A Partial General Equilibrium Analysis Of Fiscal Policy Injection On Poverty And Inequality In South Africa | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research A Partial General Equilibrium Analysis Of Fiscal Policy Injection On Poverty And Inequality In South Africa Kambale Kavese, Andrew Phiri This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.2.22598/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This study employs a partial general equilibrium approach calibrated on the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) and a contemporaneous dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the effect of expansionary fiscal policy on economic growth, income inequality, poverty, employment and inequality reduction in South Africa. The simulation results reveal that expansionary fiscal policy i) benefits rich ‘white’ households the most and poor ‘coloured’ households the least ii) improves adult employment more than youth employment iii) improves employment in urban areas as proposed to employment in rural areas iv) has a very small effect on improving economic growth and reducing the Gini coefficient v) benefits ‘well-off’ households more than it does ‘poor’ households vi) promotes ‘low-skilled’ employment more than it does for ‘high-skilled’ labourers. Associated policy implications based on our findings are also discussed. Agricultural Economics & Policy Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) New Development Plan (NDP) Inequality Poverty Employment South Africa Full-text Due to technical limitations, full-text HTML conversion of this manuscript could not be completed. However, the manuscript can be downloaded and accessed as a PDF. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-13172","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":328580,"identity":"d1368942-b6e3-462d-b51f-1a9fe6c04de5","order_by":1,"name":"Kambale Kavese","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Nelson Mandela University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Kambale","middleName":"","lastName":"Kavese","suffix":""},{"id":328581,"identity":"30a43848-6530-4ec8-bbf0-3a0d8d59d4b6","order_by":2,"name":"Andrew Phiri","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA6ElEQVRIiWNgGAWjYDACCcYGhgQQ4wAQfwBiNnZStDDOAGlhJqgFxgBqYeYBMQhpMZdubvvwoMYuj+/24WPSNr+2yfMxMzB++JiDW4vlnIPNMxKOJRdLnktLk87tu23YxszALDlzG24tBjcSmxkSG5gTN5zhMbud23ObEaiFjZmXsJZ6oBb+b7cte27bE6vlMMgWttsMP24nEtRiOQOoJeHY8cSZZ9jMf/Y23E5uY2ZsxusXc4n0x4w/aqoT+84wPzb48ee27fz25oMfPuJzGAqPsQ1MNuBWj6GF4Q9exaNgFIyCUTBCAQA0BlT5fBkOgwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1775-3546","institution":"Nelson Mandela University","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Andrew","middleName":"","lastName":"Phiri","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2020-02-03 06:01:58","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.2.22598/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.2.22598/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":804674,"identity":"d9eaef70-1bc5-4756-a07b-c77cd24ac63d","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-03-31 16:13:16","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":48033,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"manuscript.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-13172/v1/manuscript.pdf"},{"id":498100,"identity":"870366fa-c023-400e-9425-db1a24384e85","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-02-15 00:24:37","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":482124,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"2020kaveseandphiriJESsubmission.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/c1ca0c88-7243-420b-90c7-6cb32b99620c/v1/Manuscript.pdf"},{"id":498099,"identity":"6ac0d4d4-3902-40a4-a8cb-fe50fc6fb3dd","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-02-15 00:24:25","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":465744,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"2020kaveseandphiriJESsubmission.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/c1ca0c88-7243-420b-90c7-6cb32b99620c/v1/2020; kavese and phiri JES submission.pdf"},{"id":498098,"identity":"54b8b141-ab36-4e68-bdcd-e62441afc025","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-02-15 00:24:25","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":465744,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"2020kaveseandphiriJESsubmission.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/c1ca0c88-7243-420b-90c7-6cb32b99620c/v1/2020; kavese and phiri JES submission.pdf"},{"id":498097,"identity":"0e286db1-b2cf-4647-b5cd-47f1e2d7f499","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-02-15 00:24:24","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":465744,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"2020kaveseandphiriJESsubmission.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/c1ca0c88-7243-420b-90c7-6cb32b99620c/v1/2020; kavese and phiri JES submission.pdf"},{"id":13489551,"identity":"d32eddb6-d75a-46ab-9f21-c45cd73ec7df","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-09-16 22:19:33","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":335513,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"2020kaveseandphiriJESsubmission.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-13172/v1_covered.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eA Partial General Equilibrium Analysis Of Fiscal Policy Injection On Poverty And Inequality In South Africa \u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[{"header":"Full-text","content":" \u003cp\u003eDue to technical limitations, full-text HTML conversion of this manuscript could not be completed.\u0026nbsp; However, the manuscript can be downloaded and accessed as a PDF.\u003c/p\u003e\n"}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"
[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), Computable General Equilibrium (CGE), New Development Plan (NDP), Inequality, Poverty, Employment, South Africa ","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.2.22598/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.2.22598/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"This study employs a partial general equilibrium approach calibrated on the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) and a contemporaneous dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the effect of expansionary fiscal policy on economic growth, income inequality, poverty, employment and inequality reduction in South Africa. The simulation results reveal that expansionary fiscal policy i) benefits rich ‘white’ households the most and poor ‘coloured’ households the least ii) improves adult employment more than youth employment iii) improves employment in urban areas as proposed to employment in rural areas iv) has a very small effect on improving economic growth and reducing the Gini coefficient v) benefits ‘well-off’ households more than it does ‘poor’ households vi) promotes ‘low-skilled’ employment more than it does for ‘high-skilled’ labourers. Associated policy implications based on our findings are also discussed.","manuscriptTitle":"A Partial General Equilibrium Analysis Of Fiscal Policy Injection On Poverty And Inequality In South Africa","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2020-02-15 00:24:24","doi":"10.21203/rs.2.22598/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"
[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"98e206b6-44be-48da-9dbf-ea2b5388494f","owner":[],"postedDate":"February 15th, 2020","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[{"id":55593,"name":"Agricultural Economics \u0026 Policy"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2020-02-15 00:24:24","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-13172","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"identity":"rs-13172","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"_2-kVJe1T_tPrBINL-cwx","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}
Text is read by the "Ask this paper" AI Q&A widget below.
Extraction quality varies by source — PMC NXML preserves structure
cleanly, OA-HTML may include some navigation residue, and OA-PDF can
have broken hyphenation. The publisher copy
(via DOI)
is the canonical version.