Ischemic Stroke after Bivalent COVID-19 Vaccination: A Self-Controlled Case Series Study

Introduction The potential association between bivalent COVID-19 vaccination and ischemic stroke remains uncertain, despite several studies conducted thus far. The purpose is to evaluate the risk of ischemic stroke following bivalent COVID-19 vaccination. Methods A self-controlled case series study was conducted among members aged ≥12 years who experienced ischemic stroke between September 1, 2022 and March 31, 2023 in a large California health care system. Ischemic strokes were identified using ICD-10 codes in Emergency Department and inpatient settings. Exposures were Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna bivalent COVID-19 vaccination. Risk intervals were pre-specified as 1–21 days and 1–42 days after bivalent COVID-19 vaccination; all non-risk-interval person-time served as control interval. We conducted overall and subgroup analyses by age, history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and co-administration of influenza vaccine. When an elevated risk was detected, we performed chart review of ischemic strokes, and re-evaluated the risk. RESULTS With 4933 cases, we found no increased risk within 21-day risk interval across vaccines and by subgroups. However, an elevated risk emerged within 42-day risk interval among individuals <65 years who received co-administration of Pfizer-BioNTech bivalent vaccine and influenza vaccine on the same day; relative incidence (RI) was 2.14 (95% CI, 1.02–4.49). Among those who also had history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, RI was 3.94 (95% CI, 1.10–14.16). After chart review, RIs were 2.35 (95% CI, 0.98–5.65) and 4.33 (95% CI, 0.98–19.11), respectively. Among individuals <65 years who received Moderna bivalent vaccine and had history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, RI was 2.62 (95% CI, 1.13–6.03) before chart review and 2.24 (95% CI, 0.78–6.47) after chart review. CONCLUSIONS The potential association between bivalent COVID-19 vaccination and ischemic stroke in the 1-42-day analysis warrants further investigation among individuals <65 years with influenza vaccine co-administration and prior SARS-CoV-2 infection.