An Approximate Analytical Solution to the Sir Model

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Abstract

An analytical expression, a formula, for the removed individuals in an epidemic, as a function of time, is suggested as an approximation of a Susceptible, Infected, Removed (SIR) epiemics dynamics model solution. The formula is shown to have an excellent fitting to real world data, as exemplified by the case of Italy in the New Coronavirus pandemic.

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europepmc
last seen: 2026-05-19T01:45:01.086888+00:00
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