The effect of migration on the transmission of HIV/AIDS using a fractional model: local and global dynamics and numerical simulations.

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Abstract

HIV is a serious disease that threatens and affects capital stock, population composition and economic growth. This research paper aims to study the mathematical modeling and disease dynamics of HIV/AIDS with memory effect. We propose two fractional models in the Caputo sense for HIV/AIDS with and without migration. First, we prove the existence and positivity of both models and calculate the basic reproduction number R 0 using the next generation method. Then, we study the local and global stability of the obtained equilibria. In addition, numerical simulations are provided for different values of the fractional order ρ using the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton fractional scheme, to verify the theoretical results. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis of the parameters for the model with migration is carried out.

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