Resilient Generation Planning Considering Low-RES Output

Resilient Generation Planning Considering Low-RES Output | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Resilient Generation Planning Considering Low-RES Output Ektor-Ioannis Stasinos, Mathaios Panteli, Nikos Hatziargyriou This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-5820703/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 19 Apr, 2025 Read the published version in Environment Systems and Decisions → Version 1 posted 7 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract The growing concerns over mitigating climate change effects resulted in power system planning and generation expansion strategies that aim in increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy sources (RES) to fulfil the national energy and climate plans (NECPs) of countries worldwide. However, the variable and intermittent nature of RES output, compounded by uncertainties arising from climatic and weather changes, poses significant challenges. These challenges necessitate careful consideration in generation planning and in determining the operational reserves of RES-rich power systems to ensure resilience. This paper employs a generation capacity operational planning method based on the Screening Curve Method (SCM), assuming various levels of large RES penetration and diverse spinning generation reserve policies, necessary to cope with various levels of RES generation deficits, to guarantee power system resilience. The proposed approach can be used to assess the overall reduction of capacity and decommissioning of thermal units, while ensuring resilient operation against various levels of annual RES generation deficits. Decommissioning of Thermal Units Low-Renewable Energy Sources Generation Power System Resilient Generation Planning Screening Curve Method Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 19 Apr, 2025 Read the published version in Environment Systems and Decisions → Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 26 Feb, 2025 Reviews received at journal 18 Feb, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 27 Jan, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 20 Jan, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 18 Jan, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 17 Jan, 2025 First submitted to journal 13 Jan, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-5820703","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":403934827,"identity":"d2213d59-3469-42ce-943f-3174aa957f88","order_by":0,"name":"Ektor-Ioannis Stasinos","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAABEUlEQVRIie3QsUoDMRjA8S8EckvUNS7mFRIKndR7EJcLhU7OpaLgSSAudVcQ+wqCcDj2OLguZ/sAmY57gZZObuZK63TH6SaS//BdCPnBxwH4fH+1qB60HmMAEnQ9J98Eu1G4i/o76yKwJ8i4QxfhU12tyvfT8Igu0+rqJeGHGEi1NufAL5qhyEmfqWKonh40lh+JlQZDIFIzALmImgmBPiiTRWKJyfFdYpEjhKVuyknLYibYrBwJwy15tuGO3LYSyKlgjqDXA+1IbNWOZMBpsxD55ciRoXossp6MczswGBlWLOZUtBCu52/rT+P+2ESVZXxjz6b3Omfj0fUJb1usIRTXk4rZz8l+gfjXxOfz+f5nXxx+VyOqLmLzAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC","orcid":"","institution":"National Technical University of Athens","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Ektor-Ioannis","middleName":"","lastName":"Stasinos","suffix":""},{"id":403934828,"identity":"2110bb37-1033-4d1e-820c-e8ec0ac19131","order_by":1,"name":"Mathaios Panteli","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Cyprus","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Mathaios","middleName":"","lastName":"Panteli","suffix":""},{"id":403934829,"identity":"744d556c-f362-4560-8432-2a69403fc6ad","order_by":2,"name":"Nikos Hatziargyriou","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"National Technical University of Athens","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Nikos","middleName":"","lastName":"Hatziargyriou","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-01-13 14:23:20","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-5820703/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5820703/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[{"content":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-025-10013-6","type":"published","date":"2025-04-19T15:57:10+00:00"}],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":81050780,"identity":"2c400a52-176d-41e0-9109-15305338f076","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-04-21 16:04:45","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":1041284,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"ResilientGenerationPlanningConsideringLowRESOutput.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-5820703/v1_covered_c9ead97d-0bbb-4b23-be38-59bdde1f202d.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Resilient Generation Planning Considering Low-RES Output","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"environment-systems-and-decisions","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"envr","sideBox":"Learn more about [Environment Systems and Decisions](http://link.springer.com/journal/10669)","snPcode":"10669","submissionUrl":"https://submission.nature.com/new-submission/10669/3","title":"Environment Systems and Decisions","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"em","reportingPortfolio":"Springer Hybrid","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":false},"keywords":"Decommissioning of Thermal Units, Low-Renewable Energy Sources Generation, Power System Resilient Generation Planning, Screening Curve Method","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-5820703/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5820703/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eThe growing concerns over mitigating climate change effects resulted in power system planning and generation expansion strategies that aim in increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy sources (RES) to fulfil the national energy and climate plans (NECPs) of countries worldwide. However, the variable and intermittent nature of RES output, compounded by uncertainties arising from climatic and weather changes, poses significant challenges. These challenges necessitate careful consideration in generation planning and in determining the operational reserves of RES-rich power systems to ensure resilience. This paper employs a generation capacity operational planning method based on the Screening Curve Method (SCM), assuming various levels of large RES penetration and diverse spinning generation reserve policies, necessary to cope with various levels of RES generation deficits, to guarantee power system resilience. The proposed approach can be used to assess the overall reduction of capacity and decommissioning of thermal units, while ensuring resilient operation against various levels of annual RES generation deficits.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Resilient Generation Planning Considering Low-RES Output","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2025-01-20 07:45:22","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-5820703/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Revision requested","date":"2025-02-26T11:21:45+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2025-02-18T10:58:06+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"283833953837717645543209076986391408210","date":"2025-01-28T04:33:21+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2025-01-20T09:02:56+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2025-01-18T16:18:57+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2025-01-17T15:42:02+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Environment Systems and Decisions","date":"2025-01-13T14:10:23+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"environment-systems-and-decisions","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"envr","sideBox":"Learn more about [Environment Systems and Decisions](http://link.springer.com/journal/10669)","snPcode":"10669","submissionUrl":"https://submission.nature.com/new-submission/10669/3","title":"Environment Systems and Decisions","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"em","reportingPortfolio":"Springer Hybrid","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":false}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"f9cc5c24-5ec9-454d-9c5a-41c2ab86288e","owner":[],"postedDate":"January 20th, 2025","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"published-in-journal","subjectAreas":[],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2025-04-21T15:59:17+00:00","versionOfRecord":{"articleIdentity":"rs-5820703","link":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-025-10013-6","journal":{"identity":"environment-systems-and-decisions","isVorOnly":false,"title":"Environment Systems and Decisions"},"publishedOn":"2025-04-19 15:57:10","publishedOnDateReadable":"April 19th, 2025"},"versionCreatedAt":"2025-01-20 07:45:22","video":"","vorDoi":"10.1007/s10669-025-10013-6","vorDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-025-10013-6","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-5820703","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-5820703","identity":"rs-5820703","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}