Registration and reporting characteristics of trials investigating exercise therapy following total knee arthroplasty: A systematic review

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Objectives Prospectively registering the primary trial outcome is important to reduce selective outcome reporting and increase trustworthiness of findings used to guide clinical practice. The objective of this systematic review was to explore and compare the reporting characteristics of prospectively and non-prospectively registered trials investigating exercise therapy following total knee arthroplasty. Design Trials comparing effects of exercise therapy after total knee arthroplasty due to osteoarthritis were sought in four databases from 2000 ( clinicaltrials.gov launch) to 12 th of August 2024. Randomised controlled trials comparing different exercise therapy interventions were included. Primary outcomes were extracted using a pre-specified hierarchy to reflect each trial’s most consistently reported outcome. Risk-of-bias was assessed using the Cochrane Collaborations Risk-of-Bias tool version 2. Results Ninety-four trials (n = 9,396) were included: 13 prospectively registered, 33 retrospectively registered, and 48 unregistered. A single primary outcome was defined in 43.6% of trials. Four trials reported a primary outcome consistent with a prospective registration. Prospectively registered trials reported smaller effect estimates (SMD 0.06; 95% CI −0.03 to 0.16) than retrospectively registered (SMD 0.67; 95% CI 0.22 to 1.11) and unregistered trials (SMD 0.59; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.86), and more often defined a single primary outcome, reported sample size calculations, and followed intention-to-treat principles. Conclusion Prospective registration and clear primary outcome definition were uncommon in trials comparing exercise therapy after total knee arthroplasty. Trials without these elements had larger effect size estimates at higher risk of bias, suggesting that registration status is an important indicator of methodological quality. Registration https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6WZRE Protocol and SAP https://osf.io/kwqcb/files/osfstorage
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Skip to main content Home About Submit ALERTS / RSS Search for this keyword Advanced Search Registration and reporting characteristics of trials investigating exercise therapy following total knee arthroplasty: A systematic review View ORCID Profile Birk M Grønfeldt , View ORCID Profile Rasmus S Husted , View ORCID Profile Rasmus H Brødsgaard , View ORCID Profile Line Holst , View ORCID Profile Thomas Kallemose , View ORCID Profile Cathy M Chapple , View ORCID Profile Carsten B Juhl , View ORCID Profile Thomas Bandholm doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.10.07.25337493 Birk M Grønfeldt 1 Department of Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK 2 Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Research-Copenhagen, Department of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK 3 Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen, DK 4 Clinical Orthopaedic Research Hvidovre, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK MSc Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Birk M Grønfeldt For correspondence: birk.mygind.groenfeldt{at}regionh.dk Rasmus S Husted 1 Department of Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK 2 Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Research-Copenhagen, Department of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Rasmus S Husted Rasmus H Brødsgaard 2 Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Research-Copenhagen, Department of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK MSc Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Rasmus H Brødsgaard Line Holst 1 Department of Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK 2 Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Research-Copenhagen, Department of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK MSc Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Line Holst Thomas Kallemose 1 Department of Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK MSc Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Thomas Kallemose Cathy M Chapple 5 Centre for Health, Activity and Rehabilitation Research (CHARR), School of Physiotherapy, University of Otago , Dunedin, Otago, NZ PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Cathy M Chapple Carsten B Juhl 6 Department of Sport Science and Clinical Biomechanics, University of Southern Denmark , Odense, DK 7 Department of Physiotherapy and Occupational Therapy, Copenhagen University Hospital , Herlev & Gentofte, DK PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Carsten B Juhl Thomas Bandholm 1 Department of Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK 2 Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Research-Copenhagen, Department of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK 3 Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen , Copenhagen, DK 4 Clinical Orthopaedic Research Hvidovre, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Copenhagen University Hospital Amager-Hvidovre , Hvidovre, DK Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Thomas Bandholm Abstract Full Text Info/History Metrics Supplementary material Data/Code Preview PDF Abstract Objectives Prospectively registering the primary trial outcome is important to reduce selective outcome reporting and increase trustworthiness of findings used to guide clinical practice. The objective of this systematic review was to explore and compare the reporting characteristics of prospectively and non-prospectively registered trials investigating exercise therapy following total knee arthroplasty. Design Trials comparing effects of exercise therapy after total knee arthroplasty due to osteoarthritis were sought in four databases from 2000 ( clinicaltrials.gov launch) to 12 th of August 2024. Randomised controlled trials comparing different exercise therapy interventions were included. Primary outcomes were extracted using a pre-specified hierarchy to reflect each trial’s most consistently reported outcome. Risk-of-bias was assessed using the Cochrane Collaborations Risk-of-Bias tool version 2. Results Ninety-four trials (n = 9,396) were included: 13 prospectively registered, 33 retrospectively registered, and 48 unregistered. A single primary outcome was defined in 43.6% of trials. Four trials reported a primary outcome consistent with a prospective registration. Prospectively registered trials reported smaller effect estimates (SMD 0.06; 95% CI −0.03 to 0.16) than retrospectively registered (SMD 0.67; 95% CI 0.22 to 1.11) and unregistered trials (SMD 0.59; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.86), and more often defined a single primary outcome, reported sample size calculations, and followed intention-to-treat principles. Conclusion Prospective registration and clear primary outcome definition were uncommon in trials comparing exercise therapy after total knee arthroplasty. Trials without these elements had larger effect size estimates at higher risk of bias, suggesting that registration status is an important indicator of methodological quality. Registration https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6WZRE Protocol and SAP https://osf.io/kwqcb/files/osfstorage Introduction Numerous systematic reviews have synthesised the results of trials evaluating exercise therapy interventions after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) ( 1 – 8 ). Due to methodological challenges in the trials included in those reviews; the best exercise therapy approach has not yet been established. Without clear guidance there is limited consensus on what exercise therapy content provides best results after knee replacement ( 9 ), and only broad recommendations are presented in the few clinical guidelines available (such as NICE ( 10 )). Randomised clinical trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard for evaluating causal inference of interventions and are frequently synthesised in systematic reviews forming the foundation of recommendations in clinical guidelines. RCTs are considered more reliable and credible than other sources (e.g., observational studies), as they are considered largely free from most biases, because of the randomisation process, prospective registration, and pre-specified analysis plans ( 11 , 12 ). Prospective registration and consistent reporting of trial objectives and outcomes are central to combatting questionable research practices such as HARKing (hypothesising after results are known), P-hacking (manipulating analyses for statistical significance), or cherry-picking (selecting only supporting data) ( 13 , 14 ). By extension, the definition of a single, pre-specified primary outcome is essential to avoid selective outcome reporting and the risk of being misled by selectively highlighted or altered results ( 15 ). Given that clinical practice guidelines—and thus, everyday treatment decisions—often rely on evidence from RCTs, it is crucial to understand whether such core methodological principles are upheld in the trials that underpin them. Prospective registration is the process of registering details on a trial’s intent, interventions, and outcomes, before enrolling the first participant ( 16 ). This practice is required by organisations, journals, and committees (e.g. anyone adhering to the Helsinki declaration or guidelines by the WHO or ICMJE ( 17 – 19 )). A 2016 meta-epidemiological analysis of Cochrane reviews found that unregistered or retrospectively registered trials tended to show larger treatment effect estimates than prospectively registered trials ( 20 ). The authors recommended future review authors report included trials’ registration status and conduct sensitivity analyses to judge the influence of non-prospectively registered studies ( 20 ). Outcome switching and selective outcome reporting has been found prevalent even in high impact journals ( 21 ). In studies of cardiological trials ( 22 ) and samples from high impact journals ( 23 ) unregistered and retrospectively registered trials were more likely to report favourable findings than prospectively registered trials. Physical therapy trials published between 2008 and 2012 found only 27% of RCTs reporting registration details ( 24 ). More recently, a review of trials published, from 2016 to 2020, across 15 physical therapy journals concluded that the prevalence of post-randomisation bias could not be ruled out, as both prospective registration (only 36% of trials were prospectively registered) and detailed data analysis plans were rare ( 25 ). While several systematic reviews have synthesised results from trials of exercise therapy after TKA ( 1 – 8 ), none of them examined whether the included trials adhered to best practice in trial registration or whether timely registration influenced reported effects. Because these trials contribute directly to the evidence base used in clinical decision-making, a closer examination of their methodological transparency is warranted. Research aim To 1) explore (primary) and 2) compare (secondary) the registration characteristics of prospectively registered and non-prospectively registered trials investigating the efficacy of exercise therapy following TKA. Methods This prospectively registered systematic review (25 th Oct. 2019, osf.io/6wzre) was reported in accordance with the PRISMA 2020 reporting guidelines ( 26 ) (Appendix 1). The protocol document (4 th Oct. 2019) and Statistical Analysis Plan document (6 th Mar 2025) are publicly available via the Open Science Framework registration at https://osf.io/kwqcb/files/osfstorage [dataset] ( 27 ). Eligibility Criteria We used the PICO(T) framework to define eligibility for the review ( Figure 1 ). Participants were human adults who had undergone TKA followed by an exercise therapy intervention. This may have been the active intervention under investigation, or additional to the active intervention if the effects of exercise were reported separately. Comparators could be no exercise, or a type of exercise clearly different from the active group. Any trial outcomes or durations were acceptable for inclusion for the primary aim. Study design was RCTs published after 2000 (launch of clinicaltrials.org ) with an accessible full text publication. Exclusion criteria were studies of TKA for reasons other than osteoarthritis, any RCT with multiple published reports of the same dataset and any report labelled “secondary analyses” to avoid double counting participants. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 1 PICOT table. Description of components relating to Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, and Timeframe of interest. Information Sources Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL and the Cochrane Central Register of Randomized Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were searched on 24 th July 2019 and last updated on 12 th of August 2024. The reference lists of included trials and relevant systematic reviews (published within the last 5 years) were checked for eligible studies and forward citation tracking carried out through Web of Science. No data was sought from other sources mentioned in the PRISMA checklist (e.g. registries). Any in-accessible reports were sought from corresponding authors via mail or researchgate.net. Search Strategy Search strategies targeted trials reporting on knee arthroplasty and exercise therapy. The Cochrane highly sensitive search strings (adapted to not target drug therapy or animal studies) were applied to primarily identify RCT’s in MEDLINE and EMBASE databases (Cochrane Handbook 6.5 chapter 4.4.7). No limits were applied with built-in filters. Search strings are available in Appendix 2. Selection Process Before screening, all searches were compiled and the Covidence.org duplicate screener was used to remove duplicates automatically. Manual removal of duplicates was carried out ad-hoc, by crosschecking trials as well as group values collected for participant data (BMI, age, n, sex distribution, etc.). Any record flagged as duplicate was verified by another reviewer before removal. Each record was assessed independently by two reviewers, first at the title and abstract level and second at the at full text level. Any reviewer disagreements were discussed until agreement. Translations (to address the relevance of trials in languages unfamiliar to reviewers) were achieved through Google Translate and DeepL.com . There was no further use of automation tools, AI, or crowdsourcing, for eligibility screening. Data Collection Process Data was extracted (using pilot tested forms) independently by two authors: BG, RB, LH, CJ, CC, TB, and RH. Disagreements were discussed until consensus. No missing data was sought from trial authors as we desired to synthesise publicly available data. Data points only available from figures were extracted and quantified using plotdigitizer.com . Data Items (outcomes) Data extracted included: trial design (registration, multicentre, number of study arms, intervention and control content), publication details (author, year, location), population (age, sex, BMI, type of surgery), interventions (description, initiation, timing, duration, differentiation) and reporting clarity (sample size calculation, adherence to intention-to-treat principles (ITT), adverse events, dropouts). Data for primary endpoints were extracted (mean and standard deviation at baseline and follow-up). The primary outcome was defined using the hierarchy presented in Figure 2 , prioritizing protocol-level registration data, supporting transparency, and avoiding post hoc outcome selection. Details of each extracted variable are given in the key table available in the data repository available through the osf.io registration [dataset] ( 27 ). Download figure Open in new tab Figure 2 Primary outcome extraction hierarchy. Description of the hierarchy used to select a primary outcome for inclusion. Selection would start at level 1 and if conditions were not met then level 2, checking the below level, and so forth. For trials with primary outcomes not presented within the domains of pain, disability, performance-based function, or a combination of them (such as a patient reported outcome questionnaire), the primary outcome score was not extracted. In studies with multiple follow-up timepoints, the one specified for the primary analysis was chosen. If not specified, the timepoint closest to the completion of the exercise intervention was chosen. If trials only reported standard errors or 95% confidence intervals and no standard deviations, conversion methods, and small sample size correction for trials with fewer than 60 participants, were used as described in chapter 6.5.2.2 in the Cochrane Handbook 6.5 ( 28 ). Study Risk of Bias Assessment Risk of bias of the extracted primary outcome was assessed for the effect of assignment to the intervention (ITT) using the Cochrane Collaborations Risk of Bias 2 tool (RoB2) ( 29 ). A single RoB2 assessment was deemed adequate to assess both baseline- and follow-up values (i.e. the comparison between the two). Each study was assessed independently by two assessors and disagreements were discussed until consensus. Effect Measures and covariates To evaluate the influence of registration status on primary outcomes, continuous outcomes extracted from available outcome measures within the domain of pain, disability, performance-based function, or a composite of these (such as a PROM) were used for statistical analyses. Study characteristics and the RoB2 evaluation are reported according to registration status, trials were grouped based on whether the registration status was prospective, retrospective, or unregistered. Analysis was performed evaluating registration status and study characteristics listed in Table 1 , excluding age, sex, BMI, and geographical location. View this table: View inline View popup Table 1 Trial reporting characteristics. Presentation of trial population, design, risk-of-bias, and intervention characteristics. Intention-to-treat definition: All randomised participants clearly included in assigned groups for analysis. * = Extracted either at primary outcome timepoint if specified - otherwise selected directly following end of planned exercise therapy intervention. View this table: View inline View popup Table 2 Meta regression analysis. Presentation of the influence of secondary covariates on SMD. Registration status was used as primary exposure for the analysis; hence Bonferroni correction was omitted for registration status. Primary outcome hierarchy levels: 1 = online registration, 2 = trial report, 3 = sample size calculation, 4,5 = emphases in abstract/objectives/results/discussion (grouped as there were too few), 6 = first outcome in results. PBF = Performance-based-function. Includes the 70 trials reporting extractable and comparable primary outcome measures, trials omitted from the analysis are referenced. Raw Tau 2 = 0.6358. Statistics The statistical analysis plan (SAP) was made publicly available on March 6 th , 2025 (after latest search, before any analysis) at https://osf.io/kwqcb/files/osfstorage before any analyses were undertaken. For analysis, the primary outcome across the following domains were combined: self-reported pain, disability, performance-based function, and composites of these domains (such as total scores from WOMAC or KOOS questionnaires). The effect of exercise therapy compared to the comparator are expressed as the Hedges’ g standardized mean difference (SMD), a bias corrected adjustment of Cohens d, suggested by the Cochrane Collaboration, and analysed by meta-analysis using random effect modelling (Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML)). SMD was applied to enable comparison across trials as the focus was on relative effect sizes rather than clinical interpretation per domain. Meta-regression analysis was used to estimate the effect of registration status on the pooled SMD, as well as the effect of the secondary covariates. Additionally, possible effect modification from the study characteristics on registration status was analysed by extending the meta-regressions to include an interaction term with registration status. All models were adjusted for baseline estimates. All extracted outcomes were “score inverted/normalised” so a higher score always indicated improvement/benefit). The overall pooled effects (SMD) were presented so positive outcome are in of favour the intervention group. Differences in effect between studies were expressed as inconsistency (I 2 ) as proposed by Higgins et al. (i.e. percent of total variation across studies due to heterogeneity rather than chance) ( 30 ). Between study variance was expressed as Tau 2 . The magnitudes of the effect sizes were interpreted using the guidelines from Cohen (0.2 = small, 0.5 = moderate and 0.8 = large) ( 31 ). The impact of the secondary covariates in the meta regression was evaluated by their ability to reduce the between study variance (i.e. Tau 2 ). All p-values from analysis of the secondary variables were presented with correction for multiple testing by Bonferroni correction, with p-values multiplied by the number of secondary variables. No missing data was imputed. Sensitivity analysis The ICJME formulated specific requirements for prospective registration of trials for medical journals in 2004 ( 18 ). As it might not be reasonable to include studies before to this requirement was published, a sensitivity analysis (not pre-specified in protocol) was performed, using only studies after July 1st, 2005 (End of the ICMJE grace period). All sensitivity analysis were performed as described in the statistic section, with this sample. Results As presented in Figure 3 , 8,680 records were identified through database searches. After duplicates were removed, 5,222 records were screened, 440 full-text documents assessed, and 94 reports ( 32 – 125 ) included for main analysis, comprising 9,396 participants. Data from 70 (9 prospective, 25 retrospective, 36 unregistered) reports were included in secondary analyses (all in forest plots and meta-regression analyses) ( 32 – 34 , 36 , 37 , 41 – 44 , 46 – 49 , 52 , 54 , 58 , 60 , 62 – 70 , 72 – 85 , 87 – 89 , 91 – 94 , 96 , 98 – 101 , 103 , 104 , 107 , 109 – 112 , 114 – 119 , 121 – 125 ). Reasons for exclusion on full-text level are referenced in Appendix 3. No additional reports were found by searching references or cited-by lists. Figure 4 presents the included trials by publication year with their registration status. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 3 PRISMA flow diagram. Presentation of the process of identifying, screening, and including trials. Reports excluded are cited in Appendix 3. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 4 Distribution of included trials over time. X-axis = Publication year, Y-axis = Number of published trials. Green = Prospectively registered, Yellow = Retrospectively registered, Red = Not registered. Table 1 summarises reporting characteristics of the included trials. For a more detailed overview of each trial, we refer to the raw data extraction sheet and risk of bias assessments available in the data repository available through the registration [dataset] ( 27 ). Trial design differences Included trials with prospective registration presented with a higher median of participants, longer time until follow-up (for the extracted primary outcome), and more frequently used multicentre designs than non-prospectively registered trials. A brief description of the intervention and comparator groups, the selected outcome, and risk of bias domain judgements is available for the 94 included trials in Appendix 4. Trial reporting differences As presented in Table 1 , in the sample of trials included in this review, prospectively registered trials were more clearly reported than retrospectively registered trials, and both more so than non-registered trials for: definition of a single primary outcome (61.5%/54.5%/31.3%), reporting of sample size calculations (92.3%/84.9%/47.9%), dropout reporting (100%/81.8%/70.8%), adverse events reporting (61.5%/51.5%/45.8%), and adherence to ITT principles (61.5%/30.3%/20.8%). In the prospectively registered trials: A single primary outcome consistent with a single prospectively registered, unaltered, primary outcome was reported in 4/13 (30.8%) trials ( 39 , 62 , 80 , 82 ). The primary outcome was changed (from walking speed to walking distance), during participant enrolment in 1/13 (7.7%) trials ( 42 ). Multiple primary outcomes were registered and/or reported in 7/13 (53.9%) trials ( 54 , 60 , 63 , 71 , 86 , 107 , 108 ), and 1/13 (7.7%) trials did not report accurately on any of multiple registered outcomes ( 46 ). Across all included trials, only three of the prospectively registered trials has a reference to a publicly available statistical analysis plan ( 42 , 80 , 82 ). Risk of Bias in trials An overview of the risk of bias is available in Table 1 , an extended risk of bias table, also presenting experimental and control exercise therapy interventions is available in Appendix 4. The complete raw assessments are available in the data repository [dataset] ( 27 ). As presented in the Risk of Bias figure ( Figure 5 ) below, four trial outcomes were judged at overall low risk of bias, 24 at some concern of bias, and 66 at high risk of bias. The prospectively registered trials represented 3/4 (75%) of the trial outcomes judged at low risk of bias, 5/24 (20.8%) of the trial outcomes at some concerns of bias, and 5/66 (7.6%) for the trial outcomes at high risk of bias. Risk of bias in selection of the reported result predominantly arose from a lack of clear definitions of primary outcomes, and for retrospectively registered trials, frequently reporting was not consistent with the registered details. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 5 Risk of Bias domains. Summary of risk of bias assessments for the included primary outcome using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 (RoB2) tool. n = 94. Study effect differences The combined forest plot ( Figure 6 ) presents the pooled effect size of the primary outcomes from prospective, retrospective, and unregistered trials. The SMD of prospectively registered trials was 0.06 [95% CI: −0.03, 0.16] not favouring either group, whereas the SMD of retrospectively trials was 0.67 [95% CI: 0.22, 1.11] and non-registered trials 0.59 [95% CI: 0.32, 0.86] both favouring the intervention group. Very low I 2 heterogeneity was present between prospectively registered trials, and high I 2 heterogeneity for the retrospectively- and unregistered trials. An extended forest plot showing all trials with available data, grouped by registration status and presenting the primary outcome selected, coloured by overall risk of bias, is available in Appendix 5 and funnel plots in Appendix 6. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 6 Combined forest plot. Presentation of standardised mean differences of prospective, retrospective, and unregistered RCTs and their pooled SMD. A standardised mean difference favouring the exposure group is represented with values above 0, values below 0 favour the control group. The meta-regression analysis of the included trials observed the following differences: Retrospectively- and unregistered trials reported a 0.53 and 0.37 larger SMD than the prospectively registered trials, respectively. Comparing primary outcome hierarchy levels, outcomes not prospectively registered as single primary outcome produced a 0.34 to 0.62 larger SMD compared to those prospectively registering it in an online trial registry. Trials defining a single primary outcome (i.e. either in online registration or final report) showed a 0.14 smaller SMDs than trials with no single primary outcome reported. Trials with primary outcomes judged at high risk of bias showed a 0.42 to 0.60 larger SMDs compared to trials with some concerns or low risk of bias. Trials not presenting adequate dropout descriptions showed 0.71 to 0.62 larger SMD compared to those with partial or adequate reporting of dropouts. Compared to trials following ITT principles, those following per protocol reported a 0.4 larger SMD. Those trials where reporting failed to clearly define ITT or PP analysis showed a 1.04 larger SMD and explained the largest proportion of between study variance (Tau 2 ). Generally, almost all covariates tested produced large 95% confidence intervals, meaning that large uncertainty is present in the results. Despite the large uncertainty - registration status, ITT adherence, dropout reporting, and outcome definition showed consistent associations with effect size estimates and explained notable between-study variance. The interaction meta-regression analysis (Appendix 7) showed some estimates with interaction effects, those most pronounced being description of trial dropouts, primary outcome hierarchy level and following ITT principles. However, none of the interactions were statistically significant after correction, and confidence intervals were generally wide, likely due to few observations being available within some levels. Sensitivity analysis Excluding trials not required to be prospectively registered - according to the 1 st of July 2005 ICMJE grace period - did not change the outcomes (see Appendix 8). Only minor changes were observed: A slightly larger SMD estimate for non-registered trials, slightly larger confidence intervals, slightly larger Tau 2 values, and the Eggers test in the funnel plot for non-registered trials changing from statistically significant to showing weak/borderline evidence of asymmetry. Discussion This comprehensive systematic review identified 94 RCTs comparing exercise therapy interventions after TKA, of which 13 were prospectively registered, 33 retrospectively registered, and 48 unregistered. We found that non-prospectively registered trials tended to report larger effect sizes than prospectively registered ones, a similar finding to a 2016 meta-epidemiological study of Cochrane reviews ( 20 ). Fewer than half of the included trials clearly defined a single primary outcome. Notably, many trials listed multiple “primary” outcomes without the methodological elements typically required when more than one primary endpoint is intended (e.g., an explicit success criterion such as co-primary vs. at-least-one, prespecified multiplicity control, and sample-size planning aligned with that choice) ( 126 ). Our observation is not intended as a critique of legitimate co-primary or dual-primary frameworks per se, but of insufficient pre-specification in trials that simply labelled several outcomes as “primary”. Such practice likely complicates consistent outcome reporting and interpretation and may contribute to inflated or unstable effect estimates when combined with non-prospective registration. Pinto et al. (2013) in their cohort study of 200 randomly selected physiotherapy trials (from 2009) found that 67/200 (34%) were registered and only 5/200 (2.5%) trials had prospectively and adequately defined primary outcomes ( 127 ). In comparison the current review found 46/94 (48%) trials registered and 4/94 (4.3%) of those prospectively and adequately registered. Babu et al. reported that only 29% of trials published in 2012 by physiotherapy specialty journals were registered and suggested that registration practice appeared to be improving ( 24 ). As seen in Figure 4 , there does not appear to be a year-on-year improvement to the rate that trials are prospectively registered. Rather, Figure 4 indicates that the rate has remained unchanged since 2013. In their review of RCTs involving musculoskeletal physical therapy published in 15 physiotherapy journals from 2016 to 2020, Riley et al. found that 116/138 (84%) RCT’s were registered and 49/138 (36%) prospectively ( 25 ), which is significantly more than in the 14% prospectively registered RCT’s in the current review. Further, Riley et al. described that reporting in the 42 of the 49 (86%) prospectively registered RCT’s was consistent with prospectively registered outcomes. For the remainder of the 138 included RCT’s, post-randomisation bias could not be ruled out ( 25 ). In the current review, prospective registration was less prevalent, due to inclusion of older studies (2000-2025 vs. 2016-2020). Considering the differences in effect sizes between prospectively registered and non-prospectively registered trials in the current sample, and that only three studies reported a statistical analysis plan; post-randomisation bias cannot be ruled out in RCTs comparing exercise therapy interventions after total knee replacement either. Only 30.8% of prospectively registered trials reported a single primary outcome consistent with their registration. While this is an example, that timely registration of outcomes enables readers (and peer-reviewers) to assess the coherence between registration and reporting; it also shows that higher methodological quality isn’t automatically assured, just by achieving timely registration. Further, although the ability to register multiple primary outcomes may reflect flexibility in registry systems, our findings suggest this can complicate consistent outcome reporting and interpretation. A synthesis of meta-epidemiological studies of rehabilitation studies concluded that inadequate or unclear randomisation sequence generation and allocation concealment were likely to produce exaggerated effect estimates for continuous outcomes, and higher risk of reporting bias appeared associated with an overestimation of effects ( 128 ). In the current review, most of the extracted outcomes were at low risk of bias in the randomisation process domain; suggesting that the difference in effect between the prospectively, retrospectively and unregistered trials is likely not explained by randomisation and concealment bias. The reporting bias domain presented with the highest percent of outcomes at some concern or high risk of bias in retrospectively and unregistered trials, which suggests that reporting bias may, to some extent, explain why the average effect size in those trials was larger than in prospectively registered trials. Higher adherence to CONSORT guideline has been associated with lower risk of bias in trials published in rehabilitation journals ( 129 ), underscoring the importance of clear and transparent reporting. The current review had no formal assessment of included trials’ adherence to reporting guidelines such as CERT ( 130 ), TIDieR ( 131 ), or CONSORT ( 132 ) – because some trials were published prior to the guidelines. This review followed a comprehensive, prospectively registered protocol and statistical analysis plan. All steps of study selection and data extraction were done in double, and the study is reported transparently by adhering to the PRISMA checklist and providing full access to all extracted data. The review does have limitations: The SAP was registered after data-extraction but before analysis, but all changes to the review are reported transparently in the amendments section. Due to the method chosen to select the primary outcome, the results in the current meta-analyses should not be interpreted as an indication of the overall effect of exercise therapy after TKA, but rather the effect as measured with those specific outcomes. The findings represent the effect sizes on outcomes selected using the hierarchy and aggregates outcomes representing different constructs (pain, disability, and performance-based outcomes). The use of standardized mean differences is recommended for combining results on different scales but only within the same construct (Cochrane handbook 6.5, section 15.5.3). Still, we combined different constructs because we were interested in comparing effect sizes of primary outcomes and whether the effect sizes were influenced by the trial characteristics, not clinical interpretation. Our review findings show that non-prospectively registered RCT’s of exercise therapy interventions after TKA tend to report larger, and possibly inflated, effect sizes compared to more methodologically rigorous prospectively registered trials. Caution is warranted because inflated effect estimates from inadequately registered trials could influence treatment recommendations, if it is not accounted for in the evidence syntheses informing clinical practice guidelines. We concur with Dechartres et al. and likewise advocate that peer-reviewers and publishers more systematically verify RCT reports against their registration, and employ suitable reporting guidelines to ensure transparent reporting ( 20 ). Further, we also encourage that future systematic reviews (of RCT’s) clearly define and report registration characteristics, and conduct sensitivity analyses to evaluate the impact of including secondary outcome data ( 20 ), and clearly designate the origin of aggregated outcomes (primary/secondary and prospective/retrospective/unregistered). Ultimately, improving registration practices is a shared responsibility between researchers (including peer-reviewers), funders, and journals —and doing so will meaningfully enhance the transparency, reproducibility, and clinical relevance of future trials. Conclusion This systematic review found that prospective registration and clear definitions of a single primary outcome are rare in trials comparing effects of exercise therapy following TKA. Prospectively registered trials generally presented with larger sample sizes, clearer reporting, lower risk of bias, and smaller effect size estimates with less variance, compared to retrospectively- and unregistered trials. These findings suggest that prospective registration is an important indicator of methodological quality and that greater adherence to prospective registration and transparent reporting is essential to strengthen the evidence base that informs guidelines for clinical practice in exercise therapy following TKA. Registration and Protocol This review was registered with Open Science Framework (OSF.io). Protocol registration (25 th Oct 2019) available at https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6WZRE Protocol document (4 th Oct 2019) available at https://osf.io/vmpu6 Statistical Analysis Plan (SAP) (6 th Mar 2025) available at https://osf.io/v5w4x Amendments since protocol registration Available through registration on OSF, in original protocol document, and statistical analysis plan document. Since the original protocol was published, the following changes were made: Amendment(s) to extracted outcome variables 1 st Amendment Change from three extracted outcomes (pain, disability, performance-based function), using the hierarchy to using the hierarchy to select a single outcome. Reason: As we always intended to compare the primary outcome in each trial across domains, it became redundant to also collect “secondary primary outcomes” in the other domains. We believed that sticking with a single outcome would make interpretations more focused on the methodological choices made in trials, the conciseness of their reporting, and its impact on the effect estimates. Timing: This change was made after the search was originally completed, during May 2021, before data-extraction was initiated on June 1 st , 2021. 2 nd Amendment Two data variables were dropped: publisher impact factor and external funding. Reason: It turned out to be very problematic and time consuming to find verifiable and accurate impact factor values for the time the trials were published. External funding was omitted as it was considered outside the scope of the current review. Timing: The variables were dropped shortly after data-extraction was initiated in 2020. Amendment(s) to eligibility criteria since registration Amendment Trials investigating the effect of a non-exercise component, added to one of two groups with the same underlying exercise intervention were excluded from the review. Reason: When the search was updated in 2024, during full-text assessment, it became clear that a large proportion of trials were investigating the effect of a non-exercise variable (such as drugs, massage, behaviour change, or continuous passive motion), with the same underlying exercise therapy in groups (e.g. comparing effects of 1) exercise therapy and massage against 2) exercise therapy alone). In the protocol research question was formulated with the intent of finding trials comparing different exercise modes. Timing: This was implemented during title/abstract screening during the update of the search initiated on 12 th of August 2024, with the change noted on 15 th of November 2024. Amendment(s) to analyses since registration 1 st Amendment Grouping at three instead of two levels. Registration status was changed from Prospective- and Non-prospective registration, to Prospectively-, Retrospectively-, and Unregistered. Reason: During the last search update, it was clear that several trials were not timely registered due to oversight, and that some these retrospectively registered trials were better reported than most non-registered trials. By presenting 3 layers of comparison, we hoped to enable a more nuanced representation of non-prospectively registered trials and clarify differences between trials with retrospective registration and no registration. Timing: This was implemented, and described in the SAP, which was made available online on 6 th of March 2025, before statistical analyses were undertaken. 2 nd Amendment The Chi-square test or Fishers exact test was planned for analyses of differences between categorical variables reporting study characteristics, but none were conducted. Reason: The descriptive table 1 is intended to be descriptive and provide context, therefore statistical testing for significant differences may be misleading. Timing: Implemented after the SAP was registered on 6 th of March 2025, but before data analysis was initiated. Data Availability All data produced are available online at the study registration at open science framework (OSF) https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6WZRE Conflict of Interest None of the authors declare any financial or personal conflicts of interest. CRediT Contributions Conception and design – RH, CC, TB, BG, CJ. Trial selection (title/abstract and full text screening) – BG, LH, RB, TB. Collection and assembly of data – BG, TB, CJ, RH, LH, CC, RB. Analysis and interpretation of the data – BG, TB, CJ, TK. Statistical expertise – TK, CJ. Drafting of the article – BG, TB. Critical revision of the article for important intellectual content – TB, CJ, TK, RH, LH, CC, RB. All authors (BG, TB, RB, RH, CC, LH, CJ, TK) have full access to all data collected and approved final decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Support This work was not commissioned, no funding was received specifically for the conduct of this systematic review. Likewise, there was no patient and public involvement. 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CONSORT 2010 explanation and elaboration: Updated guidelines for reporting parallel group randomised trials . International Journal of Surgery . 2012 ; 10 ( 1 ): 28 – 55 . OpenUrl PubMed View the discussion thread. Back to top Previous Next Posted October 08, 2025. Download PDF Supplementary Material Data/Code Email Thank you for your interest in spreading the word about medRxiv. NOTE: Your email address is requested solely to identify you as the sender of this article. Your Email * Your Name * Send To * Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas. You are going to email the following Registration and reporting characteristics of trials investigating exercise therapy following total knee arthroplasty: A systematic review Message Subject (Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from medRxiv Message Body (Your Name) thought you would like to see this page from the medRxiv website. 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