A note on type S/M errors in hypothesis testing

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Abstract

Motivated by the recent replication and reproducibility crisis, Gelman and Carlin (2014) advocated focusing on controlling for type S/M errors, instead of the classic type I/II errors, when conducting hypothesis testing. In this paper, we aim to fill several theoretical gaps in the methodology proposed by Gelman and Carlin (2014). In particular, we derive the closed-form expression for the expected type M error, and study the mathematical properties of the probability of type S error as well as the expected type M error, such as monotonicity. We demonstrate the advantages of our results through numerical and empirical examples.

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europepmc
last seen: 2026-05-19T01:45:01.086888+00:00
unpaywall
last seen: 2026-05-28T02:00:01.590549+00:00
License: Public-Domain