Analysis of Cell-Free DNA to Predict Outcome to Bevacizumab Combination Therapy in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients

Abstract To predict outcome to combination bevacizumab (BVZ) therapy, we employed cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to determine chromosomal instability (CIN), nucleosome footprints (NF) and methylation profiles in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. Low-coverage whole-genome sequencing (LC-WGS) was performed on matched tumor and plasma samples, collected from 74 mCRC patients from the AC-ANGIOPREDICT Phase II trial (NCT01822444), and analysed for CIN and NFs. A validation cohort of plasma samples from the University Medical Center Mannheim (UMM) was similarly profiled. 61 AC-ANGIOPREDICT plasma samples collected before and following BVZ treatment were selected for targeted methylation sequencing. Using cfDNA CIN profiles, AC-ANGIOPREDICT samples were subtyped with 92.3% accuracy into low and high CIN clusters, with good concordance observed between matched plasma and tumor. Improved survival was observed in CIN-high patients. Plasma-based CIN clustering was validated in the UMM cohort. Methylation profiling identified differences in CIN-low vs. CIN high (AUC = 0·87). Moreover, significant methylation score decreases following BVZ was associated with improved outcome (p = 0·013). Analysis of CIN, NFs and methylation profiles from cfDNA in plasma samples facilitates stratification into CIN clusters which inform patient response to treatment