Icequake rupture suggests Antarctic ice stream beds may be stronger, yet more dynamic than previously assumed

preprint OA: closed CC-BY-4.0
📄 Open PDF Full text JSON View at publisher

Abstract

Abstract Ice slip controls the flow of fast-flowing glaciers that contribute most to sea-level rise. The ice-bed interface shear stiffness partially regulates the shear strength, which dictates how fast ice can slip. Here we present the first measurements of slip-generated icequake rupture velocities at Rutford Ice Stream, Antarctica, providing the first direct remotely-measured estimates of in-situ bed stiffness. We find that the bed is stiffer than previously measured from active seismic measurements. Assuming the bed fails elastically, we find that the bed is also stronger, with the stiffness-strength relationship validated using laboratory shear failure experiments. Bed strength estimates are important because they can be parameterised in ice dynamics models. Furthermore, we find rupture direction is controlled by a fine balance of downstream tidal stresses and topographic hydrological gradients. If our results hold for other fast-flowing ice streams, then the strength of the bed may currently be underestimated in models, resulting in overestimates of ice loss and hence sea-level rise. However, if bed conditions are also finely balanced, then as grounding lines retreat, bed conditions may become unstable and cause surging behavior and accelerated ice loss. This highlights the need for more observations to interrogate the dynamism of ice stream beds.
Full text 11,546 characters · extracted from preprint-html · click to expand
Icequake rupture suggests Antarctic ice stream beds may be stronger, yet more dynamic than previously assumed | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Icequake rupture suggests Antarctic ice stream beds may be stronger, yet more dynamic than previously assumed Thomas Hudson, Alex Brisbourne, Lucas Zoet This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7825540/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Ice slip controls the flow of fast-flowing glaciers that contribute most to sea-level rise. The ice-bed interface shear stiffness partially regulates the shear strength, which dictates how fast ice can slip. Here we present the first measurements of slip-generated icequake rupture velocities at Rutford Ice Stream, Antarctica, providing the first direct remotely-measured estimates of in-situ bed stiffness. We find that the bed is stiffer than previously measured from active seismic measurements. Assuming the bed fails elastically, we find that the bed is also stronger, with the stiffness-strength relationship validated using laboratory shear failure experiments. Bed strength estimates are important because they can be parameterised in ice dynamics models. Furthermore, we find rupture direction is controlled by a fine balance of downstream tidal stresses and topographic hydrological gradients. If our results hold for other fast-flowing ice streams, then the strength of the bed may currently be underestimated in models, resulting in overestimates of ice loss and hence sea-level rise. However, if bed conditions are also finely balanced, then as grounding lines retreat, bed conditions may become unstable and cause surging behavior and accelerated ice loss. This highlights the need for more observations to interrogate the dynamism of ice stream beds. Earth and environmental sciences/Solid Earth sciences/Geophysics Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Cryospheric science Full Text Additional Declarations There is NO Competing Interest. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7825540","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":530890994,"identity":"ca636aba-c27c-4dc7-a81d-77578423e1b3","order_by":0,"name":"Thomas Hudson","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA3UlEQVRIiWNgGAWjYHACNjBiYG8++ABI8fARUs8D18JzLNkARLERr0Uix0wCail+YM/enfaYp6xOzlwiwazya46dDBsD88NHN/DZwnN2uzHPucPGlj0P0m7LbksGOozN2DgHnxaJ3G3SvG0HEjccTzh2W3IbM1ALD5s0EVrqEjccSGwrltxWT7QW5sQNJ5LZGD9uO0yEljNnt0nOAfrF4MwxZmnGbcd52JgJ+IW9vXebxBtgiBkc7//48ee2ant+9uaHj/FpQQHMPGCSWOUgwPiDFNWjYBSMglEwYgAAtNBECGZjNKUAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2944-883X","institution":"ETH Zurich","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Thomas","middleName":"","lastName":"Hudson","suffix":""},{"id":530890995,"identity":"fc42d0c5-f4eb-46d3-b9b8-3cce1c9eefcd","order_by":1,"name":"Alex Brisbourne","email":"","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9887-7120","institution":"British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Alex","middleName":"","lastName":"Brisbourne","suffix":""},{"id":530890996,"identity":"07ed658e-7b07-45c4-894c-08b6eb0607d2","order_by":2,"name":"Lucas Zoet","email":"","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9635-4051","institution":"University of Wisconsin-Madison","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Lucas","middleName":"","lastName":"Zoet","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-10-10 09:55:55","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7825540/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7825540/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":93946987,"identity":"3b094c9b-5319-4dc7-9fe6-10dc705ce04c","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-10-20 14:25:48","extension":"pdf","order_by":0,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"acdc-reference","size":5391878,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"Icequakerupturedynamicssubmitted.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7825540/v1/614404c43897648a484ff210.pdf"},{"id":93946986,"identity":"f3455c1a-e226-431a-9f1f-dc2ef885ce28","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-10-20 14:25:48","extension":"json","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"acdc-reference","size":4821,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"NCOMMS2581226.json","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7825540/v1/84773e3ada7a891562bda0c1.json"},{"id":96914613,"identity":"aded4575-da17-4a13-8dc6-5f728d69b09f","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-11-27 14:06:10","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":2457239,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"Icequakerupturedynamicssubmitted.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7825540/v1_covered_53595110-a8a9-42b5-b34d-4d12a02e9599.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"There is \u003cb\u003eNO\u003c/b\u003e Competing Interest.","formattedTitle":"Icequake rupture suggests Antarctic ice stream beds may be stronger, yet more dynamic than previously assumed","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7825540/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7825540/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"Ice slip controls the flow of fast-flowing glaciers that contribute most to sea-level rise. The ice-bed interface shear stiffness partially regulates the shear strength, which dictates how fast ice can slip. Here we present the first measurements of slip-generated icequake rupture velocities at Rutford Ice Stream, Antarctica, providing the first direct remotely-measured estimates of in-situ bed stiffness. We find that the bed is stiffer than previously measured from active seismic measurements. Assuming the bed fails elastically, we find that the bed is also stronger, with the stiffness-strength relationship validated using laboratory shear failure experiments. Bed strength estimates are important because they can be parameterised in ice dynamics models. Furthermore, we find rupture direction is controlled by a fine balance of downstream tidal stresses and topographic hydrological gradients. If our results hold for other fast-flowing ice streams, then the strength of the bed may currently be underestimated in models, resulting in overestimates of ice loss and hence sea-level rise. However, if bed conditions are also finely balanced, then as grounding lines retreat, bed conditions may become unstable and cause surging behavior and accelerated ice loss. This highlights the need for more observations to interrogate the dynamism of ice stream beds.","manuscriptTitle":"Icequake rupture suggests Antarctic ice stream beds may be stronger, yet more dynamic than previously assumed","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2025-10-20 14:25:43","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7825540/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"82066b21-2e10-4751-984a-0b319d3344af","owner":[],"postedDate":"October 20th, 2025","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[{"id":56438226,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Solid Earth sciences/Geophysics"},{"id":56438227,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences/Cryospheric science"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2025-11-25T20:35:18+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2025-10-20 14:25:43","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-7825540","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-7825540","identity":"rs-7825540","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}

Text is read by the "Ask this paper" AI Q&A widget below. Extraction quality varies by source — PMC NXML preserves structure cleanly, OA-HTML may include some navigation residue, and OA-PDF can have broken hyphenation. The publisher copy (via DOI) is the canonical version.

My notes (saved in your browser only)

Ask this paper AI returns verbatim quotes from the full text · source: preprint-html

Answers must be backed by verbatim quotes from this paper's full text. Hallucinated quotes are dropped automatically; if no verbatim passage answers the question, we say so. How this works

Citation neighborhood (no data yet)

We don't have any in-corpus citations linked to this paper yet. This is a recent paper (2025) — citers typically take a year or two to land, and the OpenAlex reference graph may still be filling in.

Source provenance

europepmc
last seen: 2026-05-20T01:45:00.602351+00:00
unpaywall
last seen: 2026-05-22T02:00:06.705733+00:00
License: CC-BY-4.0