Abstract
13
Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death, demanding new tools to improve 14
mechanistic understanding and overcome limitations of stem cell and animal-based research. We 15
introduce T-World, a highly general virtual model of human ventricular cardiomyocyte suitable for 16
multiscale studies. T-World shows comprehensive agreement with human physiology, from 17
electrical activation to contraction, and is the first to replicate all key cellular mechanisms driving 18
life-threatening arrhythmias. Extensively validated on unseen data, it demonstrates strong 19
predictivity across applications and scales. Using T-World we revealed a likely sex-specific 20
arrhythmia risk in females related to restitution properties, identified arrhythmia drivers in type 2 21
diabetes, and describe unexpected pro-arrhythmic role of NaV1.8 in heart failure. T-World 22
demonstrates strong performance in predicting drug-induced arrhythmia risk and opens new 23
opportunities for predicting and explaining drug efficacy, demonstrated by unpicking effects of 24
mexiletine in Long QT syndrome 2. T-World will be available as open-source code and an online 25
app. 26
27
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Introduction
1
Computational modelling and simulations of cardiac cellular and organ physiology have become 2
an integral part of contemporary cardiovascular research, providing insights into basic 3
physiological mechanisms1, mechanisms of arrhythmia1, therapy guidance2, and drug safety 4
assessment3,4. Digital evidence increasingly influences real-world applications in the 5
pharmaceutical industry5 and regulatory bodies such as the FDA6 and EMA7. Combined with recent 6
advances in data availability, hardware, and software, these models are driving the vision of the 7
digital twin technology 8, producing a virtual tool that integrates clinical data acquired for an 8
individual and that enables personalised diagnosis and treatment strategies. 9
Computational modelling and simulations also hold tremendous potential to contribute to 10
reducing, replacing, and refining the use of animals in research (‘3R principles’). While some 11
animal-based studies in cardiac research are indispensable, simulations can minimise animal use 12
by guiding experimental design, predicting outcomes, and aiding interpretation. Human-specific 13
virtual cells can also predict functional implications of animal data in the context of human 14
physiology, addressing critical species differences that may, e.g., make a drug safe in mice but 15
dangerous in humans9. Correspondingly, the European Medicines Agency has recognised 16
computational modelling as a key trend in advancing 3R principles10. 17
Multiple successful models of human ventricular cardiomyocytes have been developed to 18
investigate specific mechanisms of cardiac (patho)physiology and arrhythmia. Rudy-family models 19
(ORd and ToR-ORd) excel at predicting drug responses and generating early afterdepolarisations in 20
realistic conditions, making them valuable for drug studies comprising safety and efficacy 21
assessment 3,4. Bers/Grandi-family models are known for realistic calcium handling11–13. The Ten 22
Tusscher 2006 (TP06) model is widely used to study arrhythmia related to restitution properties14. 23
Despite their strengths, each model family lacks generality, capturing only a small subset of 24
arrhythmic behaviours and manifesting important discrepancies with experimental data on 25
fundamental physiology. This limits their utility for mechanistic studies, analysing multifactorial 26
drug effects, modelling complex diseases such as Type-2 diabetes (T2D) and heart failure, or 27
integrative arrhythmia studies. Cells and their models are highly complex and include numerous 28
components connected through non-linear feedback loops. As a result, flaws in one model 29
component can cascade, leading to incorrect predictions in other components and behaviors. This 30
limits a model’s predictive power and usefulness beyond its original focus. At the same time, the 31
most innovative and relevant applications often arise precisely in these out-of-domain contexts. 32
The lack of generality is in part also why different cellular models were typically used to study 33
aspects of arrhythmogenesis at cellular versus organ level1. 34
The absence of a comprehensive and physiologically accurate virtual cardiomyocyte impedes 35
progress toward translational applications and expanding the context of use of cardiac simulations. 36
To bridge this gap and unlock the full potential of cardiac simulations in research, industry, and 37
clinic, we sought to develop a unified highly general virtual cell model. The generality should 38
include 1) accurate recapitulation of human cellular cardiac physiology and its modulation by drugs 39
or physiological changes, 2) the capability to manifest all key arrhythmogenic behaviours in 40
conditions used to provoke them experimentally. This comprises early and delayed 41
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afterdepolarisations (EADs and DADs)15,16, alternans17, and steep restitution of action potentials 1
(APs)18, 3) show suitability for multiscale modelling, enabling organ-level simulations. 2
Here, we present T-World, a novel virtual human cardiomyocyte that reproduces for the first time all 3
key cellular arrhythmic mechanisms and shows comprehensive agreement with data on human 4
cardiac physiology. Comparison to data not used in model creation demonstrates robust predictive 5
accuracy at a broad range of tasks. T-World integrates electrophysiology, calcium handling, 6
cardiomyocyte contraction, sympathetic stimulation, and sex differences, enabling comprehensive 7
studies of their interactions. T-World is freely available via Matlab, CellML, C, and CUDA, with a 8
free-to-use online graphical interface for non-coders (also runnable in Python). This model 9
advances our understanding of cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmogenesis by 1) identifying a 10
likely sex-specific arrhythmia risk in females linked to restitution properties, 2) showing 11
applicability to analysis of drug efficacy through analysis of mechanism of action of anti-arrhythmic 12
drugs, and showing excellent performance in drug safety testing and, 3) identifying causes of high 13
arrhythmia risk in T2D, and 4) suggesting NaV1.8 as a relevant treatment target in heart failure. 14
Methods
15
T-World is a virtual cell model using sets of ordinary differential equations to describe, based on 16
experimental data, the dynamics of ionic currents, fluxes, and subcellular signalling. The overall 17
cell architecture and calcium handling were mainly inspired by the Bers/Grandi family of models11–18
13, with most ionic current formulations being inspired by the ToR-ORd model4. In order to enable all 19
key arrhythmic behaviours in relevant conditions, and to avoid limitations of these frameworks with 20
regards to basic physiological behaviours and response to (patho)physiological changes, we 21
introduced numerous innovations, such as a new hybrid approach to coupling L-type calcium 22
current and ryanodine receptors, new L-type calcium current model, heavily revised model of the 23
ryanodine receptor, re-developed model of sodium-potassium pump, and a wide array of changes 24
to most cell components. The ‘World’ in the model’s name reflects the fact that model designs and 25
expertise from the whole world were essential in its creation, and it goes beyond outputs of a single 26
group. 27
Please see Supplementary Methods for a detailed description of the following: 28
1. Model architecture 29
2. Calibration and validation criteria for T-World development and evaluation 30
3. Description of equations describing the ionic currents and fluxes 31
4. Contractility representation 32
5. CaMKII and β-adrenergic signalling 33
6. Sex differences 34
7. Organ-level simulation methodology 35
8. Methodology for studies on arrhythmogenic behaviours. 36
9. Methodology for sample applications: in silico trials, type 2 modelling, and NaV1.8 current 37
investigation 38
10. Graphical user interface 39
11. Notes on implementation 40
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12. Sources of implementation of other models 1
T-World is distributed as open-source code and is available at , including sample scripts demonstrating its functionality. An online graphical user 3
interface enabling running T-World simulations is available at . Background of the T-World development, including the description of various dead 5
ends that we encountered during development, will be provided at the blog underlid.blogspot.com. 6
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Results
1
Representation and validation of cell and organ physiology 2
3
Figure 1. Cell and organ physiology. A) Conceptual diagram of the T-World model and its potential applications. See 4
Methods
for a detailed diagram including all ionic currents and cellular compartments. B) Endocardial action potential of 5
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T-World versus experimental ranges 19. Slightly higher peak in simulation versus data was chosen, given that our model is 1
a single cell, whereas the experimental data are in small tissue samples which show a reduced peak due to cell-to-cell 2
coupling. C) Calcium transient (CaT) of T-World with highlighted biomarkers versus experimental ranges for: CaT duration 3
at 90% recovery level (CaTD90, shown in green), time to peak (ttp, shown in yellow), and calcium transient amplitude 4
(max, shown in red), based on standard error of mean ranges data by Coppini et al.20 D) Active tension developed by T-5
World with highlighted biomarkers versus experimental ranges for: time from peak to 95% recovery (rt95, shown in green), 6
time to peak (ttp, shown in yellow), and maximum active tension (max, shown in red), based on Margara et al.21. E) 7
Independent validation of the APD prolongation or shortening induced by 1 µM E-4031 (70% IKr block), 1 µM HMR-1556 8
(90% IKs block), 1 µM nisoldipine (90% ICaL block), and 10 µM mexiletine (54% INaL, 9% IKr, 20% ICaL block) at 0.5, 1.0 and 2.0 9
Hz pacing in the four models. Drug concentrations and their effects on channel blocks are based on O’Hara et al.19 Please 10
note the distinct y-axes for the four drugs. F) Healthy ventricular model constructed from clinical MRI data and ECG 11
simulation (solid line) compared with the ECG record from the patient used for the ventricular anatomy. G) Ventricular 12
fibrillation simulation in the setting of acute ischemia, when stimulation rate is progressively increased. Heart snapshots 13
above the ECG illustrate different stages of progression towards fibrillation. 14
Based on extensive experimental data, the T-World model represents a broad range of ionic 15
currents and fluxes across distinct cellular compartments, as well as subcellular signalling 16
pathways and contractility (see Figure 1A for a high-level overview). Distinct model components 17
are described by sets of ordinary differential equations, constructed to recapitulate baseline 18
experimental data on single ionic currents and other cellular elements. Coupling all those 19
components together yields a virtual cardiomyocyte with a high degree of biological detail and 20
realism, which can be used as a model system in cardiac research. 21
The three key outputs of a cardiomyocyte model are its AP, calcium transient (CaT), and the 22
resulting active tension during contraction. T-World shows a very strong agreement with human AP 23
data19 with regards to AP duration (APD), resting membrane potential, and the overall shape of the 24
AP during plateau and recovery (Figure 1B). It is in better agreement with human AP shape than 25
most prior state-of-the-art models (Supplementary Note 1). The CaT is also in excellent agreement 26
with human data on time to peak, duration, and amplitude20 (Figure 1C). T-World incorporates the 27
Land model of contraction22 as in the work of Margara et al.21, and its outputs are fully consistent 28
with experimental data on time to peak force, amplitude, and time to 95% recovery of contractility 29
in human myocardium 21 (Figure 1D). 30
The cardiac AP is determined by the specific mixture of ionic currents, and a given AP shape can be 31
achieved through various combinations and balances of currents23. To verify that the balance of key 32
ionic currents in T-World is human-like, we validated it by simulating its exposure to four simulated 33
channel-blocking drugs at three pacing rates (Figure 1E-H). The strong predictive performance 34
predisposes T-World to applications in safety pharmacology. See Supplementary note 2 for 35
comparison to other models (noting, in particular, problematic performance of TP06). 36
Excitation-contraction coupling (ECC) in cardiomyocytes is a process that ensures that electrical 37
signals translate into muscle contraction and pumping of the heart. It involves 1) electrical 38
activation of the cell, 2) consequent opening of L-type calcium channels, 3) triggering intracellular 39
calcium release from the sarcoplasmic reticulum (SR), 4) binding of the released calcium to the 40
contractile apparatus and resulting physical contraction. To correctly represent ECC, we introduced 41
numerous new developments in T-World compared to prior models, yielding a virtual cell that is in 42
excellent agreement with available data, while being mechanistically realistic. See Supplementary 43
note 3 for details of ECC development and validation. Briefly, the model maintains the realism of 44
calcium handling from Bers/Grandi formulations, while improving upon several important 45
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Limitations
of the framework. First, the model shows more physiological timing of calcium release 1
in response to L-type calcium channel opening with implications for better AP shape and overall 2
model plausibility. Second, T-World correctly responds to changes in SERCA pump function, which 3
enables plausible representation of disease and sympathetic nervous activity. The model shows 4
comprehensive agreement with heart-rate-dependence of various components of ECC, such as 5
calcium transient amplitude, contraction force, or SR calcium content; something not achieved in 6
prior models. Sodium concentration rate-dependence is also captured well, as is the relative 7
contribution of SERCA, NCX, and sarcolemmal calcium pump to clearance of calcium from cytosol 8
within an AP. Finally, T-World has human-like properties of the L-type calcium current (essential in 9
ECC), including current-voltage relationship, recovery from refractoriness, and relative contribution 10
of voltage- and calcium-dependent inactivation. 11
ECC and electrophysiology are strongly modulated by the β-adrenergic (βAR) signalling pathway, 12
which mediates the myocardial response to sympathetic nervous stimulation. Our model includes 13
the Heijman et al.24 βAR description, with modifications to account for updates to ionic currents 14
and inclusion of the contractile apparatus in the model (see Supplementary Methods). The 15
integrated model was calibrated based on human AP data, with subsequent validation 16
demonstrating a correct effect on CaT and contraction dynamics (Supplementary Note 4). 17
Pronounced differences exist between hearts from females and males, which subsequently 18
translate into differential risk of various adverse cardiac outcomes25. Given the extent and 19
importance of sex differences in cardiovascular physiology, we constructed a male and a female 20
version of T-World, based on available experimental data and prior simulation approaches26–28, 21
showing correctly longer APD and slightly reduced CaT amplitude and contraction in female 22
myocytes (Supplementary Note 5), supporting the utility of T-World for studies on sex differences 23
in cardiac (patho)physiology. There are also T-World versions for endocardial, midmyocardial, and 24
epicardial myocytes. 25
The virtual cell model can be used to build a virtual organ based on clinical MRI data, which enables 26
organ-level studies and reconstruction of ECG. We assessed the model’s performance across 27
scales by building a 3D model based on a patient’s anatomy, with the simulation yielding a human-28
like ECG signal (Figure 1F) 29,30. A major application of whole-organ models is the study of 29
arrhythmia such as ventricular fibrillation (VF), where the impact of tissue-level phenomena such 30
as fibrosis and conduction heterogeneities can be considered. However, numerous advanced 31
models like ToR-ORd or ORd struggled to produce VF dynamics unless their parameters were 32
specifically tuned for this purpose (in addition to imposing a pro-arrhythmic substrate such as 33
localised ischemia)30,31. Importantly, T-World does reproduce VF , as shown in Figure 1G, where VF 34
appears in the setting of acute anteroseptal ischemia and progressively increasing rate of 35
stimulation. Initially, the electrical propagation is stable, only manifesting ST segment elevation (a 36
hallmark of acute ischemia), but as the stimulation rate is increased, re-entrant wavefronts appear 37
(Figure 1G, snapshots 2,3), and gradually progress to spiral wave breakup and VF (snapshot 4). 38
39
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Cellular arrhythmic behaviours in T-World 1
2
Figure 2. EADs, DADs, and alternans in T-World. A) Experimental data showing EADs at 0.25 Hz pacing, with 85% block 3
of IKr with dofetilide32. B) EADs evoked in T-World under corresponding conditions. C) Demonstration of differential EAD 4
formation under varying degrees of IKr availability in the following types of myocytes: male, female, and female + increased 5
ICaL, reflecting the basal part of the heart in a rabbit study33. The y-axis shows action potential duration for a range of IKr 6
scaling factors (fraction of current versus baseline) on the x-axis, with sharp transitions corresponding to changes in the 7
number of EADs. Insets show APs at corresponding dashed lines. D) Examples of triggered activity resulting from DADs. 8
The end of the pre-pacing train is shown in blue, with the spontaneous activity given in red. E) Illustration of concurrent 9
oscillations in CaT and APD. LL = large/long CaT and APD respectively, SS = small/short. F) Modulation of calcium 10
alternans by reduced and increased SERCA activity, as well as by βAR stimulation. 11
Early afterdepolarisations 12
EADs, extrasystolic depolarisations during an AP, contribute to arrhythmogenesis and are 13
commonly linked to drug-induced cardiotoxicity and long QT syndromes, being typically driven by 14
the reactivation of ICa,L during prolonged APD15 (Figure 2A). T-World replicates EADs under realistic 15
conditions of drug-induced long QT (Figure 2B), similar to ToR-ORd and ORd models 4,19, with a 13-16
mV amplitude, similar to experimental observations 32. In contrast, the TP06 model requires nearly 17
tripled ICaL to manifest EADs 34 , likely due to excessive IKs providing strong repolarisation reserve. The 18
Morotti2021 model13 (the most recent human model from the Bers/Grandi family) similarly 19
necessitates a +150% ICaL increase to induce EADs (Supplementary Figure S23). 20
T-World also highlights sex differences in EAD vulnerability. The female T-World variant requires less 21
IKr inhibition to induce EADs compared to the male variant, indicating greater EAD vulnerability 22
(Figure 2C), supporting data showing higher risk of drug-induced arrhythmia in female hearts 27,35. 23
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Additionally, female-specific apicobasal ICaL gradients linked to estrogen36 suggest an additional risk 1
of EADs in basal regions of the heart in female models. Spatially constrained EADs resulting from 2
such gradients are likely to increase dispersion of repolarisation and may promote 3
arrhythmogenesis at the tissue level beyond the EAD risk itself 37. 4
Delayed afterdepolarisations 5
DADs are arrhythmia triggers occurring during diastole. They result from spontaneous SR calcium 6
release, generating inward currents (primarily via NCX) that depolarise the cell38, and are 7
particularly prominent in diseased hearts, such as in heart failure39. DADs arise from stochastic 8
subcellular calcium sparks best simulated by models with spatial calcium handling and stochastic 9
gating 40. However, given the high computational cost of such models, ‘common pool’ models with 10
similar complexity as T-World are often used to emulate DAD generation efficiently, especially 11
Bers/Grandi-like models such as Morotti202111,13. By contrast, ToR-ORd cannot produce any DADs 12
due to its RyR activation mechanism, while TP06 can yield DADs following parametric changes, but 13
these differ substantially from experimental recordings41. 14
T-World manifests spontaneous calcium releases and DADs (Figure 2D), and it can generate DAD 15
trains, as observed in certain experiments42 (Supplementary Figure S24). Spontaneous releases 16
are terminated when the SR content becomes sufficiently low following the spontaneous releases, 17
similar to experimental parallel measurements of intracellular and SR calcium43. In this regard, our 18
model differs from Morotti2021, where DADs stop occurring even when SR calcium keeps 19
increasing (Supplementary Figure S25). 20
To validate DADs in the model, we confirmed that faster pre-pacing and RyR sensitisation promote 21
DADs in T-World, as seen experimentally (Supplementary Figure S26). Furthermore, for 22
applications requiring stochasticity of DADs, we developed a version of T-World that includes 23
stochastic store-overload-dependent RyR release akin to the method by Colman et al.44 24
(Supplementary Figure S27). 25
Calcium and action potential alternans 26
Cardiac alternans, a periodic oscillation between long and short APDs, creates a pro-arrhythmic 27
substrate, promoting conduction block 45 and increasing arrhythmia risk46. APD alternans is 28
typically driven by underlying CaT oscillations and occurs at rapid heart rates47. While common at 29
high pacing rates in living hearts, many computer models do not recapitulate it, including the 30
Bers/Grandi family on which most of T-World calcium handling is originally based. 31
Thanks to its improved calcium handling, T-World produces AP and CaT alternans at realistic 32
frequencies48, with mild alternans at 260 ms and pronounced alternans at 240–250 ms (Figure 2E, 33
Supplementary Figure S28). Alternans is electromechanically concordant (long APD corresponds 34
to large CaT), matching experimental data in human-relevant species49–51. T-World shows CaT 35
alternans even when a fixed AP shape is imposed, confirming calcium oscillations as the primary 36
driver (Supplementary Figure S29). 37
A major improvement of T-World compared to prior state of the art is its correct response of 38
alternans to SERCA pump changes. Conditions like heart failure or pharmacological or 39
transcriptional SERCA reduction increase alternans vulnerability52–54, with alternans appearing at 40
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slower pacing rates. T-World accurately reflects this by showing alternans at slower rates with 1
SERCA reduction (Figure 2F). This is in contrast with ToR-ORd, where SERCA inhibition suppresses 2
alternans (Supplementary Figure S30). Finally, we validated T-World by showing that an increase in 3
SERCA function or βAR activation suppress alternans (Figure 2F), in line with experimental data55,56. 4
Steep S1-S2 restitution 5
Steep APD restitution promotes arrhythmias by facilitating reentry and spiral wave breakup in 6
cardiac tissue14,57. It is measured using an S1-S2 protocol, where a premature stimulus (termed S2) 7
follows a train of stimuli (termed S1), generating a curve relating APD to the preceding diastolic 8
interval (Figure 3A). Slopes of the restitution curve greater than 1 facilitate proarrhythmia, and 9
human studies show that maximum curve slopes slightly above 1 are not uncommon 58,59. The TP06 10
model has been historically popular, because of its steep restitution properties. At the same time, 11
e.g. the ToR-ORd model, on which most of T-World’s electrophysiology is based, has a relatively flat 12
restitution (peak slope ~0.5), limiting its utility in these aspects. However, our revised L-type 13
calcium current and other developments lead T-World to exhibit good agreement with experimental 14
restitution data (Figure 3A) and S1S2 slope >1 in a part of the curve for S1 interval of 1000 ms 15
(Figure 3B). The importance of steep restitution is supported by the fact that T-World can reproduce 16
VF (Figure 1G), unlike the prior ToR-ORd model, which required substantial adaptations to achieve 17
VF . 18
In 2017, Shattock et al.18 showed that the maximum slope of the restitution curve is largely 19
determined by the steady-state APD of a cell. Specifically, the longer the APD, the steeper the 20
restitution (Figure 3C), which was corroborated by multiple studies using different means of 21
changing APD 60–62. Importantly, T-World is the only model among those capable of steep restitution 22
that recapitulates this feature (Figure 3D), with the TP06 model showing a weakly inverse APD-23
slope relationship, and the Morotti2021 a strongly inverse one (Supplementary Figure S31). This 24
makes T-World uniquely suitable for studying how APD changes due to disease or drugs modulate 25
arrhythmic risk via restitution changes. 26
One notable exception to the observation by Shattock et al. is the effect of βAR stimulation, which 27
shortens APD, but steepens the S1S2 slope in humans58. As an independent validation, we 28
simulated the effect of βAR activation in the T-World model, which correctly predicted the 29
phenotype (Supplementary Figure S32). Furthermore, we validated that shortening of the S1 30
interval correctly flattens the S1S2 restitution (Supplementary Figure S33). 31
Measuring restitution slope separately for the male and female versions of T-World, we observed a 32
steeper slope in the female myocyte (Figure 3E, Supplementary Figure S34). This would point to 33
an increased risk of arrhythmia in female hearts through steeper restitution, but intriguingly, we 34
were unable to find any experimental study addressing this hypothesis. However, we were able to 35
obtain human ventricular data from the study by Lovas et al. 63 and re-analysed them for sex 36
differences in peak slope. Mean (SD) peak slope in males was 1.54 (±0.63), increasing to a mean of 37
2.38 (±0.92) in females (p=0.069, t-test) (Figure 3F). This suggests that females may have steeper 38
restitution properties, a previously underappreciated sex-specific hazard. 39
40
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1
Figure 3. S1-S2 restitution and stability of arrhythmic behaviours. A) S1-S2 restitution curve in the T-World, ToR-ORd, 2
Morotti2021, and TP06 models, and a range of human studies 58,63–65. B) Comparison of S1-S2 restitution slopes across T-3
World, ToR-ORd, Morotti2021, and TP06 models. C) Positive relationship between APD of a cell and its peak S1-S2 4
restitution slope, observed experimentally 18. D) Corresponding simulation in T-World showing that when a range of ion 5
channel conductances are varied (see Methods for details), cells with longer APD generally show a steeper slope of 6
restitution. E) Steepening of restitution in female versus male myocytes in baseline T-World. F) Experimental human data 7
comparing peak restitution slope in males vs females (N=7 in both groups, p-value obtained using unpaired t-test). 8
Stability of arrhythmic behaviours 9
To validate generality and robustness of T-World, we investigated the stability of the cellular 10
arrhythmic behaviours under parameter perturbation using a population-of-models approach. 11
While it is natural for cells, living and simulated alike, to manifest arrhythmogenic behaviours at 12
slightly different conditions, the majority of cells should be fundamentally capable of manifesting 13
them. In Supplementary Note 6, we demonstrate that T-World is highly robust with regards to its 14
arrhythmia precursor capabilities, which are its intrinsic properties, rather than phenomena that 15
only occur for highly specific sets of distinct parameters for each property. 16
Using T-World to predict drug effects and elucidate arrhythmia 17
mechanisms in disease 18
The robust representation of many cellular arrhythmia mechanisms makes T-World highly suitable 19
to facilitate a better understanding of their role in (patho)physiological conditions. Here, we show 20
how T-World can advance assessment of drug effects and provide insight into arrhythmogenic 21
mechanisms in diseases that may include diabetes, heart failure, or monogenic arrhythmia 22
disorders (e.g., the Long QT syndrome). 23
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Drug safety and efficacy assessment 1
Prediction of drug safety through in silico trials is a successful translational application of 2
mechanistic computer models, with considerable uptake by industry and regulators 3. This is 3
crucial as cardiac side effects are a major cause of drug attrition and market withdrawal 66. To 4
demonstrate utility of T-World for drug safety, we conducted an in silico trial using populations-of-5
models 3,4, comparing predictions against clinical risk data for 61 drugs (Figure 4A). Compared to 6
prior works, we updated drug safety annotation based on the most recent version of the 7
Crediblemeds classification 67, and pharmacological data for several compounds (see Methods). 8
A population of 343 models, constrained by experimentally informed human reference ranges for 9
APD, CaT, and contraction biomarkers (Supplementary Figure S35) was exposed to 61 drugs at 10
doses up to 100 times therapeutic levels. The model correctly predicted all no-risk drugs as safe 11
and all high-risk drugs as unsafe. Classifying the drugs into two categories of safe (no risk) and 12
unsafe (high, possible, or conditional risk) yielded a prediction accuracy of 87%, with 79% 13
sensitivity and 100% specificity (Figure 4B). This represents an improvement over the prior ToR-ORd 14
model, highlighting the robustness of T-World despite its entirely different calcium-handling system 15
and revised ion current formulations. 16
A drug effect prediction can be reliable only when the underlying drug description data are 17
accurate. T-World can identify incorrect pharmacological descriptions of drugs, which can limit 18
prediction accuracy. When a drug with known phenotypic effect (e.g. changes to APD or 19
contractility) is simulated, a discrepancy between the simulation and known reality indicates that 20
an important effect of the drug is not included in the drug description data. We illustrate this using 21
lidocaine, a safe sodium-channel blocker, where one of two available descriptions was excluded a 22
priori during data curation. Both versions block peak INa and weakly block IKr, with one additionally 23
potently blocking INaL. Lidocaine is known to shorten APD68 , and this is recapitulated only by the 24
version including the INaL block, indicating its superiority (Figure 4C,D). Interestingly, the incorrect 25
description generates EADs and falsely indicated arrhythmic risk (Figure 4C,D), highlighting the 26
need to exclude incomplete drug descriptions. In this case, exclusion of the non-INaL formulation is 27
independently supported by studies directly demonstrating INaL inhibition by lidocaine68. 28
Similarly, we also identified an inaccuracy in the description of cilostazol, with the original drug 29
description failing to predict the effect of the drug on contractility. This resulted from its arguably 30
main effect of PDE3 inhibition not being included in the pharmacological data, which focused on 31
ion channel blockade only (Supplementary Figure S36). 32
Finally, T-World can be used for studies on drug efficacy, either by identifying promising 33
combinations of single channel blocks, or by disentangling different pro- and anti-arrhythmic 34
effects of drugs with complex multi-channel profiles. Recently, the multichannel blocker mexiletine 35
was proposed against Long QT syndrome 2 (LQTS2) 69 caused by APD prolongation due to loss-of-36
function mutations in IKr. In Supplementary Note 7, we unpick the positive effect of mexiletine in a 37
LQTS2 version of T-World, linking it to dual inhibitory effect of the drug on INaL and ICaL, which 38
outweigh its IKr-blocking effect. Further research is required to assess whether the drug blocks IKs, 39
which could be problematic during βAR activity. 40
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1
2
Figure 4 In silico drug safety and efficacy assessment. A) Schematic of the in silico drug trial procedure, showing how 3
pharmacological data on dose-dependent inhibition of various currents by cardioactive drugs are applied to calibrated 4
populations of models. Subsequently, arrhythmogenic behaviours are detected, scored, and the prediction can be 5
compared to reference clinical risk. B) Predicted risk scores for 61 drugs with, with color-coded clinical risk, as in 3,70. 6
Tables of true/false classifications are provided in the right part for T-World and ToR-ORd. Please see Methods for a 7
summary of how several data updates lead to a subtly different performance of ToR-ORd in our study compared to the 8
original publication4. C) Effect of the first lidocaine description (with INaL effect) on AP to the left, showing overall safety to 9
the right (no model in the model manifests an EAD). D) Similar plot for the second lidocaine description available in the 10
database, showing gradual dose-dependent APD prolongation to the left and repolarisation abnormalities to the right. In 11
C, D, lidocaine effect is shown at the maximum concentration of 100x. 12
Assessing arrhythmogenesis in type-2 diabetes 13
The generality of T-World enables the creation of predictive disease-specific models. T2D is a major 14
21st-century epidemic linked to increased mortality, with cardiovascular disease as the leading 15
cause of death. Sudden cardiac death from ventricular arrhythmia is the primary driver, yet the 16
mechanisms behind ventricular arrhythmogenesis in T2D remain poorly understood 71. Limited 17
human data on ionic currents and calcium-handling proteins 72 show only partial alignment with 18
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14
heterogeneous animal studies. Progressive cardiac remodelling in T2D further complicates 1
consistent disease characterisation. 2
A significant portion of sudden cardiac deaths in T2D occur in patients using potentially 3
proarrhythmic drugs71. This suggests hidden cardiotoxicity in T2D, with usually safe drugs (or safe 4
drug concentrations) becoming dangerous. To investigate this, we created a range of models (D1-5
D6) reflecting key T2D phenotypes from literature, primarily using human data supplemented by 6
animal studies (Supplementary Methods – T-World applications). All models exhibited AP 7
prolongation (Figure 5A), consistent with clinical QT prolongation in T2D 73–75. All diabetic model 8
variants are more vulnerable to EADs (Figure 5B), requiring less IKr inhibition to trigger EADs. This 9
includes those with reduced ICaL (D3-D6), which could be thought to be more protected. Key drivers 10
of EAD risk were IKr reduction and INaCa increase, further heightened by CaMKII hyperactivity and 11
increased ICaL in D1-D2 (Figure 5C). ICaL reduction alone (a component of D3-D6) showed reduced 12
risk but not enough to offset other remodelling effects. This suggests that across different 13
formulations of T2D remodelling, T2D patients require less IKr inhibition to manifest EADs, therefore 14
facing higher arrhythmia risk at drug doses considered safe for non-diabetic individuals. 15
A different arrhythmogenic behaviour that is markedly increased in T2D patients is alternans76. We 16
used the D1 version of T-World, which has recapitulated the clinical observation, showing alternans 17
at slower pacing compared to non-diabetic versions (Figure 5D). Interestingly, Bonapace et al. 18
furthermore observed that alternans vulnerability is positively associated with and diastolic 19
dysfunction in T2D patients77. To investigate this phenomenon in T-World, we correlated the slowest 20
pacing rate for CaT alternans with diastolic function (tau of relaxation) in a population of models 21
with perturbed parameters. Models prone to alternans exhibited impaired relaxation, consistent 22
with clinical data (Figure 5E). We hypothesised and subsequently confirmed that reduced SERCA 23
pump function, crucial for relaxation and calcium clearance, can causally drive this relationship 24
(Supplementary Note 8). 25
NaV1.8 can drive EADs in the failing heart 26
Cardiac disease may remodel ionic currents active under physiological conditions, but it can also 27
involve expression of nonstandard ionic currents, absent in a healthy heart. We employed T-World 28
to investigate the role of NaV1.8, a primarily neuronal sodium channel subtype with recently much 29
debated functionality in the heart. While NaV1.8 is minimally expressed in healthy hearts78, it 30
appears in hypertrophic or failing hearts, and may contribute disproportionately to the late sodium 31
current INaL79,80. Increased INaL can in general promote arrhythmias by prolonging APD (leading to 32
EADs) or increasing sodium influx, reducing NCX calcium efflux and causing DADs. However, given 33
NaV1.8’s unique biophysical properties, including right-shifted activation and inactivation 34
compared to NaV1.5 (Supplementary Figure S37), we hypothesised it could directly generate EADs 35
by providing depolarising current during the late AP plateau. 36
37
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1
Figure 5. Arrhythmogenesis promotion by Type 2 diabetes and NaV1.8 current. A) Comparison of APs of six distinct 2
formulations of T2D remodelling (see Methods for details. B) Action potentials of control and T2D models across a range 3
of IKr multipliers (on y-axis). Sharp transitions between colours indicate a change in the presence of an EAD. Specifically, 4
the lowest teal point on the y-axis (APD of ca. 900) indicates the highest IKr availability which supports EAD formation. C) 5
The same type of visualisation showing how single elements of T2D remodelling considered throughout D1-D6 models, 6
added to the control model, alter EAD vulnerability. The ‘+CaMKII’ column also involves an increase in INaL, as described in 7
Methods, and ‘-ICaL’ corresponds to 80% ICaL density compared to control model. D) Comparing alternans vulnerability 8
(slowest pacing rate which induces CaT alternans) between population of control vs T2D models. The calibrated 9
population of 796 models used in Results: Stability of arrhythmic behaviours was used as the control population, with T2D 10
models created by adding diabetic remodelling to each of those models. E) A scatterplot of tau of mechanical relaxation 11
versus alternans threshold in the simulated T2D population F) Comparing control T-World model AP to APs obtained when 12
two different amounts of NaV1.8 current are added (expressed as relative percentage of peak INa). 13
Introducing a small NaV1.8 current (~0.3% of peak INa) to T-World prolonged APD (Figure 5F), 14
consistent with its role as an INaL source. Strikingly, increasing NaV1.8 by 2.75-fold (to only 0.8% of 15
peak INa) triggered EADs at 1 Hz pacing (Figure 5F). These EADs emerged at a take-off potential of -16
30 mV , clearly distinct from ICaL-driven EADs at -13 mV (Figure 4B). Simultaneous tracking of NaV1.8 17
current and ICaL during EADs revealed that NaV1.8 initiates depolarisation, subsequently activating 18
ICaL in a dual-current process (Supplementary Figure S38). Therefore, NaV1.8 can directly trigger 19
EADs rather than merely prolong APD to facilitate ICaL reactivation, potentially co-explaining 20
elevated arrhythmic risk in those patients81. This mechanism suggests NaV1.8 as a possible anti-21
arrhythmic target, e.g., providing additional rationale for the use of ranolazine, which is protective in 22
the hypertrophied heart20,82, and which blocks NaV1.883. Future work on NaV1.8 modelling is 23
suggested in Supplementary Note 9. 24
Discussion
25
Here, we present the development, calibration, validation, and application of T-World, a novel 26
computer model of the human ventricular cardiomyocyte. This model addresses a longstanding but 27
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16
unresolved need for a highly general virtual cardiac cell model with robust baseline physiology, 1
capable of replicating all key cellular mechanisms of arrhythmia. The model utilises a range of new 2
developments, as well as components and ideas from two influential modelling families from the 3
Rudy4,19 and Grandi and Bers labs11,12. It is the first model to unify those two different approaches to 4
modelling cardiac cells, improving upon their strengths, while resolving their known limitations. In 5
addition to good representation of DADs stemming from the Bers/Grandi framework11,12 and 6
presence of EAD in relevant conditions such as in ToR-ORd4, the model now manifests data-like 7
restitution properties and calcium-driven alternans which correctly responds to changes in SERCA 8
pumps. The model gains credibility through rigorous independent validation on unseen data, its 9
construction from well-characterised components, and its human-specific design, which bypasses 10
the species differences inherent to animal experiments (elaborated in Supplementary Note 10). Its 11
universality, predictivity, and adaptability make it an excellent tool for basic cardiac research at 12
cellular and organ level, pharmaceutical applications, and development of patient virtual twins 8. 13
T-World presents an important step towards realising the vision of the 3Rs: reduction, refinement, 14
and (partial) replacement of animal use in research and industry. It can also work synergistically 15
with in vitro models such as induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes, helping 16
interpret their so far still typically immature phenotype in the context of the adult heart84. T-World’s 17
human nature can also be leveraged to utilize animal-based measurements (such as protein level 18
changes) and predict their functional implications for the human heart, thereby “humanising” the 19
data. 20
The fact that T-World directly represents cellular biology means that it can be used to investigate 21
the modulation of its components by drugs and/or disease-related alterations. It can be for example 22
used to understand mechanisms of high arrhythmia risk in a given disease, and then help discover 23
drugs that can ameliorate such a risk. We used T-World to disentangle mexiletine’s antiarrhythmic 24
effects in Long QT syndrome type 2, showing it results from a dual INaL and ICaL blockade. Such 25
insights may be also used in future to explore new therapeutic combinations of distinct drugs. T-26
World is furthermore suitable for carrying drug arrhythmia studies in a sex-specific manner, having 27
reproduced the higher risk of drug-induced arrhythmia in females 27,35. Finally, with its 28
representation of contractility and improved excitation-contraction coupling, T-World is well-suited 29
for studying drug effects on contractility. This is another rapidly developing domain of applications 30
with high relevance for industry85. An advantage of the comprehensive nature of T-World over 31
single-purpose predictors is that it can be used to address compound queries, such as “find the 32
most anti-arrhythmic drug for a given condition without compromising contractility” . 33
T-World will be useful in preclinical drug safety testing, one of the most established translational 34
applications of non-animal methods, with significant industry adoption. We demonstrate T-World’s 35
excellent performance in drug safety testing through population-of-models in silico trials, slightly 36
surpassing the prior state-of-the-art ToR-ORd4. We believe that the main barrier to improved drug 37
safety prediction now lies in data quality rather than model quality, as shown by our data curation 38
process. Notably, we introduce a novel use of simulations to identify inaccuracies or missing data 39
in drug action datasets, based on the capability of the drug description data to reconstruct known 40
phenotype. Discrepancies between simulated and observed drug effects on e.g., action potential or 41
contractility can signal missing mechanisms in drug data description, guiding additional 42
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measurements. Missing effects likely contribute to misclassification of several drugs in our study 1
(Supplementary Note 11). 2
Notably, while the drug-induced arrhythmia risk mostly results from EADs, our study indicates via 3
simulations and subsequently analysed human data that females are also at a higher risk of a steep 4
restitution slope, which may promote arrhythmia at the tissue level14,57. This finding highlights how 5
simulations can be used to drive discovery in biological data. However, given the small sample size 6
and exploratory nature of the data, further larger-scale studies are needed. Considering the 7
elevated risk of EADs and steep restitution in females, our study reinforces the urgency of sex-8
specific drug dosing and treatment guidelines, which is currently not sufficiently addressed86. 9
Arrhythmias pose a significant risk in heart disease, and T-World’s improved baseline physiology 10
and arrhythmic behaviour make it ideal for studying complex cardiac diseases. Using T-World, we 11
constructed a pilot cell model for Type 2 diabetes (T2D), a condition with high arrhythmic burden 12
but limited mechanistic understanding71. The model revealed increased risks of EADs and 13
alternans, with T2D patients facing heightened vulnerability to drug-induced arrhythmia, which can 14
explain elevated rates of sudden cardiac death in this population. The suggested strong 15
involvement of NCX in the elevated EAD risk may warrant investigation of therapeutic potential of 16
NCX blockers such as ORM-10962, which inhibit both NCX and ICaL (both pro-EAD factors) while not 17
compromising contractility 87. At the same time, ORM-10962 was shown to inhibit alternans 18
experimentally88, possibly targeting also the second pro-arrhythmic aspect in T2D. Despite 19
promising results achieved, we note the urgent need to collect new, high-quality human datasets to 20
characterise and understand how T2D dysregulates the heart, given the paucity of existing data. 21
T-World’s realistic calcium handling and ECC make it well-suited for diseases with significant 22
calcium remodelling, such as heart and post-infarction remodelling. Unlike models like ToR-ORd, T-23
World can produce DADs, important in such diseases 39. A particular strength pertaining to 24
arrhythmia mechanisms is that T-World exhibits increased alternans vulnerability with reduction in 25
SERCA pumps, both hallmarks of those diseases 52,53. This is an improvement over major prior 26
human models such as Grandi et al. 12 which lacked alternans, or ORd and ToR-ORd4,19, which do 27
not respond well to SERCA changes. 28
T-World can be applied to study the role of nonstandard channels absent in healthy hearts, but 29
present in disease. In our study, we show and explain how the “brain-type” NaV1.8 channel may 30
directly contribute to arrhythmia in the diseased heart through its unusual gating properties. Our 31
Results
indicate NaV1.8 as a potential important target in heart failure. 32
The inclusion of βAR signalling and excitation-contraction coupling modulation makes T-World 33
highly suitable for exploring the neurocardiac axis in arrhythmia and sympathetic nervous system 34
studies89. It is particularly well applicable for studies on arrhythmia and sympathetic nervous 35
system, given that the validation has demonstrated strong predictive performance with regards to 36
modulation of multiple arrhythmic mechanisms by sympathetic nervous activity. 37
Several limitations of T-World, most of which are intrinsic to the level of detail modelled, are given in 38
Supplementary Note 12. 39
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The universality of T-World and its open-source nature predisposes it to the development of derived 1
cell models and their integration in organ-scale models. This includes other excitable cells (e.g., 2
atrial, sinoatrial, Purkinje, or neuronal), inclusion or adaptation of ionic currents, and addition of 3
new signalling pathways. To expand the model generality, we anticipate it will be particularly 4
important to represent dynamic regulation of trafficking and transcription 90 enabling studies on 5
long-term remodelling, representation of metabolism and reactive oxygen species91, and 6
integration with AI-driven structural modelling92. 7
Acknowledgments 8
J Tomek is supported by the Sir Henry Wellcome Fellowship (222781/Z/21/Z). J Heijman was 9
supported by the Netherlands Heart Foundation (grant no. 01-002-2022-0118, EmbRACE: Electro-10
Molecular Basis and theRapeutic management of Atrial Cardiomyopathy, fibrillation and 11
associated) and the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO/ZonMW Vidi 12
09150171910029). D Bers is supported by NIH grants P01-HL141084 and R01-HL092097. This work 13
was also supported by a Wellcome Trust Fellowship in Basic Biomedical Sciences to B Rodriguez 14
(214290/Z/18/Z) and the CompBioMedX project (to B Rodriguez., EP/X019446/1). This study used 15
high-performance computing resources from the Polaris supercomputer at the Argonne Leadership 16
Computing Facility (ALCF), Argonne National Laboratory, United States of America. The US 17
Department of Energy's (DOE) Innovative and Novel Computational Impact on Theory and 18
Experiment (INCITE) Program awarded access to Polaris. The ACLF is supported by the Office of 19
Science of the US DOE under Contract No. DE-AC02-06CH11357. The project was further 20
supported by the National Research Development and Innovation Office (NKFIH FK-142949 for N 21
Nagy). TM Bury is supported by a Fonds de Recherche du Québec - Nature et technologies (FRQNT) 22
postdoctoral fellowship. A Bueno-Orovio acknowledges support from the Innovate UK grant 23
10110728. M Colman is supported by Medical Research Council Career Development Award (Grant 24
Number MR/V010050/1). 25
We thank Eleonora Grandi, Stefano Morotti, Haibo Ni for useful discussions on how models derived 26
from Shannon et al. operate. We thank Dirk Gillespie, Dezso Boda, Pavel Jungwirth, and Geir Halnes 27
for their insights on how ionic driving force through open L-type calcium channels should or should 28
not be modelled. 29
For the purpose of open access, the authors have applied a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY-30
NC) public copyright licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this 31
submission. 32
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