Sleep Regularity and Mortality: A Prospective Analysis in the UK Biobank

ABSTRACT Background Irregular sleep-wake timing may cause circadian disruption leading to several chronic age-related diseases. We examined the relationship between sleep regularity and risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality in 88,975 participants from the prospective UK Biobank cohort. Methods The sleep regularity index (SRI) was calculated as the probability of an individual being in the same state (asleep or awake) at any two time points 24 hours apart, averaged over 7-days of accelerometry (range 0-100, with 100 being perfectly regular). The SRI was related to the risk of mortality in time-to-event models. Findings The mean sample age was 62 years (SD, 8), 56% were women, and the median SRI was 60 (SD, 10). There were 3010 deaths during a mean follow-up of 7.1 years. Following adjustments for demographic and clinical variables, we identified a non-linear relationship between the SRI and all-cause mortality hazard ( p [global test of spline term] < 0·001). Hazard Ratios, relative to the median SRI, were 1·53 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1·41, 1·66) for participants with SRI at the 5 th percentile (SRI = 41) and 0·90 (95% CI: 0·81, 1·00) for those with SRI at the 95 th percentile (SRI = 75), respectively. Findings for CVD mortality and cancer mortality followed a similar pattern. Conclusions Irregular sleep-wake patterns are associated with higher mortality risk. Funding National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (GTN2009264; GTN1158384), National Institute on Aging (AG062531), Alzheimer’s Association (2018-AARG-591358), and the Banting Fellowship Program (#454104).