Spatio-temporal spawning patterns and early growth of Japanese sardine in the western North Pacific during the recent stock increase

Spatio-temporal patterns in spawning influence growth and survival by affecting the environment experienced by offspring during their early life stages. Therefore, identifying changes in spawning patterns can help researchers understand population dynamics and recruitment fluctuations. The Japanese sardine Sardinops melanostictus is a small pelagic fish that undergoes large stock fluctuations. Although spawning patterns are known to change spatially and temporally with stock abundance, little information is available on the processes underlying stock increases. This study aimed to describe changes in spawning pattern and early growth of Japanese sardine during the recent period of stock increase, and to clarify the effects of different spawning periods on offspring growth. We examined trends in egg abundance in the western North Pacific in 2004–2018 and analyzed hatch dates and growth trajectories by otolith microstructure analysis of juveniles from the Kuroshio–Oyashio transitional region (the species’ main nursery area). During the study period, the main spawning area shifted from the western to the eastern part of this region off Japan, and spawning in the eastern part roughly coincided with juvenile hatch dates. Hatch dates also shifted from mid-March at the earliest to February and early March from 2013 onwards. Although early-hatched cohorts (which originate offshore of eastern Japan) experienced slower initial growth, they likely played an important role in the recent stock increase. Successful recruitment of these cohorts may have been facilitated by factors such as early hatching and transport to the nursery, which reduces the frequency of predator encounters.