperative infections of third molar extraction surgery: A retrospective clinical study? Med. Oral Patol. Oral y Cir. Bucal. 24 , e123–e129 (2019). Kang, F., Sah, M.K. & Fei, G. Determining the risk relationship associated with inferior alveolar nerve injury following removal of mandibular third molar teeth: A systematic review. J. Stomatol. Oral Maxillofac. Surg. 121 , 63–69 (2020). Pell, J.G, Gregory, G.T. Impacted mandibular third molars : classification and modified techniques for removal. Dent. Dig. 39, 330–338 (1933). Winter, G. B. Principles of Exodontia as Applied to the Impacted Mandibular Third Molar : A Complete Treatise on the Operative Technic with Clinical Diagnoses and Radiographic Interpretations (American Medical Books, 1926). Khanagar, S.B., Al-ehaideb, A., Maganur, P.C., Vishwanathaiah, S., Patil, S., Baeshen, H.A., Sarode, S.C. & Bhandi, S. Developments, application, and performance of artificial intelligence in dentistry – A systematic review. J. Dent. Sci. 16 , 508–522 (2021). Ekert, T., Krois, J., Meinhold, L., Elhennawy, K., Emara, R., Golla, T. & Schwendicke, F. Deep learning for the radiographic detection of apical lesions. J. Endod. 45 , 917-922 (2019). Sukegawa, S., Yoshii, K., Hara, T., Yamashita, K., Nakano, K., Yamamoto, N., Nagatsuka, H. & Furuki, Y. Deep neural networks for dental implant system classification. Biomolecules. 10 , 984 (2020). Khanagar, S.B., Al-Ehaideb, A., Vishwanathaiah, S., Maganur, P.C., Patil, S., Naik, S., Baeshen, H.A. & Sarode, S.S. Scope and performance of artificial intelligence technology in orthodontic diagnosis, treatment planning, and clinical decision-making - A systematic review. J. Dent. Sci . 16 , 482–492 (2021). Lee, K.-S., Jung, S.-K., Ryu, J.-J., Shin, S.-W. & Choi, J. Evaluation of transfer learning with deep convolutional neural networks for screening osteoporosis in dental panoramic radiographs. J. Clin. Med . 9 , 392 (2020). Sukegawa, S., Yoshii, K., Hara, T., Matsuyama, T., Yamashita, K., Nakano, K., Takabatake, K., Kawai, H., Nagatsuka, H. & Furuki, Y. Multi-task deep learning model for classification of dental implant brand and treatment stage using dental panoramic radiograph images. Biomolecules. 11 , 815 (2021). Yilmaz, S., Adisen, M.Z., Misirlioglu, M. & Yorubulut, S. Assessment of third molar impaction pattern and associated clinical symptoms in a Central Anatolian Turkish population. Med. Princ. Pract. 25 , 169–175 (2016). Simonyan, K., & Zisserman, A. Very deep convolutional networks for large-scale image recognition. In Proceedings of the 3 rd International Conference on Learning Representations, ICLR 2015 – Conference Track Proceedings, International Conference on Learning Representations, ICLR, 2015. Russakovsky, O., Deng, J., Su, H., Krause, J., Satheesh, S., Ma, S., Huang, Z., Karpathy, A., Khosla, A., Bernstein, M., Berg, A.C. & Fei-Fei, L. ImageNet large scale visual recognition challenge. Int. J. Comput. Vis. 115 , 211–252 (2015). Nakagawa, S. & Cuthill, I.C. Effect size, confidence interval and statistical significance: A practical guide for biologists. Biol. Rev. Camb. Philos. Soc. 82 , 591–605 (2007). Cohen, J. Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences , Routledge: Abingdon-on-Thames, UK, 2013. Selvaraju, R.R., Cogswell, M., Das, A., Vedantam, R., Parikh, D. & Batra, D. Grad-CAM: Visual explanations from deep networks via gradient-based localization. Int. J. Comput. Vis. 128 , 336–359 (2016). Crichton, G., Pyysalo, S., Chiu, B. & Korhonen, A. A neural network multi-task learning approach to biomedical named entity recognition. BMC Bioinformatics. 18 , 368 (2017). Zhou, Y., Chen, H., Li, Y., Liu, Q., Xu, X., Wang, S., Yap, P.T. & Shen, D. Multi-task learning for segmentation and classification of tumors in 3D automated breast ultrasound images. Med. Image Anal. 70 , 101918 (2021). Yoo, J.H., Yeom, H.G., Shin, W.S., Yun, J.P., Lee, J.H., Jeong, S.H., Lim, H.J., Lee, J. & Kim, B.C. Deep learning based prediction of extraction difficulty for mandibular third molars. Sci. Rep. 11 , 1954 (2021). Greenland, S., Senn, S.J., Rothman, K.J., Carlin, J.B., Poole, C., Goodman, S.N. & Altman, D.G. Statistical tests, P values, confidence intervals, and power: a guide to misinterpretations. Eur . J . Epidemiol . 31 , 337–350 (2016). Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Supplementary Files supplementaryinformation.docx Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Major revision 08 Nov, 2021 Reviews received at journal 08 Nov, 2021 Reviews received at journal 07 Nov, 2021 Reviewers agreed at journal 27 Oct, 2021 Reviews received at journal 04 Oct, 2021 Reviewers agreed at journal 12 Sep, 2021 Reviewers agreed at journal 06 Sep, 2021 Reviewers invited by journal 30 Aug, 2021 Editor assigned by journal 30 Aug, 2021 Editor invited by journal 29 Jul, 2021 Submission checks completed at journal 29 Jul, 2021 First submitted to journal 20 Jul, 2021 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-737538","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":42549116,"identity":"1617bfc2-0242-4c34-bcd0-cb868d00971c","order_by":0,"name":"Shintaro 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01:44:04","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-737538/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-737538/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":12031863,"identity":"70b06c74-a8a4-4122-a0ba-b57b22b85581","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-08-02 14:44:55","extension":"jpg","order_by":1,"title":"Figure 1","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"figure","size":865207,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"Visualization of the judgment basis for classification prediction by a convolutional neural network (CNN) using Grad-CAM.","description":"","filename":"Figure1.jpg","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-737538/v1/354f68db55e24f7df1f3b061.jpg"},{"id":12032146,"identity":"e48cd9b9-2087-4a03-b03c-7e2a836ed9df","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-08-02 14:47:55","extension":"jpg","order_by":2,"title":"Figure 2","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"figure","size":254074,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"A depiction of the crop method for data preprocessing. ","description":"","filename":"Figure2.jpg","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-737538/v1/bfd4142ee95981bb175cd033.jpg"},{"id":12031865,"identity":"bd072b9c-b28b-4df8-83ec-07e44354aaa2","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-08-02 14:44:55","extension":"jpg","order_by":3,"title":"Figure 3","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"figure","size":1098111,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"Schematic diagram for classification of the mandibular third molars using single-task and multi-task convolutional neural network (CNN) models.","description":"","filename":"Figure3.jpg","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-737538/v1/aaed1119d894efdcd4d63a5f.jpg"},{"id":13706925,"identity":"47510038-aeb6-4345-a4f0-da493346034e","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-09-17 13:59:59","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":942657,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"manuscript.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-737538/v1/ee70e9d5-8662-4dc4-b9c8-b4fdbf736a6a.pdf"},{"id":12031867,"identity":"fe27a346-138c-4773-a375-0c97461d5233","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-08-02 14:44:55","extension":"docx","order_by":11,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"supplement","size":9705865,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"supplementaryinformation.docx","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-737538/v1/4f3c86d390f4c83beb541b72.docx"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eA Deep Learning-based Positioning Classification of the Mandibular Third Molars: Is Multi-task Deep Learning Useful?\u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[{"header":"1. Introduction","content":"\u003cp\u003eThe mandibular third molar is one of the most commonly impacted tooth. Treatment requires tooth extraction surgery, extraction of the third molar is one of the most common surgical procedures worldwide. Since mandibular third molars cause a variety of complications, surgical treatment is primarily performed to treat the symptoms associated with impaction [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR1\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e1\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR2\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2\u003c/span\u003e] and to prevent conditions that impair oral health, such as future dentition malocclusion [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR3\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e3\u003c/span\u003e]. Infection and neuropathy are common complications that occur after extraction of the mandibular third molars, it is known that the position of these molars influences the occurrence of postoperative complications [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR4\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e4\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR5\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e5\u003c/span\u003e]. Therefore, an accurate understanding of the position of the mandibular third molars based on preoperative radiography taken before surgery leads to safer treatment.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePell and Gregory [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR6\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e] and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR7\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e7\u003c/span\u003e] are often used for classifying third molars. In the Pell and Gregory classification, the mandibular third molars are classified according to their position with respect to the second molars and the ramus of the mandible, the position of the mandibular third molar in the mesio-distal relationship is classified into classes I, II, and III and the part of the mandibular third molar in the depth is classified into levels A, B, and C. The Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification was classified into the slope category with respect to the vertical axis of the mandibular third molar. These classifications help describe the condition of the third molar of the lower jaw using standardized language as well as making it easier to understand the difficulty of tooth extraction. Unfortunately, clinical dentists and young oral surgeons often misunderstand this diagnosis and may not be able to complete an accurate interpretation process.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDeep learning is a machine learning method that can automatically detect the functions required to predict a specific result from the given data. Complex learning is possible using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) with multiple layers between inputs and outputs. Many achievements have been made in the application of these technologies in the medical field. In particular, analyses using deep learning based on medical images have provided comprehensive knowledge because this methodology can interpret data complexity more appropriately than standard statistical methods. In the field of dentistry, this methodology has also been applied to the identification and diagnosis of dental caries [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR8\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e8\u003c/span\u003e], endodontic lesions [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR9\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e9\u003c/span\u003e], dental implants [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR10\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e10\u003c/span\u003e], orthodontic diagnoses [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR11\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e11\u003c/span\u003e], and osteoporosis [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR12\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e12\u003c/span\u003e]. Various methods are currently being developed for use in machine learning. Among these, the multi-task learning method learns multiple classification items simultaneously, enabling multiple predictive diagnoses [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR13\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e13\u003c/span\u003e]. This is an efficient machine learning method that may improve performance compared to single-task learning by evaluating interrelated concepts.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe aim of the current study was to present a CNN-based deep learning model using panoramic radiographs according to Pell and Gregory, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications, with the purpose of locating the precise positioning of the mandibular third molars. Furthermore, we propose multi-task learning as another approach for analyzing medical images while improving the generalization function of multiple tasks. In addition, another purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of position classification of the mandibular third molars via multi-task deep learning.\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"2. Results","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec3\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e2.1. Prediction performance\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"Section3\" id=\"Sec4\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e2.1.1 Performance of the single-task model\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePerformance metrics for each of the single-task model are shown in Table \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e1\u003c/span\u003e. Position classification showed high performance metrics in a single-task. Figure S1 shows the ROC curves of single-task learning at 10-fold.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"gridtable\"\u003e\n \u003ctable border=\"1\" id=\"Tab1\"\u003e\n \u003ccaption language=\"En\"\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionNumber\"\u003eTable 1\u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionContent\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrediction performance on the single-task model.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003c/caption\u003e\n \u003cthead\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAccuracy\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrecision\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eRecall\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eF1 score\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAUC\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/thead\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eClass\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8541\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8588\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8544\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8538\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9638\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0074\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0075\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0071\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0073\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0018\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.851\u0026ndash;0.858\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.856\u0026ndash;0.862\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.852\u0026ndash;0.857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.851\u0026ndash;0.857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.963\u0026ndash;0.965\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePosition\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8895\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8824\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8877\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8831\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9739\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0055\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0075\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0064\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0064\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0017\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.887\u0026ndash;0.892\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.880\u0026ndash;0.885\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.885\u0026ndash;0.890\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.881\u0026ndash;0.886\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.973\u0026ndash;0.975\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eWinter\u0026apos;s classification\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8663\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8559\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8003\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8138\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9801\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0052\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0143\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0119\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0123\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0025\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.864\u0026ndash;0.868\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.851\u0026ndash;0.861\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.796\u0026ndash;0.805\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.809\u0026ndash;0.818\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.979\u0026ndash;0.981\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tbody\u003e\n \u003ctfoot\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd colspan=\"6\"\u003eSD: standard deviation, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, AUC: Area under the ROC curve\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tfoot\u003e\n \u003c/table\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"Section3\" id=\"Sec5\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e2.1.2 Performance of the multi-task model\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eTable \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e2\u003c/span\u003e shows the performance metrics of the three-task multi-task model, including information on class, position, and Winter\u0026apos;s classification. Table \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e3\u003c/span\u003e shows the performance metrics for the two-task multi-task model, including information on class and position. Figure S1 shows the ROC curves of two type multi-task learning at 10-fold.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"gridtable\"\u003e\u003ctable border=\"1\" id=\"Tab2\"\u003e\n \u003ccaption language=\"En\"\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionNumber\"\u003eTable 2\u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionContent\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrediction performance of the multi-task model, including class, position and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003c/caption\u003e\n \u003cthead\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAccuracy\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrecision\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eRecall\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eF1 score\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAUC\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/thead\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eClass\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8487\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8541\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8478\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8474\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9606\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0087\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0065\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0083\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0084\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0018\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.845\u0026ndash;0.852\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.851\u0026ndash;0.857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.845\u0026ndash;0.851\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.844\u0026ndash;0.851\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.960\u0026ndash;0.961\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePosition\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8861\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8779\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8829\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8781\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9733\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0056\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0065\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0084\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0070\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0025\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.884\u0026ndash;0.888\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.875\u0026ndash;0.880\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.880\u0026ndash;0.886\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.875\u0026ndash;0.881\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.972\u0026ndash;0.974\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eWinter\u0026apos;s classification\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8537\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8332\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.7747\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.7896\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9770\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0068\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0124\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0105\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0110\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0024\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.851\u0026ndash;0.856\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.829\u0026ndash;0.861\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.771\u0026ndash;0.779\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.786\u0026ndash;0.793\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.976\u0026ndash;0.978\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tbody\u003e\n \u003ctfoot\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd colspan=\"6\"\u003eSD: standard deviation, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, AUC: Area under the ROC curve\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tfoot\u003e\n \u003c/table\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"gridtable\"\u003e\u003ctable border=\"1\" id=\"Tab3\"\u003e\n \u003ccaption language=\"En\"\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionNumber\"\u003eTable 3\u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionContent\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrediction performance of the two-task multi-task model including class and position.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003c/caption\u003e\n \u003cthead\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAccuracy\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrecision\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eRecall\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eF1 score\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAUC\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/thead\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSD\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e95%CI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eClass\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8543\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8590\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8539\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8534\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9633\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0094\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0102\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0094\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0088\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0028\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.887\u0026ndash;0.892\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.856\u0026ndash;0.862\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.850\u0026ndash;0.857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.850\u0026ndash;0.857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.962\u0026ndash;0.964\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\" rowspan=\"3\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePosition\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8899\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8814\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8813\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.9737\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0069\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0102\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0077\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.8813\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0018\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.772\u0026ndash;0.814\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.878\u0026ndash;0.885\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.882\u0026ndash;0.891\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.878\u0026ndash;0.884\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.973\u0026ndash;0.974\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tbody\u003e\n \u003c/table\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec6\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e2.3. Comparison of the single-task and multi-task models in terms of performance metrics\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eTable \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e4\u003c/span\u003e shows the results of the statistical evaluation of the single- and multi-task models for each performance metric. In the comparison between the two groups by p-value, the single-task model was superior to the multi-3task model, and the single-task model was superior to the standard statistical approach for all metrics. In the single-task and multi-2task (class and position) models, the single-task model was superior in all metrics except the AUC for position classification.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"gridtable\"\u003e\u003ctable border=\"1\" id=\"Tab4\"\u003e\n \u003ccaption language=\"En\"\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionNumber\"\u003eTable 4\u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionContent\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eStatistical comparisons by p-value and effect size for the single-task and multi-task models.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003c/caption\u003e\n \u003cthead\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eClass\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAccuracy\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePrecision\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eRecall\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eF1 score\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAUC\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/thead\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eP value\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti3\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.029\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.064\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.006\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.006\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;.0001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti2\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.996\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.994\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.955\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.966\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.523\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eEffect size\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti3\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.674\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.554\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.857\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.817\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e1.823\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti2\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.019\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.0235\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.064\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.057\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.233\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePosition\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAccuracy\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePrecision\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eRecall\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eF1 score\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAUC\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eP value\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti3\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.056\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.062\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.030\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.014\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.447\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti2\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.947\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.851\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.491\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.497\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.887\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eEffect size\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti3\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.616\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.651\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.641\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.759\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.267\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti2\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.068\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.1122\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.281\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.258\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e0.122\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eWinter\u0026apos;s\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAccuracy\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePrecision\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eRecall\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eF1 score\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAUC\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eP value\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti3\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;.0001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;.0001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;.0001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;.0001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;.0001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eEffect size\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti3\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e2.082\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e1.699\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e2.285\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e2.072\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e1.238\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tbody\u003e\n \u003ctfoot\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd colspan=\"6\"\u003eSD: standard deviation, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, AUC: Area under the ROC curve\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tfoot\u003e\n \u003c/table\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eRegarding effect size, in the single-task and multi-3task models, the effect size was large for all metrics except position classification (AUC and p-value). On the other hand, in the single-task and multi-2task models, recall and F1 score (in the position classification) showed medium effect sizes, and all other parameters showed small effect sizes.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec7\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e2.2. Visualization\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eGrad-CAM was used to explain the prediction process for the CNN in terms of identifying each category. As a result, we visualized the judgment basis for determining the identification image area used for classification (Fig. \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e1\u003c/span\u003e, FigureS2). For the classification of class and position, the space above the mandibular third molar is regarded as a characteristic area of the CNN judgment basis. In contrast, Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification was used as a characteristic area for classification judgment of the entire crown of the mandibular third molar. In the multi-task models, in addition to the characteristics for each task, the characteristics of other simultaneously learned tasks were added to the criteria. In addition, because of a tendency of multi-task feature areas, we mainly focused on areas that are common to these models.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e"},{"header":"3. Discussion","content":"\u003cp\u003eIn this deep learning study, mandibular third molar classification (class, position, Winter's classification) was performed in single-task and multi-task models. In multi-task models, in which three classification tasks are performed at the same time and for each single-task, we found that the classification evaluation metric was statistically superior to that of the multi-task models. There was no statistical difference in classification accuracy between the multi-task and single-task models, two tasks (class and position) were performed simultaneously.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMulti-task modeling uses inductive transfer to improve task learning by using signals from related tasks discovered during training [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR20\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e20\u003c/span\u003e]. Multi-tasks have a great advantage in reducing calculation costs because they can perform multiple tasks simultaneously. In fact, in our research, we found a big difference when comparing the total number of parameters for each single-task and the number of parameters for multiple tasks. In addition, multiple tasks can improve the accuracy of other classifications by learning the characteristics common to each task [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR13\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e13\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR21\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e21\u003c/span\u003e]. However, in our results, the classification performance of multi-task models decreased after three tasks. This may be due to the fact that each task has classification criteria for different characteristics. In multi-task models, classification performance may be degraded as a result of conflicting areas of interest for the classification of each task.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe mandibular third molar classifications performed in this study were the Pell and Gregory classification as well as Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification. In the Pell and Gregory classification, there are classes and positions that are classified according to the mesio-distal positional relationship and vertical depth of the mandibular third molar [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR6\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e]. This classification has a criterion that defines the amount of space between the mandibular second molar and ramus of the mandible. Position classification classifies the vertical positional relationship based on the mandibular second molar. The positional relationship between the second molar and mandibular third molar is a common criterion. Accuracy was improved by multi-task these two tasks. Unfortunately, no statistically significant improvement in performance metrics was observed. On the other hand, we found a statistically significant decrease in classification performance in the three multi-task tasks with the addition of Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification. Specifically, in Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification, the angulation and inclination of the mandibular third molar is judged, with the orientation of the mandibular third molar as the criterion [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR7\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e7\u003c/span\u003e]. Because feature extraction is weighted toward the entire mandibular third molar, it is possible that the features for predicting CNN were different from those of the Pell and Gregory classification.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFew studies have used deep learning to classify the position of the mandibular third molar. Yoo et al. [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR22\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e22\u003c/span\u003e] performed class, position, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications of the mandibular third molar. The observed accuracy was 78.1% for class, 82.0% for position, and 90.2% for Winter's classification. Although Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification cannot be compared because all evaluations had not been made, our results are more accurate for class and position.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFor the weights learnt by the CNN, Grad-CAM can use the gradient of the classification score for convolutional features determined by the network to understand which parts of the image are most important for classification [\u003cspan citationid=\"CR19\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e19\u003c/span\u003e]. Grad-CAM can visualize the judgment basis for learning by CNN, which is regarded as a black box. In this study, visualization was performed using the gradient of the final convolution layer. Visualization results for Grad-CAM class and position classifications often show similar feature areas, while Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications primarily assign features to the entire crown. Interestingly, in the multi-task models, the characteristics of the other tasks were added to the judgement basis in addition to the characteristics of each task. The rate of classification errors may have therefore been increased by referring to other parts that deviated from the judgment basis based on the original most notable features in multi-task.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSince statistically significant differences are easily recognized in proportion to the sample size within statistical hypothesis tests between two groups, effect sizes and statistically significant differences are important for evaluating substantial differences[\u003cspan citationid=\"CR23\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e23\u003c/span\u003e]. Effect size can be interpreted as a value that indicates the actual magnitude of the difference and that does not depend on the unit of measurement, this is one of the most important indicators for analysis. In this study, there was a correlation between the statistical hypothesis test between the two groups and effect size, statistical evaluations showed that the sample size was appropriate. Our study is the first to show the effect size for the evaluation of mandibular third molar position classification using deep learning. The effect sizes calculated from this experiment will be useful when pre-designing the sample size in a similar study. To our knowledge, there are few reports on the calculation of effect sizes for comparison between deep learning models.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDiagnosis of the third mandibular molar is the most common oral surgery and is important not only for oral and maxillofacial surgeons, but also for general dentists. Accurate diagnosis leads to safe tooth extraction. In the future, as an auxiliary diagnosis, it is desirable to automatically diagnose the mandibular third molar using deep learning on the captured digital panoramic X-ray image. For this purpose, we would like to work on automatic detection using object detection of the mandibular third molar.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe strength of our study over previous studies is that the influence of multitask learning has been statistically evaluated. The mandibular third molar classification grouping performed in this study was as close as possible to the clinical setting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to statistically and visually reveal the influence of multitask learning on mandibular third molar classification by deep learning. Grad-CAM has revealed areas of interest for each model of CNN. The calculated effect size can also be used to estimate the sample size for future studies. It is suitable for evaluating results statistically correctly, rather than simply comparing values ​​between different groups.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis study had several limitations. First, the amount of data for the current evaluation was modest. Especially in the Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification, there are few buccolingual and inverted results, which could result in bias. We verified our findings using a stratified K-fold CV, so that there is no bias in the data set for training, however, it is important to conduct further studies with a larger amount5 of data. Second, the CNN type was VGG16 only. In the future, CNNs with various characteristics should be evaluated, and it will be necessary to verify the most suitable CNN. The third limitation is the search for a Pareto optimal solution. In multi-task learning, classification performance is degraded as a result of conflicting areas of interest for the classification of each task. Therefore, in multi-task learning, it is necessary to consider the ratio of the gradients of loss function, in which the gradients of each task are relatively balanced.\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"4. Conclusions","content":"\u003cp\u003eTo our knowledge, this deep learning study of the classification (class, position, Winter) of the mandibular third molar is the first study to examine single-task and multi-task models. The multi-task model with two tasks (class and position) was not statistically significantly different from single-task models, the three multi-task classifications were statistically significantly less accurate than the respective single-task classifications. Finally, we found that, in the deep learning classification of the mandibular third molar, it is more effective to classify the Pell and Gregory, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications as their respective tasks. Our results will greatly contribute to the development of automatic classification and diagnosis of mandibular third molars from individual panoramic radiograph images in the future.\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"5. Materials And Methods","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec11\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.1. Study design\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe purpose of this study was to evaluate the classification accuracy of CNN-based deep learning models using cropped panoramic radiographs according to the Pell and Gregory, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications for the location of the mandibular third molars. Supervised learning was chosen as the method for deep learning analysis. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of single-task and multi-task learning.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec12\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.2. Data acquisition\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eWe used retrospective radiographic image data collected from April 2014 to December 2020 at a single general hospital. This study was approved by the institutional review boards of the respective institutions hosting this work (the institutional review boards of Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, approval number 1020) and was conducted in accordance with the ethical standards of the Declaration of Helsinki and its later amendments. Informed consent was waived for this retrospective study because no protected health information was used by the institutional review boards of Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital. Study data included patient\u0026rsquo;s aged 16\u0026ndash;76 years who had panoramic radiographs taken at our hospital prior to extracting their mandibular third molars.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eIn the Pell and Gregory classification, the mandibular second molar was the diagnostic criterion. Therefore, cases of mandibular second molar defects, impacted teeth, and residual roots were excluded from the current study. We also excluded unclear images, residual plates after mandibular fracture, and residual third molar root or tooth extraction interruptions. We evaluated residual third molar roots (39 teeth), mandibular second molar defects or residual teeth (15 teeth), impacted mandibular second molars (12 teeth), tooth extraction interruptions of third molars (9 teeth), unclear images (3 teeth), and residual plates after mandibular fracture (1 tooth). A total of 1,330 mandibular third molars were retained for further deep learning analysis.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec13\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.3 Data preprocessing\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eImages were acquired using dental digital panoramic radiographs (AZ3000CMR or Hyper-G CMF, Asahiroentgen Ind. Co., Ltd., Kyoto, Japan). All digital image data were output in Tagged Image File Format format (2964 \u0026times; 1464, 2694 \u0026times; 1450, 2776\u0026times; 1450, or 2804 \u0026times; 1450 pixels) via the Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital Picture Archiving and Communication Systems system (Hope Dr Able-GX, Fujitsu Co., Tokyo, Japan). Two maxillofacial surgeons manually identified areas of interest on the digital panoramic radiographs using Photoshop Elements (Adobe Systems, Inc., San Jose, CA, USA) under the supervision of an expert oral and maxillofacial surgeon. The method of cropping the image was to cut out the mandibular second molar and the ramus of the mandible in the mesio-distal direction and to completely include the apex of the mandibular third molar in the vertical direction (Fig. \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e2\u003c/span\u003e). The cropped images had a resolution of 96 dpi/inch. Each cropped image was saved in portable network graphics format.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe manual method of cropping the image involved cutting out the mandibular second molar and the ramus of the mandible in the mesio-distal direction as well as completely including the apex of the mandibular third molar in the vertical direction.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec14\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.4. Classification methods\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePell and Gregory classification [\u003cspan class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e] is divided into class and position components. Classification was performed according to the positional relationship between the ramus of the mandible and the mandibular second molar in the mesio-distal direction. The distribution of the mandibular third molar classification is shown in Table \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e5\u003c/span\u003e.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"gridtable\"\u003e\n \u003ctable border=\"1\" id=\"Tab5\"\u003e\n \u003ccaption language=\"En\"\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionNumber\"\u003eTable 5\u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionContent\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eDistribution of Pell and Gregory, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003c/caption\u003e\n \u003cthead\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\" colspan=\"4\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePell \u0026amp; Gregory classification\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\" colspan=\"2\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eWinter\u0026apos;s classification\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/thead\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eClass\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePosition\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eI\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e405\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eA\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e438\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eHorizontal\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e514\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eII\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e607\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eB\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e693\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMesioangular\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e346\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eⅢ\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e318\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eC\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e199\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eVertical\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e282\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eDistoangular\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e79\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eInverted\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e79\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eBuccoangular\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eLingualangular\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e30\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tbody\u003e\n \u003c/table\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eClass I\u003c/strong\u003e: The distance from the distal surface of the second molar to the anterior margin of the mandibular ramus was larger than the diameter of the third molar crown.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eClass II\u003c/strong\u003e: The distance from the distal surface of the second molar to the anterior margin of the mandibular ramus was smaller than the diameter of the third molar crown.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eClass III\u003c/strong\u003e: Most third molars are present in the ramus of the mandible. Position classification was done according to the depth of the mandibular second molar.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eLevel A\u003c/strong\u003e: The occlusal plane of the third molar was at the same level as the occlusal plane of the second molar.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eLevel B\u003c/strong\u003e: The occlusal plane of the third molar is located between the occlusal plane and the cervical margin of the second molar.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eLevel C\u003c/strong\u003e: The third molar was below the cervical margin of the second molar.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eWinter\u0026rsquo;s classification was classified into the following six categories\u0026nbsp;[7,\u0026nbsp;14].\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eHorizontal\u003c/strong\u003e: The long axis of the third molar is horizontal (from 80\u0026deg; to 100\u0026deg;).\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eMesioangular\u003c/strong\u003e: The third molar is tilted toward the second molar in the mesial direction (from 11\u0026deg; to 79\u0026deg;).\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eVertical\u003c/strong\u003e: The long axis of the third molar is parallel to the long axis of the second molar (from 10\u0026deg; to \u0026ndash;10\u0026deg;)\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eDistoangular\u003c/strong\u003e: The long axis of the third molar is angled distally and posteriorly away from the second molar (from \u0026minus; 11\u0026deg; to \u0026minus; 79\u0026deg;).\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eInverted\u003c/strong\u003e: The long axis of the third molar is angled distally and posteriorly away from the second molar (from 101\u0026deg; to \u0026ndash;80\u0026deg;).\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eBuccoangular or lingualangular\u003c/strong\u003e: The impacted tooth is tilted toward the buccal-lingual direction.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec15\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.5. CNN model architecture\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe study evaluation was performed using the standard deep CNN model (VGG16) proposed by the Oxford University VGG team [\u003cspan class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e15\u003c/span\u003e]. We performed. a normal CNN consisting of a convolutional layer and a pooling layer, for a total of 16 layers of weight (i.e., convolutional and fully connected layers).\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eWith efficient model construction, fine-tuning the weight of existing models as initial values for additional learning is possible. Therefore, the VGG 16 model was used to transfer learning with fine-tuning, using pre-trained weights in the ImageNet database [\u003cspan class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e16\u003c/span\u003e]. The process of deep learning classification was implemented using Python (version 3.7.10) and Keras (version 2.4.3).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec16\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.6. Data set and model training\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe model training was generalized using K-fold cross-validation in the model training algorithm. Our deep learning models were evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation to avoid overfitting and bias and to minimize generalization errors. The dataset was split into 10 random subsets using stratified sampling to retain the same class distribution across all subsets. Within each fold, the dataset was split into separate training and test datasets using a 90\u0026ndash;10% split. The model was trained 10 times to obtain the prediction results for the entire dataset, with each iteration holding a different subset for validation. Data augmentation can be found in the appendix.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec17\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.8. Multi-task\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAs another approach to the mandibular third molar classifier, a deep neural network with multiple independent outputs was implemented and evaluated. There are two proposed multi-task CNNs. One is a CNN model that can analyze the three tasks of the Pell and Gregory, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications simultaneously. The other is a CNN model that can analyze the class and position classifications that make up the Pell and Gregory classification simultaneously. These models can significantly reduce the number of trainable parameters required when using two or three independent CNN models for mandibular third molar classification. The proposed model has a feature learning shared layer that includes a convolutional layer and a max pooling layer that are shared with two or three separate branches and independent, fully connected layers used for classification. For the classification, two or three separate branches consisting of dense layers were connected to each output layer of the Pell and Gregory, and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classifications. Each branch included softmax activation. (Figure.3) Table \u003cspan class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e shows the number of parameters for each of the two types of multi-tasks and single-tasks in the VGG 16 model.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"gridtable\"\u003e\n \u003ctable border=\"1\" id=\"Tab6\"\u003e\n \u003ccaption language=\"En\"\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionNumber\"\u003eTable 6\u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cdiv class=\"CaptionContent\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe number of parameters for each of the two types of multi-tasks and single tasks in the VGG16 model.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003c/caption\u003e\n \u003cthead\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eVGG16\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eTotal parameter\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eTrainable parameter\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003cth align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eNon-trainable parameter\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/th\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/thead\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eMulti-3task\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e(Class, Position and Winter\u0026apos;s)\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e15,252,307\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e537,612\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e14,714,695\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eMulti-2task (Class and Position)\u0026nbsp;\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e+ Single-task (Winter\u0026apos;s)\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e30,492,314\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e1,062,924\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e29,429,390\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eMulti-2task (Class and Position)\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e15,246,157\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e531,462\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e14,714,695\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eSingle-task (Winter\u0026apos;s)\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e15,243,082\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e528,387\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e14,714,695\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eSingle-task\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e(Class\u0026thinsp;+\u0026thinsp;Position\u0026thinsp;+\u0026thinsp;Winter\u0026apos;s)\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e45,729,246\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e1,585,161\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e44,144,085\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eClass\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e15,243,082\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e528,387\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e14,714,695\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003ePosition\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e15,243,082\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e528,387\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e14,714,695\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"left\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eWinter\u0026apos;s\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e15,243,082\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e528,387\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd align=\"char\"\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e14,714,695\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003c/tbody\u003e\n \u003c/table\u003e\n \u003c/div\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eIn the multi-task model, each model was implemented to learn the classification of the mandibular third molars. In both trainings, the cross entropy calculated in (a) was used as the error function. The total error function (L_3total) of the multi-task model for the three proposed tasks is the sum of the Pell and Gregory classification class and position prediction errors (L_cls), (L_pos), and Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification prediction errors (L_wit) (b):\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://myfiles.space/user_files/58893_b39df98f09c4a4bb/58893_custom_files/img1627882422.png\"\u003e (a) (\u003cem\u003et\u003c/em\u003e\u003csub\u003e\u003cem\u003ei\u003c/em\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/sub\u003e: correct data, \u003cem\u003ey\u003c/em\u003e\u003csub\u003e\u003cem\u003ei\u003c/em\u003e\u003c/sub\u003e : predicted probability of class i).\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://myfiles.space/user_files/58893_b39df98f09c4a4bb/58893_custom_files/img1627882513.png\"\u003e\u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp;(b)\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe error function (L_2total) of the entire multi-task model for the two tasks was the total of the prediction errors (L_cls) and (L_pos) of class and position, as well as the Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification. (c):\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://myfiles.space/user_files/58893_b39df98f09c4a4bb/58893_custom_files/img1627882560.png\"\u003e\u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; (c)\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec18\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.9. Deep learning procedure\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eAll CNN models were trained and evaluated on a 64-bit Ubuntu 16.04.5 LTS operating system with 8 GB of memory and an NVIDIA GeForce GTX 1080 (8 GB graphics processing unit). The optimizer used stochastic gradient descent with a fixed learning rate of 0.001 and a momentum of 0.9, which achieved the lowest loss on the validation dataset after multiple experiments. The model with the lowest loss in the validation dataset was chosen for inference on the test datasets. Training was performed for 300 epochs with a mini-batch size of 32. The model was trained 10 times in the 10-fold cross-validation test, and the result of the entire dataset was obtained as one set. This process was repeated 30 times for each single-task model (for class, position, Winter\u0026rsquo;s classification), multi-task model (for class and position classification [two tasks], and all three multi-tasks) using different random seeds.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e\n\u003cdiv class=\"Section2\" id=\"Sec19\"\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.10. Performance metrics and Statistical analysis\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eWe evaluated the performance metrics, with precision, recall and F1 score and along with the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The ROC curves were shown for the complete dataset from the 10-fold cross-validation, producing the median AUC value. Details on the performance metrics are provided in the appendix.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe differences between performance metrics were tested using the JMP statistical software package (version 14.2.0) for Macintosh (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Statistical tests were two-sided, and p values\u0026thinsp;\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;0.05 were considered statistically significant. Parametric tests were performed based on the results of the Shapiro\u0026ndash;Wilk test. For multiple comparisons, Dunnett\u0026apos;s test was performed with single-task as a control.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eDifferences between each multi-task model and the single-task model were calculated for each performance metric using the Wilcoxon test. Effect sizes were calculated as Hedges\u0026apos; g (unbiased Cohen\u0026apos;s d) the following formula [\u003cspan class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e17\u003c/span\u003e]:\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://myfiles.space/user_files/58893_b39df98f09c4a4bb/58893_custom_files/img1627882604.png\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003e\u003cimg src=\"https://myfiles.space/user_files/58893_b39df98f09c4a4bb/58893_custom_files/img1627882623.png\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eM1 and M2 are the means for the multi-task and single-task models, s1 and s2, respectively, are the standard deviations for the multi-task and single-task models, and n1 and n2, respectively, are the numbers for the multi-task and single-task models.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eThe effect size was determined based on the criteria proposed by Cohen et al. [\u003cspan class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e18\u003c/span\u003e], such that 0.8 was considered a large effect, 0.5 was considered a moderate effect, and 0.2 was considered a small effect.\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003ch2\u003e5.11. Visualization for the CNN model\u003c/h2\u003e\n \u003cp\u003eCNN model visualization helps clarify the most relevant features used for each classification. For added transparency and visualization, this work used the gradient-weighted class activation maps (Grad-CAM) algorithm, this algorithm functions by capturing a specific class\u0026apos;s vital features from the last convolutional layer of the CNN model to localize its important areas [\u003cspan class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e19\u003c/span\u003e]. Image map visualizations are heatmaps of the gradients, with \u0026ldquo;hotter\u0026rdquo; colors representing the regions of greater importance for classification.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003c/div\u003e"},{"header":"Declarations","content":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAuthor Contributions \u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe study was conceived by S.S. and T.H., who also set up the experiment. F.T., S.S. and K.Y. (Kazumasa Yoshii) conducted the experiments. T.M., K.Y. (Katsusuke Yamashita) T.H., K.T., H.K., K.N. and H.N. generated the data. All authors analyzed and interpreted the data. S.S. and Y.F. wrote the manuscript. All authors have read and approved to the published version of the manuscript.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eFunding\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThis research received no external funding.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAcknowledgements\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThis work was indirectly supported by JSPS KAKENHI (Grant Number JP19K19158).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eConflicts \u003c/strong\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eof\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e Interest\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe authors declare no competing interests.\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"References","content":"\u003col\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eMoghimi, M., Baart, J.A., Hakki Karagozoglu, K. \u0026amp; Forouzanfar, T. 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Impacted mandibular third molars : classification and modified techniques for removal. \u003cem\u003eDent. Dig.\u003c/em\u003e 39, 330\u0026ndash;338 (1933).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eWinter, G. B. Principles of Exodontia as Applied to the Impacted Mandibular Third Molar : A Complete Treatise on the Operative Technic with Clinical Diagnoses and Radiographic Interpretations (American Medical Books, 1926).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eKhanagar, S.B., Al-ehaideb, A., Maganur, P.C., Vishwanathaiah, S., Patil, S., Baeshen, H.A., Sarode, S.C. \u0026amp; Bhandi, S. Developments, application, and performance of artificial intelligence in dentistry \u0026ndash; A systematic review.\u003cem\u003e\u0026nbsp;J. Dent. Sci.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e16\u003c/strong\u003e, 508\u0026ndash;522 (2021).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eEkert, T., Krois, J., Meinhold, L., Elhennawy, K., Emara, R., Golla, T. \u0026amp; Schwendicke, F. Deep learning for the radiographic detection of apical lesions. \u003cem\u003eJ. Endod.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e45\u003c/strong\u003e, 917-922 (2019).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eSukegawa, S., Yoshii, K., Hara, T., Yamashita, K., Nakano, K., Yamamoto, N., Nagatsuka, H. \u0026amp; Furuki, Y. Deep neural networks for dental implant system classification. \u003cem\u003eBiomolecules.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e10\u003c/strong\u003e, 984 (2020).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eKhanagar, S.B., Al-Ehaideb, A., Vishwanathaiah, S., Maganur, P.C., Patil, S., Naik, S., Baeshen, H.A. \u0026amp; Sarode, S.S. Scope and performance of artificial intelligence technology in orthodontic diagnosis, treatment planning, and clinical decision-making - A systematic review. \u003cem\u003eJ. Dent. Sci\u003c/em\u003e. \u003cstrong\u003e16\u003c/strong\u003e, 482\u0026ndash;492 (2021).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eLee, K.-S., Jung, S.-K., Ryu, J.-J., Shin, S.-W. \u0026amp; Choi, J. Evaluation of transfer learning with deep convolutional neural networks for screening osteoporosis in dental panoramic radiographs. \u003cem\u003eJ. Clin. Med\u003c/em\u003e. \u003cstrong\u003e9\u003c/strong\u003e, 392 (2020).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eSukegawa, S., Yoshii, K., Hara, T., Matsuyama, T., Yamashita, K., Nakano, K., Takabatake, K., Kawai, H., Nagatsuka, H. \u0026amp; Furuki, Y. Multi-task deep learning model for classification of dental implant brand and treatment stage using dental panoramic radiograph images. \u003cem\u003eBiomolecules.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e\u003cem\u003e11\u003c/em\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e, 815 (2021).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eYilmaz, S., Adisen, M.Z., Misirlioglu, M. \u0026amp; Yorubulut, S. Assessment of third molar impaction pattern and associated clinical symptoms in a Central Anatolian Turkish population. \u003cem\u003eMed. Princ. 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Effect size, confidence interval and statistical significance: A practical guide for biologists. \u003cem\u003eBiol. Rev. Camb. Philos. Soc.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e82\u003c/strong\u003e, 591\u0026ndash;605 (2007).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eCohen, J. \u003cem\u003eStatistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences\u003c/em\u003e, Routledge: Abingdon-on-Thames, UK, 2013.\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eSelvaraju, R.R., Cogswell, M., Das, A., Vedantam, R., Parikh, D. \u0026amp; Batra, D. Grad-CAM: Visual explanations from deep networks via gradient-based localization. \u003cem\u003eInt. J. Comput. Vis.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e128\u003c/strong\u003e, 336\u0026ndash;359 (2016).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eCrichton, G., Pyysalo, S., Chiu, B. \u0026amp; Korhonen, A. A neural network multi-task learning approach to biomedical named entity recognition. \u003cem\u003eBMC Bioinformatics.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e18\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cem\u003e,\u003c/em\u003e 368 (2017).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eZhou, Y., Chen, H., Li, Y., Liu, Q., Xu, X., Wang, S., Yap, P.T. \u0026amp; Shen, D. Multi-task learning for segmentation and classification of tumors in 3D automated breast ultrasound images. \u003cem\u003eMed. Image Anal.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e70\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cem\u003e,\u0026nbsp;\u003c/em\u003e101918 (2021).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eYoo, J.H., Yeom, H.G., Shin, W.S., Yun, J.P., Lee, J.H., Jeong, S.H., Lim, H.J., Lee, J. \u0026amp; Kim, B.C. Deep learning based prediction of extraction difficulty for mandibular third molars. \u003cem\u003eSci. Rep.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e11\u003c/strong\u003e, 1954 (2021).\u003c/li\u003e\n \u003cli\u003eGreenland, S., Senn, S.J., Rothman, K.J., Carlin, J.B., Poole, C., Goodman, S.N. \u0026amp; Altman, D.G. Statistical tests, P values, confidence intervals, and power: a guide to misinterpretations. \u003cem\u003eEur\u003c/em\u003e\u003cem\u003e.\u003c/em\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u0026nbsp;J\u003c/em\u003e\u003cem\u003e.\u003c/em\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u0026nbsp;Epidemiol\u003c/em\u003e\u003cem\u003e.\u003c/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003e31\u003c/strong\u003e, 337\u0026ndash;350 (2016).\u003c/li\u003e\n\u003c/ol\u003e"}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":true,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":false,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"multi-task, deep learning, convolutional neural network, classification, mandibular third molar, effect size","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-737538/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-737538/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003ePell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications are frequently implemented to classify the mandibular third molars and are crucial for safe tooth extraction. This study aimed to evaluate the classification accuracy of convolutional neural network (CNN) deep learning models using cropped panoramic radiographs based on these classifications. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of single-task and multi-task learning after labeling 1,330 images of mandibular third molars from digital radiographs taken at the Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery at a general hospital (2014-2021). The mandibular third molar classifications were analyzed using a VGG 16 model of a CNN. We statistically evaluated performance metrics (accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, area under the curve [AUC]) for each prediction. We found that single-task learning was superior to multi-task learning (all p\u0026lt;0.05) for all metrics, with large effect sizes and low p-values. Recall and F1 scores for position classification showed medium effect sizes in single and multi-task learning. To our knowledge, this deep learning study is the first to examine single-task and multi-task learning for the classification of mandibular third molars. Our results demonstrated the efficacy of implementing Pell and Gregory, and Winter’s classifications for specific respective tasks.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"A Deep Learning-based Positioning Classification of the Mandibular Third Molars: Is Multi-task Deep Learning Useful?","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2021-08-02 14:44:53","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-737538/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Major revision","date":"2021-11-08T13:24:21+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2021-11-08T09:59:28+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2021-11-07T06:55:12+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"91030440-e285-460e-a9bb-5dabfa1876c7","date":"2021-10-27T14:05:41+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2021-10-04T13:32:31+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"eae7346f-4d49-48fa-b670-5bbdf5adc01b","date":"2021-09-13T00:24:44+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"319b7d42-6258-4210-8fbc-bc3465a543bf","date":"2021-09-06T15:12:03+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2021-08-30T13:18:47+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2021-08-30T13:11:38+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvited","content":"","date":"2021-07-29T09:07:00+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2021-07-29T09:00:27+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Scientific Reports","date":"2021-07-21T01:32:30+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"4431161e-9e5c-4965-96d0-9dc2a0ff5691","owner":[],"postedDate":"August 2nd, 2021","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"under-review","subjectAreas":[{"id":6139642,"name":"Dentistry"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2021-12-21T06:44:11+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2021-08-02 14:44:53","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-737538","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-737538","identity":"rs-737538","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"_2-kVJe1T_tPrBINL-cwx","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}

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