Skin in the Game or Playing with Fire: Fund Insider Ownership and Firm-Level Stock Price Crash Risk

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Using Chinese mutual funds and public firms from 2009–2023, the preprint examines whether higher fund insider ownership (shares held by fund insiders via their managed funds) predicts subsequent firm-level stock price crash risk, applying empirical tests and channel analyses. It finds that firms with greater fund insider ownership exhibit greater future crash risk, with evidence that investors and fund peers interpret this ownership as a positive signal, driving optimism and herding, and that such firms receive more mutual-fund site visits that may increase pressure to suppress negative news to support short-term stock prices. The effect is reported to be stronger for firms with weaker stock performance, higher analyst coverage, or less information disclosure, and the manuscript is explicitly a preprint not peer reviewed. This paper does not explicitly discuss endometriosis or adenomyosis; it was included in the corpus via a keyword match in the upstream search index.

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Abstract

Abstract Using a dataset of Chinese mutual funds and public firms from 2009 to 2023, we provide robust empirical evidence that firms with higher fund insider ownership—shares held by fund insiders through their managed funds—exhibit greater future stock price crash risk. Channel tests reveal that individual investors and fund peers interpret fund insider ownership as a positive signal of firms' future stock market performance, fueling heightened optimism and herding behavior toward firms with high fund insider ownership. Moreover, such firms experience more site visits from mutual funds, intensifying their pressure to suppress negative news to bolster short-term stock prices. Cross-sectional analysis reveals that this effect is more pronounced in firms with weaker stock market performance, higher analyst coverage, or less information disclosure. Our study suggests that fund insider ownership, designed to mitigate agency conflicts between fund investors and insiders, may inadvertently destabilize the stock market. JEL classification : G12; G14; G23
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Channel tests reveal that individual investors and fund peers interpret fund insider ownership as a positive signal of firms' future stock market performance, fueling heightened optimism and herding behavior toward firms with high fund insider ownership. Moreover, such firms experience more site visits from mutual funds, intensifying their pressure to suppress negative news to bolster short-term stock prices. Cross-sectional analysis reveals that this effect is more pronounced in firms with weaker stock market performance, higher analyst coverage, or less information disclosure. Our study suggests that fund insider ownership, designed to mitigate agency conflicts between fund investors and insiders, may inadvertently destabilize the stock market. JEL classification : G12; G14; G23 Fund Insider Ownership Stock Price Crash Risk Agency Conflicts Mutual Funds Herding Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. 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