Impacts of climate and land use change on ecosystem services in the agro-pastoral ecotone of western Liaoning Province

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The western Liaoning Province Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Intertwined Zone is situated on the outskirts of the northern agricultural and animal husbandry intertwined zone. The two main factors influencing ecosystem services in the area are land use change and climate change. The study examined the spatial and temporal changes in the region’s climate and land use over the last 30 years (1990-2020), evaluated the region’s ecosystem services, investigated the extent to which changes in the climate and land use have affected ecosystem services, and forecasted and evaluated land use and ecosystem services under various future scenarios. The InVEST model was used in this study to model how ecosystem services have changed over the previous thirty years. (1) According to the investigation, habitat quality has been gradually declining, especially along riverbanks and along the urban fringe. Over the course of 30 years, carbon storage gradually decreased. While hilly regions’ ability to retain soil decreased, high-altitude regions continued to store more carbon and retain more soil. (2) Both climatic and land use conditions significantly impacted ecosystem services, according to the quantitative study done with spatial detectors. (3) The land use status and ecosystem services for 2050 were predicted using the PLUS and InVEST models. According to the analysis, carbon storage was expected to decline but habitat quality and overall water production were predicted to increase relative to 2020 values, soil conservation capacity drastically decreased.
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Impacts of climate and land use change on ecosystem services in the agro-pastoral ecotone of western Liaoning Province | Authorea try { document.documentElement.classList.add('js'); } catch (e) { } var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'G-8VDV14Y67G']); _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); (function() { var ga = document.createElement('script'); ga.type = 'text/javascript'; ga.async = true; ga.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol ? 'https://ssl' : 'http://www') + '.google-analytics.com/ga.js'; var s = document.getElementsByTagName('script')[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(ga, s); })(); Skip to main content Preprints Collections Wiley Open Research IET Open Research Ecological Society of Japan All Collections About About Authorea FAQs Contact Us Quick Search anywhere Search for preprint articles, keywords, etc. Search Search ADVANCED SEARCH SCROLL This is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. 11 April 2025 V1 Latest version Share on Impacts of climate and land use change on ecosystem services in the agro-pastoral ecotone of western Liaoning Province Authors : Ye Li 0000-0002-3019-7743 [email protected] , Danxuan Ye , Xinran Han , Shuhao Xia , Jiuwang Jin , Xinyi Jiang , and Linhang Lv Authors Info & Affiliations https://doi.org/10.22541/au.174435326.68688823/v1 167 views 96 downloads Contents Abstract Supplementary Material Information & Authors Metrics & Citations View Options References Figures Tables Media Share Abstract The western Liaoning Province Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Intertwined Zone is situated on the outskirts of the northern agricultural and animal husbandry intertwined zone. The two main factors influencing ecosystem services in the area are land use change and climate change. The study examined the spatial and temporal changes in the region’s climate and land use over the last 30 years (1990-2020), evaluated the region’s ecosystem services, investigated the extent to which changes in the climate and land use have affected ecosystem services, and forecasted and evaluated land use and ecosystem services under various future scenarios. The InVEST model was used in this study to model how ecosystem services have changed over the previous thirty years. (1) According to the investigation, habitat quality has been gradually declining, especially along riverbanks and along the urban fringe. Over the course of 30 years, carbon storage gradually decreased. While hilly regions’ ability to retain soil decreased, high-altitude regions continued to store more carbon and retain more soil. (2) Both climatic and land use conditions significantly impacted ecosystem services, according to the quantitative study done with spatial detectors. (3) The land use status and ecosystem services for 2050 were predicted using the PLUS and InVEST models. According to the analysis, carbon storage was expected to decline but habitat quality and overall water production were predicted to increase relative to 2020 values, soil conservation capacity drastically decreased. Supplementary Material File (list of figures.docx) Download 19.47 MB File (list of tables.docx) Download 26.02 KB File (manuscripts.docx) Download 4.00 MB Information & Authors Information Version history V1 Version 1 11 April 2025 Copyright This work is licensed under a Non Exclusive No Reuse License. Keywords agricultural and pastoral intertwined areas of western liaoning province ecosystem services future scenario projections invest model land use and land cover Authors Affiliations Ye Li 0000-0002-3019-7743 [email protected] Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Danxuan Ye Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Xinran Han Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Shuhao Xia Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Jiuwang Jin Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Xinyi Jiang Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Linhang Lv Shenyang University College of Environment Key Laboratory of Eco-Restoration of Regional Contaminated Environment Ministry of Education View all articles by this author Metrics & Citations Metrics Article Usage 167 views 96 downloads .FvxKWukQNSOunydq8rnd { width: 100px; } Citations Download citation Ye Li, Danxuan Ye, Xinran Han, et al. Impacts of climate and land use change on ecosystem services in the agro-pastoral ecotone of western Liaoning Province. Authorea . 11 April 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22541/au.174435326.68688823/v1 If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download. For more information or tips please see 'Downloading to a citation manager' in the Help menu . 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