Can the re-infiltration process be ignored for flood inundation mapping and prediction during extreme storms?

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Abstract

Coupled Hydrologic & Hydraulic (H&H) models have been widely applied to simulate both discharge and flood inundation due to their complementary advantages, yet the H&H models oftentimes suffer from one-way and weak coupling and particularly disregarded run-on infiltration or re-infiltration. This could compromise the model accuracy, such as under-prediction (over-prediction) of subsurface water contents (surface runoff). In this study, we examine the H&H model performance differences between the scenarios with and without re-infiltration process in extreme events¬ – 100-year design rainfall and 500-year Hurricane Harvey event – from the perspective of flood depth, inundation extent, and timing. Results from both events underline that re-infiltration manifests discernable impacts and non-negligible differences for better predicting flood depth and extents, flood wave timings, and inundation durations. Saturated hydraulic conductivity and antecedent soil moisture are found to be the prime contributors to such differences. For the Hurricane Harvey event, the model performance is verified against stream gauges and high water marks, from which the re-infiltration scheme increases the Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency score by 140% on average and reduces maximum depth differences by 17%. This study highlights that the re-infiltration process should not be disregarded even in extreme flood simulations. Meanwhile, the new version of the H&H model – the Coupled Routing and Excess STorage inundation MApping and Prediction (CREST-iMAP) Version 1.1, which incorporates such two-way coupling and re-infiltration scheme, is released for public access.

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