Explainable Machine Learning Analysis Reveals Gender Differences in the Phenotypic and Neurobiological Markers of Cannabis Use Disorder

Background Cannabis Use Disorder (CUD) has been linked to environmental, personality, mental health, neurocognitive and neurobiological risk factors. While many studies have revealed gender differences in CUD, the relative importance of these complex factors by gender has not been described. Methods We conducted a data-driven examination of gender differences in CUD in a community sample of young adults (Human Connectome Project [HCP]; n = 1204, 54% female). We employed state-of-the-art machine learning methods [gradient tree boosting, XGBoost] in combination with novel factor ranking tools [SHapley’s Additive exPlanations (SHAP)] as an ‘explainable machine learning approach’ in the multimodal data collected by the HCP (phenotypic and brain data). Results We were able to successfully classify both cannabis dependence and cannabis use levels. Previously identified environmental, personality, mental health, neurocognitive, and brain factors highly contributed to the classification. Predominantly-male risk factors included personality (high openness), mental health (high externalizing, high childhood conduct disorder, high fear somaticism), neurocognitive (impulsive delay discounting, slow working memory performance) and brain (low hippocampal volume) factors. Conversely, predominantly-female risk factors included environmental (low education level, low instrumental support) factors. Conclusions Our data-driven analysis of gender differences in the multimodal risk factors underlying cannabis dependence and use levels demonstrate that environmental factors contribute more strongly to CUD in women, whereas individual factors such as personality, mental health and neurocognitive factors have a larger importance in men. This warrants further investigations, and suggests the importance of understanding how these differences relate to the development of effective treatment approaches.