Abstract
We studied cell-cell interactions (CCIs) in large scale transcriptomic datasets which showed
higher co-expression in cancer compared to healthy tissues. CCIs are more co-expressed
than any other type of intracellular interactions and, likewise, they are the protein-protein
interaction (PPI) class that is more co-evolved in sequenced genomes. Similar trends of
stricter regulation and evolutionary pressure are observed when comparing extracellular vs
intracellular interactions mediated by G protein Coupled Receptors (GPCRs), whose ligand
interactions are also characterized by a hi gher mutational burden in later tumor stages when
considering somatic mutations associated with tumor clonal evolution.
CCIs undergo the most extensive rewiring of their tumor co-expression networks relative to
healthy tissues, more so than any other PPI type, with a set of CCI hubs highly conserved
across multiple tumor tissues, and a higher diversity on healthy ones. Cancer rewiring is also
associated with the formation of recurrent circuits of co-expressed CCI pairs, represented by
enriched network motifs such as triad or tetrad cliques. These act as integrative hotspots to
facilitate the crosstalk of dist inct processes and the interaction of the cancer cell with its
tumor microenvironment (TME).
Remarkably, many CCI circuits are significantly associated with patient survival and are
predictive of patient response to immunotherapy. CCI circuits mapping to Allograft rejection
and Inflammatory response inform immunotherapy response prediction, while those related
to Epithelial Mesenchymal Transition are associated with poorer prognosis.
Overall, we show that CCIs expression signatur es could be effectively exploited to stratify
patients and, at the same time, they highlight new combination therapeutic opportunities in
personalized medicine settings.
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Introduction
Cell-cell interactions (CCIs) are essential com ponents that orchestrate the life of a cell in the
social network of a multicellular organism 1,2. The functions entailed by CCIs represented
major work horses for the evolution of multicellular organisms 3–6, given their essential roles
in cellular growth, development, differentiation as well as tissue and organ formation,
maintenance, and physiological regulation 1. CCIs mediate the interactions of membrane
receptors with diverse molecules, ranging fr om ions, metabolites and hormones to secreted
peptides, proteins, integrins, junction and structural proteins. Some molecules, such as
adhesion proteins, have structural or scaffolding roles, whereas secreted ligands such as
hormones, neurotransmitters, growth factors, ch emokines or cytokines mediate cell–cell
communication. Receiver cells integrate a multitude of such incoming CCIs through
membrane receptors and trigger downstr eam signaling and transcriptional program
regulation, ultimately responding to the microenvironment 1,2.
The cell-cell communication network is aberr antly regulated in the tumor microenvironment
(TME). Tumor cells foster their growth and proliferation by interacting with surrounding
normal cells, immune cells, fibroblasts and endot helial cells within the TME. Cancer cells
engage with TME through extensive chemical and physical interactions that are instrumental
for multiple tumor characteristics, such as dysregulated Extracellular Matrix (ECM),
sustainment of proliferative signals, inhi bition of apoptosis, invasion and metastasis,
metabolic dysregulation, evasion of immune surveillance and therapy resistance 7,8. The CCI
network can evolve in time and promote tumo r progression. Factors secreted by the primary
tumor can alter the microenvironment of dist ant organs, preparing them for metastatic
invasion. Endothelial cells supply tumors with nutrition and oxygen and enable cancer cells
to metastasize to distant sites through blood and lymphatic vessels. The intercellular
communication between these TME components and cells is a driver of cancer progression
and significantly impacts the efficacy of therapeutic interventions 1. A well-studied example
of TME interactions involves inflammatory cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), which
interact with endothelial cells to promote angio genesis and tumor proliferation in bladder
cancer and are a primary source of pro-angiogenic factors such as VEGF or PDGF 1.
Another well-studied example of TME interaction is the one with Tumor Associated
Macrophages (TAMs) 9. Tumor cells produce chemokines to recruit circulating monocytes,
which then differentiate into macrophages via tumor-secreted factors and ultimately establish
a specific TAM phenotype via polarization signals. TAMs in turn favor the tumor by secreting
growth factors, remodeling the ECM, inducing epithelial-mesenchymal transition (E-M
transition) and suppressi ng immune responses 9. An emerging component of the TME is
constituted by innervating neuronal cells, which might promote tumor growth through a
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feedforward loop involving the crosstalk between NGF and GPCR signaling in pancreatic
and gastric cancers 10,11.
The study of the TME involves the analysis of cell communication networks to identify
interacting cell types, their molecular mec hanisms and therapeutic targeting opportunities 12.
Early draft networks of receptor ligand pairs mediating cell-cell communications among
human primary cell types revealed an extensive signaling network mediated by multiple
receptor-ligand axes across cell types, characterized by high cell-type specificity of plasma
membrane and secreted proteins, and a younger evolutionary age than intracellular proteins,
also showing that most receptors had evolved before their ligands 13. The analysis of cell-cell
signaling from gene expression measurements of either bulk or single-cell transcriptomics
data sets has become a routine functional analysis through the availability of comprehensive
protein-protein interaction (PPI) databases and recent advances in RNA sequencing (RNA-
seq) technologies 2. With the advent of single cell and spatial transcriptomics techniques,
several computational approaches have been developed to infer the network of CCIs based
on gene expression information 2,14. Mathematical models exploiting network motif analysis
have also been proposed to describe the TME in terms of small circuits of interacting cell
types
15. The analysis highlighted a hierarchical network of cellular interactions, with CAFs at
the top of the hierarchy secreting factors mainly to TAMs.
Here we applied a network motif analysis appr oach to study CCI circuits in cancer bulk
RNAseq data, which we chose as they allow thei r profiling across large patient cohorts and
different cancer types, establishi ng more robust correlations with patients’ clinical data. In
particular, we analyzed CCIs from gene co-e xpression networks, previously shown to be
able to effectively identify prognostic genes across tumors
16 as well as to be predictive of
direct PPIs and stable complexes 17, and demonstrated how CCI circuits can be exploited
both as prognostic biomarkers as well as for immune response prediction.
Results
Cell-Cell interactions are highly co-expressed in cancer and
highly co-evolved.
We analyzed the expression of receptor-ligand pai rs from large scale bulk transcriptomics
data from 47 healthy and 32 cancer tissues, for a total of 15 matched tissues from over 15k
unique samples (see Methods). We detected a similar number of genes despite tumor
tissues generally having more samples than normal ones (Supplementary Figure 1A,B). We
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assessed gene co-expression individually in each healthy and cancer tissue using the
weighted gene correlation network analysis (WGCNA) method 18 and identified tissue-
specific clusters. Both the number and sizes of clusters in each tissue were comparable
across conditions (Supplementary Figure 1C,D).
We investigated receptor-ligand pairs involved in mediating cell-cell communication in the
gene co-expression network. We used a refer ence database of receptor-ligand interactions
obtained by integrating multiple resources (s ee Methods), for a total of approximately 4k
interactions. We found 2794 CCIs co-expressed within the same cluster in at least one
healthy tissue, and 2301 in at least one cancer tissue (Supplementary Table 1). Despite
detecting more unique co-expressed interacti ons in normal tissues (Supplementary Figure
1E), a comparable number of CCIs have their genes in the same co-expression network’s
modules in tumor and normal tissues (Supplementary Figure 1F), indicating that CCIs are
significantly more likely to cluster t ogether in tumor tissues ( p-value = 1.3x10
-87; Figure 1A).
We found that co-expression in cancer tissues is overall more predictive of receptor-ligand
interactions than co-expression in healthy tissues, as the distribution of AUROC values
obtained for this classification task using co -expression was significantly higher for cancer
tissues than normal tissues ( p-value=7.7x10
-11; Figure 1B). We found many CCIs that are
exclusively co-expressed in the same cluster in healthy tissues and never in cancer, e.g.
ACE2-AGTR1 or VEGFD-FLT4 (Figure 1C), likely representing specific, physiologically-
relevant interactions that are dysregulat ed in tumors. Other interactions, such as EFNA4-
EPHA1 or LTA4H-LTB4R are found more recurrently co-expressed in healthy tissues and, to
a lower extent, in cancer ones (Figure 1C). We also found widespread CCIs recurrently co-
expressed in the same cluster across cancer tissues (Figure 1C). The majority of CCIs
recurrently co-expressed in cancer (e.g. SELPLG-SELL, HLA-DOA1–CD4, CCL5-CCR5 or
CSF1-CSF1R) are also observed in healthy tissues, although less frequently, suggesting
that these interactions might be co-opted in an aberrant way by the tumor (Figure 1C). A
total of 236 interactions are exclusively co-expressed in tumor tissues, including the
CXCL10-CXCR3 and CXCL11-CXCR3 axes (Figure 1C; Supplementary Table 1), which
have recently emerged as major players in tumor growth and metastasis
19.
Co-evolution, assessed as the co-presence of gene pairs in sequenced genomes (see
Methods), is also highly informative about CCIs and outperforms in predictiveness tumor co-
expression (Figure 1D), suggesting that t he strengthening of the co-expression of CCIs
might mirror an evolutionary process. Moreover, we compared the co-expression patterns of
CCIs with those of other known PPI types from a human reference interactome (i.e. IntAct
20). Notably, co-expression of receptor ligand pa irs is significantly higher compared to other
IntAct interaction types (i.e. Direct interactions, Physical interactions or Associations),
considering either healthy or cancer tissues (Fi gure 1E). Particularly in tumor, CCIs have a
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highly significant greater co-expression with respect to direct interactions ( p-value=8.6x10 -
12, normal p-value=2.2x10 -10; Figure 1E). Additionally, CCIs are the interaction class
showing the greatest increase in co-expression from healthy to cancer tissues (Figure 1E).
CCIs, and to a lesser extent IntAct Direct interactions, are also characterized by higher co-
evolution compared to interaction pairs from other IntAct classes (Figure 1E).
To learn more about the evolutionary dynamic patterns involving genes mediating cell-cell
communication, we also investigated the soma tic mutations burden of cancer driver genes
(from the Cancer Gene Census
21), distinguishing between genes involved in cell-cell
communication (93 unique genes) and others (623 unique genes). We considered a curated
database of cancer clonal evolution and heterogeneity
22, to stratify somatic mutations based
on whether they affect the trunk, the branches or the leaves of the cancer phylogenetic tree,
determined according to their emergence during tumor evolution (see Methods).
Interestingly, we found that driver genes involved in cell-cell communication are significantly
more mutated than other cancer driver genes, both overall as well as considering trunk
mutations only (Figure 1F,G). On the other hand, we observed a tendency for higher burden
of later-stage mutations (branch and leaf mu tations) on other cancer driver genes (Figure
1G). Analysis of somatic mutations on cancer driver genes suggests that CCI genes are
mutated earlier, suggesting an evolutionary pre ssure that determines their early fixation
during tumor evolution.
Tumor mirrors natural evolution of GPCR signaling axes
We further investigated the different extent of co-expression and co-evolution pressures
exerted by tumorigenic processes on receptor- ligand interactions, compared to intracellular
interactions. We considered G protein Coupled Receptors (GPCRs), the largest family of
transmembrane receptors, as a prototypical ex ample of a receptor family whose members
mediate interactions both with extracellular ligands and with intracellular transducers, e.g.
heterotrimeric G proteins. Hence, this is an idea l system to monitor the different extents of
regulatory pressure and evolutionary dynamics exerted from the extracellular and
intracellular environments converging on the transmembrane receptor proteins.
We compared the degree of co-expression of extracellular ligand-GPCR pairs and
intracellular GPCR-G Protein pairs in healthy and cancer tissues. We found out that, while in
healthy tissues ligands and G proteins have almost comparable levels of co-expression with
cognate receptors (Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance D = 0.02, p-value=3.8x10
-03, Figure 2A),
in cancer the ligand-GPCR pairs are significantly more co-expressed than GPCR-G Proteins
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pairs (D = 0.06, p-value=4.1x10 -18; Figure 2B). Likewise, natural co-evolution with the
cognate receptor is significantly higher for ligands than G proteins (D = 0.20, p-
value=1.1x10-15; Figure 2C). We also correlated the natural co-evolution with the co-
expression by averaging the values of GPCRs with their respective ligands, as well as of
ligands with their respective GPCRs, for each ti ssue. We observed that highly co-expressed
ligands and GPCRs are also characterized by stronger co-evolution scores in the vast
majority of cancer tissues (Supplementary Table 2). Specifically, significant positive
correlations were observed for ligand co-e xpression and coevolution in 24 tumor types
(Pearson correlation, p < 0.05), including kidney (Supplementary Figure 2A) and breast
tumors (Supplementary Figure 2B). Among these, five tumor types—suc h as breast cancer
(Supplementary Figure 2C)—also showed significant associations for GPCRs. In contrast,
no significant correlations were detected between co-expression and coevolution for either
ligands or GPCRs in any of the healthy tissues analyzed (Supplementary Figures 2D,E,F).
We also evaluated the overlaps of patients with both ligands and GPCRs mutated or both G
proteins and GPCRs mutated in different par ts of the phylogenetic tree. Despite CCIs’
tendency to mutate individual genes early (Figure 1G), we found no significant difference
between the GPCR’s intracellular and extracellular sides in the earlier stages of tumor
progression (trunk and branches, Figures 2D, E) when considering pairs of interacting
genes. However, co-occurrences of mutations affecting ligands and their corresponding
GPCR become significantly higher than mutations affecting G proteins and their receptors,
when the whole phylogenetic tree is considered (D=0.11, p-value=5.1x10
-5, Figure 2F),
indicating that mutations affecting GPCRs are more frequently associated with mutations
affecting the cognate ligand, rather than cognate G Protein. This effect, however, is not
observed in the earlier stages of tumor prog ression, suggesting that a stronger selective
pressure on the extracellular side of the cell membrane might emerge as the tumor evolves.
Taken together, these analyses confirm also for GPCRs a higher co-expression of CCIs
mediated on the extracellular side of the tumo rs and its TME, which is mirrored by the
stronger evolutionary pressure observed in both natural and cancer-related evolution.
Moreover, phylogenetic analysis of cancer evolution reveals that the stronger tumor
coevolution on the extracellular side is characteristic of later stages of tumor evolution.
Major rewiring of ligand-receptor interactions in cancer
We analyzed the centrality properties of the CCI component of the co-expression network
(see Methods). Healthy tissues display higher diversity, with more unique hub genes, which
are tissue specific and rarely conserved across tissues (Figure 3A). On the other hand, in
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cancer there are overall fewer hub genes, whic h display higher conservation across tissues
(Figure 3A). Indeed, while hub genes in healthy tissues are conserved at most in 40% of
tissues (Figure 3A,B), in cancer they are shar ed in more than 90% of tissues (Figure 3A,C).
This trend is possibly reinforced for genes involved in cell-cell communication, whose
prevalence, relative to other hub genes, gets higher when considering genes shared by
multiple cancer tissues. For instance, around one third of hub genes shared by at least 80%
of cancer tissues are involved in CCIs (Figure 3C). This result suggests that healthy tissues
have more specific transcriptional programs, while cancer tissues lose such specificity, being
characterized by more similar transcrip tional programs. Genes mediating cell-cell
communication are highly conserved in t he co-expression networks, suggesting their
relevance for the interaction of the cancer cell with the TME.
We also considered the biological function of hub genes by computing the connection
strength contributed by hub genes in each biological process (MSigDB hallmark gene set
collection
23; see Methods). This revealed that the processes that are more tightly connected
to hub genes in tumor tissues are Allograft Rejection , Inflammatory Response and KRAS
Signaling Up, all of which display significantly higher connectivity in cancer tissues than in
normal ones (Figure 3D). Other processes, like Adipogenesis, Glycolysis and P53 Pathway,
exhibit reduced connectivity with cancer hub genes relative to their connectivity in normal
tissues (Figure 3D). Overall, 20 processes have significantly (p < 0.05) higher connectivity in
normal tissues, while only 11 have stronger connectivity in tumor tissues.
We investigated the rewiring of ligand-receptor pairs in co-expression networks from healthy
to cancer tissues, by checking whether genes of a given interacting pair display coordination
with the expression profiles of the same modules. We evaluated the similarity of module
membership of interacting gene pairs via cosine similarity (see Methods). We found out that
CCI is the interaction type undergoing the greatest extent of rewiring in cancer with respect
to healthy tissues, expressed as a significant ly different distribution of average cosine
similarities that are higher in cancer compared to healthy tissues ( p-value=0.01, Figure 4E),
indicating a stronger tendency of interacting ligand-receptor pairs to coordinate with the
same module in cancer. Other interaction types, such as Direct, Physical and Association,
as defined in IntAct, all have a comparable dist ribution of cosine similarities between cancer
and healthy tissues (Figure 3E). We also anal yzed co-occurrences of interacting genes in
the same module, finding that certain tissues display a prevalence of clustered CCIs in
health (e.g. liver, skin, uterus), while others in cancer (e.g. prostate, esophagus and kidney)
(Figure 3F). For example, in the prostate a large pool of CCIs that are uncorrelated in the
healthy tissue clustered together in prostate tumo rs, mainly contributing to the largest cluster
and, to a lesser extent, to smaller cluste rs (Figure 3G). These CCIs are enriched for
processes such as E-M Transition , Inflammatory Response and Angiogenesis
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(Supplementary Figure 3A). Very few CCIs that are clustered in the healthy prostate become
uncorrelated in cancer (Figure 3G) but, interestingly, this set of cancer-disrupted CCIs is also
enriched for E-M Transition (Supplementary Figure 3A). In contrast, the liver – despite
sharing some enriched processes with the prostate (Supplementary Figure 3B) –
predominantly displays clustered CCIs in t he healthy tissue (Supplementary Figure 3C), with
the biggest tumor clusters formed by a co mbination of both previously clustered and
unclustered CCIs (Supplementary Figure 3C). To illustrate how the cancer rewiring process
affects biological processes, we generated network visualizations of genes involved in E-M
Transition in the prostate (Figure 3H) and the liver (Supplementary Figure 3D). These
visualizations highlight how both the activation of new CCI axes and the disruption of
existing ones contribute to reshaping the co-expression networks. In particular, in the
prostate the increased tumor co-expression leads to the emergence of three distinct cancer
modules (Figure 3H), while in the liver, two modules of the normal tissue are disrupted in
cancer (Supplementary Figure 3D).
CCIs form co-expressed circuits in cancer suggesting crosstalk
among different cell-cell communication pathways.
We investigated the emergence of circuits of tw o distinct CCIs (two-CCIs circuits) displaying
coordinated expression, possibly indicating crosst alk of two different signaling axes. These
crosstalk mechanisms could belong to either the same or different pathways and might
happen in either an autocrine or paracrine fashion. We aggregated individual tumor and
normal co-expression networks into a single network where links connect pairs of genes that
display differences in co-expression betw een the two conditions (see Methods). We
enumerate all possible pairs of connected CC Is, and selected all subgraphs made of two
CCIs, which might involve either three nodes (e.g. two ligands binding to the same receptor)
or four nodes (two ligand-receptor pairs). Ea ch two-CCIs circuit can form one of 8 possible
network motifs (2 triads and 6 tetrads) based on the configuration of the links connecting its
genes (Figure 4A).
We compared the frequency of each network motif with a background distribution obtained
by randomly shuffling ligand-receptor intera ctions (see Methods). We used z-scores to
represent enrichment (z > 0) or depletion (z < 0) of each network motif. First, we considered
links indicating greater co-expression in tumo rs. In the tumor case, the only significantly
enriched motifs are either characterized by disj oint CCIs ( p-value < 0.05), or, conversely,
those in which each possible pair of genes is co-expressed, forming a fully connected triad
or tetrad clique ( p-value < 0.001, Figure 4B, Supplementary Table 3). This suggests that
cancer favors crosstalk between CCIs whose components are all co-expressed with one
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another, i.e. any possible pair of genes within the clique is co-expressed. Any possible
intermediate form of crosstalk, where only a fraction of participating genes are co-expressed,
happens less frequently than expected (Figure 4B). We strengthened this observation by
repeating the procedure while also considering links that indicate lower co-expression in
tumors and classifying them based on the condition in which the 2 CCIs involved were more
strongly co-expressed. We found that the vast majority of the cliques connect two CCIs
whose co-expression increases in cancer, fo llowed by cliques in which increased co-
expression of a CCI corresponds to decreased co-expression of the other one and, finally,
by cliques whose CCIs are concordantly more co-expressed in healthy tissues (Figure 4C).
We hypothesize that cliques in which all links concordantly indicate increased cancer co-
expression might underline convergent mechanisms between distinct signaling axes in tumor
settings and focus on only those circuits for the rest of the analyses.
We inspected the processes that are more fr equently co-represented within two-CCIs clique
circuits. We found that the combination of CCIs involved in Allograft rejection with Interferon
Gamma Response is the most frequent one, being represented in 166 cliques (Figure 4D,
Supplementary Figure 4). Other highly recurrently crosstalking processes are Apical junction
with E-M Transition and Myogenesis, co-present in 119 tetrad cliques, and Allograft rejection
with IL6 JAK STAT3 signaling, co-present in 109 tetrad cliques (Figure 4D). Overall, Allograft
rejection is the single process most frequently invo lved in crosstalk with other processes,
followed by Interferon Gamma Response and Inflammatory Response (Figure 4D).
Frequently observed genes within clique circuits include integrins like ITGB1, ITGA11 and
ITGB2, T cell co-receptors genes CD4 , CD8A and CD8B, chemokine receptors like CXCR3
and CCR5, and chemokines including CCL8, CCL5, and CXCL13, each participating in more
than 250 distinct clique circuits (Supplementary Table 3). Interestingly, numerous cliques
incorporate immune checkpoints such as CTLA4, which, along with its corresponding
ligands, is observed in 239 distinct clique circuits, or PDCD1—involved in 128 cliques—often
reflecting known examples of crosstalk betw een distinct CCIs in specific tissues. For
instance, the CTLA4 and PDCD1 axes—remarkably coordinated in skin cancers (Figure
4E)—show increased response rate when co-targeted in metastatic melanoma
24. The CCL2-
CCR2 & PDCD1-PDCD1LG2 circuit, vastly co-expressed in esophageal cancers (Figure
4E), promotes immune evasion via TAM recruitment in esophageal squamous cell
carcinoma mouse models 25. In breast cancer, PDCD1-CD274 coordinates with CXCL11-
CXCR3 (Figure 4E), the latter influencing respons e to checkpoint inhibitor therapies
targeting PDCD1 26.
We also explored therapeutic targeting opport unities on two-CCIs circuits co-expressed in
cancer. We have mapped known small molecules and antibodies targeting the receptors
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involved in two-CCIs clique circuits. We found that 36% of two-CCIs clique circuits have both
signaling axes targeted by at least one approv ed drug (either small-molecule or antibody).
The majority of two-CCIs cliques are targeted by combination of small molecules drugs and
antibodies, followed by cases where both rec eptor axes are targeted by antibodies and
those targeted by small-molecules only (Figure 4F). However, most of tetrad cliques (64%) is
not yet targeted by combination of approved therapies, suggesting an enormous space for
discovery new therapeutic approaches.
CCIs circuits are associated with patient survival
We considered whether two-CCIs cliques circ uits could represent functional units that
synergize to promote specific patient phenotypes, such as survival. In this respect, we
investigated the use of expression of two-CCIs ci rcuits to stratify patients based on survival
times. We identified two-CCIs circuits whose expression in patient samples showed a
statistically significant association with patient survival. We then filtered only those circuits
whose expression led to better survival statistics and patient stratification compared to the
expression of individual CCIs (see Methods). Intriguingly, we found an almost linear
relationship (r=0.87, p-value=0.005) between network motif enrichment (z-score), and the
likelihood of association with patient survival (Figure 5A). Remarkably, we found out that
cliques (both tetrads and triads ), that represent the most enriched network motifs, are also
the most strongly associated with patient survival (Figure 5A).
Overall, we identified 2283 two-CCIs clique circuits significantly associated with patient
survival in at least one of the 29 cancer tissu es considered for the survival analysis, with the
highest number of such prognostic circuits observed in brain and skin cancers
(Supplementary Table 4). Several cliques involving interactions mediated by collagen and
integrin are recurrently associated with poor prognosis. For example, in brain tumors, the
clique formed by COL8A1-ITGA2–ITGB1 & SDC1-THBS2 is linked to shorter survival
(Figure 5B). Similarly, in adrenal gland tumors, the ITGA2–ITGB1–LAMC1 & ITGA2–ITGB1–
LAMB3 circuit is also associated with reduced surv ival (Figure 5B). These two-CCIs circuits
are examples of cliques whose expression is ma inly associated with lower survival mainly
and connect processes associated with Apical Junction, E-M Transition, KRAS Signaling Up,
Myogenesis or Coagulation . Other clique circuits associated with poorer prognosis, such as
CXCL13-CXCR3 & HLA-E-VSIR in uveal melanoma, CCL5-CCR1 & CD274-PDCD1 in
leukaemia, CXCL13-CXCR3 & IL6ST-LIFR-OSM in brain tumors (Figure 5C) or CCL4-CCR5
& CD47-SIRPA in esophageal cancer mediate crosstalk between Allograft rejection ,
Inflammatory Response, IL6 JAK STAT3 Signaling or Interferon Gamma Response (Figure
5B). Among lower survival cliques, we also found some connecting Allograft rejection and
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Inflammatory Response with Apical Junction or E-M Transition , such as CCL5-CCR1 &
CD274-PDCD1 in leukemia, CXCL9-CXCR3 & CD47-SIRPA in esophageal cancer (Figure
5B). On the other hand, we have found different cliques associated with good prognosis in
specific tumor types, such as CXCL11-CXCR3 & CD8B-HLA-A in thyroid carcinoma or
COL4A1-ITGA1-ITGB1 & CCL22-DPP4 in sarcoma (Figure 5B). Interestingly, some cliques
can also be associated with good or poor prognosis depending on the specific type of
cancer. For example, lung cancer pa tients with high expression of the EGFR-HBEGF &
ITGA6-ITGB1-LAMA2 circuit are characteriz ed by shorter survival times than those with
lower expression (Supplementary Figure 5A). On the other hand, expression of the same
circuit is associated with longer surviv al times for esophageal carcinoma patients
(Supplementary figure 5B). In general, we found th at 22% of the cliques mapping to Allograft
rejection are significantly associated wi th either good or poor prognosis depending on the
cancer tissue considered, while only 4% of the cliques mapping to E-M Transition are either
favourable or unfavourable depending on the tissue considered (Supplementary Figure 5C).
Overall, cliques associated with higher surv ival are enriched ( p-value < 0.05) for processes
such as Allograft rejection , Interferon Gamma Response , Inflammatory Response , IL6 JAK
STAT3 Signaling or TNF
/i1 signaling via NF-kB (Figure 5D). In contrast, cliques associated
with lower survival display a drastic enrichment of processes such as Apical Junction, E-M
Transition, Myogenesis, Hypoxia or Angiogenesis (Figure 5D). The near-exclusive
involvement of these processes in cliques associated with lower patient survival indicates
that their modulation leads unequivocally to poorer prognosis. On the other hand, processes
such as Allograft Rejection or Inflammatory Response are more prevalent in cliques
associated to higher survival rates, but they also appear, although to a lower extent, in poor-
prognosis cliques, suggesting a more nuanced and context-dependent involvement of these
interactions and processes in determining patient prognosis.
CCIs circuits are predictive of response to immunotherapy
We investigated the predictive power of CCI ci cuits expression related to patient response to
immunotherapy. We considered an integrated dat aset of 1246 cancer patients, spanning 8
tissues, who underwent immunotherapy treatment (see Methods).
We trained a machine learning predictor fo r immunotherapy response based on patient
transcriptomics data (see Methods). We explored multiple expression signatures as distinct
feature sets, including the entire transcriptome, all the genes participating in CCIs, the set of
all genes appearing in two-CCIs clique ci rcuits, and known immunotherapy response
signatures collected from the literature (i.e. TIGER database 27). For each of these feature
sets, we trained both tissue-specific and pan-cancer tissue predictive models, which we
evaluated on held-out testing sets in a stratified k-fold procedure (see Methods).
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We showed that models trained on genes involved in two-CCIs clique circuits performed
better across tissues than those based on any other gene signature, including specialized
immunotherapy response signatures such as Tertiary Lymphoid Structures (TLS) or T Cell-
inflamed Gene Expression Profile (T Cell-inflamed GEP) (Figure 6A-B). Notably, they also
outperformed models using the whole transcriptome in 5 out of 8 tissues when considering
AUROC ( p-value = 0.03; Figure 6A–C) (all tissues except skin, brain and kidney), and in 6
out of 8 tissues when considering AUPRC ( p-va lue = 0.03, Figure 6C) (all except skin and
brain), obtaining the best predictive performances in lung tumors (AUROC=0.86,
AUPRC=0.79, Figure 6A, Supplementary Figures 6A,B).
Similarly to survival analysis, we also trained models based on expression signatures of
individual two-CCIs circuits and compared their performances with models trained on
individual CCIs (Supplementary Table 6), finding that the tetrad clique is the network motif
exhibiting the strongest predictive power (S upplementary Figure 6C). Crucially, several
clique circuits hold high predictive power in specific cancer tissues and generate better
predictions than those based on any of the individual CCIs that make the clique up (e.g.
ACKR1-CXCL9 & CCL5-CCL4 in bladder cancer; Figure 6D; Supplementary Figure 6D).
Notably, two-CCIs clique circuits performed significantly better than models trained on either
random pairs of CCIs regardless of their co-exp ression, as well as models trained on other
non-clique two-CCIs circuits ( p-value < 0.001; Figure 6E).
The predictive clique circuits are distinguished by a strong enrichment in Allograft Rejection
(Figure 6F), underscoring the centrality of this process in mediating the response to
immunotherapy, and by a marked depletion in E-M Transition (Figure 6F). The individual
cliques showing the best predictive performances across tumor types are almost invariably
involved in Allograft Rejection and frequently cro sstalk with processes such as Inflammatory
Response, Interferon Gamma Response, TNF
/i1 signaling via NF-kB, IL2 STAT5 Signaling,
KRAS Signaling Up or IL6 JAk STAT3 Signaling (Supplementary Figure 6D). We further
investigated the depletion of CCI genes involved in E-M Transition (Figure 6F) by evaluating
the predictive power of individual genes. For each gene, we computed the AUROC
independently in each tissue by treating the gene's expression level as a continuous
predictor of the outcome. Interestingly many genes have predictive power in specific tissues
like ureter, lung, lymphatic tissue and stomac h (Supplementary Table 7), the majority of
which are associated with AUROC < 0.5 indicating that their expression leads to reduced
response rates.
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Discussion
In this study we explored expression signatures and evolutionary dynamics of molecular
interactions mediating cell-cell communication on large scale transcriptomics datasets from
healthy tissues and cancer, and inspected their association with patient survival and
response to immunotherapy.
We found that CCIs are more co-expressed in cancer versus healthy tissues. Moreover, they
are also more co-expressed when compared to other types of intracellular interactions within
the same condition (i.e. both in cancer and in normal tissues). Here we show that CCIs are
the class of interactions displaying the highest co-expression level, particularly in tumors,
where receptor-ligand interactions exhibit greater coordination. Co-expression patterns are
predictive of CCIs, in line with our previous work that shows that co-expression derived from
cancer tissues is more predictive of proteins engaging in direct interactions or forming stable
complexes 17. In contrast, normal tissues display a broader diversity of ligands and
receptors, though their expression patterns ar e less tightly correlated. The stronger co-
expression observed for CCIs compared to any ot her interaction class is also mirrored by a
significantly higher co-evolution of the fo rmer when considering the co-presence of
interacting partners in sequenced genomes. As a special receptor system, we considered
GPCRs, since they evolved the fine-tuned capability to bind a set of intracellular transducers,
i.e. heterotrimeric G proteins, upon activati on mediated by the binding of specific
extracellular ligands. This makes GPCRs the i deal receptor class to study the different
extent of co-expression and co-evolutionary pr essures acting on both sides of the cell
membrane. The ligand binding pockets of GPCRs evolved to bind a huge variety of
extracellular ligands, information which is crucial to guide the molecular phylogenetic
classification of these receptor systems
28. On the other hand, the binding interface of
intracellular G protein is relatively more conserved, with sequence determinants of binding
mainly residing on the G protein while the receptor displays less conserved and highly
evolutionary dynamical determinants
29. Herein we show that at the gene-gene interaction
level, GPCRs are more co-evolved, in terms of co-presence within sequence genomes, with
their ligands than with cognate G proteins. This trend correlates with higher co-expression of
receptor-ligands pairs compared to receptor-tr ansducer ones, especially in cancer. Overall,
this suggests that the cancer transcriptional programs reinforce cell-cell communication,
potentially providing an advantage for cancer cells to thrive within the TME. Such a process
seems to mirror the natural evolution of CCIs which are characterized by a higher selective
pressure compared to other categories of intera ctions. Along this line, we found significantly
higher co-occurrences of somatic mutations at later stages of cancer evolution for receptor-
ligand pairs compared to receptor-transduc er pairs, supporting the notion of a higher
selective pressure for CCIs also in cancer.
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We have found a vast diversity of CCIs in heal thy tissues, with certain interactions being
exclusively associated with healthy tissues, potentially representing tumor-suppressive
interactions, while other interactions are more prevalent in cancer tissues and might function
as TME components. CCIs are central in co-expression networks, having greater hub
character and being more conserved in cancer co-expression networks compared to other
genes. On the other hand, healthy tissues display a greater diversity of co-expressed CCIs,
which are less conserved, more specific and undergo a massive rewiring in cancer.
The cancer rewiring process and the transcriptional program reinforcing CCIs also favors the
coordination of specific circuits of multiple CCIs which tend to recurrently emerge in cancer
networks. CCIs in these circuits are oft en fully-connected, forming cliques and possibly
representing self-sustaining feedback-loop s or indicating coordinated regulatory
mechanisms establishing crosstalk between distinct processes exploited by cancer. Indeed,
we found over-representation of certain processes such as Allograft Rejection , Interferon
Gamma Response, Inflammatory Response, Apical junction, E-M Transition, Myogenesis or
IL6 JAK STAT3 signaling, which are frequently co-occurring in the same clique.
Remarkably, we have found that the coordinated expression of many two-CCIs circuits is
significantly associated with patient survival. Crucially, considering the expression of the
whole two-CCIs circuits is often more si gnificant than considering the expression of
individual receptor-ligand interactions, especia lly when the circuit is a clique, suggesting a
synergistic role of the clique participants in triggering processes contributing to a certain
patient phenotype. In particular, the clique expression signatures associated with poor
prognosis frequently participate in processes such as E-M Transition or Myogenesis , while
others such as Allograft Rejection or Inflammatory Response might be associated with either
lower or higher survival depending on the specific tissue and CCIs involved.
In line with previous studies showing that CCI expression signatures
30,31, or complex
mutational signatures 32, could be harnessed to predict response to Immunotherapy, we
showed that expression signatures based on two- CCIs clique circuits are more predictive of
immunotherapy response, compared to the whol e transcriptome, individual CCIs or other
immunological expression signatures. Interestingly, the most enriched processes in
predictive circuits are Allograft rejection , mTORC1 Signaling and Interferon Gamma
Signaling, while the most depleted ones are E-M Transition, Myogenesis and Angiogenesis.
This indicates that, although interactions involved in E-M Transition , Myogenesis, or
Angiogenesis are clearly linked to poorer prognosis, t heir expression signatures are not able
to specifically predict immunotherapy response.
However, single E-M Transition genes contribute to the prediction of immunotherapy
response in cancers with higher metastatic potential (lung, lymphatic tissue and stomach
cancer) (Supplementary table 7): high cytokine expression in cancer cells (IL15) is
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associated to positive response to immunotherapy (as also observed in mouse 33), whereas
extracellular matrix, fibrosis and angiogenesis-related genes (collagen, PDGFRB, ITGB3)
expressed in stromal cells are associated with resistance. Overall, the presence of multiple
genes with different effects on immunotherapy response, the diversity in predictivity across
cancer types and the small effect of most genes may explain why E-M Transition cliques
have low predictive power.
By focusing on more predictive processes, we can devise more universal markers. In
particular, the expression of CCIs circuits involved in immune response processes such as
Allograft Rejection and Inflammatory Response is associated with higher survival times and
a higher predictive power for immunotherapy response.
The expression signatures of tw o-CCIs clique circuits might represent new biomarkers to
stratify patients and also open new avenues to synergistic targeted therapies. Many CCI
axes are targeted by approved targeted drugs which could be used in combination with
immunotherapies. For instance, we have found that a considerable amount of receptor-
ligand pairs in two-CCIs cliques are targeted by a combination of small molecule drugs and
antibodies, paving the way to the systematic exploitation of synergistic combination of
targeted drugs with immunotherapies.
The current analysis only considered bulk RNAseq data. On one hand, the possibility to
employ predictive models of either patient survival or immunotherapy based on CCI
expression signatures derived from bulkRNAseq data has undoubtedly the advantage to be
more exploitable in clinical settings, giv en the higher cost-effectiveness of the methodology.
Moreover it can also be combined with other approaches to predict targeted therapies based
on bulkRNAseq (e.g. CellHit (Francesco Carli et al., 2025; Carli et al., 2025)). On the other
hand, the current analysis lacks the information about TME cell type heterogeneity, which
may limit its ability to capture more nuanced cell–cell interactions and specific cellular
contributions to patient phenotype. Therefore, we plan to extend this analysis by exploring
the role of CCI circuits associated with distinct TME components in large-scale, pan-cancer,
single-cell RNA-seq atlases
36.
Methods
Preprocessing
Bulk RNA-seq data from TCGA and GTEx was obtained from the UCSC Xena Browser 37.
Only primary tumor data was kept from TCGA. The resulting dataset includes 18305
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samples, 7775 normal tissue samples from GTEx and 10530 primary tumor samples from
TCGA.
We first identified outliers based on quality control (QC) metrics. We only kept samples with
the number of detected genes between 20K and 40K. Samples with less than 10 millions or
more than 120 millions total counts were also removed, same for samples in which the top
100 most expressed genes accounted for more than 90% of total counts.
The data was then split according to tissue and condition (e.g. normal liver and
hepatocellular carcinoma were considered diffe rent tissues) and preprocessing was applied
to each tissue. In particular, we considered the following QC metrics: logarithm of total
counts, logarithm of genes with at leas t one count (adding a pseudocount to handle 0
values) and percentage of counts related to the top 100 most expressed genes. Samples in
which any of the QC metrics was more than 5 median absolute deviations from the median
value of the tissue were removed. To prevent the sparsity of the data from driving the
formation of clusters of lowly expressed genes, we removed genes with less than 15 counts
in more than 75% of the samples from each tissue. We normalized the data using DeSeq2
38
through PyDeSeq2 (v0.4.4) 39 and applied DeSeq2’s variance stabilizing transformation. To
identify remaining outlier samples, we conducted principal component analysis (PCA) on the
normalized data and retained the first 10 principal components. For each tissue group, the
centroid in the PCA space was calculated, and samples located more than five standard
deviations from their respective tissue centroid were removed. Tissue groups with fewer than
15 samples remaining after all QC and filtering steps were excluded from subsequent
analyses.
Weighted Gene Correlation Network Analysis
In order to generate co-expression networks, we performed weighted gene correlation
network analyses with the PyWGCNA (v2.0.0)
18 python module
(https://github.com/mortazavilab/PyWGCNA). Co-expression networks were generated
individually for each subtissue to avoid batch-e ffects (e.g., two different networks for sigmoid
colon and transverse colon). We used the “signed hybrid” network type and set the threshold
for the approximate scale-free criterion to R
2=0.9.
We named gene modules according to their ranki ng by size, as well as the condition of the
tissue they belong to (N for normal, T for tumor). For instance, T1 is the name of the module
containing most genes in a tumor tissue while the 5th module by size in a normal tissue is
called N5. We used modularity 40 to assess that the modules actually reflect the community
structure of the network. We found that 88% of the tissues display modularity Q>0.3, and all
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have Q>0.2 except for normal testis (Q = 0.05). Further inspection revealed lower number of
modules and average connectivity than all other tissues, for this reason the normal testis co-
expression network was deemed an outlier and excluded from the analysis.
List of interactions
The list of CCIs used in this work is obtained by merging CellPhoneDB 41 and CellChatDB 42
(the latter is obtained from LIANA 43). Additionally, in the case of GPCRs, the list also
includes biosynthetic enzymes as surrogates for GPCR organic ligands 44.
For intracellular protein-protein interactions, we retrieved all interactions from the IntAct
database 20 and grouped them into the following categories (in order of priority): IntAct Direct
(both enzymatic and non-enzymatic), IntAct Phys ical, IntAct Association. Each interaction
only appears in one category (e.g. an interaction that appears both in CCIs and IntAct Direct
is removed from IntAct Direct).
Co-Expression
The following metrics were considered when investigating co-expression: pearson
correlation, adjacency (soft-thresholding) in WGCNA networks and co-presence in the same
module.
We classified each occurrence of a CCI in eac h tumor or normal tissue based on whether or
not all the genes of the CCI are part of the same module and constructed a contingency
table. Significance was assessed with fisher’s exact test. Gene pairs were then classified as
either participating in cell-cell interactions (CCIs) or not, excluding pairs belonging to the
same protein complex from the interacting category. ROC curves were generated using
scikit-learn (v1.4.0) in order to assess the predictive power of adjacency in each tissue.
Mann-Whitney U test (scipy v1.12.0) was used to compare tumor and normal AUROC
values. We also considered PPIs from IntAct. Fo r each type of interaction in our list (CCIs,
IntAct Direct, IntAct Physical, IntAct Association) the mean co-expression (Pearson
correlation) of interacting protein pairs in each tissue was evaluated. Mann-Whitney U tests
were employed to compare the distributions associated with different interaction types (e.g.
CCIs vs IntAct Direct). p-values (two-tailed) are corrected according to the Benjamini-
Hochberg (BH) procedure
45.
Co-evolution of interacting protein pairs
We assessed the coevolution of a pair of proteins through a recently released pipeline 17,
which first retrieves orthologoues of a given input gene from OMA 46 and then quantifies the
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co-presence as the Jaccard similarity of sets of genomes containing orthologues of two
proteins.
Cancer evolution
We also retrieved data from cancer clonal evolution from the CancerTracer database 22, and
assessed the co-evolution, or co-selection, of cancer somatic mutation on interacting gene
paris through the Jaccard similarity of the sets of patients presenting mutations of either
gene. The cancer clonal evolution database further divides mutations based on their position
in the phylogenetic tree: “trunk”; mutations s hared by all samples from a tumor, “branch”;
shared by some but not all samples, “private” (which we renamed to “leaf” for consistency),
observed in a single sample. We computed the Jaccard index at progressively longer clonal
evolution stages starting from the trunk and progressing toward the leaves (i.e. considering
trunk only, then trunk and branch together and then the full phylogenetic tree), therefore
obtaining three different values for each gene pair.
GPCR signaling axes
We considered GPCRs as a special case st udy of CCIs. In addition to the ligand-GPCR
interactions from the CCIs list, we generated a list of GPCR-G protein couplings by
aggregating multiple experimental sour ces, integrated via GproteinDB
47, as well as
predicted couplings from the machine learning predictor PRECOGx 48. We only accepted as
valid GPCR-G protein pairs those which are pr edicted to interact by at least 3 different
sources. For each ligand-GPCR and GPCR-G protein pair, we computed their co-expression
using Pearson correlation across all normal and tumor tissues. Additionally, we assessed
their coevolution based on Jaccard similarity, using the orthology-based Jaccard index for
normal evolution and the clonal evolution one for cancer. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov D-
statistic was used to quantify differences between t he two interaction types. In particular, the
distributions of each metric (co-expression and coevolution) for ligand-GPCR pairs were
statistically compared to those for GPCR-G protein pairs using two-sample Kolmogorov–
Smirnov tests (scipy, two-tailed, BH-correct ed). When considering clonal evolution, we
computed the Jaccard index at progressively l onger clonal evolution stages starting from the
trunk and progressing toward the leaves (i.e . considering trunk only, then trunk and branch
together and then the full phylogenetic tree) obtaining three different values for each gene
pair.
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Hub Genes
We considered the total sum of the weights of all links connecting to a gene as that gene’s
degree. We then defined hub genes as the top 5% genes by degree in each WGCNA
network. For each gene we counted the number of different tissues in which it acts as a hub
gene, then we converted the value to a fracti on because of the different total number of
normal and tumor tissues in our dataset. We measured connectivities of hub genes to gene
sets representing biological precesses from MSigDB Hallmark collection 23, and normalized
to 1 the sums of all links having a hub gene as a source or target, ensuring that the results
are comparable across different networks regardl ess of the different values of the WGCNA
soft thresholds. When a tissue contains multiple subtissues (e.g. lung adenocarcinoma and
lung squamous cell carcinoma), the median value was used.
Rewiring of Co-Expression Modules
We used the signed module eigengene based connectivity measure (KME) 18 as a fuzzy
measure of module membership.
By representing each gene by a vector of KME, we measured the tendency of two genes to
appear together in a specific tissue/condition combination as the cosine similarity of their
KME vectors. This allowed us to consider the co-expression of each gene with all modules
eigengenes instead of just assigning a single module to each gene. Only tissues for which
both tumor and normal data are available were considered and the cosine similarities were
compared using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, higher cosine similarity values indicate that
interacting genes are more likely to appear in the same modules (be co-expressed with the
same module eigengenes).
In addition, we assessed the overall degree of interaction rewiring within each tissue by
calculating the fraction of CCIs that were assigned to the same module in only one condition
(tumor same module / normal different modules and vice versa). CCIs assigned to different
modules in both conditions were excluded. Sankey plots were generated using the Plotly
(v5.19.0) python module to visualize transitions of interactions between modules across
conditions. Networkx (v3.2.1) was used to visualize networks of genes involved in E-M
Transition, CCIs that involve those genes are also included in the network.
Network Motifs Analysis of the Crosstalk Network
We aggregated all WGCNA co-expression networks into one by performing Mann-Whitney U
between all pairs of proteins or protein co mplexes that appear in at least one CCI.
Specifically, the co-expression of a pair of genes (e.g. a ligand-receptor pair) in a tissue (e.g.
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heart) was represented by the mean adjacency value of the pair in the WGCNA networks of
all subtissues (e.g. left ventricle, atrial appendage). All subtissue networks were normalized
so that the maximum degree is 1. When a CCI included multiple genes forming a complex,
the co-expression value of that complex with any other complex or gene was represented by
the minimum of the co-expression values of a ll gene pairs involved. All possible pairs of
gene/complexes were included, regardless of whether they are actually involved in CCIs or
not, but pairs of complexes that share genes were excluded from testing.
Test results were summarized by connecting pairs showing significant differences between
conditions (p < 0.05, two-tailed, BH corrected) with signed links, with +1/-1 values indicating
co-expression being greater in tumor/normal tissues. We studied the topology of the
crosstalk network by means of network mo tifs analysis. The crosstalk network can be
thought of as a multiplex network with two layers. The first layer is the co-expression network
presented in the previous subsection, with li nks representing differences in co-expression
across conditions as assessed via Mann-Whitney U testing; links in this layer can exist
regardless of the pairs interacting or not. The second layer is the CCI list, with links
representing interactions between two genes or complexes, regardless of their co-
expression.
We started by enumerating all pairs of nodes that are connected in both layers of the
network. This corresponds to CCIs showing signifi cant differences in co-expression between
normal and tumor. We selected all subgraphs made of two of these interactions. The
subgraph representing a pair of interactions includes three nodes if one node is shared by
both interactions (e.g. two ligands binding to the same receptor), and four nodes otherwise.
We list all possible network motifs these subgraphs can be sorted into based on the
connectivity in the co-expression layer of the crosstalk network. We generated all possible
isomorphism classes of 3 and 4 nodes and use the isomorphic method from the igraph
(v0.11.6) python module
49 for detection.
To evaluate the enrichment of motifs, we gener ated a background distribution by means of
permutation testing. We considered the CCI list and randomly shuffled the genes/complexes,
which corresponds to randomly rewiring the links in the CCI layer of the network, while
preserving the degree of each node (e.g. prom iscuous receptors will still have many
interactions). The co-expression layer of the network is kept fixed. We use 5000
permutations and counted the frequency of each network motif in each case. To this end, the
occurrences of motifs are normalized by the to tal number of pairs of interactions that are
connected in both layers of the network. Finally z-scores and p-values (BH corrected, two-
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tailed) are obtained by comparing the frequency of each motif in the actual CCI network with
the background distribution of permutations.
Additionally, for each clique circuit, we associat ed the set of biological processes from the
MSigDB Hallmark gene set collection
23 that share common genes with the circuit. Finally,
we inspected the DrugBank database 50, classifying drugs into antibodies or small
molecules. We then identified combinations of two drugs that could potentially target both
components of each clique (where one drug targets genes involved in the first CCI and the
other targets genes in the second CCI). Only pairs in which both drugs are approved were
considered.
Survival Analysis
We used Cox-Proportional Hazards (Cox-PH) models to predict the hazard-ratios
corresponding to the variations in risk of death between TCGA patient groups. We also
generated Kaplan-Meier (KM) plots to visualize survival curves. Cox-PH models are fitted in
R (v4.4.2) using the survival package (v3.7)
51. Survival curves are plotted using the lifelines
(v0.30) python (v3.9) module {DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14007206}. All Cox-PH
models are univariate.
Survival and censoring information of TCGA patients was retrieved from UCSC Xena,
obtaining a total of 29 tumor tissues, and 33 tumor subtypes; no filtering is applied to this
dataset. Additionally a pan-cancer analysis is also performed where all tumor subtypes are
pooled together. Both in tissue-specific and pan cancer analyses, whenever multiple tumor
subtypes correspond to the same tissue (e.g. glioblastoma multiforme and lower grade
glioma), a separate baseline hazard function is fit for each tumor subtype.
We considered all possible two-CCIs circuits that are significantly more co-expressed in
tumor tissues than in normal ones (see previous section). For each pair of interactions,
patients are stratified into two groups. The “High Expression” (or “Low Expression”) group
contains patients whose expression of each of the genes involved is above (or below) the
gene’s median. The two groups are defined independent ly for each tumor subtype. Patients
which don’t fall into one of the groups (some genes are above their median, while some are
below) were removed. Cases in which any of the groups contain less than 10 patients were
discarded.
We selected pairs of interactions with significant differences in survival distribution using the
logrank test ( p-value < 0.05, Benjamini-Hochberg corrected). Additionally, interactions
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whose hazard-ratio is compatible with 1 are excluded (error bars correspond to standard
error). Next, we identified two-CCs circuits that are better at stratifying patients than
individual interactions as those showing dec rease in logrank p-value and increase in
concordance index. Additionally, the hazard ratio also has to be more distant from the value
1 when using both interactions together than it is for each of the individual interactions. This
corresponds to requiring the absolute value of the logarithm of the hazard-ratio of the two-
CCIs circuit to be greater than the one of any of the two individual CCIs (e.g. patients
stratified based on CXCL11, CXCR3, EGFR and HBEGF, must obtain a stronger hazard-
ratio than both those stratified based on CX CL11 and CXCR3 and those stratified based on
EGFR and HBEGF)
Finally, we identify processes that are associat ed with higher or lower survival. Cliques that
improve patient stratification are divided into two groups based on the hazard-ratio: good
prognosis (HR 1) . For each biological process (MSigDB
Hallmarks), a contingency table is construct ed dividing cliques based on whether they are
associated with the process or not, and w hether they are linked to good or poor prognosis.
Statistical significance of the association is then assessed using Fisher’s exact test (BH
corrected, two-tailed p-values).
Immunotherapy Response Predictions
We assembled a dataset of transcriptomic data from patients that underwent immunotherapy
by combining multiple sources, namely data from the TIGER database27 , the IMvigor210
cohort 52 and TCGA. Microarray data from TIGER is excluded. TCGA treatment data is
retrieved from 53.
All data is converted to log2(FPKM + 0.001) and samples that were collected post-treatment
are excluded. Only genes that are detected in all datasets are kept. The data is then split
into different tissues, only tissues with at least 20 patients are considered as individual
cohorts, resulting in 8 different tissues (skin=474, kidney n=341, bladder n=174,
stomach=78, lung n=47, brain n=46, ureter n=24, lymphatic tissue n=22), plus one pan-
cancer cohort obtained by considering all data together regardless of tissue (n=1246, also
including 40 patients from tissues with less than 20 patients each).
Each of these cohorts is processed with Combat
54 as implemented in the scanpy (v1.9.6
python module 55 to remove batch-effects. The three different sources of data (TIGER,
IMvigor210, TCGA) represent three distinct batches, no other covariates are added.
Patient response is converted to a binary variable, complete responders and partial
responders are assigned to the “Responsive” (R) category, while all other patients are
considered “Non-Responsive” (N).
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We employed TabPFN 56 for predictions due to its speed and effectiveness on small
datasets. We evaluated model performance using stratified k-fold cross-validation. For each
fold, we trained the model on the remaining folds and obtained predicted probabilities for the
held-out fold. By aggregating predictions across all folds, we generated probability estimates
for the entire dataset and computed a single value of AUROC and AUPRC. We trained two
sets of models, one based on wide sets of genes, one based on individual two-CCIs circuits
or pairs of CCIs.
In the first case, we considered broad gene sets, namely, all genes, all genes involved in any
CCI, all genes appearing in any of the two-CCIs clique circuits, and 11 immunotherapy-
related gene signatures obtained from TIGER. When a gene set contains more than 500
features—the maximum input dimensionality allowed by TabPFN—we apply principal
component analysis (PCA), retaining components that explain 95% of the variance, to
reduce dimensionality. To evaluate model performance, we use a number of cross-validation
folds equal to the number of patients in the minority class. This provides the closest
approximation to leave-one-out validation while maintaining balanced class distributions
across folds. The performance of the different feature sets was compared to the one
obtained with all genes using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test (one-tailed p-value).
In the case of individual CCIs or two-CCIs circuits, analogously to what we did for the
survival analysis, we trained models that combine the genes of two CCIs (e.g. CXCL11,
CXCR3, EGFR and HBEGF) and compare the performance with the ones obtained using the
genes from each interaction separately (e.g. CXCL11 and CXCR3 or EGFR and HBEGF).
Due to the high number of models trained, the number of folds was reduced to 10 in this
case. The AUROC of cliques is compared to that of other two-CCIs circuits with the
MannWhitney U test (BH corrected, two-tailed). Additionally the comparison was repeated
for random pairs of two CCIs (regardless of their co-expression).
Finally, we identified two-CCIs circuits that improved immunotherapy predictions. In
particular we considered a two-CCIs circuit to perform better than individual CCIs only if
using the combination of both interactions increases both the AUROC and the AUPRC with
respect to using any of the individual interactions. Out of the predictive two-CCIs circuits, we
focused on cliques, assessing the enrichment of biological processes (MSigDB Hallmarks
collection) in predictive cliques by permutation testing. First, we counted the occurrences of
genes from each biological process in predictive cliques. Next, we replaced the set of
predictive cliques with the same number of randomly selected cliques (regardless of their
predictive power) and repeat the procedure 5000 times obtaining a background distribution
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of occurrences of biological processes. Observed values are compared with the background
distribution obtaining Z-scores and p-values (BH corrected, two-tailed).
We also investigated the predictive power of the expression of the individual E-M Transition
genes. We considered all genes from E-M Transition appearing in at least one clique and
obtained AUROCs for their expression (instead of using the prediction probabilities from
TabPFN). This allowed us to associate genes with increased (AUROC > 0.5) or decreased
(AUROC < 0.5) response rate.
FIGURES
Figure1: Co-expression and coevolution of CCIs. (A) Contingency table representing the co-
occurrence of CCI genes in the same module in tumor and normal tissues; (B) Distribution of
AUROCs (y-axis) in tumor and normal tissues (x-axis) for the classification task of discriminating gene
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pairs involved in CCIs from all other gene pairs based on co-expression; (C) Bar plot of the frequency
of co-occurrence of CCI genes in the same module in tumor (red) and normal (blue) tissues, only the
top 20 most commonly co-expressed interactions in tumor or normal tissues are shown; (D) ROC
curves of individual (semi-transparent lines) tumor (red) and normal (blue) tissues and medians
(opaque lines) across all tumor and normal tissues. The orange curve is obtained using orthology-
based coevolution (see Methods); (E) Average values of co-expression (left y-axis) and coevolution
(right y-axis) for CCIs and other interaction types from IntAct (x-axis). For co-expression, markers and
error bars represent the mean and standard deviation of the in-tissue averages for tumor (red) and
normal (blue) conditions; (F) Distribution of total number of mutations observed in CancerTracer (y-
axis) for CCI genes (red) and other genes (gray). Only genes appearing in COSMIC’s Cancer Gene
Census are considered; (G) Distributions of the proportion of the total number of mutations observed
in different parts of the phylogenetic tree (x-axis) for CCI genes (red) and other genes (gray). Only
genes in the Cancer Gene Census are considered.
Significance is assessed using Mann-Whitney U test (* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001, BH
corrected, two-tailed).
Figure2: Cumulative distributions of co-expression and coevolution for GPCR-G protein and ligand-
GPCR pairs. (A - B) Co-Expression values; (C) Orthology-Based coevolution; (D) Cancer coevolution
of trunk mutations; (E) Cancer coevolution of mutations up to branch (trunk and branch mutations
only); (F) Cancer coevolution of the whole phylogenetic tree (trunk, branch and leaf).
Vertical black arrows represent the maximum distance (D statistics) and p-values refer to 2-sample
Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests comparing the GPCR-G protein and ligand-GPCR distributions (* p < 0.05,
** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001, BH corrected, two-tailed). In cancer coevolution plots, diagrams are added
to illustrate the portion of the phylogenetic tree under consideration.
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Figure 3: Rewiring of hubs and modules in co-expression networks. (A) Presence of hub genes
across multiple tissues. For each fraction of tissues (x-axis), the plot shows the number of genes (y-
axis) that are hubs in at least that fraction of tumor tissues (red), normal tissues (blue) or both normal
and tumor tissues (gray). Triangles indicate the maximum fraction observed in normal and tumor
hubs, and labels indicate the corresponding genes. The inset box shows a zoomed view of the
highlighted region; (B) Fraction of hub genes involved in CCIs (y-axis) vs fraction of normal tissues the
genes are hubs in (x-axis); (C) Fraction of hub genes involved in CCIs (y-axis) vs fraction of tumor
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tissues the genes are hubs in (x-axis); (D) Distributions of connection strengths (y-axis) of hub genes
to genes involved in biological processes from MSigDB Hallmarks gene sets (x-axis) in tumor (red)
and normal (blue) tissues. Significance bars represent Mann-Whitney U tests (** p < 0.01, *** p 0.01 not shown); (E) Distribution of average cosine similarity of
module membership vectors (x-axis) for interacting gene pairs (CCIs and other interaction types from
IntAct, y-axis) across tumor and normal tissues. Only tissues for which both tumor and normal
samples are present are considered. Significance bars represent the results of Wilcoxon signed-rank
tests (ns p > 0.05, * p < 0.05, BH corrected, two-tailed); (F) Fraction of CCIs with all genes located in
the same module under tumor, normal, or both conditions. CCIs that are not co-expressed in either
tumor or normal are excluded; (G) Sankey diagrams describing changes in module memberships
between healthy prostate and prostate adenocarcinoma. Normal modules (blue, left side) and tumor
modules (red, right side) are ranked based on their size. The height of each module is proportional to
the number of co-expressed CCIs in it. CCIs that are co-expressed in only one condition are
highlighted in blue (same module in normal, different modules in tumor) or red (same module in
tumor, different modules in normal). CCIs that are not co-expressed in any condition are not shown.
The remaining CCIs (gray) are co-expressed in both conditions; (D) Network visualization of E-M
Transition in prostate. Only genes involved in the process and CCIs that connect to them are shown.
CCIs that are co-expressed in the same module only in cancer (only in normal) are highlighted in red
(blue). Links that don’t represent CCIs are semi-transparent. Labels highlighting tumor modules T1,
T3 and T4 are positioned corresponding to the centroid of the respective clusters.
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Figure 4: CCI circuits. (A) Overview of network motifs analysis. Individual tissues’ co-expression
networks are merged into a single network (see Methods). All pairs of co-expressed CCIs are sorted
into possible network motifs and the procedure is repeated for random permutations of the co-
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expression network. The observed occurrences of each motif are compared to the background
distribution of permutations, obtaining a Z-score representing its enrichment; (B) Z-scores (y-axis)
represent the enrichment of each network motif (x-axis) in tumor co-expression networks, where
edges indicate higher co-expression in tumor versus normal samples. p-values are derived from
permutation testing (* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001, BH corrected, two-tailed); (C) Bar plot of the
number of cliques (links represent any difference between conditions) where both CCIs show higher
co-expression in tumor, normal, or with one CCI more co-expressed in tumor and the other more co-
expressed in normal; (D) UpSet plot describing the membership of genes of tumor cliques (higher co-
expression in tumor) to biological processes (MSigDB Hallmarks); (E) Co-expression values of (left)
genes involved in the CTLA4-CD86 & PDCD1-CD274 clique in tumor and normal skin, (center)
CCR2-CCL2 & PDCD1-PDCD1L2 clique in esophagus, CXCR3-CXCL11 & PDCD1-CD274 in breast.
(F) Bar plot of the percentage of clique circuits have both CCIs targeted by at least one approved
combination of antibodies, small molecules or both.
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Figure 5: Crosstalking interactions are associated with patient survival. (A) Probability of each
possible network motif of 2 CCIs improving patient stratification (y-axis) vs enrichment of the motif (x-
axis); (B) Barplot of cliques hazard-ratios (left) and heatmap of associated biological processes (right).
Each clique has three stacked bars: the blue bar shows the log hazard ratio of the first CCI. The
orange bar shows the increase when using the second CCI (labels are arranged so that the second
CCI always offers better stratification). The third bar (colored like the label) shows the added value of
using the full clique over individual CCIs. Label colors indicate poor prognosis (red, positive log HR),
or good prognosis (blue, negative log HR). The heatmap shows which biological processes include
genes from the first CCI (blue), second CCI (orange), or both. Top 3 cliques per tissue by rank
aggregate (Borda count) of c-index and increase of hazard-ratio with respect to individual CCIs are
shown; (C) Expression values and Kaplan-Meier curves with patient stratification based on expression
of the full CXCL13-CXCR3 & IL6ST-LIFR-OSM clique (top), expression of the CXCL13-CXCR3 CCI
only (center) or expression of the IL6ST-LIFR-OSM CCI only (bottom) in brain cancers. p-values refer
to logrank tests; (D) Probability (y-axis) of good prognosis (blue) and bad prognosis (red) cliques
containing genes from each biological process (x-axis). Only processes that are significantly more
likely to appear in good prognosis cliques (left) or poor prognosis cliques (right) are shown (Fisher’s
exact test, * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001, BH corrected, two-tailed).
Figure 6: Crosstalking cliques are predictive of immunotherapy response. (A) Bar plot showing the
AUROCs (y-axis) of different feature sets (x-axis); (B) Bar plots showing the AUPRCs (y-axis) of
different feature sets (x-axis). Each point in the two bar plots represents a cohort, while bar heights
and error bars indicate the mean and standard deviation. Feature sets are sorted by mean AUROC,
and only those with mean AUROC higher than "All Genes (PCA)" are displayed. Significance was
assessed using Wilcoxon signed-rank test, comparing each feature set against "All Genes (PCA)"
(one-tailed); (C) Change in AUROC value for different feature sets. For each cohort, “All Genes
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(PCA)” is considered as a baseline with dots representing the increase/decrease in AUROC (y-axis)
when changing features set (x-axis). The thick red line indicates the mean increase across all cohorts;
(D) Example of ROC curves for models trained on the genes of the ACKR1 - CXCL9 & CCL5 -CCR4
clique (red), ACKR1 - CXCL9 only (blue) and CCL5 -CCR4 only (orange) for the bladder cohort.(E)
Distribution of AUROCs (y-axis) for models trained on a single clique, any non-clique motif from the
co-expression network or random pairs of CCIs (x-axis). Significance assessed with Mann-Whitney U
test (BH corrected, two-tailed); (F) Enrichment (Z-score, x-axis) of biological processes (y-axis) in
predictive cliques. Background distribution of occurrences of biological processes and p-values are
obtained through permutation testing (BH corrected, two-tailed). (* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p <
0.001).
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
F.R. was supported by the Italian Ministry of University and Research through the
Department of Excellence “Faculty of Sciences” of Scuola Normale Superiore. The research
leading to these results also received funding from the Italian Association for Cancer
Research (AIRC) under My First AIRC Grant (MFAG) 2020 - ID. 24317 project. F.R. was
also supported by the Project granted by Next Generation EU – National Recovery and
Resilience Plan (Piano Nazionale di Ripresa e Resilienza, NRRP) – Mission 4 Component 2
Investment 1.4 – Ministry of University and Research (MUR) Call N. 3277 Project Code
ECS_00000017 MUR Directoral Decree n.1055 , 23 June 2022, CUP B83C22003930001,
project title “Tuscany Health Ecosystem – THE”, Spoke 8. F.R. also received funding from
the ImmunoHub project (“Immunoterapia: cura e prevenzione di malattie infettive e tumorali
(Immuno-HUB)”). We gratefully acknowledge the CINECA award, in collaboration with AIRC,
for the availability of high-performance computing resources and generous support. We
gratefully acknowledge the computational resources of the Center for High-Performance
Computing (CHPC) at Scuola Normale Superiore.
DATA AND CODE AVAILABILITY
Data from the following resources were used
GPCR cancer axes: https://gpcrcanceraxes.bioinfolab.sns.it/
https://zenodo.org/records/8349772
Cancer Tracer: http://cailab.labshare.cn/cancertracer/.
CellPhoneDB: https://github.com/ventolab/cellphonedb-data
DRUGBANK: https://go.drugbank.com/.
IMvigor210: https://github.com/SiYangming/IMvigor210CoreBiologies
IntAct: https://www.ebi.ac.uk/intact.
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(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made
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Liana: https://github.com/saezlab/liana-py
MSigDB: https://www.gsea-msigdb.org/gsea/msigdb
OMA Browser: https://omabrowser.org/oma/home/
TIGER: http://tiger.canceromics.org
UCSC Xena Browser: https://xenabrowser.net/
The code used for the analysis was deposited on GitHub at
https://github.com/lorenzoamir/cci_circuits_paper_2025.
COMPETING INTERESTS
The authors declare no competing interests.
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