A Robust Test for Instrument Exogeneity in Ordinal Response Models with Endogenous Regressors: A CF-GMM-Bootstrap Approach

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Abstract Testing whether instrumental variables (IV) are truly exogenous is crucial for reliable causal inference, especially when dealing with discrete ordered outcomes (e.g., survey ratings) and an endogenous explanatory variable. Existing tests often perform poorly in this complex setting. We develop a robust new test that combines Control Function (CF) and Two-Stage Residual Inclusion (2SRI) to correct for endogeneity, uses Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to construct the test statistic, and employs Bootstrap to ensure accurate results in real-world sample sizes. Simulations show our method is reliable, and we provide easy-to-use software for researchers. JEL Classification: C12, C26, C35
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A Robust Test for Instrument Exogeneity in Ordinal Response Models with Endogenous Regressors: A CF-GMM-Bootstrap Approach | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Method Article A Robust Test for Instrument Exogeneity in Ordinal Response Models with Endogenous Regressors: A CF-GMM-Bootstrap Approach Shunxin Yao This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7568775/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Testing whether instrumental variables (IV) are truly exogenous is crucial for reliable causal inference, especially when dealing with discrete ordered outcomes (e.g., survey ratings) and an endogenous explanatory variable. Existing tests often perform poorly in this complex setting. We develop a robust new test that combines Control Function (CF) and Two-Stage Residual Inclusion (2SRI) to correct for endogeneity, uses Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to construct the test statistic, and employs Bootstrap to ensure accurate results in real-world sample sizes. Simulations show our method is reliable, and we provide easy-to-use software for researchers. JEL Classification: C12, C26, C35 Econometrics instrumental variables endogeneity ordered response models hypothesis testing bootstrap Full Text Additional Declarations The authors declare no competing interests. Supplementary Files Rcode.r Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7568775","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Method Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":512215051,"identity":"4bda71de-aa97-4868-ad02-55f841e71212","order_by":0,"name":"Shunxin Yao","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAAzklEQVRIiWNgGAWjYJCCAx9+2NTzMzMffECsDsaDM3vSEiTb2ZINiNXCfJiH7VCCwXkeMwGi1BscP3zgAA/PgTzjwwxmDAw1NtGEtZxJSzggYXGn2OwwQ9oDhmNpuQ0EtRzIMThgwPOMcdthhuMGjA2HidBy/o3BgQS2w4ybmxnbJIjTcgNoywG2w4kbmJnZiNMieeNZwsHGnjRjicNszAYJxPiF73zy4c9/ftjI8fef//jgQ40NYS0KB5B5CYSUg4A8QUNHwSgYBaNgFAAA+wFIEhXhKWgAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Shunxin","middleName":"","lastName":"Yao","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-09-09 03:22:07","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":{"humanSubjects":false,"vertebrateSubjects":false,"conflictsOfInterestStatement":false,"humanSubjectEthicalGuidelines":false,"humanSubjectConsent":false,"humanSubjectClinicalTrial":false,"humanSubjectCaseReport":false,"vertebrateSubjectEthicalGuidelines":false},"doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7568775/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7568775/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":91149037,"identity":"f48823e6-4743-4086-9512-dcaf6df7acdc","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-09-12 06:46:41","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":276029,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"article.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7568775/v1_covered_b09b6b76-ca24-4bc0-9410-44328cfddff2.pdf"},{"id":90961769,"identity":"ea3e2a4b-3d57-4424-aa06-ea16e5f673d0","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-09-10 05:13:49","extension":"r","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"supplement","size":3249,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"Rcode.r","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7568775/v1/6861883d511307138b538f03.r"}],"financialInterests":"The authors declare no competing interests.","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eA Robust Test for Instrument Exogeneity in Ordinal Response Models with Endogenous Regressors: A CF-GMM-Bootstrap Approach\u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"instrumental variables, endogeneity, ordered response models, hypothesis testing, bootstrap","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7568775/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7568775/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eTesting whether instrumental variables (IV) are truly exogenous is crucial for reliable causal inference, especially when dealing with discrete ordered outcomes (e.g., survey ratings) and an endogenous explanatory variable. 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