Threshold Effect of Economic Growth Rate on Persistence Suicide

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This study's PSTAR model revealed nonlinear effects and heterogeneity of economic growth rate on suicide rate persistence, with a diminishing marginal impact over time.

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The paper studies how economic growth rate affects the persistence of suicide rates using a Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression (PSTAR) model, reporting nonlinear and heterogeneous effects across threshold intervals defined by a transition variable. It finds that suicide rates exhibit persistence, with the magnitude varying over time by threshold interval, and that changes in economic growth rate alter this persistence to different degrees. The influence of economic growth is reported to weaken as the lag period increases, and the marginal impact in the third year is much lower than the suicide rate in the first year. The paper is explicitly described as a preprint that has not been peer reviewed. The paper does not explicitly discuss endometriosis or adenomyosis; it was included in the corpus via a keyword match in the upstream search index.

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Abstract

In this study, a Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression (PSTAR) model was introduced and the empirical results found nonlinear effects and heterogeneity of economic growth rate on the persistence of suicide rate, and can be summarized into three conclusions. First, the suicide rate has a persistent effect, and it varies over time depending on the transition variable within different threshold intervals. Second, the persistent effect will be manifested in different degrees by the change of the economic growth rate. With the increase of the lag period of the suicide rate, the effect of the influence will gradually decrease. Third, the marginal impact in the third year is much lower than the suicide rate in the first year.JEL Code: I12, I15, Q56
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Threshold Effect of Economic Growth Rate on Persistence Suicide | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Threshold Effect of Economic Growth Rate on Persistence Suicide Tzu-Yi Yang, Ssu-Han Chen, Yu-Ting Lan, Yu-Tai Yang This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1722128/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract In this study, a Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression (PSTAR) model was introduced and the empirical results found nonlinear effects and heterogeneity of economic growth rate on the persistence of suicide rate, and can be summarized into three conclusions. First, the suicide rate has a persistent effect, and it varies over time depending on the transition variable within different threshold intervals. Second, the persistent effect will be manifested in different degrees by the change of the economic growth rate. With the increase of the lag period of the suicide rate, the effect of the influence will gradually decrease. Third, the marginal impact in the third year is much lower than the suicide rate in the first year. JEL Code: I12, I15, Q56 Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression (PSTAR) model Suicide rate GDP Nonlinear Threshold effect Persistence effect Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-1722128","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":111278939,"identity":"77de5494-2a91-4fa1-9696-7d5296ca6afb","order_by":0,"name":"Tzu-Yi Yang","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"National Ilan University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Tzu-Yi","middleName":"","lastName":"Yang","suffix":""},{"id":111278940,"identity":"3bce2888-0679-4411-a8b4-18c910d13ca2","order_by":1,"name":"Ssu-Han Chen","email":"data:image/png;base64,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","orcid":"","institution":"Ming Chi University of Technology","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Ssu-Han","middleName":"","lastName":"Chen","suffix":""},{"id":111278941,"identity":"1ecd6fce-a3ab-4e73-ae32-fd492c5f3d32","order_by":2,"name":"Yu-Ting Lan","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"National Ilan University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Yu-Ting","middleName":"","lastName":"Lan","suffix":""},{"id":111278942,"identity":"2c6f8c4f-746a-4225-b73d-0ebf017bffba","order_by":3,"name":"Yu-Tai Yang","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Vanung University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Yu-Tai","middleName":"","lastName":"Yang","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2022-06-03 09:29:09","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-1722128/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1722128/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":22524522,"identity":"cb7a54ac-4bbb-4ee3-9867-0fa91fe67bc6","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2022-06-10 20:33:22","extension":"pdf","order_by":2,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":563606,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"PersistenceSuicideManuscript.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-1722128/v1_covered.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Threshold Effect of Economic Growth Rate on Persistence Suicide","fulltext":[{"header":"Full Text","content":"This preprint is available for \u003ca href='/article/rs-1722128/latest.pdf' target='_blank'\u003edownload as a PDF\u003c/a\u003e."}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression (PSTAR) model, Suicide rate, GDP, Nonlinear Threshold effect, Persistence effect","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-1722128/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1722128/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eIn this study, a Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression (PSTAR) model was introduced and the empirical results found nonlinear effects and heterogeneity of economic growth rate on the persistence of suicide rate, and can be summarized into three conclusions. 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