Keywords
criticality, Parkinson’s, EEG, motor cortex, temporal renormalization group, detrended28
fluctuation analysis29
Author Summary30
Brain function is thought to be optimal when its activity is near the border of order and chaos — a state31
called criticality. This state is thought to help the brain stay flexible and process information efficiently.32
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We investigate whether Parkinson’s disease disrupts this balance like in other diseases and pathologies.33
Using resting EEG brain activity, we found that people with Parkinson’s show strong rhythmic signals34
not seen in healthy brains, and surprisingly these rhythms are also near the critical state. Using both35
established and new theoretical tools, we show that critical dynamics can accompany disease, suggesting36
that being closer to criticality is not always a sign of healthy brain function.37
Introduction38
What are the properties of cortical neural activity that confer its ability to perform healthy functions?39
One long-standing hypothesis posits that a healthy brain operates in a dynamical state near criticality40
- a special, marginally stable state imbued with a wide range of scale-invariant time scales and optimal41
computation (Shew and Plenz, 2013; Hengen and Shew, 2025). Indeed, evidence for criticality is associated42
with improved cognitive performance in humans (M¨ uller et al., 2025; Xin et al., 2025; Ezaki et al., 2020)43
and multiple beneficial computational properties including efficient coding (Safavi et al., 2024), large44
dynamic range (Kinouchi and Copelli, 2006; Shew et al., 2009; Gautam et al., 2015), discrimination of45
sensory input (Clawson et al., 2017; Gautam et al., 2015), and more. If these properties of criticality46
are needed for healthy brain function, it stands to reason that unhealthy dysfunction may be associated47
with deviation from criticality. This has indeed been reported in multiple studies (Zimmern, 2020). For48
instance, Alzheimer’s disease (Montez et al., 2009; Ghassemkhani et al., 2025; McGregor et al., 2024),49
schizophrenia (Nikulin et al., 2012; Moran et al., 2019), depression (Linkenkaer-Hansen et al., 2005),50
and epilepsy (Fusc` a et al., 2023) are associated with deviation from criticality compared to controls.51
However, the notion that healthy brain function requires closeness to criticality is challenged by some52
studies. For instance, sustained, focused attention seem to cause deviation from criticality (Irrmischer53
et al., 2018; Fagerholm et al., 2015). Here our primary goal was to determine how Parkinson’s disease54
impacts criticality in motor cortex. Motor cortex is a crucial area for voluntary movement and muscle55
control, functions that are severely impaired in Parkinson’s disease. We analyze a publicly available EEG56
dataset (Jackson et al., 2019; Swann et al., 2015; George et al., 2013) and ask whether motor cortex57
dynamics are closer to criticality for healthy control subjects or Parkinson’s patients.58
To rigorously measure proximity to criticality, we use our newly-developed approach based on infor-59
mation theory and Gaussian autoregressive processes that we term temporal Renormalization Group60
(tRG) (Sooter et al., 2025). This approach measures distance from criticality (d 2) from time series data61
based on the nature of temporal fluctuations. We apply this framework to EEG data for the first time,62
to our knowledge, and compare it to traditional methods of quantifying timescales from time series (Zer-63
aati et al., 2024) including the decay times of autocorrelation function ( ACF) (M¨ uller and Meisel, 2023;64
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M¨ uller et al., 2025), and long-range temporal correlation via detrended fluctuation analysis (DF A) (Peng65
et al., 1994; Hardstone et al., 2012). However, we emphasize that our new approach rests on a math-66
ematically rigorous definition of proximity to criticality, which is lacking in traditional methods (Tian67
et al., 2022).68
We find that motor cortex EEG activity in Parkinson’s patients is marked by the emergence of near69
critical oscillations that are not present in healthy controls. Two recent studies are consistent with our70
results, although we measure distance to criticality directly. Calvo et al. (2024) found in whole-brain71
human MEG data that control subjects were further from a chaotic point in more frequency bands than72
Parkinson’s, and Lee et al. (2024) found in whole-brain human EEG that control subjects had shorter73
timescales than Parkinson’s in the theta band in some regions. Our results indicate that critical dynamics74
are not always beneficial; Parkinson’s disease seems to cause critical oscillations.75
Results76
We use freely available resting state EEG data (Fig 1A) collected by a lab in UCSD (Jackson et al., 2019;77
Swann et al., 2015; George et al., 2013) using a standardized format (Pernet et al., 2019; Appelhoff et al.,78
2019). Following previous studies (Jackson et al., 2019; Swann et al., 2015), we analyze data from the79
two electrodes positioned over left and right primary motor cortex (M1) labeled C3 and C4 (Fig 1A), an80
important brain region for motor planning and voluntary movement, functions that are impaired in these81
Parkinson’s patients. The dataset consists of 3 minute recording sessions from 16 healhty control subjects82
(control) and 15 subjects with Parkinson’s disease in two states: off drugs and on drugs to manage their83
symptoms. The Parkinson’s patients exhibited slight variability in severity of the disease as measured84
by Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) III, but otherwise were not cognitively impaired85
compared to control subjects via Mini-Mental Status Exam ( MMSE) or the North American Reading86
Test (NAAR T) (George et al., 2013). We use a common approach of applying a band-pass filter to the87
EEG data and subsequently extracted the amplitude envelope (Fig 1A right panel) to be used as the88
signal for all the analyses here (except Fig 1B). By studying fluctuations of the amplitude envelope, we can89
assess whether the oscillations at particular frequency bands are near or far from criticality. By definition90
a critical oscillation will have amplitude fluctuations that are temporally scale invariant (Fontenele et al.,91
2025; Palva and Palva, 2018). This approach follows the long tradition of studying critical oscillations,92
typically referred to as long range temporal correlations (LR TC) (Linkenkaer-Hansen et al., 2001, 2005;93
Jackson et al., 2019; Hohlefeld et al., 2012, 2015).94
This EEG data has power in select frequency bands (Fig 1B), a common observation in other resting95
state EEG data (Newson and Thiagarajan, 2019). Importantly, the timescales in the broadband signal96
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10 0 10 110
0
10
2
10
4
10
6
10
8
δ
[1,4]
θ
[4,8]
α
[8,13]
β
[13,30]
10 0 10 110
0
10
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[1,4]
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10 0 10 110
0
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[1,4]
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[4,8]
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B
A
EEG
C3 C4
Frequency (Hz)
Power Spectrum
Healthy
Parkinson’s (Off)
Parkinson’s (On)
0.4 s
200 μV
Bandpass Filter ( δ,θ,α,β)
0.5 s
a.u.
Extract Envelope
C3 (right impairment) C4 (left impairment) Average
Frequency (Hz)
Power Spectrum
Frequency (Hz)
Power Spectrum
Fig. 1 Emergent δ and θ oscillations in Parkinson’s patients. A) EEG time-series from two electrodes near the
primary motor cortex on the left (C3) and right side (C4); right panel illustrates extracting the envelope of the band-passed
EEG recording. B) The population-averaged power spectrum of the envelope of the EEG (without any band-pass filtering)
for respectively the average of C3 and C4, as well as C3 and C4 individually, all exhibit peaks in the lower delta-band for
Parkinson’s patients off medication (red), peaks in upper theta- to lower alpha-bands for Parkinson’s patients (on and off
drugs), and a peak in the alpha-band for control (black). The shaded region above the curve corresponds to one standard
deviation across the subjects.
(Fig 1B) is distinct from the timescales in the band-passed power-envelope signal that is the main focus97
of our study. Figure 1B shows the population average (across 16 control subjects and 15 Parkinson’s98
patients) power spectrum of the envelope of the EEG data (y-axes on a log-scale) without band-pass99
filtering. Whether considering the average of both C3 and C4 (left panel), or a single electrode alone (C3100
in middle, C4 in right panel), it is evident that control subjects on average (black curve) have peaks in101
their power spectrum in the upper theta-band (4 to 8 Hz) to lower alpha-band (8 to 13 Hz). Parkinson’s102
patients exhibit similar power spectra to controls, except for the emergence of oscillations in the lower103
δ-band (1 to 4 Hz) for patients off medication and upper θ- to α-bands for all patients.104
First, we analyze the timescales of fluctuations in oscillation amplitudes using two traditional tools:105
autocorrelation ( ACF, see Fig 2A and Eq (1)), detrended fluctuation analysis ( DF A, see Fig 3A and106
Methods
for extracting timescales from the ACF, such as fitting an exponential function (Siegle et al.,127
2021; Li and Wang, 2022; Zeraati et al., 2022, 2024) or its variants (Zeraati et al., 2022; van Meegen and128
van Albada, 2021); but in this data, neither the population averages nor individual ACFs are well-fit129
exponential functions.130
Table 1 Statistics to show that control subjects have shorter time
scales than Parkinson’s using ACF timescale measure; see Figure
2C. Using Wilcoxon rank-sum test where the null hypothesis is that both data
samples are drawn from the same distribution. Top shows p−values, bottom
shows effect size (see Methods: Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test).
Relationship / p−value δ band θ band α band β band
Cntrl. vs. Park. (Off drugs) 1.5 × 10−2 4.6 × 10−5 0.33 0.18
Cntrl. vs. Park. (On drugs) 6.6 × 10−2 2.2 × 10−3 0.42 0.24
(Park.) On vs. Off 0.43 0.27 0.91 0.88
Relationship / Effect Size δ band θ band α band β band
Cntrl. vs. Park. (Off drugs) 0.44 (med) 0.73 (lrg) 0.41 (n/a) 0.24 (n/a)
Cntrl. vs. Park. (On drugs) 0.33 (med) 0.55 (lrg) 0.15 (n/a) 0.21 (n/a)
(Park.) On vs. Off 0.14 (n/a) 0.13 (n/a) 2.3 × 10−2 (n/a) 2.7 × 10−2 (n/a)
Next we perform DFA analysis, which characterizes how flucuations vary across different timescale,131
also known as long range temporal correlation ( LR TC) analysis. In the DFA analysis we find that132
control subjects have on average shorter range temporal correlation than Parkinson’s patients, consistent133
with the lower frequency bands in the ACF timescale analysis. A demonstration of the DFA method is134
depicted in Figure 3A on a control subject’s resting state EEG in the delta-band where the fluctuation135
amplitude as a function of time window length in log-log coordinates requires 2 lines at a manually chosen136
dividing point; such a dividing point is required in about 72% to 85% of the time (counting all frequency137
bands, subject type, and electrode combinations). In such cases, we use the slope of the best fit line for138
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0
0.5
1
1.5
2
10 -1
10 0
***
**
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[1,4]Hz
θ
[4,8]Hz
α
[8,13]Hz
β
[13,30]Hz
***
***
10
-2 10
-1
10
0
Time (s)
δ
θα
β
(das
hed)
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
α
A
Autocorrelation Funct.
Healthy
Parkinson’s (Off Drugs)
Parkinson’s (On Drugs)
C
θ
Zoomed-in to see black
curve below
D
Pop. Avg.
ACF Time-scale (s)
δ
[1,4]Hz
θ
[4,8]Hz
α
[8,13]Hz
β
[13,30]Hz
Healthy
Parkinson’s (Off Drugs)
Parkinson’s (On Drugs)
B
ACF Time-scale (s)
10 -2 10 0-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
Time (s)
Autocorrelation Funct.
Chosen Threshold
ACF Time-scale=
Time first cross
below threshold
Fig. 2 Emergent Parkinson’s oscillations have large autocorrelation time. A) The population-averaged ACF in
Parkinson’s patients has longer timescales (red, blue: slower decay) in motor cortex EEG activity across all 4 frequency
bands than healthy (control). ACF in alpha- and theta-band are zoomed-in and shifted for clarity. B) Example calculation
of ACF timescale, i.e., a measure of ACF decay time, for 2 subjects; the first time where a subject’s ACF falls below a
chosen threshold of 0.1
. C) Summary of ACF timescale with box plots in different frequency bands shows that control
subjects on average have faster ACF time decay (smaller timescale) than Parkinson’s patients for the lower frequency bands
(delta and theta). The horizontal lines in the boxes represent inter-quartiles: 25 th percentile, median, and 75 th percentile.
Difference in distributions are statistically significant measured by Wilcoxon rank-sum test (see Table 1 for details). D)
The population means of ACF timescale are plotted for completeness.
larger time windows (second segment to the right), and call this the DFA coefficient. When there are no139
temporal correlations (i.e., white noise) the DFA coefficient is 0.5. In a random walk, temporal memory140
is infinite and the DFA exponent is 1.5. DFA coefficients between 0.5 and 1.5 indicate intermediate141
temporal correlations. A summary of all DFA coefficients is shown with box plots in Fig 3B with four142
frequency bands: on average control subjects have a much shorter range of temporal correlation, i.e.,143
timescales, than Parkinson’s patients (on or off drugs). The trend that control subjects have shorter144
timescales than Parkinson’s patients is robust across all four frequency bands we consider, with the145
alpha-band results having comparatively weaker results with larger p−values using Wilcoxon rank-sum146
test. The DFA coefficients shown include all 16 control subjects, but for Parkinson’s 1 or 2 patients were147
excluded (depending on frequency band) because the fluctuation amplitudes for a few subjects were too148
variable to be well fit by a line (see Fig S3 and Supplementary Text S1). Figure 3C clearly demonstrates149
how different the population averages are; control subjects have much smaller average DFA coefficients150
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than Parkinson’s, and Parkinson’s patients have similar DFA coefficients regardless of whether on or off151
drug treatments.152
0.5
1
0.75
White noise
***
*
**
*
***
**
δ
[1,4]Hz
θ
[4,8]Hz
α
[8,13]Hz
β
[13,30]Hz
***
***
* 0.05 < p < 0.1
** 0.01 < p < 0.05
*** p<0.01
A
Healthy
Parkinson’s (Off Drugs)
Parkinson’s (On Drugs)
B
DFA Coeff.
0.3 0.5 1 2 4 6
6
7
8
9
Time Window Length (s)
Flucuation Amplitude F Data
Best fit line(s)
Slope of line = 0.72
Slope of line in smaller
windows= 1.31 (not used)
DFA Method C
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
Pop. Avg. DFA Coeff .
δ
[1,4]Hz
θ
[4,8]Hz
α
[8,13]Hz
β
[13,30]Hz
Healthy
Parkinson’s (Off Drugs)
Parkinson’s (On Drugs)
Fig. 3 Emergent Parkinson’s oscillations have larger DFA exponents. A) Example DFA coefficient calculation
(control subject 1 in delta-band) well-fit with 2 line segments, where a choice for the time window for where to segment
the data has to be made. When 2 lines are used, the slope of the right line segment for larger time windows is reported. B)
Summary of DFA coefficients with box plots in different frequency bands is largely consistent with the ACF results (Fig
2C,D). Box plot convention are the same as in Figure 2C. The results are not as strong in the alpha-band. Difference in
distributions are statistically significant measured by Wilcoxon rank-sum test (see Table 2 for details). C) The population
means of DFA coefficients are plotted to clearly illustrate that control subjects are further from criticality/scale-invariance
than Parkinson’s patients.
Table 2 Statistics to show that control subjects have shorter time scales
than Parkinson’s using DFA coefficient; see Figure 3B . Using Wilcoxon
rank-sum test where the null hypothesis is that both data samples are drawn from the
same distribution. Top shows p−values, bottom shows effect size (see Methods:
Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test).
Relationship / p−value δ band θ band α band β band
Cntrl. vs. Park. (Off drugs) 9.4 × 10−3 9.4 × 10−3 8.6 × 10−2 2.8 × 10−2
Cntrl. vs. Park. (On drugs) 7.7 × 10−2 5.7 × 10−3 2.4 × 10−2 9.1 × 10−3
(Park.) On vs. Off 0.28 0.51 0.89 0.96
Relationship / Effect Size δ band θ band α band β band
Cntrl. vs. Park. (Off drugs) 0.47 (med) 0.47 (med) 0.31 (med) 0.11 (sm)
Cntrl. vs. Park. (On drugs) 0.32 (med) 0.51 (lrg) 0.42 (med) 0.14 (sm)
(Park.) On vs. Off 0.2 (n/a) 0.13 (n/a) 0.26 (n/a) 1.5 × 10−3 (n/a)
Although both ACF and DFA results provide evidence that control subjects’ EEG motor cortex153
activity is further from criticality than Parkinson’s patients, these analyses do not directly measure154
distance to criticality. To this end, we developed a rigorous tRG theory and implemented pragmatic155
computational tools to directly calculate distance to criticality ( d2). The d2 measure has several specific156
advantages : i) unlike DFA, it does not require specifically choosing a time window segment and assessing157
quality of linear fits (Fig S3), ii) unlike ACF, it does not require a prescribed threshold to find timescale,158
iii) the distance to criticality d2 (Fig 4A) is a precise quantification of distance independent of model159
parameterization, calculated in units of bits/sec (the bits/sec quantifies accumulation of evidence for160
ruling out being at criticality). Our framework requires first fitting an auto-regressive (AR) model to the161
data, then calculating the distance of the fitted model to the critical state; see Methods: T emporal162
Renormalization Group Theory and Figs S5–S7 for further details.163
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A BSpace of all AR models
AR models at criticality
Best fit AR
d2
C
Healthy
Parkinson’s (Off Drugs)
Parkinson’s (On Drugs)
Time bin (s)
Healthy Parkinson’s (On Drugs) Parkinson’s (Off Drugs)
Pop. d2 (bits/s)
δ [1,4]Hz
θ [4,8]Hz
α [8,13]Hz
β [13,30]Hz
0 0.05 0.1
10 0
0 0.05 0.1
10 0
0 0.05 0.1
10 0
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
10 0
KL distance
δ [1,4]Hz θ [4,8]Hz α [8,13]Hz β [13,30]Hz
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
10 0
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
10 0
Pop. d2 (bits/s)
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
10 0
D
1
p- value
0.05
0.01
Healthy = Park. (Off)
Healthy = Park. (On)
Effect Size
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Large
Medium
Small
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
0 1 2
Temporal Reach (s)
Fig. 4 Emergent Parkinson’s oscillations are closer to criticality. A) Using tRG theory to quantify differences in
distance to criticality between controls and Parkinson’s patients after data is fit with an AR model. B) The population
d2 (bits/s) values (log-scale) grouped by control and two Parkinson’s state as a function of coarse-grained time bin with
AR model order 20 shows little difference across different band-passed frequencies. C) Summary of population d2 values
(log-scale) for many time bins and model orders; the x-axis represents the ‘temporal reach’, i.e., model order multiplied by
time bin length (varies from 2 ms to 100 ms). The control subjects consistently had larger d2 and were thus further from
criticality than Parkinson’s patients, independent of model order, time bin length, or frequency band. D) Quantifying the
statistical significance of our results using Wilcoxon rank-sum test, showing the p−values (log-scale) and effect sizes (see
Results
in a wide variety of ‘ temporal reach ’ (x-axis of Fig 4C,D) defined as the the AR model order173
multiplied by the specific time bin, i.e., the maximal time in the past that can influence present AR model174
value. The temporal reach values we consider have a large range from 32 ms to 2.4 s. The population175
averaged d2 for many temporal reach values is shown in Figure 4C (y-axis is log-scale, different color176
shades correspond to different AR model order), where it is evident that Parkinson’s patients (red and177
blue dots) are closer to criticality (d 2 below) than controls (black/gray) in the delta- and theta-bands.178
We use Wilcoxon rank-sum test to analyze whether differences between Parkinson’s and control are179
statistically significant under the null hypothesis that the values were generated from the same probability180
distribution (p−values in top row of Fig 4D). The differences are clear in the delta- and theta-bands for a181
wide range of temporal reach values, there is no differences in the alpha band, and differences in the beta-182
band are only evident with small temporal reach values. The effect size and a qualitative characterization183
of effect size (small, medium, large (Cohen, 2013; Tomczak and Tomczak, 2014)) is shown in the bottom184
row of Figure 4D.185
Discussion186
Here we have shown that the prominentδ andθ band oscillations that emerge in Parkinson’s disease are,187
in fact, near-critical oscillations. Although each of these oscillations is defined by particular timescales188
(the oscillation periods), the power (amplitude) of these oscillations exhibits fluctuations across a wide189
range of time scales. These amplitude fluctuations are approximately scale invariant, which is how critical190
oscillations are defined (Fontenele et al., 2025; Palva and Palva, 2018). In contrast, in healthy controls,191
the same frequency bands have amplitude fluctuations that are further from criticality.192
The distance measure d2 enables a fair comparison of different time series, and is a rigorous193
information-theoretic entity in units of bits/s that measures the amount of evidence for ruling out the194
hypothesis that the data are at criticality (Sooter et al., 2025). Although the ACF and DFA analy-195
ses yielded similar results, d2 is a direct measure for distance to temporal scale-invariance, and proved196
to be cleaner for delineating differences (control vs. Parkinson’s), and did not require making specific197
choices regarding threshold cut-offs, which time window segments to use, etc. Unlike traditional methods,198
the analysis with d2 goes beyond just measuring timescales, and also clearly shows how the differences199
depend on the ‘temporal reach’, and that distances to criticality tend to decrease with increasing tempo-200
ral reach. For both DFA andd2, the strongest separation between control and Parkinson’s patients are in201
the delta- and theta-bands, followed by the beta-band, with the weakest results in the alpha-band. The202
ACF timescales only had significant differences in the delta- and theta- band. The relative consistency203
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of these results suggests that there are real and surprising differences between control and Parkinson’s204
patients in motor cortex EEG.205
Our results in motor cortex are at odds with the idea that, in general, healthy brains operate closer206
to criticality than pathological ones (Hengen and Shew, 2025; O’Byrne and Jerbi, 2022), as discussed in207
the Introduction. However, our results are in line with two recent publications where it was reported that208
Parkinson’s patients i) have more frequency bands closer to ‘edge of chaos’ (a point related to criticality)209
than control subjects in whole brain MEG (Calvo et al., 2024), and ii) can have longer timescales as210
measured with DFA coefficients in whole brain EEG in the theta-band (Lee et al., 2024). These studies211
are different than ours because they focused on whole brain imaging and included many more subjects212
with which they aggregated/averaged. The reasonable number of subjects enabled detailed analysis, for213
example to assess the quality of model fits for each subject.214
Along these lines, another recent study showed that a measure of ‘intrinsic neural timescale’ using215
fMRI was longer in late stage Parkinson’s patients than in healthy controls in the anterior cortical region216
(Wei et al., 2024). This study is in line with our results, but unlike ourd2 their measure of intrinsic neural217
timescale is indirect because it involves calculating when various ACFs first cross below a threshold,218
smoothing the maximum of those values over space and applying a z-transform. The timescales of fMRI219
measurements are coarser than those of EEG, with resolution on the order of seconds, so we cannot make220
any direct comparisons with our results.221
Interestingly, Parkinson patients on versus off drugs to treat motor symptoms did not ever have222
statistically significant differences in their motor cortex EEG, independent of the methods (ACF, DFA,223
tRG). Presumably, these drugs helped mitigate their motor symptoms to some extent, but the motor224
cortex activity that is responsible for voluntary movement planning and muscle control did not exhibit225
any changes in timescales. Thus, it stands to reason that the timescales of the EEG in motor cortex226
might not be a direct reflection of mitigated motor symptoms, but rather a wholesale difference between227
Parkinson’s disease and control is manifested in these timescales.228
Methods229
Ethics statement230
This article presents an accurate account of the work performed by the stated authors, and all underlying231
data are represented accurately with consent from the owners. To the best of our knowledge, this work232
is original and is not under consideration for publication elsewhere. The study used publicly available233
data with accurate citation, and all methods were performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and234
regulations. The authors declare no conflicts of interest related to this research.235
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This study uses third party human EEG data that is publicly available (George et al., 2013; Swann236
et al., 2015; Jackson et al., 2019) (see Data and code availability section). The Materials and methods237
section in their papers explicitly state that ‘All the participants provided written informed consent238
according to an Institutional Review Board Protocol at the University of California, San Diego and the239
Declaration of Helsinki’. We have also obtained written approval from the authors to use their data in240
this study.241
Parkinson’s patient characteristics242
Table 3 shows side of physical impairment in the Parkinson’s patients.243
Table 3 The side of reported physical
impairment in Parkinson’s patients (Appelhoff
et al., 2019; Rockhill et al., 2021) and thus
corresponding electrode used. Electrode C3 is on
the left motor cortex, C4 on the right motor
cortex. Note that all subjects had the same side
for physical impairment on and off drug
treatment except for subject 14 who switched to
Right side (C3) while on drug treatment.
Subject
Impairment Side Electrode
1 Right C3
2 Both Both
3 Right C3
4 Right C3
5 Left C4
6 Right C3
7 Left C4
8 Left C4
9 Left C4
10 Right C3
11 Right C3
12 Right C3
13 Left C4
14 Left* C4*
15 Right C3
Autocorrelation function244
The autocorrelation function is a common tool used to characterize how related (correlated) a time series
of data x(t) is with specific time lags τ. The autocovariance function of a time series x(t) is:
˜A(τ) := Et[x(t)x(t +τ)]−
(
Et[x(t)]
)2
, (1)
and the autocorrelation function is simply:
A(τ) = ˜A(τ)/σ2
X (2)
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where σ2
X := Et
[(
x(t)−µX
)2]
is the point-wise variance of the time series. We calculate the auto-245
correlation function of a particular time series of EEG via the Matlab function autocorr on centered246
data x(t)− Et[x(t)] with 10,000 lags (recall the time bins are 2 ms) and 1.96 standard deviations:247
autocorr(X-mean(X),‘NumLags’,10000,‘NumStd’,1.96). The results are in Figures 2, S1.248
Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DF A)249
DFA is a common method for quantifying the degree of long-range temporal correlations (Peng et al.,250
1994). For a given time-series, the DFA coefficient was calculated by assessing the correlation of fluc-251
tuation amplitudes in various time window lengths. Start with a time-series xj, then calculate the252
cumulative sum:Yt :=
t∑
j=1
xj. The ‘entire’ Yt time-series is divided into n equal lengths for the duration253
of the specified time window τx of length (τ x/dt + 1) – if the length of Yt cannot be evenly divided,254
the end of the time-series is truncated, so n = ⌊N/(τx/dt + 1)⌋. Then for each segment of length255
(τx/dt + 1) the local trend (least squares linear fit Lk) is calculated. After which the mean-squared256
deviation is calculated: G(n,i ) = 1
n
(i−1)n+n∑
t=(i−1)n+1
(Yt−Lk(t))2, then the mean fluctuation amplitude is:257
F (n) =
√
1
⌊N/n⌋
⌊N/n⌋∑
i=1
G(n,i ). Finally, the least squares linear fit between log( n) (horizontal axis) and258
log(F (n)) (vertical axis) is calculated – the slope of this line is called the DFA coefficient.259
In cases where log( n) versus log(F (n)) is not well-fit by a single line, the time windows are split260
in two segments determined manually, then two least squares linear fits are calculated with the larger261
windows (right half) determining the DFA coefficient (Gu et al., 2015).262
Temporal renormalization group (tRG) theory263
A system is at criticality if (1) it lies at a boundary between qualitatively different operating regimes264
and (2) it exhibits scale-invariance, i.e. the lack of a characteristic spatial or temporal scale (Hengen265
and Shew, 2025). The renormalization group ( RG), which was originally developed to study critical266
phenomena in condensed matter systems, brings mathematical precision to these statements. The core267
idea of RG is to gradually remove the fine-scale details of a model to generate new, effective models at268
coarser scales. Fixed points of the RG operation therefore correspond to models that are scale-invariant,269
and all of the models in the basin of attraction of such a fixed point share the same coarse-scale behavior270
- this is the fundamental reason why, for example, water and ferromagnets poised near their respective271
phase transitions have quantitatively identical scaling exponents despite their drastic dissimilarities at272
microscopic length scales. Some RG fixed points are stable, meaning that there is an extended region in273
model space surrounding the fixed point such that every model in the region flows into the fixed point.274
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Such fixed points fail to satisfy condition (1) in the definition of criticality. (For example, the RG fixed275
point corresponding to the disordered phase of an Ising model is stable.) Models lying in the basins of276
attraction of unstable fixed points, on the other hand, are both scale-invariant and poised at a boundary277
between different operating regimes, and hence are at criticality.278
In traditional applications of RG to spatially organized systems (e.g. Ising-type models), coarse-
graining is implemented in space. Neural systems, on the other hand, can have rich temporal dynamics
in an measurable entity (i.e., population EEG) independent of whether there is weak or crucial spatial
structure. In Sooter et al. (2025), we argued that the appropriate way to define criticality in such systems
is with a temporal RG ( tRG), wherein high-frequency features of a model are gradually removed to
reveal its asymptotic behavior at low frequencies. We applied this procedure to a fundamental class of
univariate discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems, Gaussian autoregressive ( AR) models:
xt =
n∑
j=1
φjxt−j +ξt. (3)
We chose AR models both because they are analytically tractable, and because they are the optimal
choice in a precise max ent sense. Specifically, if an observed time series is short enough that we can
only confidently estimate its second-order (autocovariance) statistics, then AR models are the maximum
entropy (i.e. minimally presumptive) way to model those statistics (Choi and Cover, 1984). In an AR
model, the state xt at time t is a linear, Gaussian readout of the recent history (up to some maximum
lag n, called the model order):
xt∼N
( n∑
k=1
φkxt−k,σ 2
)
.
In the space of order-n AR models, there are n+1 tRG fixed points, which we can label using the power-279
law exponents of their respective power spectra, β = 0, 2,..., 2n. The β = 0 fixed point is stable and280
corresponds to white noise - this is the ”trivial” fixed point that any AR model with a finite characteristic281
timescale flows into. The basins of attraction of the β≥ 2 fixed points constitute the AR models that282
are at criticality.283
Next, we asked how we should quantify proximity to these basins. That is, having determined which
AR models are at criticality, can we say which ones are close to criticality? Naively, we could measure
the Euclidean distance (in the parameter space defined by the AR model history kernel φ) from an AR
model to each of the basins of attraction. However, there is no principled reason to use Euclidean distance
rather than some other metric. To resolve this ambiguity, we turned to information theory and define
proximity to criticality as distinguishability (per unit time) from a system at criticality. Specifically, for
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a given order-n AR model B, let:
dβ(B) := inf
A∈A(n)
β
lim
T→∞
1
TKL (PB(x1,...,x T )||PA(x1,...,x T )) (4)
where A(n)
β is the set of order- n AR models that flow into the β fixed point, PA(x1,...,x T ) is the284
probability distribution for a T−step draw from the AR model A (and similarly for PB), and KL(·||·)285
is the Kullback-Leibler divergence. The structure of basins of attraction is such that that infimum taken286
over the set of all critical models ∪β≥2A(n)
β is equal to the infimum taken over the β = 2 basin of287
attraction (Sooter et al., 2025); hence we only report d2 in this paper.288
To estimated2 from EEG data after bandpass filtering and extracting the envelope, we: 1) fit an AR289
model to the data using the Yule-Walker method, and 2) compute d2 for this model using Eq (4).290
Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test291
We use the Wilcoxon rank-sum test (WRST) because it is ideal for the EEG. It is a nonparametric test
of the null hypothesis that two groups of data are generated from the same distribution. The p−values
of this test correspond to the probability that the null hypothesis holds. In addition, we report the Effect
Size of the WRST:
Effect Size := |z|√n1 +n2
(5)
where z is the z−score of the U−statistic, z = (U−µU)/σU and nj are the sample sizes for the two292
populations. Effect sizes fort−test and Wilcoxon rank-sum test with values: (0, 0.2] are considered small,293
(0.2, 0.5] are medium, (0.5, 0.8] and above are large (Cohen, 2013; Tomczak and Tomczak, 2014); these294
labels are simply a qualitative assessment.295
EEG Data296
We used freely available EEG collected years ago that have appeared in many studies (Jackson et al., 2019;297
Swann et al., 2015; George et al., 2013) and was made widely applicable following common standards298
(Pernet et al., 2019; Appelhoff et al., 2019). We used all 16 control (control) subjects and all 15 Parkinson’s299
patients except for some of the DFA coefficients (see Figure S3). We used an EEG reader function by300
Tcheslavski (2025).301
Frequency Band Limits302
The frequency bands of interest were limited with an upper bound in the beta band (30 Hz) because the303
60 Hz grounding frequency (inferred by the power spectrum of all electrodes have a large peak at 60 Hz);304
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any signals close to 60 Hz are considered artifacts perhaps due to electrical interference. For completeness305
and since some EEG studies report results in the gamma band frequency (George et al., 2013; Swann306
et al., 2015), we repeated our analysis on a lower gamma band frequency between 30 and 50 Hz (as was307
done in George et al. (2013), and found that the general trend of results we observed did not hold (see Fig308
S4, except for the population averaged ACF decay Fig S4A). We note however that in this lower gamma309
frequency band, the DFA analysis was messier than the other 4 lower frequency bands; in particular for310
the control subjects where 5 were excluded (see GitHub page), and in one of the ACF timescales was311
unusually long (longer than 20 s). Thus, these results should be taken with caution.312
Data and code availability313
Declarations314
Data availability . The raw EEG dataset was collected at UC San Diego from a team of researchers,315
it is freely available (Rockhill et al., 2021) at https://openneuro.org/datasets/ds002778/versions/1.0.2.316
Code availability . See https://github.com/chengly70/parkeeg for MATLAB code implementing all317
computational components in this paper.318
Author Contributions. Conceptualization: CL, WLS. Methodology: CL, JSS, WLS. Sofware: JSS,319
CL. Validation: CL. Formal Analysis: CL. Investigation: JSS, CL. Resources: N/A. Data Curation:320
CL. Writing original draft: CL, WLS, JSS, AKB. Writing review and editing: CL, JSS, AKB, WLS.321
Visualization: CL. Supervision: CL. Project administration: CL. Funding acquisition: CL, JSS, AKB,322
WLS.323
F unding. This study was supported by the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), National Insti-324
tutes of Health (NIH) under grant 1R01DA060744, part of the BRAIN Initiative (CL, JSS, AKB,325
WLS).326
Declaration of Competing Interests. The authors declare that no competing interests exist. The327
funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of328
the manuscript.329
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