Analysis of Risk Factors For Sepsis And Indicators of Prognosis In Patients With Sepsis: A Retrospective Observational Study

Abstract Background: To investigate the independent risk factors for sepsis and the prognostic indicators of sepsis-related mortality to guide clinical practice.Methods: Adult patients diagnosed with sepsis in the respiratory intensive care unit (RICU), emergency ICU (EICU), and surgical ICU (SICU) of Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, from January 2016 to April 2021 were enrolled. Comorbidities, complications, and laboratory indicators were retrospectively analyzed. Variables with a p value < 0.05 in the univariate analysis were entered into multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors for sepsis. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used for those variables with P < 0.05 in multivariate regression to evaluate the fit of the predictive model and its prognostic efficacy. Results: A total of 123 adult patients with sepsis were enrolled, with 80 males and 43 females and a mean age of 61.56 ± 17.12 years. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) occurred in 84 patients (68.3%), acute kidney injury (AKI) occurred in 28 patients (22.8%), acute myocardial injury (AMI) occurred in 6 patients (4.9%), disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) occurred in 14 patients (11.4%), septic shock occurred in 40 patients (32.5%), and 41 patients (33.3%) died. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that mean arterial pressure (MAP), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, albumin level, and the presence of DIC were independent risk factors for sepsis (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve for the model including MAP, albumin, and APACHE II score was the highest at 0.890.Conclusion: The MAP, APACHE II score, albumin level, and DIC were independent risk factors for sepsis. The inclusion of the MAP, albumin level, and APACHE II score in the model yielded the most accurate prediction of the risk of mortality.