Research on Stock Prediction Based on CED-PSO-StockNet Time Series Model

preprint OA: closed CC-BY-4.0
📄 Open PDF Full text JSON View at publisher

Abstract

Abstract In view of the complexity and uncertainty of the stock market, especially the noise interference in the stock data, the traditional single prediction method has been difficult to meet the needs of investors. This paper innovatively proposes the CED-PSO-StockNet time series model to improve the accuracy of stock forecasting. The model first introduces the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMDAN) technology, decomposes the original stock data, estimates the frequency of each component through the extreme point method, and recombines it, so as to effectively remove the noise. Then, the model uses the Encoder-Decoder framework which integrates the attention mechanism to accurately predict the reconstructed components, so as to better extract and use the data features. In addition, this paper also uses the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm to optimize the model parameters. Through five groups of comparative experiments, the effectiveness of each part of CED-PSO-StockNet model is verified, showing its significant advantages in stock forecasting.
Full text 14,898 characters · extracted from preprint-html · click to expand
Research on Stock Prediction Based on CED-PSO-StockNet Time Series Model | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Research on Stock Prediction Based on CED-PSO-StockNet Time Series Model Xinying Chen, Fengjiao Yang, Qianhan Sun, Weiguo Yi This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4683223/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 10 Nov, 2024 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted 23 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract In view of the complexity and uncertainty of the stock market, especially the noise interference in the stock data, the traditional single prediction method has been difficult to meet the needs of investors. This paper innovatively proposes the CED-PSO-StockNet time series model to improve the accuracy of stock forecasting. The model first introduces the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMDAN) technology, decomposes the original stock data, estimates the frequency of each component through the extreme point method, and recombines it, so as to effectively remove the noise. Then, the model uses the Encoder-Decoder framework which integrates the attention mechanism to accurately predict the reconstructed components, so as to better extract and use the data features. In addition, this paper also uses the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm to optimize the model parameters. Through five groups of comparative experiments, the effectiveness of each part of CED-PSO-StockNet model is verified, showing its significant advantages in stock forecasting. Biological sciences/Computational biology and bioinformatics/Data mining Biological sciences/Computational biology and bioinformatics/Machine learning stock prediction CEEMDAN Encoder-Decoder Attention mechanism PSO Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 10 Nov, 2024 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 30 Jul, 2024 Reviews received at journal 29 Jul, 2024 Reviews received at journal 24 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 24 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 24 Jul, 2024 Reviews received at journal 23 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 23 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 23 Jul, 2024 Reviews received at journal 23 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviews received at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers agreed at journal 22 Jul, 2024 Reviewers invited by journal 22 Jul, 2024 Editor assigned by journal 22 Jul, 2024 Editor invited by journal 07 Jul, 2024 Submission checks completed at journal 05 Jul, 2024 First submitted to journal 03 Jul, 2024 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-4683223","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":333420724,"identity":"4b387e2d-f561-4eec-9434-aa3aa31c73e0","order_by":0,"name":"Xinying Chen","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Dalian Jiaotong University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Xinying","middleName":"","lastName":"Chen","suffix":""},{"id":333420725,"identity":"e0fd5b24-8d28-408b-912c-8fee99da7e41","order_by":1,"name":"Fengjiao Yang","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Dalian Jiaotong University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Fengjiao","middleName":"","lastName":"Yang","suffix":""},{"id":333420726,"identity":"852e4ee9-309b-4bd8-abd2-0a5fef222540","order_by":2,"name":"Qianhan Sun","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Dalian Jiaotong University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Qianhan","middleName":"","lastName":"Sun","suffix":""},{"id":333420727,"identity":"4cb1124b-6596-4feb-aab1-eeac5c15f549","order_by":3,"name":"Weiguo Yi","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA0UlEQVRIiWNgGAWjYBACxmYGZjCDn735wIEPP0jRItlzLPHgzB7iLIJoMbiRY3yYg40Y9e3Mhw0+th3OMzhz5sNhBh4GeX6xA4QcxpacOOPM4WLJ470bDhdYMBjOnJ1ASAuP8WGeisOJfWfObjg8g4chweA2QS38nw//MTic2HAj58FhHjaitPAwJzMAbZlwI4eBWC1sxoY9Z9ITZ/YcMwAGsgRhvxj2H34s8bPNOrGfvfnxhw8/bOT5pQlpaUDlS+BXDgLyhJWMglEwCkbBiAcAmMNLZbGafLUAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"Dalian Jiaotong University","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Weiguo","middleName":"","lastName":"Yi","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2024-07-04 02:24:09","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4683223/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4683223/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[{"content":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78984-1","type":"published","date":"2024-11-10T15:58:20+00:00"}],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":68750239,"identity":"ffdea475-b60e-417d-b9b3-481787a237d6","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2024-11-11 16:11:36","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":926244,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"ResearchonStockPredictionBasedonCED.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-4683223/v1_covered_d98b13db-bf3c-42a7-99ff-9e5a45e3a3d1.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Research on Stock Prediction Based on CED-PSO-StockNet Time Series Model","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"stock prediction, CEEMDAN, Encoder-Decoder, Attention mechanism, PSO","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4683223/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4683223/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eIn view of the complexity and uncertainty of the stock market, especially the noise interference in the stock data, the traditional single prediction method has been difficult to meet the needs of investors. This paper innovatively proposes the CED-PSO-StockNet time series model to improve the accuracy of stock forecasting. The model first introduces the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMDAN) technology, decomposes the original stock data, estimates the frequency of each component through the extreme point method, and recombines it, so as to effectively remove the noise. Then, the model uses the Encoder-Decoder framework which integrates the attention mechanism to accurately predict the reconstructed components, so as to better extract and use the data features. In addition, this paper also uses the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm to optimize the model parameters. Through five groups of comparative experiments, the effectiveness of each part of CED-PSO-StockNet model is verified, showing its significant advantages in stock forecasting.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Research on Stock Prediction Based on CED-PSO-StockNet Time Series Model","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2024-07-30 11:11:01","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4683223/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Revision requested","date":"2024-07-30T08:39:50+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-07-29T04:52:30+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-07-24T14:25:38+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"35559861880580807653296193789663073318","date":"2024-07-24T13:28:59+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"258129405911643470981242006746397547927","date":"2024-07-24T13:04:05+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-07-23T13:45:52+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"313953983674059017208234965423451889583","date":"2024-07-23T09:22:13+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"15423473140755750082161149671819087707","date":"2024-07-23T08:48:59+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-07-23T05:10:37+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"179908563653139179782062952740852729120","date":"2024-07-23T01:18:35+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2024-07-22T14:53:09+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"316416832326853409131009545708119600182","date":"2024-07-22T14:24:51+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"51409216717223468976522569924233485925","date":"2024-07-22T14:10:21+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"121578807386739622743050322437545850298","date":"2024-07-22T09:12:36+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"17998050996096095177514899244408375388","date":"2024-07-22T09:09:23+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"157973713460939377604619636867027058617","date":"2024-07-22T09:02:25+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"39623871879616111770598821942256507693","date":"2024-07-22T08:44:12+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"228441761905079144276587683652302766811","date":"2024-07-22T08:29:17+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2024-07-22T08:17:19+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2024-07-22T08:14:12+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvited","content":"","date":"2024-07-07T14:12:54+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2024-07-05T05:04:48+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Scientific Reports","date":"2024-07-04T02:22:58+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"c62583c4-e6e9-4017-9e8f-6aacafa9050c","owner":[],"postedDate":"July 30th, 2024","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"published-in-journal","subjectAreas":[{"id":35308232,"name":"Biological sciences/Computational biology and bioinformatics/Data mining"},{"id":35308233,"name":"Biological sciences/Computational biology and bioinformatics/Machine learning"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2024-11-11T16:06:55+00:00","versionOfRecord":{"articleIdentity":"rs-4683223","link":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78984-1","journal":{"identity":"scientific-reports","isVorOnly":false,"title":"Scientific Reports"},"publishedOn":"2024-11-10 15:58:20","publishedOnDateReadable":"November 10th, 2024"},"versionCreatedAt":"2024-07-30 11:11:01","video":"","vorDoi":"10.1038/s41598-024-78984-1","vorDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78984-1","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-4683223","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-4683223","identity":"rs-4683223","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}

Text is read by the "Ask this paper" AI Q&A widget below. Extraction quality varies by source — PMC NXML preserves structure cleanly, OA-HTML may include some navigation residue, and OA-PDF can have broken hyphenation. The publisher copy (via DOI) is the canonical version.

My notes (saved in your browser only)

Ask this paper AI returns verbatim quotes from the full text · source: preprint-html

Answers must be backed by verbatim quotes from this paper's full text. Hallucinated quotes are dropped automatically; if no verbatim passage answers the question, we say so. How this works

Citation neighborhood (no data yet)

We don't have any in-corpus citations linked to this paper yet. This is a recent paper (2024) — citers typically take a year or two to land, and the OpenAlex reference graph may still be filling in.

Source provenance

europepmc
last seen: 2026-05-20T01:45:00.602351+00:00
unpaywall
last seen: 2026-05-27T02:00:06.600101+00:00
License: CC-BY-4.0