Optimizing the Architecture of a Quantum-Classical Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Forecasting Ozone Concentrations: Air Quality Management Tool for Houston, Texas

Keeping track of the air quality is paramount to issue preemptive measures to mitigate their adversarial effects on the population. This study introduces a new quantum-classical approach, combining a graph-based deep learning structure with a quantum neural network one to predict ozone concentration up to 6 hours ahead. The proposed architecture used historical data from Houston, Texas, a major urban area that often falls short of complying with air quality regulations. Our results revealed that a smoother transition between the classical framework and its quantum counterpart enhances the model’s results. Moreover, we observed that merging min-max normalization with increased ansatz repetitions also improved the hybrid model’s performance. This is made clear by evaluating the assessment metrics Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Coefficient of Determination (R2) and Forecast Skill (FS). Values for R2 and FS for the horizons considered were 94.12% and 31.01% for 1-hour, 83.94% and 48.01% for 3-hour, and 75.62% and 57.46% for 6-hour forecasts. A comparison with existing literature for both classical and QML models revealed that the proposed methodology could provide competitive results and even surpass some well-established forecasting models, proving to be a valuable resource for air quality forecasting and thus validating this approach.