Climate Change will Increase Ozone Levels and unravel Air Quality Regulations

Climate Change will Increase Ozone Levels and unravel Air Quality Regulations | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Brief Communication Climate Change will Increase Ozone Levels and unravel Air Quality Regulations David Adler, Antonio Bento, Noah Miller, Edson Severnini This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-778902/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Using daily data for the United States over the period 1980-2019, we estimate the impacts of temperature on ambient ozone concentrations, accounting for adaptation to climatic change. We find that even with adaptation, rises in temperature will steeply increase ozone levels by over 9 ppb on days above 25◦C. By mid-century, we calculate that 189 additional counties will be violating the air quality standards, with 33 million more residents exposed to unhealthy levels of ozone. Climate change will thus likely increase the costs of compliance with existing ambient ozone standards. In light of a recent EPA ruling that would effectively remove co-benefits of ozone precursor reductions from the cost-benefit analysis of those standards, they will be in peril, further threatening public health. Climatology Environmental Economics Environmental Policy ambient ozone concentrations climatic change air quality standards Full Text Additional Declarations There is NO Competing Interest. Supplementary Files ABMSSIFinal.pdf Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-778902","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Brief Communication","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":43716661,"identity":"06b23eb0-2557-4925-8382-9450895bd780","order_by":0,"name":"David Adler","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Carnegie Mellon University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"David","middleName":"","lastName":"Adler","suffix":""},{"id":43716662,"identity":"deca882a-d984-4ab8-92c0-6d3dc4474b69","order_by":1,"name":"Antonio Bento","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAArUlEQVRIiWNgGAWjYDACCTBpA+HwEK3lAEMa6VoOk6CFf3bzsccfKs4nzm8/wPjgbRsxltw5lm5w4MztxA1nEpgN5xKjheFGjpnEwTagFgkGNmleYrTI38j/BtRyLnH+DAb230RpMbiRwwbUciCx4QYDGzNRWgzvHDOTOHMm2XjDmcRmyTnniNAid7v5mURFhZ3s/PbDBz+8KSNCCxJgbCBN/SgYBaNgFIwC3AAA7PI57yfUtOAAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"University of Southern California","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Antonio","middleName":"","lastName":"Bento","suffix":""},{"id":43716663,"identity":"063e43be-621a-4ee0-80e9-9e3370b8786b","order_by":2,"name":"Noah Miller","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Southern California","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Noah","middleName":"","lastName":"Miller","suffix":""},{"id":43716664,"identity":"00fb52f2-8348-4dd2-9439-f446762d294f","order_by":3,"name":"Edson Severnini","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Carnegie Mellon University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Edson","middleName":"","lastName":"Severnini","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2021-08-04 06:15:37","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-778902/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-778902/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":13665159,"identity":"c7b7a40b-a6ce-43d2-8ad7-e5749845097a","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-09-17 10:44:03","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":727894,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"ABMSmanuscriptsubmissionFinal.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-778902/v1_covered.pdf"},{"id":12145810,"identity":"95b0425a-46df-4b82-9938-5aecedde4fcd","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-08-05 13:44:24","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":724203,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"ABMSmanuscriptsubmissionFinal.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-778902/v1_covered.pdf"},{"id":12145764,"identity":"182db704-ba51-42ea-a287-56a2f9c42245","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-08-05 13:44:11","extension":"pdf","order_by":2,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"supplement","size":2933985,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"ABMSSIFinal.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-778902/v1/95881f361b5eb78c2c747465.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"There is \u003cb\u003eNO\u003c/b\u003e Competing Interest.","formattedTitle":"Climate Change will Increase Ozone Levels and unravel Air Quality Regulations","fulltext":[{"header":"Full Text","content":"This preprint is available for \u003ca href='/article/rs-778902/latest.pdf' target='_blank'\u003edownload as a PDF\u003c/a\u003e."}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"ambient ozone concentrations, climatic change, air quality standards","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-778902/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-778902/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"Using daily data for the United States over the period 1980-2019, we estimate the impacts of temperature on ambient ozone concentrations, accounting for adaptation to climatic change. We find that even with adaptation, rises in temperature will steeply increase ozone levels by over 9 ppb on days above 25◦C. By mid-century, we calculate that 189 additional counties will be violating the air quality standards, with 33 million more residents exposed to unhealthy levels of ozone. Climate change will thus likely increase the costs of compliance with existing ambient ozone standards. In light of a recent EPA ruling that would effectively remove co-benefits of ozone precursor reductions from the cost-benefit analysis of those standards, they will be in peril, further threatening public health.","manuscriptTitle":"Climate Change will Increase Ozone Levels and unravel Air Quality Regulations","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2021-08-05 13:44:08","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-778902/v1","editorialEvents":[],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"9c5410a7-667a-474f-b0d2-5feaeb697e9a","owner":[],"postedDate":"August 5th, 2021","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[{"id":6229225,"name":"Climatology"},{"id":6229226,"name":"Environmental Economics"},{"id":6229227,"name":"Environmental Policy"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2021-08-05T18:01:06+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2021-08-05 13:44:08","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-778902","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-778902","identity":"rs-778902","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"J0_U0BvcaRcwD8yVFaRlm","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}