Synoptic-Scale Modulation of Surface O₃, NO₂, and SO₂ by the North Atlantic Oscillation in São Miguel Island, Azores (2017–2021)

This study investigates the extent to which the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) modulates daily surface-level concentrations of ozone (O₃), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), and sulfur dioxide (SO₂) on São Miguel Island, Azores, between 2017 and 2021. Using validated data from two air quality monitoring stations, São Gonçalo (SG) (urban background) and Ribeira Grande (RG) (semi-urban), we applied descriptive statistics, seasonal Pearson correlations, and robust linear regression models to assess pollutant responses to NAO variability. Results reveal a significant and positive association between NAO phases and O₃ concentrations, particularly in spring and summer. NO₂ levels exhibited a strong negative correlation with NAO during summer in urban settings, indicating enhanced atmospheric dispersion. In contrast, SO₂ concentrations showed weak and inconsistent relationships with the NAO index, likely reflecting the influence of local and episodic sources. These findings demonstrate that large-scale synoptic drivers such as the NAO can significantly modulate pollutant dynamics in island environments and should be integrated into air quality forecasting and environmental health planning strategies in small island territories.