Evaluation of the convection-permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME41t1 over northwestern Europe

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This study evaluated the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model over northwestern Europe using a 19-year simulation, finding it superior to the driving RCM in simulating extreme precipitation, snow cover, and diurnal cycles.

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This paper evaluates the convection-permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME41t1 using a 19-year, 2.5-km hindcast over a large northwestern Europe domain, compared against its coarser 12-km driving model (CNRM-ALADIN) via an added-value analysis. Because high-quality precipitation observations at fine spatial and temporal scales are limited, the authors compile a high spatio-temporal gridded precipitation dataset from seven national datasets, and assess long-term means, annual cycles, diurnal cycles in summer, and extreme-precipitation indices, alongside snow cover, radiation, and cloud cover using satellite estimates. They report little improvement over ALADIN for precipitation and near-surface temperature mean features, but more realistic behavior for some additional indicators, with clear added value for snow cover largely attributed to improved high-resolution orography. The paper acknowledges evaluation challenges stemming from observational scarcity at relevant resolutions and focuses on model realism over a regional hindcast rather than direct mechanistic attribution. The paper does not explicitly discuss endometriosis or adenomyosis; it was included in the corpus via a keyword match in the upstream search index.

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Abstract

Abstract Since a decade, convection-permitting regional climate models (CPRCM) have emerged showing promising results, especially in improving the simulation of precipitation extremes. In this article, the CPRCM CNRM-AROME developed at the Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM) since a few years is described and evaluated using a 2.5-km long 19-year hindcast simulation over a large northwestern European domain using different observations through an added-value analysis in which a comparison with its driving 12-km RCM CNRM-ALADIN is performed. The evaluation is challenging due to the lack of high-quality observations at both high temporal and spatial resolutions. Thus, a high spatio-temporal observed gridded precipitation dataset was built from the collection of seven national datasets that helped the identification of added value from CNRM-AROME. The evaluation is based on a series of standard climatic features that include long-term means and mean annual cycles of precipitation and near-surface temperature where CNRM-AROME shows little improvements compared to CNRM-ALADIN. Additional indicators such as the summer diurnal cycle and indices of extreme precipitation show, on the contrary, a more realistic behaviour of the CNRM-AROME model. Moreover, the analysis of snow cover shows a clear added-value in the CNRM-AROME simulation, principally due to the improved description of the orography with the CPRCM high resolution. Additional analyses include the evaluation of incoming surface longwave and shortwave radiation, and cloud cover using satellite estimates. Overall, despite some systematic biases, the evaluation indicates that CNRM-AROME is a suitable CPRCM that is superior in many aspects to the RCM CNRM-ALADIN.
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Evaluation of the convection-permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME41t1 over northwestern Europe | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Evaluation of the convection-permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME41t1 over northwestern Europe Philippe Lucas-Picher, Erwan Brisson, Cécile Caillaud, Antoinette Alias, and 8 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1393181/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 30 Jan, 2023 Read the published version in Climate Dynamics → Version 1 posted 4 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Since a decade, convection-permitting regional climate models (CPRCM) have emerged showing promising results, especially in improving the simulation of precipitation extremes. In this article, the CPRCM CNRM-AROME developed at the Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM) since a few years is described and evaluated using a 2.5-km long 19-year hindcast simulation over a large northwestern European domain using different observations through an added-value analysis in which a comparison with its driving 12-km RCM CNRM-ALADIN is performed. The evaluation is challenging due to the lack of high-quality observations at both high temporal and spatial resolutions. Thus, a high spatio-temporal observed gridded precipitation dataset was built from the collection of seven national datasets that helped the identification of added value from CNRM-AROME. The evaluation is based on a series of standard climatic features that include long-term means and mean annual cycles of precipitation and near-surface temperature where CNRM-AROME shows little improvements compared to CNRM-ALADIN. Additional indicators such as the summer diurnal cycle and indices of extreme precipitation show, on the contrary, a more realistic behaviour of the CNRM-AROME model. Moreover, the analysis of snow cover shows a clear added-value in the CNRM-AROME simulation, principally due to the improved description of the orography with the CPRCM high resolution. Additional analyses include the evaluation of incoming surface longwave and shortwave radiation, and cloud cover using satellite estimates. Overall, despite some systematic biases, the evaluation indicates that CNRM-AROME is a suitable CPRCM that is superior in many aspects to the RCM CNRM-ALADIN. Convection-permitting regional climate model precipitation CNRM-AROME CNRM-ALADIN added value Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 30 Jan, 2023 Read the published version in Climate Dynamics → Version 1 posted Reviews received at journal 04 Mar, 2022 Reviewers invited by journal 27 Feb, 2022 Editor assigned by journal 25 Feb, 2022 First submitted to journal 24 Feb, 2022 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. 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