Scan Statistic Approach for Spatial Hotspot Identification and Modelling Socio-Economic Influences on Child-Targeted Crimes in India

Scan Statistic Approach for Spatial Hotspot Identification and Modelling Socio-Economic Influences on Child-Targeted Crimes in India | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Scan Statistic Approach for Spatial Hotspot Identification and Modelling Socio-Economic Influences on Child-Targeted Crimes in India Aayush Man Regmi, Jitendra Kumar, Narayan Sharma This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-6178163/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Children are among the most vulnerable members of society, often subjected to various forms of exploitation and violence. Improved spatial hotspot analysis techniques must be used to examine the crime hotspots (areas with a high intensity of crimes) and to map out long-term policies to protect children in India. The National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB), a part of the Ministry of Home Affairs, publishes year-wise data on various crimes across India. The present study aims to identify the spatial hotspots for child-targeted crimes for all districts across India using a statistical analysis tool (SaTScan). Furthermore, multiple linear regression analysis with R-squared of 0.806 is performed to find out which factor plays a significant role in increasing total crime against children in India. The result of the study from spatial hotspot analysis indicates that districts from the states Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, and Uttar Pradesh provide a more significant contribution to criminal hotspots for child-targeted crimes. From multiple regression analysis, the study found out that factors like cruelty by husband on his wife, liquor and narcotic consumption, play significant role in increasing the total crime against children in India. The insights and crime analytics presented in this study will aid in developing a roadmap for the government and other authorities for planning and implementing new policies in controlling and resolving child-targeted crimes in India. Crime against children crime analytics Hotspot Hotspot analysis Multiple linear regression SaTScan Spatial hotspot Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-6178163","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":434203170,"identity":"70910fb5-8fee-427c-b364-0f65e5c66f60","order_by":0,"name":"Aayush Man Regmi","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA/klEQVRIiWNgGAWjYLACxgY4aQNiNB4gRUsamEGsFjA4DCbxauFvP2Mm+XPHPTn5sMMNzIU7ztutbT8MtKXGJhqXFokzOWbSvGeKjQ1vJzYwzzxzO3nbmUSglmNpuQ249BwAamFsS0jcOBuohbftdrLZAaAWxobDOLXIn38DdFhbQj1Uy7lks/MP8WsxuJFjJsHblpAgLw3WcsDO7AYBWwxvPCu2Bmox3ADUcpj3THKC2Q2gLQl4/CJ3PnnjTaDD5OVnpz98zLvDzt7sfPrDBx9qbHB7n4HDAOLCA8CgAEZQIlhlAk7lIMD+AEzJg5QCtdjjVTwKRsEoGAUjEgAAwIpm3yt2/g4AAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"Vellore Institute of Technology University","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Aayush","middleName":"Man","lastName":"Regmi","suffix":""},{"id":434203171,"identity":"d793a071-8099-46dc-8305-9164ec13accc","order_by":1,"name":"Jitendra Kumar","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Vellore Institute of Technology University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Jitendra","middleName":"","lastName":"Kumar","suffix":""},{"id":434203172,"identity":"59db83c1-978b-4fce-afec-8aa4831e3218","order_by":2,"name":"Narayan Sharma","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Basel","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Narayan","middleName":"","lastName":"Sharma","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-03-07 12:08:29","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-6178163/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6178163/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":79369073,"identity":"21b67f54-7b8f-40c7-868f-84e0a39e19df","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-03-27 13:58:40","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":1188125,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"manuscript.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-6178163/v1_covered_7aee5608-0633-4d69-90ab-646717594899.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Scan Statistic Approach for Spatial Hotspot Identification and Modelling Socio-Economic Influences on Child-Targeted Crimes in India","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Crime against children, crime analytics, Hotspot, Hotspot analysis, Multiple linear regression, SaTScan, Spatial hotspot","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-6178163/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6178163/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eChildren are among the most vulnerable members of society, often subjected to various forms of exploitation and violence. 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