Predicted effects of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal fungi

Predicted effects of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal fungi | Authorea try { document.documentElement.classList.add('js'); } catch (e) { } var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'G-8VDV14Y67G']); _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); (function() { var ga = document.createElement('script'); ga.type = 'text/javascript'; ga.async = true; ga.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol ? 'https://ssl' : 'http://www') + '.google-analytics.com/ga.js'; var s = document.getElementsByTagName('script')[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(ga, s); })(); Skip to main content Preprints Collections Wiley Open Research IET Open Research Ecological Society of Japan All Collections About About Authorea FAQs Contact Us Quick Search anywhere Search for preprint articles, keywords, etc. Search Search ADVANCED SEARCH SCROLL Ecology and Evolution This is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. 30 April 2025 V1 Latest version Share on Predicted effects of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal fungi Authors : Muyao Qi 0000-0002-9743-087X [email protected] , Martin Bidartondo , Laura Suz , David Orme , Ricardo Arraiano-Castilho , and Carolina Tovar Authors Info & Affiliations https://doi.org/10.22541/au.174599928.80533518/v1 Published Ecology and Evolution Version of record Peer review timeline 430 views 240 downloads Contents Abstract Supplementary Material Information & Authors Metrics & Citations View Options References Figures Tables Media Share Abstract Aim To understand: i) how the potential influence of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal (ECM) fungi and, ii) how this influence varies with ECM fungal host specificity. Location Europe. Time period 1971-2021 Major taxa studied Ectomycorrhizal fungi Methods We applied an ensemble model to project the future distributions of 60 common ECM fungal species in European forests under three different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP370 and SSP585) for 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. Both biotic and abiotic environmental variables were included in the modelling process, with species classified into broadleaf specialists (19), conifer specialists (22) and generalists (19). We calculated the projected future distribution areas and centroids, and compared the future distribution to the current distribution (distribution area and centroids) for each species under different climate scenarios, changes in distribution area, and shifts in distributions under each climate scenario based on ECM fungal host specificity. Results We found that host tree distributions make strong contributions to future distribution modelling of ECM fungi, but their influence varied with ECM fungal host specificity. The distributions of most ECM fungal species will decrease and shift north under three climate scenarios in both 2041-2070 and 2071-2100, and most ECM fungal conifer specialists are predicted to lose their current habitat compared to broadleaf specialists and generalists. Main conclusions Our results indicate that most species are projected to lose distribution area, from 0.2 to 64%, under climate change. Thus, more attention needs to be paid to assessing the status of ECM fungi and their conservation, especially for conifer specialists. Supplementary Material File (predicted effects of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal fungi.docx) Download 2.43 MB Information & Authors Information Version history V1 Version 1 30 April 2025 Peer review timeline Published Ecology and Evolution Version of Record 17 Dec 2025 Published Copyright This work is licensed under a Non Exclusive No Reuse License. Collection Ecology and Evolution Keywords ecosystem ecology microbial multiple statistical terrestrial Authors Affiliations Muyao Qi 0000-0002-9743-087X [email protected] Imperial College London View all articles by this author Martin Bidartondo Imperial College London View all articles by this author Laura Suz Royal Botanic Gardens Kew View all articles by this author David Orme Imperial College London View all articles by this author Ricardo Arraiano-Castilho University of Lausanne View all articles by this author Carolina Tovar Royal Botanic Gardens Kew View all articles by this author Metrics & Citations Metrics Article Usage 430 views 240 downloads .FvxKWukQNSOunydq8rnd { width: 100px; } Citations Download citation Muyao Qi, Martin Bidartondo, Laura Suz, et al. Predicted effects of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal fungi. Authorea . 30 April 2025. 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