Keywords
Perturbational Complexity Index; Sensory-evoked PCI; EEG; ERPs; Thermal-evoked responses; Temperature;
Pain; TRP channels; Peripheral sensitisation
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1 Introduction
Environmental perturbations evoke distributed patterns of neural activity constrained by the features of the
underlying network, which can be leveraged to probe its spatial and temporal architecture. An established
approach relies on the quantification of the dynamical richness of neurophysiological recordings by means
of complexity measurements, a group of techniques based on frameworks operating under the premise that
large-scale neuronal ensembles behave as non-linear dynamical systems (Khona & Fiete, 2022; Vignesh et al.,
2025). When applied to electroencephalography (EEG), magnetoencephalography, or intracranial recordings,
such approaches can characterise how information is processed across distributed brain networks (Sarasso et
al., 2021).
Among these measures, the Perturbational Complexity Index (PCI) provides a single numerical
estimate of the spatio-temporal richness of the brain’s response to a brief, controlled perturbation. First
introduced in the framework of Integrated Information Theory (IIT; (Tononi, 2004), the canonical protocol
employs a focal transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) to generate a cortical perturbation and uses the
Lempel‑Ziv metric (Casali et al., 2013) or recurrence quantification techniques (Comolatti et al., 2019) to
quantify the complexity of the ensuing multichannel EEG recording. This index reflects the complexity of the
perturbed system, in terms of temporal differentiation (i.e., the variety of patterns that unfold over
milliseconds) and spatial/topological differentiation (i.e., the number of networks/nodes generating a signal)
(Sarasso et al., 2021). Higher PCI values indicate responses that are at the same time diverse and organised,
reflecting a higher spatio-temporal richness of the EEG signal in response to a given perturbation, a profile
that has been originally associated with conscious states in TMS–EEG studies when compared to sleep (Casali
et al., 2013).
Crucially, PCI computation is independent of the mode of perturbation: provided that the stimulus is clearly
identifiable to allow averaging across trials, sensory events or pharmacological challenges may theoretically
be used in place of the TMS pulse. Here, we take advantage of this generality to compute PCI using
thermosensory stimuli as perturbations. Sensory‑evoked perturbational complexity is much less investigated
than TMS‑based PCI, and it has been usually assessed employing proxies for temporal differentiation (i.e.
entropy), spatial differentiation (i.e. functional connectivity), or both at the same time (i.e. algorithmic
complexity, like Lempel-Ziv measures).
The few EEG studies that have analysed responses to auditory, visual, or noxious electrical stimuli
employing the Lempel-Ziv algorithm show that complexity is differentially modulated by the meaningfulness
of visual and auditory stimuli information (Orłowski & Bola, 2023) and, in clinical cohorts, correlates with
recovery in patients with disorders of consciousness (Wu et al., 2011). Complementary work with other
complexity metrics has shown that functional connectivity differs for cold and hot non-painful stimuli
(Cuevas et al., 2024), while painful thermal stimuli increase entropy-based measures (Nuñez-Ibero et al.,
2021). Entropy ‑based indices have also been used to forecast nociceptive responses during anaesthetic
sedation (Melia et al., 2015; Valencia et al., 2016), and shown sensitivity to stimulus frequency in healthy
participants (Melia et al., 2018). Although these findings span different sensory modalities and analytical
frameworks, they converge on the notion that complexity metrics can quantify the effects of both perceptual
(e.g., non-painful vs. painful) and physical (e.g., temperature) features of thermal stimuli on the brain
responses they elicit.
Beyond establishing thermal stimulation as a suitable perturbation for PCI, we investigated whether
this index also tracks context-dependent modulations of pain. To this end, we analysed two independent EEG
datasets in which pain perception was modulated at different processing stages. In Dataset 1 (Courtin &
Mouraux, 2022), topical application of transient receptor potential (TRP) agonists altered peripheral
transduction, enabling us to probe whether PCI registers the change in afferent gain produced by chemical
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sensitisation. The agonists that were specifically considered were capsaicin for TRPV1, menthol for TRPM8
and cinnamic aldehyde for TRPA1. In Dataset 2 (Mulders et al., 2023), participants underwent a task that
varied the block-wise transition probabilities of receiving noxious hot or non-noxious cold stimuli, allowing
us to assess whether PCI reflects the influence of statistics of the stimulus sequence on cortical dynamics.
We formulated three linked hypotheses. First, we hypothesised that PCI values would differ across
stimulus intensities, with complexity scaling monotonically with intensity in the non-noxious range. In
contrast, when the participant experiences pain, this relationship between intensity and complexity may be
disrupted, leading to either increased or decreased PCI. Second, we expected that chemical sensitisation
would modulate this intensity-dependent effect: depending on whether afferent gain is amplified or reduced
by TRP agonists, PCI differences between low and high intensity conditions may be enhanced or attenuated.
Third, we hypothesised that the statistics of probabilistic stimulus sequences would shape cortical dynamics
with PCI decreasing for more frequent stimuli due to habituation-related effects. By testing these predictions,
we assessed PCI capacity to measure context ‑dependent changes in the spatial and temporal differentiation
that underlies thermal and nociceptive processing.
2 Methods
2.1 Datasets description
Two publicly available datasets employing the same contact thermode (QST.Lab; Strasbourg, France) were
re-analysed in this study.
Dataset 1 was originally collected by Courtin et al. (Courtin & Mouraux, 2022) and is available at
https://dx.doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/VCK6S. The study investigated the effects of different TRP channel
agonists on thermal event related potentials (ERP). It included 62 participants each assigned to one of four
agonist groups: menthol (20%), cinnamaldehyde (10%), capsaicin (0.25%), or capsaicin (1%). Each participant
was treated with an active patch (group-specific TRP agonist) on one forearm and a vehicle patch (only
ethanol absolute) on the other one, in a randomised order. After the removal of each patch, the treated area
was stimulated with three series of 30 thermal stimuli (target temperatures: 10°C, 42°C and 60°C; duration:
200 ms). EEG data was collected using actively shielded Ag-AgCl electrodes placed on the scalp according to
the international 10/20 system (32 channels for the menthol, cinnamaldehyde and capsaicin 0.25% groups; 64
channels for the capsaicin 1% group; WaveGuard EEG cap, Advanced Neuro Technologies, Hengelo, The
Netherlands).
Dataset 2 was collected by Mulders et al. (Mulders et al., 2023) and is available at
https://osf.io/8xvtg/. It included 31 participants who completed 10 blocks of 100 interleaved thermal stimuli
delivered on the forearm. Stimuli were 250 ms long and consisted of two temperatures: I1 was set to 15°C for
most participants, but could range between 15°C and 20°C; I2 was 58°C for most participants, but could be
decreased to 57°C. For additional details see (Mulders et al., 2023). Stimuli were presented with fixed
transition probabilities within each block (i.e., p(I1|I2) and p(I2|I1)). Five probability combinations were
tested, each repeated twice. EEG data was recorded using 64 Ag-AgCl electrodes placed according to the
international 10/10 system (WaveGuard 64-channel cap, Advanced Neuro Technologies).
2.2 Preprocessing
EEG recordings were pre-processed using the mne (Gramfort et al., 2013; Larson et al., 2024) and mne_bids
(Appelhoff et al., 2019) packages for Python (version 3.12.3). Each recording was visually inspected to identify
channels that were flat or excessively noisy. Recordings with more than 30% of bad channels were excluded.
Noisy channels were interpolated using spline interpolation. The EEG signal was re-referenced to the average,
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and ocular artifacts were identified and removed using independent component analysis (ICA). Data were
filtered using a notch filter at 50Hz and a bandpass filter (0.1-45Hz, second-order Butterworth). Continuous
EEG signal was then segmented into epochs from -500 ms to 1500 ms relative to stimulus onset, and baseline
corrected using a window from -500 ms to -10 ms. Epochs exceeding a peak-to-peak amplitude of 200μV were
excluded. For each dataset, if more than 30% of epochs were rejected within a given condition (defined as
participant-patch-temperature combination for Dataset 1, or participant-block-temperature combination for
Dataset 2), the entire condition was excluded from further analysis. If more than 30% of the conditions in a
participant were rejected, the participant was excluded. Based on these criteria we excluded two participants
in Dataset 1 and one participant in Dataset 2. Finally, we excluded one other participant in Dataset 1 who had
been excluded in the original paper (Courtin & Mouraux, 2022). For all remaining participants, the EEG signal
was averaged across the first 21 epochs within each condition, corresponding to the highest number of
artifact-free epochs available for all conditions and participants. These condition-level averages were used in
subsequent analyses.
2.3 Computation of perturbational complexity
The perturbational complexity index (PCI) was calculated for each condition following the state transition-
based approach developed by Comolatti et al. (Comolatti et al., 2019). This method quantifies the spatio-
temporal complexity of evoked EEG responses by computing state transitions (Fig 1). First, it computes the
singular value decomposition of the signal matrix to select components that account for at least 99% of the
response energy ( spatial differentiation proxy). Among these, only components with a signal to noise ratio
(SNR) above a minimum threshold ( min SNR ) were retained for further analysis. On these components,
complexity is estimated in terms of recurrent quantification analysis by evaluating the number of state
transitions (NST, temporal differentiation proxy). For each component, voltage-amplitude differences
between all time points (distance matrices) were computed separately for pre-stimulus and post-stimulus
windows. These matrices were then thresholded using several levels 𝜀n to obtain binary transition matrices
indicating the number of times the signal crossed a threshold, capturing transitions between distinct states.
Since the NST is quantified across several thresholds, the threshold 𝜀n* maximizing the difference in NST
between the post- and pre-stimulus windows (ΔNST) was identified and retained, and the ΔNST values were
summed across components to obtain the PCI for a given condition.
Several considerations were applied to ensure comparability with previous work. First, components
with SNR below the min SNR threshold were excluded. Since it is possible to expect a lower SNR for thermal
evoked potentials acquired over 30-100 epochs compared to the original signal for which this algorithm was
designed (200 stimuli, TMS-EEG), the min SNR was set to 1.1, corresponding the lowest value previously
investigated (Comolatti et al., 2019). Second, conditions with no surviving components (PCI = 0) were
excluded. Third, to improve comparability across conditions, PCI was computed only on the first 21 epochs
within each condition, corresponding to the highest number of retained trials across all conditions in both
datasets. Fourth, while in Dataset 2 PCI was calculated using all the recording 64 channels, in Dataset 1 and
in the models that grouped Dataset 1 and Dataset 2 together PCI was computed on a subsample of 32 common
channels. Finally, the k parameter, which determines the relative weight of pre- and post-stimulus NST during
thresholding, was fixed at 1.1 in accordance with the original implementation (Comolatti et al., 2019).
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Fig 1. Workflow for estimating the Perturbational Complexity Index (PCI) from evoked EEG responses
PCI was estimated in two EEG datasets in which evoked responses were recorded following cold and hot stimulation
delivered via a contact‑thermode stimulator. Dataset 1 additionally involved the topical application of an agonist solution
or vehicle (placebo‑controlled), while in Dataset 2 participants completed a learning task and received sequences of cold
(I1) and hot (I2) stimuli generated with five pairs of transition probabilities (here the probability of receiving a cold
stimulus after a hot one p(I1|I2) = 0.7 and p(I2|I1) = 0.3). In both datasets, EEG data were identically preprocessed, and
the stimulus‑locked averaged signals were entered into the state‑transition PCI algorithm of Comolatti et al. (Comolatti
et al., 2019), that compared the state transitions of the baseline (blue) and response (yellow) time window (the dotted
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vertical line indicates the stimulus onset). This yielded a single PCI value for each condition (participant- agonist -
temperature in Dataset 1; participant - block - temperature in Dataset 2).
NST = number of state transitions; 𝜀n* = threshold that maximises the difference between baseline and response NST for
the component n; TR = number of samples in the response; k = weight parameter between pre- and post-stimulus
transitions; Nc = number of total components C.
2.4 ERP peak parameters
To evaluate whether PCI reflects additional information compared to the amplitude or morphology of
canonical evoked responses, we conducted a control analysis focused on the N2–P2 complex, a well-
characterised biphasic deflection elicited by thermal stimulation, typically maximal at the vertex. This
analysis aimed to determine whether PCI simply reflects the magnitude of evoked activity or instead indexes
distinct aspects of spatio-temporal complexity.
Following established procedures in ERP research, the N2–P2 complex was identified in the averaged
signal for each condition. Latencies and amplitudes of the N2 and P2 components were extracted using the
mne.preprocessing.peak_finder() function, after visual inspection of both waveforms and topography to define
an appropriate time window. If peaks could not be reliably identified or if the scalp distribution was
ambiguous, the corresponding condition (defined as participant–agonist–temperature in Dataset 1 or
participant–block–temperature in Dataset 2) was excluded from the analysis.
In Dataset 1, peak parameters were identified from the Cz electrode after averaging all valid epochs
per condition. The EEG signal was re-referenced to the average of the mastoid electrodes (M1 and M2), to
replicate the approach used in Courtin et al. (Courtin & Mouraux, 2022). In Dataset 2, peak extraction was
also performed at Cz but on the average of the first 21 epochs per condition. Due to consistent artifact
contamination at the mastoids, an average reference across all electrodes was applied to minimise condition-
level exclusions. Because N2–P2 components were analysed only in relation to PCI within each dataset, and
not compared across datasets, the use of different referencing schemes does not constitute a confound. This
control analysis allowed us to directly compare classical ERP parameters with PCI estimates, testing whether
PCI explains variance beyond canonical evoked responses.
2.5 Statistical analysis
All statistical analysis were performed in R (version 4.3.3, ( R: The R Project for Statistical Computing , s.d.),
using the stats, car and emmeans packages. To assess how PCI varied across conditions and datasets, we used
linear regression models. The dependent variable was square-root-transformed PCI ( √𝑃𝐶𝐼) to preserve the
normality assumption. Distribution of the residuals was assessed using quantile-quantile (QQ) plots to verify
test assumptions. If a data point strongly violated normality, it was removed, and the model was re-estimated.
When post-hoc comparisons were required, p-values were adjusted using the Holm-Bonferroni procedure to
control for the family-wise error rate (α = .05). We constructed four models to assess condition-specific effects
and potential covariates.
2.5.1 Dataset 1: Effects of temperature and TRP agonists on PCI
To test the effect of different TRP channel agonists on PCI across three temperatures (10°C, 42°C, 60°C), we
fitted the following model:
√𝑃𝐶𝐼 ~ Temperature + Agonist + Temperature:Agonist + Temperature:Agonist:Patch (Model 1)
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where Temperature, Agonist, and Patch were categorical predictors, with Patch indexing whether stimulation
was preceded by an active or vehicle treatment. Since this model employs only categorical variables, we used
a Type III ANOVA to investigate the significance of effects.
2.5.2 Dataset 2: Effects of temperature and probabilistic context on PCI
To assess the effect of the absolute probability of receiving a cold stimulus ( 𝑝(I1) = 1 - 𝑝(I2)) on PCI values
across different blocks, we tested the following model:
√𝑃𝐶𝐼 ~Temperature*𝑝(I1) (Model 2)
where Temperature was a categorical predictor, (reference = I1), and 𝑝(I1) a metric variable, mean-centered
prior to the regression. Regression coefficients and marginal effects were employed to evaluate the
significance of effects.
2.5.3 Comparison across datasets
To assess the effect of Temperature across the 2 datasets, we tested the following model:
√𝑃𝐶𝐼 ~Temperature*Type (Model 3)
where Temperature was a metric variable encompassing all the temperatures in the two datasets, and Type
represents the categorical variable encoding the stimulus type (cold vs hot). Regression coefficients and
marginal effects were employed to evaluate the significance of effects.
2.5.4 ERP control analysis
To test whether PCI could be explained by canonical evoked responses, we modelled PCI as a function of N2
and P2 latency and amplitude:
√𝑃𝐶𝐼 ~ N2P2_Amplitude*N2_Latency*P2_Latency (Model 4)
Predictor variables were mean-centred and scaled to reduce multicollinearity. Regression coefficients and
marginal effects were employed to evaluate the significance of effects. The 95% confidence interval for the
model’s R² was estimated using the Ci.rsq() function from the psychometric package in R.
3 Results
3.1 PCI varies as a function of temperature
To assess whether PCI reflects differences in stimulus intensity, we first examined the effect of temperature
on PCI for each dataset separately. In Dataset 1, participants received three temperature stimuli (10°C, 42°C,
and 60°C). Model 1 revealed a significant main effect of temperature on √𝑃𝐶𝐼 (F(2,321) = 16.72, p < .001).
Pairwise comparisons within the vehicle condition indicated that √𝑃𝐶𝐼 at 42°C was significantly lower than
at both 10°C and 60°C (difference Δ42-10 = -1.50, SE 42-10 = 0.13, p < .001; Δ42-60 = -1.24, SE 42-60 = 0.13, p < .001).
Additionally, √𝑃𝐶𝐼 at 10°C was slightly higher than at 60°C (Δ10-60 = 0.25, SE42-10 = 0.13, p = .048).
In Dataset 2, participants received two temperature stimuli (I1≈15°C, I2≈58°C). Model 2 revealed a
significant effect of Temperature, with lower values associated with hot stimuli (average marginal effect AME
of Temperature I2: = -0.35, SE = 0.09, p < .001), a finding in line with Dataset 1.
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Model 3 assessed the main effect of Temperature on both datasets, allowing us to control for stimulus
type (Type = hot or cold) and to investigate how PCI varies across all the considered temperatures. The results
of the regression showed significant effects of both Temperature (regression coefficient β = -0.10, SE = 0.04 p
= .014), Type (β hot = -5.68, SE = 0.72, p < .001) and the interaction term Type × Temperature (β = 0.17, SE =
0.04, p < .001), indicating that stimulus type influences the Temperature slope. Indeed, the marginal effect of
temperature varied for the cold and hot stimuli (Marginal Effect ME cold = -0.10, SE = 0.04, p =.014; ME hot =
0.07, SE = 0.01, p < .001), suggesting a U-shaped relationship: the more the stimulus temperature departs from
the baseline, the more the complexity increases.
Together, these findings indicate that PCI is modulated by stimulus temperature, with increased
complexity observed at temperatures further from baseline (Fig 2), and a slightly more pronounced effect
within the cold temperature range. This effect may be due to the limited range of temperatures tested, their
asymmetry in their physical distance from baseline, differences in perceived intensity, or by distinct neural
processing engaged by cold and hot stimuli.
Fig 2. PCI values across temperature conditions in both datasets.
Box‑and‑whisker plots summarise PCI values computed on the 32 ‑channel montage for each temperature in Dataset 1
(Courtin & Mouraux, 2022; 10 °C, 42 °C, 60 °C, patch=”vehicle”) and Dataset 2 (Mulders et al., 2023; I1≈15 °C and I2≈58 °C,
transition probabilities = 0.5). The single PCI estimate for each condition is shown as a semi‑transparent dot. Boxes denote
the median and inter ‑quartile range (IQR), whiskers extend to 1.5 × IQR. The PCI varied non-linearly with temperature
across both datasets, reaching highest values at the temperature extremes (10 °C and 60 °C, Dataset 1) and a minimum at
the intermediate 42 °C.
3.2 PCI varies as a function of TRP agonist application
Dataset 1 included within-subject comparisons of electrophysiological responses following application of
either a TRP agonist or vehicle patch to the forearm. Using Model 1, we found that the Temperature × Agonist
× Patch interaction was significant (F(12,321) = 2.01, p = .023), prompting further analysis within each patch
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condition. Notably, Agonist and Temperature x Agonist effects were not significant (F(3,321 = 2.54, p = .057;
F(6,321) = 1.27, p = .27, respectively), suggesting that the effect is specific to the three-way interaction.
Significant decreases in √𝑃𝐶𝐼 were observed under cold stimulation (10°C) for both capsaicin 1% ( Δvehicle-agonist
= 0.91, SE 42-10 = 0.37, p = .039) and menthol 20% ( Δvehicle-agonist = 1.08, SE 42-10 = 0.36, p = .012). Agonist
manipulation did not lead to significant differences at 42 °C or 60 °C (Fig 3), and no effects were observed on
any temperature under capsaicin .25% or Cinnamic aldehyde 10%.
Overall, topical capsaicin and menthol selectively reduced complexity during cold stimulation, with
no detectable influence at warmer temperatures.
Fig 3. PCI values as a function of temperature and topical patch in Dataset 1.
Box‑and‑whisker plots show raw PCI scores (32 ‑channel montage) for menthol 20 % (left) and capsaicin 1 % (right). For
each agonist, participants received a vehicle patch and an active patch before stimulation at 10 °C, 42 °C, and 60 °C; the
patch order was counter ‑balanced within subjects. Semi ‑transparent dots represent the single PCI estimate for every
participant‑temperature‑patch combination, boxes mark the median and IQR, and whiskers extend to 1.5 × IQR. Both
agonists selectively lowered complexity at 10 °C, whereas no consistent patch effect emerged at 42 °C or 60 °C.
3.3 PCI is affected by probabilistic manipulations
Dataset 2 allowed us to examine whether cortical complexity is modulated by expectation as, across
successive blocks, the absolute probability of receiving a cold (I1≈15°C) stimulus was set to 𝑝(I1) = 0.3, 0.5, or
0.7. Notably, the probability of receiving a hot (I2) stimulus varied accordingly but in the opposite fashion,
being 𝑝(I2) = 1 - 𝑝(I1). Thus, three different combinations of absolute stimulus probabilities were present in
the dataset.
Model 2 assessed the main effect of this stimulus probability change and its interaction with stimulus
temperature on √𝑃𝐶𝐼 (Fig 4). The regression coefficients associated with 𝑝(I1) (β = 0.14, SE = 0.07, p = .034)
and the interaction term 𝑝(I1) x Temperature (β = -0.24, SE = 0.09, p = .011) were significantly different from
zero. When fixing the Temperature to I1 (cold), 𝑝(I1) at I1 temperature marginal effect was significant and
positive (MEcold = 0.14, SE = 0.07, p = .034), indicating that complexity increased with the absolute probability
of cold stimuli. In contrast, for I2 (hot) stimuli, the effect was negative and not significant (ME hot = - 0.10, SE
= 0.07, p = .140). Since 𝑝(I2) = 1 - 𝑝(I1), this implies that complexity tended to increase with the absolute
probability of a given stimulus, more reliably so for cold temperatures.
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Fig 4. PCI as a function of 𝑝(I1).
Box‑and‑whisker plots show raw PCI scores calculated from the full 64 ‑channel montage, grouped by the block ‑wise
probability of receiving a cold stimulus I1≈ 15 °C (0.3, 0.5, 0.7). Colours distinguish the two temperatures: hot I2≈ 58 °C
(red) and cold I1≈ 15 °C (blue). Each semi‑transparent dot represents the single PCI estimate for one participant in a given
probability × temperature block; boxes mark the median and IQR and whiskers extend to 1.5 × IQR. Consistent with the
statistical analysis (Sections 3.1 and 3.3), it is possible to observe a Temperature effect on PCI, being it lower for hot stimuli
(AME = -0.35, p < .001). Furthermore, complexity increases when 𝑝(I1) increases for cold stimuli (MEcold = 0.140, p = .034).
3.4 PCI is largely independent of conventional N2–P2 peak metrics
To determine whether PCI merely tracks the latency or amplitude of the N2–P2 complex, we fitted Model 4
separately for each dataset and temperature. In Dataset 1 (Fig 5), for cold stimuli, the marginal effect of N2-
P2 amplitude on √𝑃𝐶𝐼 was significant (AME = 0.23, SE = 0.10, p = .024), but no significant effect was found
for N2 and P2 latency (AME = -0.17, SE = 0.11, p = .124; AME = 0.09, SE = 0.12, p = .448, respectively). For hot
stimuli, no marginal effect proved significant, even though a negative trend was present for N2 latency (N2
latency: AME -0.25, SE = 0.13, p = .052; P2 Latency: AME = -0.14, SE = 0.11, p = .188; N2-P2 Amplitude: AME =
0.02, SE = 0.11, p = .835).
In Dataset 2 (Fig 6), no significant marginal effects were found for all the regressors for cold stimuli (N2
latency: AME 0.03, SE = 0.05, p = .504; P2 Latency: AME = -0.02, SE = 0.05, p = .753; N2-P2 Amplitude: AME =
0.03, SE = 0.06, p = .570). For hot stimuli, only N2 latency had a significant effect on complexity (N2 Latency:
AME = 0.20, SE = 0.05, p < .001, P2 Latency: AME = -0.03, SE = 0.05, p = .523; N2-P2 Amplitude: AME = 0.04,
SE = 0.05, p = .496).
To summarise, these results, while showing some sporadic association between peak parameters and
complexity, do not point towards a consistent effect, suggesting that PCI may explain other features
associated with EEG responses to thermal stimuli. Furthermore, the models explained little variance: R² never
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exceeded .10 and every 95 % confidence interval included zero for both cold (Dataset 1: R² = .10, CI [‑.22, .42];
Dataset 2: R² = .02, CI [‑.20, .25]) and hot stimuli (Dataset 1, 𝑅ଶ= .10, CI [-.27;.48]; Dataset 2, 𝑅ଶ= .05, CI [-
.23;.34]).
These results suggest that classical ERP peak parameters account for only a small fraction of PCI
variability, reinforcing the idea that PCI quantifies aspects of spatio-temporal complexity beyond traditional
amplitude‑latency measures.
Fig 5. Relationship between PCI and N2–P2 peak parameters in Dataset 1.
Each panel shows z‑scored PCI plotted against N2 latency, P2 latency, or N2–P2 amplitude; the upper row corresponds to
10 °C, the lower row to 60 °C. Solid lines are least ‑squares fits with 95 % confidence bands. For cold temperature, N2-P2
Amplitude had a significant effect on PCI (AME = .23, p = .024), while no other significant effect was found between peak
parameters and complexity. All the variables in the plot have been mean-scaled and centered.
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Fig 6. Relationship between PCI and N2–P2 peak parameters in Dataset 2.
Each panel shows z‑scored PCI plotted against N2 latency, P2 latency, or N2–P2 amplitude; the upper row corresponds to
I1≈ 15 °C, the lower row to I2≈ 58°C. Solid lines are least ‑squares fits with 95 % confidence bands. For hot stimuli, there
was a significant marginal effect of N2 Latency (AME = .20, p < .001). All the variables have been mean-scaled and
centered.
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14
4 Discussion
The present study used sensory ‑evoked perturbational complexity to characterise how the human cortex
integrates and differentiates information under graded thermal input, peripheral sensitisation, and
probabilistic manipulation. Four key findings emerged: (1) cortical complexity scaled with stimulus intensity
in a non-linear manner; (2) peripheral sensitisation reduced PCI during cold perception; (3) probabilistic
manipulations have a detectable impact on PCI; and (4) PCI captured aspects of the evoked response beyond
those reflected in conventional ERP measures of latency and amplitude.
In response to graded thermal input, PCI systematically varied with the stimulus distance from
baseline skin temperature. In Dataset 1, PCI exhibited a U-shaped pattern, reaching its minimum at 42 °C and
increasing significantly at both 10 °C and 60 °C. Notably, 10 °C elicited slightly higher PCI values than 60 °C,
suggesting that intense cold may recruit a more diverse or distributed set of cortical states than intense hot,
a finding confirmed also in Dataset 2 (≈15°C vs ≈58°C). This non-linear profile aligns with previous findings,
which show that thermal extremes yield a decrease in EEG alpha power, likely reducing low-frequency
synchronisation (Courtin & Mouraux, 2024; Tayeb et al., 2022). The differential effects of cold and hot
stimulation may emerge from differences in information processing, as suggested by the difference in spatio-
temporal and spectral characteristics of brain activity elicited by cold and hot stimuli (Watanabe et al., 2025).
However, such effects may also stem from imperfect matching of stimuli across modalities, for example in
terms of perceived intensity or painfulness. Another key finding is that PCI was sensitive to peripheral
sensitisation induced by TRP agonists. In Dataset 1, topical application of menthol (20%) and capsaicin (1%)
significantly reduced PCI in response to cold stimulation (10 °C), relative to vehicle patches. This reduction
in PCI may suggest that complexity is dependent on the state of the system prior to the stimulus, perhaps
more than on the differences in afferent gain. Indeed, menthol may reduce perceived intensity of cold in
some contexts (Andersen et al., 2015) but capsaicin typically does not (Courtin & Mouraux, 2022), despite
both increasing spontaneous sensations during patch application. PCI may thus reflect not only the
properties of the stimulus, but also the brain's readiness to process it in a flexible, integrative manner,
highlighting that spatio-temporal complexity may exhibit some degree of state dependency (Battaglia, 2014).
These results are consistent with prior ERP findings from the same dataset, where menthol
application led to reduced N2–P2 amplitudes and prolonged latencies, and capsaicin similarly reduced
amplitude without significantly affecting latency (Courtin & Mouraux, 2022). Critically, even though in the
original paper significant variations in amplitude and latencies could be observed also for hot-evoked
responses in response to menthol 20%, capsaicin 1% and cinnamic aldehyde 10% patches, such effects were
not significant for PCI. Yet, while classical ERPs capture signal magnitude and timing at specific scalp
locations and may be correlated to some extent to spatio-temporal complexity, PCI offers a global, state-
based account of how stimulus-evoked activity unfolds across time and space, possibly providing different
information, thus accounting for this discrepancy. PCI reductions cannot indeed be fully explained by
changes in conventional ERP features. While decreases in N2–P2 amplitude or shifts in latency could
hypothetically lower the number of high-SNR components retained during the PCI calculation leading to a
PCI decrease, regression analyses showed that ERP parameters explained only a small fraction of PCI variance
(R² ≤ .10 across conditions).
Finally, when assessing PCI sensitivity to probabilistic manipulations (i.e., sequence statistics) we
found evidence of modulation of PCI by the probability of receiving a cold stimulus in Dataset 2.
Concurrently, existing evidence points towards an effect of sequence statistic on complexity, as studies using
laser-evoked potentials have shown that the N2-P2 waveform can be modulated by stimulus novelty in
combination with saliency, unpredictability, and behavioural relevance (Ronga et al., 2013; Torta et al., 2012).
However, whether our findings genuinely reflect changes in cognitive processing related to the probabilistic
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15
manipulation is not certain. Because stimulus probabilities were asymmetrical in some blocks and we
analysed the first 21 artefact-free epochs for each temperature-probability combination, stimuli with a low
probability were on average delivered later in the sequence than stimuli with a high probability. Thus, we
could not control for the effect of habituation across trials, which is known to influence brain responses to
thermal stimuli and may have lowered the complexity associated with low-probability conditions (Greffrath
et al., 2007).
Theoretical implications: PCI beyond consciousness research
PCI was originally developed within the framework of Integrated Information Theory to quantify the brain’s
capacity for consciousness based on the complexity of cortical responses to direct perturbation, typically via
transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) (Casali et al., 2013; Comolatti et al., 2019; Tononi, 2004). It reflects
the degree to which neural activity is both differentiated (i.e., rich in diverse, time-varying components) and
integrated (i.e., distributed across interconnected sources).
In this framework, differentiation corresponds to the number and diversity of unique neural
responses: the more diverse the unique neural responses, the more complex and unpredictable the signal will
be over time (Marshall et al., 2016). This notion is closely linked to temporal differentiation, as the recorded
signal reflects the composition of multiple irreducible time series. In contrast, integration reflects the
coherent propagation of activity across brain regions, enabling distant neural populations not directly
affected by the perturbation to respond in a coordinated manner (Marshall et al., 2016). This is conceptually
related to spatial differentiation, since functional integration requires interconnections among spatially
distributed sources. Notably, there is an overlap between IIT constructs 0f differentiation and integration and
the measurable signal properties of temporal and spatial differentiation. For example, the diversity of unique
neural responses ( IIT differentiation) depends in part on the variety of contributing brain regions ( spatial
differentiation), while the coordinated propagation of activity ( IIT integration) shapes the structure of the
temporal signal ( temporal differentiation) (Sarasso et al., 2021). PCI concurrently captures both dimensions
simultaneously (Casali et al., 2013). Indeed, TMS-evoked PCI has been shown to clearly distinguish between
states of consciousness, suggesting that this combined approach more accurately reflects the richness of brain
dynamics (Casarotto et al., 2016; Sinitsyn et al., 2020; Wang et al., 2022).
Extending this framework to sensory-evoked PCI introduces a new interpretive domain. In contrast
to TMS, sensory stimulation is already embedded within conscious perceptual experience. Yet, the same
principles apply: high PCI may indicate that the stimulus engages brain-wide, temporally rich processing that
supports adaptive, flexible responses; low PCI may signal reduced integration or differentiation, consistent
with less flexible or stereotyped neural responses.
Within predictive coding frameworks (Friston, 2005), a low complexity could correspond to failures
in hierarchical inference, such as maladaptive precision weighting or impaired model updating, both of which
have been implicated in chronic pain pathophysiology (Chen & Wang, 2023). Notably, this interpretation
aligns with evidence from chronic pain research, where states of increased sensitivity or persistent pain are
associated with less variable, more spatially and temporally constrained cortical dynamics (Apkarian et al.,
2011; Baliki et al., 2008; Wei et al., 2022). Therefore, future research may investigate PCI in response to thermal
stimuli delivered to individuals with chronic pain.
These findings open new avenues for applying complexity-based metrics in sensory neuroscience,
particularly in understanding how endogenous state changes and exogenous manipulations jointly shape the
brain’s capacity to process, integrate, and interpret nociceptive input. Further research should systematically
investigate how PCI varies within a single individual over time, in response to different stimulation
modalities, recording techniques (e.g., magnetoencephalography), and contextual modulation to fully
characterise its utility as a systems-level marker of adaptive or maladaptive brain states.
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16
5 Conclusion
Perturbational complexity has primarily been applied as a global index of consciousness, showing that
reduced complexity reflects loss of integration and differentiation of the information carried on by a TMS
perturbation. Here, we extended the use of PCI to sensory-evoked perturbations, applying it to characterise
the network states underlying thermal and nociceptive processing. Across two independent datasets, we
found that PCI was sensitive to both stimulus intensity, peripheral sensitisation via TRP agonists, and
probabilistic manipulations. The negligible association between PCI values and conventional ERP parameters
highlights PCI capacity to quantify large-scale changes in the spatio-temporal organisation of evoked cortical
responses.
By assessing PCI sensitivity to stimulus features and contextual modulation, our findings support the
use of perturbational complexity-based metrics as a sensitive tool for probing the large-scale neural dynamics
associated with thermosensation and pain perception.
Data and Code Availability
All data are publicly available via the Open Science Framework
(Dataset 1: https://dx.doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/VCK6S; Dataset 2: https://osf.io/8xvtg/).
The analysis code used in this study is available at: https://github.com/Body-Pain-
Perception-Lab/pain-PCI_pipeline/tree/main/publication.
Authors contributions
KTM: Conceptualisation, data curation, formal analysis, funding acquisition, methodology, project
administration, software, validation, visualisation, original draft, writing – review & editing.
ASC: Investigation, methodology, resources, supervision, validation, original draft, writing – review & editing.
DM: Investigation, methodology, resources, writing – review & editing.
FF: Funding acquisition, methodology, project administration, supervision, original draft, writing – review &
editing.
Funding
This work was supported by a Neuroscience Academy Denmark (NAD) fellowship (KTM); the European
Research Council (ERC-2020-StG-948838; FF and ASC) and the Lundbeck Foundation (R436-2023-991; FF).
Declaration of Competing Interest
Authors report no conflicts of interest
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17
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