Spatial Analysis of Japanese Encephalitis Virus Transmission Risk Factors in Singapore

Abstract Background Singapore was previously endemic for JEV but the threat of JE remains. There is continued JEV transmission in animal hosts despite the banning of pig farming in 1992. Surveillance of mosquitoes, ardeid birds and swine gives public health officials useful warning signs for the monitoring of JEV. In this study, we aim to develop a JE Risk Map based on the data gathered by spatial and quantitative survey of the JE-associated vectors and animal hosts. Methods For over a year across the island, the distribution and population of herons were visually surveyed and the distribution of wild boars was captured with wildlife camera traps. Mosquito population data was collected from 16 sites with ecological factors suitable for JE transmission. The animal and vector data were then spatially analysed using open-sourced GIS software. Results Four JE high risk clusters were interpolated from the combined risk factors of data points. A JEV positive Culex tritaeniorynchus pool was subsequently detected in the largest of these JE high risk clusters.