Japan-AfCFTA Integration Through Economic Impacts of Alternative EPA Scenarios

Japan-AfCFTA Integration Through Economic Impacts of Alternative EPA Scenarios | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Japan-AfCFTA Integration Through Economic Impacts of Alternative EPA Scenarios ONUR BIYIK This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-762313/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This paper analyzes the impact on an economic partnership agreement (EPA) between African countries and Japan through trade liberalization and reduction in non-tariff barriers. This study aims to investigate sectoral interconnections and participation in the EPA that would facilitate further possible opportunities for Japan-African businesses. The methodology employed is the Computable General Equilibrium model integrated with the Global Trade Analysis Project version 10A Multi-Region Input-Output database. We first modified the GTAP’s structure form to develop a long-run closure under steady-state and thereafter examined the African Continental Free Trade Area-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (AfJEPA) with several EPAs scenarios relying on the quantitative comparison of economic impacts of different technical measurements. As a result, the AfJEPA can provide new possible opportunities for Africa-Japan businesses, such as contributing to the existing African and Japanese mega-regional trade agreements. Specifically, the electronics, petroleum and coal, and chemical, rubber, and plastic industries in Africa would see the highest percent growth. Likewise, the Japanese industries would improve their productivity in the motor vehicles and transport equipment, chemical, rubber, and plastic, and textiles and apparel industries. To sum up, trade facilitation and knowledge transfer, which policymakers can improve concrete action and investment, would considerably stimulate African and Japanese real GDP. Thus, the potential for growth would rely on how deep the integration policy would be. International Economics AfJEPA AfJEPA-E Welfare Value-Added GCE Modeling Full Text Competing Interests The authors declare no competing interests. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-762313","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":42509963,"identity":"eaf67fb4-cce8-4da5-9693-6fda8f7b9825","order_by":0,"name":"ONUR BIYIK","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAABEklEQVRIiWNgGAWjYBACA2YGhoMNYCbzgQ8MPBIQYR4glwgtbIkziNMCxIwQLTyGM+DCPHgcZs7OY3hwBoNNnsHtMx+beWQsGAyOH3/44E0NA7s5Di2WzTwGBzcwpBUbnMvd2MwDdJjBmRxjwznHGJgtG3A47DBQy8N/hxM3nOHd/hikxexADps0DxsDs8EBPFoeMIC08DwE22J2/vnz3zz/CGjZANHCCNFyI8GMmbcNtxbLZrYCoPfTEmeeYTNsnMMjwWN/442x5Nw+CZx+Mec/vPljD4NNYt8Z5ocNb3vq5CT70x9+ePPNJhlXiDEwcBgg2Iw98BiRSDbAqhwE2B8gcX4gmHa4tYyCUTAKRsEIAwAVPlpFM3Aw9QAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==","orcid":"","institution":"Waseda University","correspondingAuthor":true,"submittingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"ONUR","middleName":"","lastName":"BIYIK","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2021-07-29 06:02:32","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":{"humanSubjects":false,"vertebrateSubjects":false,"conflictsOfInterestStatement":true,"humanSubjectEthicalGuidelines":false,"humanSubjectConsent":false,"humanSubjectClinicalTrial":false,"humanSubjectCaseReport":false,"vertebrateSubjectEthicalGuidelines":false,"coiExplicitlySet":false},"doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-762313/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-762313/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":13664074,"identity":"852bfdcf-ae77-42a9-b70c-c2d7e2c47cfd","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-09-17 10:39:48","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":971528,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"newreporting.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-762313/v1_covered.pdf"},{"id":11975006,"identity":"eef56b03-0cd9-41da-a505-27a42f0fa225","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-07-30 21:13:47","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":968050,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"newreporting.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-762313/v1_covered.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eJapan-AfCFTA Integration Through Economic Impacts of Alternative EPA Scenarios\u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[{"header":"Full Text","content":"This preprint is available for \u003ca href='/article/rs-762313/latest.pdf' target='_blank'\u003edownload as a PDF\u003c/a\u003e."},{"header":"Competing Interests","content":"\u003cp\u003eThe authors declare no competing interests."}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"Waseda University","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"AfJEPA, AfJEPA-E, Welfare, Value-Added, GCE Modeling","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-762313/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-762313/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eThis paper analyzes the impact on an economic partnership agreement (EPA) between African countries and Japan through trade liberalization and reduction in non-tariff barriers. This study aims to investigate sectoral interconnections and participation in the EPA that would facilitate further possible opportunities for Japan-African businesses. The methodology employed is the Computable General Equilibrium model integrated with the Global Trade Analysis Project version 10A Multi-Region Input-Output database. We first modified the GTAP’s structure form to develop a long-run closure under steady-state and thereafter examined the African Continental Free Trade Area-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (AfJEPA) with several EPAs scenarios relying on the quantitative comparison of economic impacts of different technical measurements. As a result, the AfJEPA can provide new possible opportunities for Africa-Japan businesses, such as contributing to the existing African and Japanese mega-regional trade agreements. Specifically, the electronics, petroleum and coal, and chemical, rubber, and plastic industries in Africa would see the highest percent growth. 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